Industry Overview - The retail apparel and footwear industry is poised for a significant upcycle, driven by stabilizing interest rates, improving wage growth, and healthier inventory levels, with 2026 expected to be a turning point for consumer spending [1][3] - Retailers have focused on clearing excess inventory and improving supply-chain efficiency, which has helped restore pricing power and protect margins [3][8] Key Stocks to Watch - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) is implementing a brand-led growth strategy with improved merchandising and operational discipline, particularly in denim, leading to higher traffic and digital engagement [5][6] - Urban Outfitters (URBN) benefits from a diversified brand portfolio and strong customer engagement, with investments in product curation and inventory flow enhancing operational efficiency [11][12] - Boot Barn Holdings (BOOT) is recognized for its strong brand position in western and work-related apparel, executing a store-first growth strategy while enhancing customer experience through omnichannel capabilities [16][17] - The Gap, Inc. (GAP) is stabilizing its business through better inventory management and disciplined cost control, aiming to reduce promotional pressure and improve margins [21][22] Financial Performance Estimates - American Eagle's current fiscal-year sales are estimated to grow by 2.4%, while EPS is expected to decline by 23.6%. For the next fiscal year, sales are projected to rise by 2.6% and earnings by 18.8% [7][9] - Urban Outfitters anticipates a 10.8% increase in sales and a 29.8% rise in EPS for the current fiscal year, with a 7.8% sales growth and 9.6% earnings growth expected for the next year [13][14] - Boot Barn's current fiscal-year sales are projected to grow by 16.2% and EPS by 20.5%, with a 13.3% rise in sales and 13.8% growth in earnings for the next fiscal year [18][19] - The Gap expects a 1.8% increase in sales and a 2.7% decline in EPS for the current fiscal year, with a 2.4% rise in sales and 6.5% growth in earnings anticipated for the next year [23][24]

Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1] Company Overview: Boot Barn (BOOT) - Boot Barn currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating a favorable momentum characteristic [2] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting strong potential for outperformance in the market [3] Performance Metrics - Over the past week, Boot Barn shares increased by 1.25%, while the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry rose by 1.35% [5] - In the last month, Boot Barn's stock price changed by 18.16%, outperforming the industry's 9.28% [5] - Over the past quarter, shares of Boot Barn have risen by 17.76%, and over the last year, they have gained 35.65%, compared to the S&P 500's increases of 3.47% and 13.15%, respectively [6] Trading Volume - Boot Barn's average 20-day trading volume is 452,562 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [7] Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, five earnings estimates for Boot Barn have been revised upward, with no downward revisions, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $6.56 to $7.01 [9] - For the next fiscal year, four estimates have also moved higher, with no downward revisions during the same period [9] Conclusion - Considering the positive momentum indicators and earnings outlook, Boot Barn is positioned as a 2 (Buy) stock with a Momentum Score of B, making it a strong candidate for near-term investment [11]

Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT) was previously analyzed in July, with a recommendation to sell the stock during a period of strength and consider repurchasing at lower price levels [1] Company Analysis - The investment strategy employed focuses on strategic buying opportunities, particularly in dividend and value stocks, which has led to a high rating on Tipranks.com and a significant following on Seeking Alpha [1] Market Position - The company is positioned within a competitive market, with the analyst expressing confidence in the potential for future gains based on strategic trading decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report summarizes significant rating changes from various investment firms that are expected to impact the market. Upgraded Ratings - Jefferies upgraded Roku (ROKU) from "Hold" to "Buy," raising the target price from $100 to $135, anticipating over 20% growth in platform revenue under optimistic scenarios [5] - Piper Sandler upgraded Unity (U) from "Neutral" to "Outperform," increasing the target price from $43 to $59, citing a favorable outlook for the mobile app advertising market entering 2026 [5] - Citigroup upgraded Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO) from "Neutral" to "Buy," raising the target price from $580 to $660, expecting benefits from increased pharmaceutical spending and local industry advantages [5] - Bank of America upgraded Synopsys (SNPS) from "Neutral" to "Buy," increasing the target price from $500 to $560, noting reduced risks in sales to China and Intel, and potential for attractive rebound [5] - Bank of America upgraded Visa (V) from "Neutral" to "Buy," setting a target price of $382, indicating attractive return potential after recent underperformance [5] Downgraded Ratings - Bank of America downgraded PayPal (PYPL) from "Buy" to "Neutral," lowering the target price from $93 to $68, citing delays in revitalizing core payment business growth [5] - Harbor Research downgraded General Electric Energy (GEV) from "Buy" to "Neutral," without providing a target price, stating current valuation is reasonable [5] - Bank of America downgraded Alcon (ALC) from "Buy" to "Underperform," reducing the target price from $100 to $75, due to limited upside and market uncertainties [5] - Deutsche Bank downgraded Norfolk Southern Railway (NSC) from "Buy" to "Hold," setting a target price of $297, attributing the downgrade to unresolved merger issues with Union Pacific Railway (UNP) [5] - Deutsche Bank downgraded Union Pacific Railway from "Buy" to "Hold," setting a target price of $245, despite strong performance over two quarters, citing poor stock performance [5] Initiated Coverage - Freedom Capital initiated coverage on Shift4 Payments (FOUR) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $80, viewing recent pullbacks as an attractive entry point [5] - Bernstein initiated coverage on BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) with an "Outperform" rating and a target price of $94, suggesting that short-term expectations are reasonable but long-term may be overly optimistic [5] - B. Riley initiated coverage on Chime Bank (CHYM) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $35, indicating a 40% potential upside, highlighting its profitable and high-growth digital banking services [5] - Morgan Stanley initiated coverage on Elbit Systems (ESLT) with a "Hold" rating and a target price of $531, noting that most growth potential is already reflected in the current stock price after a 95% increase this year [5] - Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) with a "Buy" rating and a target price of $120, favoring companies with store expansion capabilities and pricing power in the apparel retail sector [5]

