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Peabody(BTU) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-06 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q1 2025, the company recorded net income attributable to common stockholders of $34 million or $0.27 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA of $144 million [27] - The company generated $30 million in free cash flow, net of $47 million of continued development at Centurion [27] - As of March 31, the company held nearly $700 million in cash and had over $1 billion in liquidity, maintaining a cash positive net debt position [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The seaborne thermal segment achieved $84 million in adjusted EBITDA with 32% margins, exceeding production forecasts by exporting an additional 400,000 tons [28] - The seaborne metallurgical segment reported $13 million in adjusted EBITDA, with sales modestly below company targets due to lagging market conditions [29] - The US thermal mines generated $69 million in adjusted EBITDA, with the PRB mines exceeding expectations by shipping 19.6 million tons [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - US generator inventories have declined by more than 25% on a days burn basis since the beginning of the year, indicating strong demand for coal [20] - Coal generation in the US is projected to increase by 5% for the full year, while US coal production is expected to decline by 6% [21] - Thermal coal prices reached four-year lows in March, but demand remains intact with 600 GW of coal generation under construction or in various stages of development, primarily in Asia [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on cost control and managing its diversified global portfolio to navigate cyclical market softness [5] - The Centurion mine is on budget and ahead of schedule, projected to have a low cost structure and high margins in the steelmaking coal universe [6] - The company supports the US administration's efforts to revitalize the coal industry and expand coal-fired generation, aligning with rising electricity demand [7][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that coal fuel generation in the US is up 20% over the prior year, indicating a shift in market share from higher-priced natural gas [10] - The company anticipates increasing demand throughout 2025, with a strong start to the year and expectations for a stronger second half [34] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term demand for coal, citing substantial US coal demand for many years into the future [13] Other Important Information - The company notified Anglo American of a material adverse change (MAC) related to the Moranbah North mine, which remains inactive following a gas ignition event [16] - The acquisition of premium steelmaking coal mines in Australia is under scrutiny due to uncertainties surrounding the Moranbah North mine [17] - The company is exploring a potential partial sale of the Centurion line, independent of the Anglo acquisition process [63] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the process following the MAC notification regarding Moranbah North? - Management indicated a ten-day period for Anglo to respond, followed by a potential ninety-day cure period to resolve the MAC [40] Question: What constitutes a sustainable resolution for the MAC? - Management stated that a sustainable longwall production must be established for the agreement to proceed, but specifics were not disclosed [45] Question: How does the MAC impact financing processes? - Financing discussions are currently on hold due to uncertainties surrounding the Moranbah North mine [48] Question: What differentiates the current event at Moranbah North from past incidents? - Management emphasized the significant potential impacts of the current situation, which they believe constitutes a MAC [53] Question: How will the executive orders supporting US coal production impact the business? - Management noted that the orders aim to prevent further coal plant closures and encourage long-term contracts, which could benefit the company [87]
Peabody Energy (BTU) Surpasses Q1 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-06 13:56
Company Performance - Peabody Energy reported quarterly earnings of $0.27 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.07 per share, but down from $0.30 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 285.71% [1] - The company posted revenues of $937 million for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.13%, compared to year-ago revenues of $983.6 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Peabody Energy has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Peabody Energy shares have declined approximately 35.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has decreased by 3.9% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.01 on revenues of $932.6 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.27 on revenues of $4.77 billion [7] Industry Outlook - The coal industry, to which Peabody Energy belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a challenging environment [8] - The performance of Peabody Energy's stock may be influenced by the overall outlook for the coal industry, as research shows that the top 50% of Zacks-ranked industries outperform the bottom 50% by more than 2 to 1 [8]
Peabody(BTU) - 2025 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-06 11:45
Exhibit 99.1 Media Release Peabody Reports Results For Quarter Ended March 31, 2025 Strong First Quarter Results on Favorable Cost Performance & Seaborne Thermal Volumes Centurion Development Continuing Progress Toward Q1 2026 Longwall Production Peabody Signs Multi-Year Contract to Provide Coal to Midwestern Generating Stations ST. LOUIS, May 6, 2025 – Peabody (NYSE: BTU) today reported net income attributable to common stockholders of $34.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 202 ...
