Dutch Bros(BROS)
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Down 35% Over the Past Year, Is Dutch Bros Stock a Buy as Same-Store Sales Growth Continues to Shine?
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-17 08:15
Core Insights - Dutch Bros has demonstrated strong operational performance despite a 35% decline in stock price over the past year, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] Financial Performance - Comparable-restaurant sales increased by 7.7% in Q4, with same-store transactions rising 5.5% [3] - Company-owned stores saw a 9.7% increase in comparable-shop sales, driven by a 7.6% rise in transactions [3] - Total Q4 revenue surged by 29% to $443.6 million, with adjusted EBITDA increasing by 49% year over year to $72.6 million [7] - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) more than doubled from $0.07 to $0.17 [7] Growth Strategies - Mobile ordering accounted for approximately 14% of transactions, up from 13% in Q3 and 11.5% in Q2, contributing to same-store sales growth [4] - The company plans to open at least 181 new shops in 2026, following the opening of 154 new shops in 2025 [5] - Dutch Bros aims to reach a total of 2,029 shops by 2029, indicating a clear expansion path [5] Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures - Dutch Bros generated $54.4 million in free cash flow for 2025, allowing it to fund its expansion through operating cash flow [6] - Capital expenditures per shop decreased from $1.8 million to $1.3 million year over year [6] Future Projections - The company projects 2026 revenue between $2 billion and $2.03 billion, representing growth of 22% to 24% [8] - Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is forecasted to be between $355 million and $365 million [8] Market Position - Dutch Bros is viewed as a strong expansion story in the restaurant sector, with an average unit volume of $2.1 million per shop [10] - The stock is considered a relative bargain with a forward price-to-sales multiple of 3.2 compared to Starbucks' 2.8, highlighting its growth potential [11]
Dutch Bros is growing fast. Here's why its expansion plans matter more than its stock bump
Fastcompany· 2026-02-13 18:31
Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros, a competitor of Starbucks, experienced a rise in its stock price during premarket trading following the announcement of double-digit revenue growth in its latest quarter [1] Company Summary - Dutch Bros reported double-digit revenue growth in its most recent quarter, indicating strong performance and potential for continued success in the coffee industry [1] - Despite the positive revenue growth, shares of Dutch Bros remained flat after the initial rise in premarket trading, suggesting market volatility or investor caution [1] Industry Summary - The coffee industry continues to show resilience, with companies like Dutch Bros demonstrating significant revenue growth, which may attract investor interest and highlight competitive dynamics within the sector [1]
Dutch Bros is growing fast. Here’s why its expansion plans matter more than its stock bump
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 18:25
Core Insights - Dutch Bros has reported double-digit revenue growth in its recent quarter, indicating strong performance and potential for future growth [1] - The company plans to nearly double its store footprint by 2029, which is a significant factor for investors [1] Financial Performance - Dutch Bros achieved total revenue of $443.6 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 29.4% [6] - The net income for the quarter was $29.2 million, a substantial rise from $6.4 million in the same quarter the previous year [6] - Systemwide same-shop sales increased by 7.7%, showcasing strong customer retention and sales performance [6] - Adjusted EBITDA reached $72.6 million, up 48.8% year-over-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [6] Expansion Plans - In fiscal 2025, Dutch Bros opened 154 new stores across 22 states, bringing the total to 1,136 locations in 25 states as of December 31 [4] - The company plans to open at least 181 new stores in 2026 as part of its aggressive expansion strategy [5] - The expansion is aligned with the company's goal to nearly double its store count by 2029, which is expected to significantly boost overall sales [3][5]
Dutch Bros Is Still One Of The Best Growth Stocks In The Restaurant Sector
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-13 18:15
Group 1 - Dutch Bros (BROS) is identified as one of the restaurant sector stocks with high growth potential despite challenges faced by many restaurants [1] - The coffee shop chain is reporting strong same-store sales growth, indicating robust performance in a struggling market [1] Group 2 - The article is authored by a freelance business writer with a focus on restaurants, retailers, and food manufacturers, emphasizing long-term investment opportunities [1]
Dutch Bros' Stock Opened Friday With a 17.7% Jump, Then Gave It All Back. Here's Why.