Core Points - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. announced that Brenda Morris has been named a 2025 NACD Directorship 100 honoree in the Top 50 Directors category [1] - The NACD Directorship 100 Awards recognize influential leaders in corporate governance [1] - Each honoree is acknowledged for their contributions to corporate governance [1]

Core Insights - Retail sales in September totaled $733.3 billion, increasing 0.2% month-over-month and 4.3% year-over-year, although falling short of the expected 0.4% rise [3][9] - The Federal Reserve has cut interest rates twice since September, with expectations for another cut in December, which is favorable for the retail sector [5] - The holiday season is anticipated to boost retail sales, with significant online spending observed during Black Friday [6][7] Retail Sector Performance - Retail sales growth has been steady despite inflationary pressures, with a total increase of 4.5% year-over-year from July to September [3] - The rise in retail sales in September followed a 0.6% increase in August, but was impacted by a struggling labor market and high unemployment rates [4] - Online sales on Black Friday reached a record $11.8 billion, up 9.1% year-over-year, indicating strong consumer spending trends [6][7] Investment Opportunities - Recommended retail stocks with strong online presence include Amazon.com, Boot Barn Holdings, Tapestry, and Ross Stores, all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2] - Amazon.com has an expected earnings growth rate of 29.7% for the current year, with a 4.8% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [10] - Boot Barn Holdings has an expected earnings growth rate of 20.5%, with a 6.9% increase in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [12] - Tapestry's expected earnings growth rate is 10.4%, with a 3.3% improvement in earnings estimates [14] - Ross Stores has a modest expected earnings growth rate of 0.63%, with a 2.7% increase in earnings estimates [16]

Core Insights - The holiday sales season for 2025-26 in the U.S. has begun, with Thanksgiving and Black Friday being critical days for consumer spending, which is a key indicator of economic conditions and consumer behavior [2][3] Company Summaries Crocs Inc. (CROX) - Crocs has a Zacks Rank of 1 and has seen significant growth in brand awareness through collaborations and product innovations, appealing to a broad demographic [8] - The company is refreshing its product lines and has upcoming launches that are generating consumer interest, with an expected revenue growth rate of 0.4% and earnings growth rate of 3.9% for the next year [11] - The short-term average price target for Crocs represents an increase of 11.2% from its last closing price of $83.07 [11] On Holding AG (ONON) - On Holding also holds a Zacks Rank of 1, providing innovative footwear and sports apparel, with an expected revenue growth rate of 21.2% and earnings growth rate of 79.8% for the next year [12][13] - The short-term average price target for On Holding indicates a potential increase of 45.3% from its last closing price of $41.78 [13] Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL) - Ralph Lauren has a Zacks Rank of 2 and has outperformed the industry, driven by its strategic "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate Plan" focusing on brand elevation and operational agility [14][16] - The company is investing in digital transformation, enhancing consumer engagement, with an expected revenue growth rate of 9.5% and earnings growth rate of 25% for the current year [17] - The short-term average price target for Ralph Lauren suggests a 3.3% increase from its last closing price of $364.50 [17] Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) - Kontoor Brands, with a Zacks Rank of 2, is a lifestyle apparel company with an expected revenue growth rate of 11.3% and earnings growth rate of 5.3% for the next year [18][19] - The short-term average price target for Kontoor Brands indicates a potential increase of 31% from its last closing price of $73.69 [19] Boot Barn Holdings Inc. (BOOT) - Boot Barn Holdings has a Zacks Rank of 2 and operates in the lifestyle retail sector, with an expected revenue growth rate of 16.2% and earnings growth rate of 20.5% for the current year [20][22] - The short-term average price target for Boot Barn suggests a 15% increase from its last closing price of $195.76 [22] Industry Insights - The Zacks Retail – Apparel and Shoes industry is currently ranked in the top 26% of Zacks Industry Rank, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the broader market [7] - Consumer confidence is under pressure due to macroeconomic uncertainties, leading to a shift towards value-driven purchases, impacting demand in the apparel and footwear sectors [5][6]

