Dutch Bros(BROS)
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Dutch Bros(BROS) - 2025 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2025-11-05 21:09
Revenue Growth - Total revenues increased by 25.2% to $423.6 million compared to $338.2 million in Q3 2024[4] - Company-operated shops revenue rose by 27.4% to $392.8 million from $308.3 million in the same period of 2024[4] - Systemwide sales for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, were $1.64 billion, a 21.9% increase from $1.34 billion in the same period of 2024[26] - Full-year revenue guidance is raised to between approximately $1.61 billion and $1.615 billion[7] Same Shop Sales - Systemwide same shop sales grew by 5.7%, with company-operated same shop sales increasing by 7.4% year-over-year[4] - Same shop sales growth is now expected to be approximately 5% for the full year[7] - Same shop sales for company-operated shops increased by 7.4% in Q3 2025 compared to a 4.0% increase in Q3 2024[26] Net Income and Profitability - Net income reached $27.3 million, up from $21.7 million in Q3 2024[7] - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $88.1 million, compared to $60.1 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a 46.6% year-over-year increase[27] - For the three months ended September 30, 2025, net income was $27,283,000, compared to $21,712,000 for the same period in 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 25.5%[60] EBITDA - Adjusted EBITDA grew by 22.3% to $78.0 million compared to $63.8 million in the same period of 2024[7] - Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $229,912,000, or 19.2% of revenue, up from $181,461,000 and 19.3% in the same period of 2024[59] - The company expects continued growth in adjusted EBITDA and net income margins in the upcoming quarters, driven by operational efficiencies and market expansion strategies[58] Shop Openings and Growth - The company opened 38 new shops, 34 of which were company-operated, across 17 states[4] - Total system shop openings for 2025 are targeted to be 160, with an additional 175 planned for 2026[6] - The total number of company-operated shops increased to 759 by the end of Q3 2025, up from 645 at the end of Q3 2024, marking a 17.6% growth[26] Cash Flow and Financial Position - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $215.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $184.2 million in 2024[21] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of Q3 2025 were $267.2 million, down from $293.4 million at the beginning of the period[21] Cost Management - Selling, general, and administrative expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2025, were $65,289,000, which is 15.4% of total revenue, compared to $57,536,000 or 17.0% in 2024[60] - Adjusted selling, general, and administrative expenses were $57,639,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2025, representing 13.6% of total revenue, down from 14.9% in 2024[60] - Total organization realignment and restructuring costs for Q3 2025 amounted to $2,650,000, or 0.6% of revenue, down from $4,191,000 and 1.3% in Q3 2024[59] Shareholder Metrics - The weighted-average shares of Class A and Class D common stock outstanding - diluted increased to 127,379,000 in Q3 2025 from 114,252,000 in Q3 2024[61] - Adjusted net income per fully exchanged share of diluted common stock was $0.19 for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to $0.16 in 2024, indicating a 18.8% increase[61] Customer Engagement - Dutch Rewards transactions accounted for 71.8% of total transactions in Q3 2025, up from 67.2% in Q3 2024, indicating increased customer loyalty[26]
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Dutch Bros (BROS) Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 15:15
Wall Street analysts expect Dutch Bros (BROS) to post quarterly earnings of $0.17 per share in its upcoming report, which indicates a year-over-year increase of 6.3%. Revenues are expected to be $411.13 million, up 21.6% from the year-ago quarter.Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been adjusted upward by 2.1% to its current level. This demonstrates the covering analysts' collective reassessment of their initial projections during this period.Prior to a company's earnings a ...