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 18:05
Core Insights - Dutch Bros' stock initially surged by 17.7% following a strong earnings report but later fell by 1.8% as investors focused on guidance targets [1][4] Financial Performance - In Q4, Dutch Bros' sales increased by 29% year-over-year to $443.6 million, surpassing analyst expectations of $424 million [2] - Unadjusted earnings per diluted share rose from $0.03 to $0.17, significantly exceeding the average analyst estimate of $0.09 [2] - The company beat Wall Street's revenue target by 5% and nearly doubled the average earnings projection [3] Future Growth and Challenges - Dutch Bros aims to expand to at least 2,029 locations by the end of 2029, up from 1,136 coffee shops [6] - The introduction of a broader menu, including breakfast sandwiches and pastries, is expected to enhance long-term business growth, although it may lower operating margins in 2026 [7] - Management's revenue guidance for fiscal year 2026 is slightly below analyst estimates, projecting a growth rate of approximately 22% [9] - Rising ingredient prices, including an 18% year-over-year increase in coffee prices, pose challenges to profit margins, which are expected to shrink by 0.6 percentage points next year [9]
Dutch Bros drives Q4 momentum with 7.7% same-store sales growth and rising brand penetration
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 16:04
Core Insights - Dutch Bros reported a 7.7% same-store sales growth and a 29% revenue growth for Q4, driven by transaction growth and new store openings [1] - The company is expanding its brand presence in new and existing markets, with plans to reach 2,029 shops by 2029, having already opened 1,136 stores by the end of FY 2025 [2] Sales and Growth Initiatives - In Q4, Dutch Bros focused on initiatives to drive transactions, including increased paid advertising and growth of its CPG line [3] - The brand awareness strategy has been amplified through the rollout of the Dutch Bros CPG platform, which has received positive customer reception and aims to convert awareness into increased shop visits [4] Food Program and Store Performance - The food program, which began as a beta test in Phoenix, has expanded to 300 stores across 11 states, contributing to ticket and transaction lifts in participating locations [4] - The first walk-up window-style store in downtown Los Angeles has become the best-performing store since its opening, with an order ahead mix over three times the average [5] Future Outlook - Dutch Bros expects full-year same-store sales growth to be between 3% and 5%, driven by transaction growth, the continued rollout of the food program, and store growth [6] - The company anticipates a 16% shop growth in 2026, including conversions of Clutch Coffee, which was acquired in January [6]
Dutch Bros Q4 Earnings & Revenues Beat Estimates, Rise Y/Y, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 14:46
Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) reported strong fourth-quarter 2025 results, with earnings and revenues exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates, leading to a 12.3% increase in stock price in after-hours trading [1][3][8] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 2025 were 17 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate of 10 cents, and up from 7 cents in the prior-year quarter [3][8] - Total revenues reached $443.6 million, exceeding the consensus mark of $427 million, and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 29.4% [3][8] - Company-operated shop revenues were $409.6 million, a 30.4% increase year-over-year, while franchising and other revenues amounted to $34 million, up 19% year-over-year [4] Sales and Transactions - Systemwide same-shop sales rose 7.7% compared to 6.9% in the prior-year quarter, with same-shop transactions increasing by 5.4% from 2.3% in the same period last year [5] - Company-operated same-shop sales advanced 9.7% compared to 9.5% in the year-ago quarter, while same-shop transactions improved 7.6% from 5.2% in the prior-year period [5] Operating Highlights - Total costs and expenses for Q4 were $409.7 million, up from $327 million in the prior-year quarter [6] - Adjusted selling, general and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenues were 14.7%, down 410 basis points from 18.8% in the prior-year quarter [6] - Adjusted net income totaled $30.1 million, compared to $12.5 million in the prior-year quarter [6] Balance Sheet - As of December 31, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $269.4 million, down from $293.3 million a year earlier, while long-term debt decreased to $196.3 million from $219.8 million [7] Expansion Plans - In Q4 2025, Dutch Bros opened 55 new shops, including 52 company-operated locations across 17 states, with plans to open a minimum of 181 shops in 2026 [9][11] 2025 Highlights - Total revenues for 2025 were $1.64 billion, up from $1.28 billion in 2024, with adjusted net income of $133.9 million compared to $87.8 million in 2024 [10] - Adjusted EPS for 2025 was 76 cents, compared to 49 cents in the previous year [10] 2026 Outlook - Dutch Bros expects total revenues for 2026 to be between $2 billion and $2.03 billion, with same-shop sales growth projected at 3% to 5% [11] - Adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be within the range of $355 million to $365 million, with capital expenditures expected between $270 million and $290 million [11]