Core Insights - The holiday sales season for 2025-26 in the U.S. is crucial, with Thanksgiving and Black Friday being key days for consumer spending [2] - Despite a challenging economic environment, holiday sales are expected to grow, albeit at a muted rate, leading to recommendations for five apparel and shoe stocks with strong short-term upside potential [3][10] Industry Overview - Consumer spending is the largest component of U.S. GDP, and the holiday season represents the peak period for this spending [3] - The apparel and footwear industry is facing challenges as consumers shift towards value-driven purchases, impacting demand [6] - The Zacks Retail – Apparel and Shoes industry ranks in the top 26% of Zacks Industry Rank, indicating potential for outperformance in the next three to six months [7] Company Highlights Crocs Inc. (CROX) - Crocs has a Zacks Rank of 1 and is experiencing significant growth in brand awareness through collaborations and product innovations [11] - The company is refreshing its product lines and has an expected revenue growth rate of 0.4% and earnings growth rate of 3.9% for the next year [14] - The short-term average price target for CROX indicates an 11.2% increase from its last closing price of $83.07 [14] On Holding AG (ONON) - On Holding also holds a Zacks Rank of 1, focusing on ultralight footwear and sports apparel [15] - The expected revenue growth rate is 21.2% and earnings growth rate is 79.8% for the next year [16] - The short-term average price target suggests a 45.3% increase from the last closing price of $41.78 [16] Ralph Lauren Corp. (RL) - Ralph Lauren has a Zacks Rank of 2 and has outperformed the industry due to its strategic "Next Great Chapter: Accelerate Plan" [17] - The company is investing in digital transformation, with expected revenue growth of 9.5% and earnings growth of 25% for the current year [20] - The short-term average price target indicates a 3.3% increase from the last closing price of $364.50 [20] Kontoor Brands Inc. (KTB) - Kontoor Brands, with a Zacks Rank of 2, operates lifestyle apparel brands like Wrangler and Lee [22] - The expected revenue growth rate is 11.3% and earnings growth rate is 5.3% for the next year [23] - The short-term average price target suggests a 31% increase from the last closing price of $73.69 [23] Boot Barn Holdings Inc. (BOOT) - Boot Barn Holdings has a Zacks Rank of 2 and focuses on western and work-related footwear and apparel [24] - The expected revenue growth rate is 16.2% and earnings growth rate is 20.5% for the current year [25] - The short-term average price target indicates a 15% increase from the last closing price of $195.76 [25]

Core Insights - The U.S. holiday season is expected to see robust consumer spending, particularly from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday, despite ongoing inflationary pressures [1][7] Retail Industry Overview - U.S. holiday season sales are projected to reach $253.4 billion, reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year increase [4] - The Cyber week, which includes Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday, is anticipated to generate $43.7 billion, accounting for 17.2% of total holiday sales, marking a 6.3% increase from the previous year [5] - Thanksgiving Day sales are expected to hit $6.4 billion, while Cyber Monday is projected to generate $14.2 billion, up 6.3% year-over-year [6] Online Sales Growth - Online sales are expected to grow significantly, with mobile and online platforms projected to account for 56.1% of overall holiday season sales [6] Selected Retail Stocks - **Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 29.7% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 [9] - **Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 24.6% for next year, currently holding a Zacks Rank 1 [11] - **Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 20.5% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 [12] - **Tapestry (TPR)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 10.4% for the current year, currently holding a Zacks Rank 2 [14] Earnings Estimate Revisions - All selected stocks have seen positive earnings estimate revisions in the past 60 days, indicating strong potential for solid returns [3][10]

Core Insights - Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. has announced the grand opening of its 500th store this month, marking a significant milestone for the company [1] - The company is expanding its footprint with several new store openings across various states, including Texas, Illinois, Arizona, New Jersey, and California [1] - The opening of the 500th store coincides with a return to Huntington Beach, CA, where the first Boot Barn store was established in 197 [1]