3 Restaurant Stocks to Watch Despite Industry Challenges
ZACKS· 2025-11-04 05:02
Core Insights - The Zacks Retail – Restaurants industry is facing a challenging macroeconomic environment but is experiencing sales growth due to menu price hikes and expansion efforts [1][3][5] Industry Overview - The industry includes various types of restaurants, from casual to fine dining, and also encompasses specialty coffee operations and quick-service franchises [2] Current Trends - The industry is grappling with persistent inflation and reduced consumer purchasing power, leading to declining traffic as menu prices rise [3] - Increased competition and high wages are contributing to rising expenses, affecting profit margins [4] Sales Performance - Restaurant sales reached $99.5 billion in August, marking a 0.7% increase from July's revised total of $98.8 billion, indicating strong consumer commitment to dining out [5] Digital Innovation - Restaurant operators are focusing on digital initiatives and partnerships with delivery platforms to drive sales growth [6] Off-Premise Sales - The rise in off-premise sales, including delivery and takeout, is positively impacting the industry, with many operators testing ghost kitchens [7] Industry Ranking - The Zacks Restaurant industry holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 214, placing it in the bottom 11% of over 243 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [8][9] Stock Performance - The industry has underperformed the S&P 500, declining 12.7% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's rise of 22.3% [11] Valuation Metrics - The industry is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 22.6X, below the S&P 500's 23.82X and the sector's 25.05X [14] Company Highlights - **Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS)**: Emerging as a fast-growing player in the coffee market with a projected 25% sales growth and 38.8% earnings growth in 2025 [17][18] - **Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB)**: Benefiting from menu innovation and improved profitability, with a narrowed loss per share [21][22] - **BJ's Restaurants, Inc. (BJRI)**: Focused on traffic growth and operational efficiency, with anticipated sales growth of 3% in 2025 [25][26]
Future-Proof Your Portfolio: Why You Need to Own These 2 Companies Now
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-02 13:05
Group 1 - Dutch Bros is known for its variety of handmade beverages and operates primarily through a drive-thru-only model, differentiating itself from traditional coffeehouses [4][5] - The company's no-frills model has allowed for rapid expansion and profitable growth, with a loyal customer base driven by the Dutch Rewards program, which accounts for over 70% of transactions [5][6] - Second-quarter revenue for Dutch Bros reached $415.8 million, a 28% increase year over year, with net income rising to $38.4 million, a 73% increase [7] - The company opened 31 new shops in the quarter and is expanding its food offerings, with a long-term goal of over 7,000 locations nationwide compared to its current total of over 1,000 [8] Group 2 - The current market presents robust opportunities for long-term investors, with Dutch Bros scaling its operations without sacrificing profitability [9]
3 Growth Stocks That Can Double By 2030
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-02 10:05
Core Insights - The article discusses three growth stocks with potential to double in value over the next five years, emphasizing the importance of selecting companies with above-average growth prospects [1][2]. Company Summaries Dutch Bros - Dutch Bros, founded in 1992, is a growing coffeehouse chain with a strong brand and a focus on customer service, aiming to expand from 1,000 shops to 7,000 across the U.S. [3][4][6] - The company reported an adjusted net income of $45 million in Q2, up from $31 million year-over-year, indicating profitable expansion [6]. - Revenue growth is expected to be in the mid-teens or higher over the next five years, with the stock potentially doubling by 2030 if it maintains a price-to-sales multiple of about 5 [7]. MercadoLibre - MercadoLibre has shown exceptional performance, with a $1,000 investment growing to $35,000 over the past 15 years, and continues to have significant growth potential in Latin America [8][10]. - The company leads in e-commerce and fintech services, with over 76 million unique buyers and $16.5 billion in gross merchandise volume in Q3 [10][11]. - Its fintech services are expanding rapidly, with a 29% year-over-year increase in users, and total revenue is growing at high double digits, suggesting the stock could double in the next five years [12]. Spotify Technology - Spotify is the leading audio streaming platform with nearly 700 million monthly active users, leveraging AI to enhance user engagement and revenue growth [13][14]. - The company has introduced AI-driven features that have increased user listening time, contributing to a 53% year-over-year rise in operating income [16]. - With a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 48 and projected annualized growth of 33%, the stock has the potential to double by 2030 [17].