Peabody Reports Results For Quarter Ended March 31, 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-05-06 11:45
Strong First Quarter Results on Favorable Cost Performance & Seaborne Thermal VolumesCenturion Development Continuing Progress Toward Q1 2026 Longwall ProductionPeabody Signs Multi-Year Contract to Provide Coal to Midwestern Generating StationsST. LOUIS, May 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Peabody (NYSE: BTU) today reported net income attributable to common stockholders of $34.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, for the first quarter of 2025, compared to $39.6 million, or $0.29 per diluted share in the prior yea ...
Peabody Notifies Anglo American of Material Adverse Change Impacting Planned Acquisition
Prnewswire· 2025-05-05 11:55
Core Points - Peabody has notified Anglo American Plc of a Material Adverse Change (MAC) affecting its planned acquisition of steelmaking coal assets due to issues at the Moranbah North Mine, which has been inactive since a gas ignition event on March 31, 2025 [1][2] - The uncertainty surrounding the Moranbah North Mine has raised concerns about the acquisition's value, as a significant portion of it was tied to this mine, and there is currently no known timetable for resuming production [2] - If the MAC is not resolved satisfactorily within the specified timeframe, Peabody may choose to terminate the acquisition agreements [2] Company Overview - Peabody is a leading coal producer that provides essential products for affordable and reliable energy and steel production [3] - The company's commitment to sustainability is a core aspect of its strategy and operations [3]
Peabody Energy Is Not Your Father's Coal Company
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 01:36
Group 1 - The article highlights Paul Franke's extensive experience in trading and investment, emphasizing his successful track record as a stock picker and his innovative investment strategies [1] - Franke's "Victory Formation" system focuses on identifying supply/demand imbalances through specific stock price and volume movements, which are critical for successful stock selection [1] - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles target deep-value stocks or those showing significant positive technical momentum reversals, while the "Volume Breakout Report" discusses stocks with strong price and volume trends [1] Group 2 - Franke recommends a diversified investment approach, suggesting that investors hold at least 50 well-positioned stocks to achieve consistent outperformance in the stock market [1] - He advises using stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stock choices to manage risk effectively [1]
Peabody to Announce Results for the Quarter Ended March 31, 2025
Prnewswire· 2025-04-24 21:01
ST. LOUIS, April 24, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- On Tuesday, May 6, 2025, Peabody (NYSE: BTU) will announce results for the quarter ended March 31, 2025.  A conference call with management is scheduled for 10 a.m. CT on Tuesday, May 6, 2025.Instructions for the conference call participation and accessing a replay, as well as other investor data, will be available at PeabodyEnergy.com prior to the call. Participants may also access the call using the following phone numbers:U.S. Toll Free                    1 833 8 ...
Coal Hard Facts: Why Peabody Energy Might Be The Hottest Trade In Town
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-10 14:15
Join iREIT on Alpha today to get the most in-depth research that includes REITs, mREITs, Preferreds, BDCs, MLPs, ETFs, and other income alternatives. 438 testimonials and most are 5 stars. Nothing to lose with our FREE 2-week trial .December 22, 2020. This date was the last trading day of the VanEck Vectors Coal ETF, which traded under the "KOL" ticker until the market's only coal-focused exchange-traded fund was closed due to low demand.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative ...
Peabody Energy (BTU) Moves 9.2% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
ZACKS· 2025-04-09 15:25
Peabody Energy (BTU) shares soared 9.2% in the last trading session to close at $11.26. The move was backed by solid volume with far more shares changing hands than in a normal session. This compares to the stock's 20.1% loss over the past four weeks.Peabody Energy, is likely to gain from President Trump's recent executive order, aimed at revitalizing the coal industry. The new order is seen as a positive boost for the company, indicating a potential increase in coal demand and usage.Peabody Energy is expec ...
Peabody Statement Following Moranbah North Event
Prnewswire· 2025-04-08 21:12
ST. LOUIS, April 8, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Following an ignition event last week at Anglo American Plc's Moranbah North Mine, Peabody (NYSE: BTU) today announced that it is reviewing all options related to its acquisition of steelmaking coal assets from Anglo American. The company remains in conversation with Anglo American to better understand the impacts of the event. Peabody is preserving all rights and protections under its purchase agreements. Peabody is a leading coal producer, providing essential produ ...