Dutch Bros Stock Soars On Q4 Beat, Expansion Momentum
Benzinga· 2026-02-13 14:44
Core Insights - Dutch Bros Inc. reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial results, leading to a rise in its stock price [1] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share were 17 cents, surpassing the consensus estimate of 10 cents [2] - Revenue reached $443.61 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $424.75 million, marking a 29.4% year-over-year increase from $342.8 million [2] Sales and Expansion Metrics - Systemwide same shop sales increased by 7.7%, while same shop transactions rose by 5.4% compared to the prior-year quarter [3] - Company-operated same shop sales grew by 9.7%, and transactions climbed by 7.6% year over year [3] - The company opened 55 new shops during the quarter, with 52 being company-operated, expanding across 17 states [3] Future Outlook - CFO Josh Guenser expressed high confidence in achieving the goal of 2,029 shops by 2029, citing expansion into seven contiguous states and record average unit volumes of $2.1 million in 2025 [4] - Dutch Bros anticipates fiscal-year revenue between $2.00 billion and $2.03 billion, aligning with the consensus estimate of $2.03 billion [4] Stock Performance and Technical Indicators - Dutch Bros stock is currently trading approximately 4.5% above its 20-day simple moving average but 0.5% below its 50-day SMA, indicating a mixed short-term trend [5] - Over the past 12 months, shares have decreased by 39.17%, but are closer to their 52-week highs than lows, suggesting potential for recovery [5] - The RSI is at 33.22, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD is below its signal line, suggesting bearish pressure on the stock [6] Market Sentiment - The Benzinga Edge scorecard indicates a mixed outlook for Dutch Bros, with strong growth potential but weak value and momentum scores suggesting caution for investors [7] - Key resistance is identified at $64.00 and key support at $58.50, with the stock trading at a steep premium relative to peers [9]
Dutch Bros Is Boiling After Strong Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-13 10:19
Group 1 - The core focus of Crude Value Insights is on cash flow and companies that generate it, highlighting value and growth prospects in the oil and natural gas sector [1] - Subscribers benefit from a model account featuring over 50 stocks, detailed cash flow analyses of exploration and production (E&P) firms, and live discussions about the sector [1] Group 2 - A two-week free trial is available for new subscribers, promoting engagement with the oil and gas investment community [2]
Dutch Bros (BROS) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2026-02-13 01:00
Core Insights - Dutch Bros reported revenue of $443.61 million for Q4 2025, a year-over-year increase of 29.4%, with an EPS of $0.17 compared to $0.07 a year ago, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.95% [1] - The company experienced a significant EPS surprise of 70% against the consensus estimate of $0.10 [1] Financial Performance - The stock has returned -14.4% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which changed by -0.3% [3] - Dutch Bros holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance in the near term [3] Operational Metrics - Total shop count at the end of the period was 1,136, slightly below the average estimate of 1,142 [4] - Franchised shop count was 325, compared to the average estimate of 331, while company-operated shops totaled 811, close to the estimate of 812 [4] - System same shop sales and transactions increased by 7.7%, outperforming the estimated 4.6% [4] - Company-operated same shop sales and transactions rose by 9.7%, exceeding the estimated 5.3% [4] New Openings and Revenue Breakdown - Total net new shop openings were 55, below the average estimate of 62 [4] - Company-operated new openings were 52, compared to the estimate of 54, while franchised new openings were only 3 against the estimate of 8 [4] - Revenues from franchising and other sources reached $34.04 million, surpassing the average estimate of $30.46 million, marking a 19% year-over-year increase [4] - Revenues from company-operated shops were $409.58 million, exceeding the estimate of $396.52 million, representing a 30.4% year-over-year change [4]