Can Dutch Bros' Refinancing Boost Fuel Its Next Phase of Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 16:46
Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. has improved its financial flexibility through a strategic refinancing initiative, establishing a total capacity of $650 million, which includes a $500 million revolving credit line and a $150 million term loan [1][7] - The company aims to achieve its target of 2,029 shops by 2029, with a focus on capital efficiency and reduced average capital expenditure per shop, which has declined by approximately 15% to $1.4 million [2][7] - Dutch Bros has seen strong operational momentum, with loyalty participation accounting for roughly 72% of system transactions in the second quarter, indicating strong consumer engagement [3][4] Financial Position - The refinancing has extended Dutch Bros' liquidity profile, closing Q2 with only $50 million drawn and a total liquidity of $694 million, including $254 million in cash [1][7] - The company's stock has gained 13.2% year-to-date, outperforming the industry, which has seen a decline of 6.3% [5] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Dutch Bros trades at a forward price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 5.1, which is above the industry's average of 3.57 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dutch Bros' 2025 earnings per share remains at 68 cents, with projections indicating a 38.8% rise in earnings for 2025 [11][12]
BofA Lowers Dutch Bros (BROS) PT to $73 Following Disappointing Q2 Earnings, Widening Macroeconomic Pressures
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-29 15:25
Dutch Bros Inc. (NYSE:BROS) is one of the stocks that should double in 3 years. On October 24, Bank of America lowered the firm’s price target on Dutch Bros to $73 from $90, while maintaining a Buy rating on the shares. This sentiment followed a disappointing Q2 2025 earnings season that severely dampened market sentiment. BofA Lowers Dutch Bros (BROS) PT to $73 Following Disappointing Q2 Earnings, Widening Macroeconomic Pressures The firm noted that investor enthusiasm for restaurant stocks is now decid ...
Dutch Bros (NYSE:BROS) Sees Promising Price Target from Mizuho Securities
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-10-28 01:12
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros is recognized for its rapid expansion and unique customer experience, positioning itself as a strong competitor in the coffee industry alongside major players like Starbucks [1][2]. Company Overview - Dutch Bros operates a prominent coffee chain known for its drive-thru coffee stands, focusing on energetic service and a diverse menu [1]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $9.7 billion, indicating its significant presence in the market [3]. Stock Performance - Mizuho Securities has set a price target of $70 for Dutch Bros, suggesting a potential upside of 16.92% from its current trading price of $59.87 [1][5]. - The stock recently experienced a price increase of 4.36%, reflecting investor confidence in its growth potential [2][5]. - The stock's current price of $59.87 represents a 5.20% increase, or $2.96, from previous levels [2]. Volatility and Trading Activity - Dutch Bros has shown volatility, with a daily trading range between $57.84 and $60.195, and over the past year, it reached a high of $86.88 and a low of $32.68 [3]. - The trading volume for Dutch Bros is 3,728,605 shares on the NYSE, indicating its popularity among investors [4]. Investment Potential - Dutch Bros is considered a potential "monster stock" alongside Figma and Celsius Holdings, expected to deliver significant returns despite trading at high multiples [2][5]. - The company's potential for substantial growth makes it an attractive investment for those willing to embrace the associated risks [4].
Dutch Bros' Bold New Bet Looks Risky (Rating Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-26 09:21
Group 1 - The article highlights Uttam as a growth-oriented investment analyst focusing on the technology sector, particularly in semiconductors, Artificial Intelligence, and Cloud software [1] - Uttam's research also encompasses MedTech, Defense Tech, and Renewable Energy, indicating a diverse range of interests within the technology landscape [1] - The Pragmatic Optimist Newsletter, co-authored by Uttam and his wife Amrita Roy, is recognized and cited by major publications like the Wall Street Journal and Forbes, showcasing its influence in the investment community [1] Group 2 - Prior to his research career, Uttam led teams at major technology firms such as Apple and Google in Silicon Valley, emphasizing his extensive experience in the industry [1]
What Makes Dutch Bros (BROS) a New Strong Buy Stock
ZACKS· 2025-10-24 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros (BROS) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to an upward trend in earnings estimates, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock price [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [4][6]. - Institutional investors often base their valuation models on earnings estimates, leading to significant buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Company Performance and Investor Sentiment - The upgrade reflects an improvement in Dutch Bros' underlying business, which is expected to drive stock appreciation as investors recognize this positive trend [5][10]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Dutch Bros has increased by 15.7%, indicating a positive revision in earnings expectations [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade places Dutch Bros in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting a strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].