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Citi(C) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-14 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EPS of $1.81 and an adjusted ROTCE of 7.7% for Q4 2025, with full-year adjusted net income surpassing $16 billion, reflecting an 180 basis points improvement to 8.8% ROTCE [3][19] - Total revenues for the quarter were up 2%, with adjusted revenues increasing by 8% when excluding the notable item related to Russia [18][19] - Expenses increased by 6% to $13.8 billion, driven by higher compensation, tax charges, and technology expenses [18][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Services revenues increased by 15% in Q4, with net income of $2.2 billion and an ROTCE of 36.1% [26] - Markets revenues were down 1%, with fixed income and equities both experiencing slight declines, but overall, markets delivered a net income of $783 million [29] - Banking revenues surged by 78%, driven by corporate lending and investment banking, with M&A fees up 84% [30][31] - Wealth management revenues grew by 7%, with net income of $338 million and an ROTCE of 10.9% [33] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cross-border transaction value increased by 14%, and assets under custody and administration grew by 24% [26] - The corporate lending wallet was noted to be over $100 billion, with expectations for continued share gains [76] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a multi-year transformation strategy, with over 80% of its programs nearing target states [10][56] - Investments in technology and innovation are prioritized to enhance operational efficiency and client experience [11][72] - The company aims to achieve a ROTCE target of 10%-11% and maintain positive operating leverage [14][38] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the global economic outlook, citing strong capital investment and a healthy consumer environment [12] - The company is well-positioned to support corporate clients, with a focus on maintaining high credit quality [12][24] - Management highlighted the importance of continued investment in the franchise to drive long-term growth [72] Other Important Information - The company repurchased over $13 billion in common shares during the year, with a CET1 ratio of 13.2%, significantly above regulatory requirements [9][25] - The company is nearing the end of its international divestitures, including the sale of its consumer business in Poland and operations in Russia [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Markets performance and ROTCE - Inquiry about the flat revenues in markets and the relationship between allocated capital and ROTCE [48] - Response highlighted strong full-year performance in markets, with a focus on optimizing RWA and deploying it in high-return areas [50][51] Question: Efficiency ratio target - Clarification sought on the change in efficiency ratio target from below 60% to around 60% [52] - Response indicated that the adjustment allows for continued investment in the business while maintaining expense discipline [52] Question: Transformation progress - Inquiry about the remaining work in transformation and its relation to safety and soundness [55] - Management confirmed significant progress, with a focus on compliance, risk, controls, and data modernization [56][58] Question: Competitive positioning and investment banking - Question regarding the gap between Citi and best-in-class peers in investment banking [69] - Management acknowledged past investments and ongoing efforts to enhance capabilities and competitive positioning [70][72] Question: NII outlook - Inquiry about the improved NII outlook for 2026 [87] - Response indicated that higher loan and deposit volumes contributed to the positive outlook, with expectations for continued growth [88]
Citi(C) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-14 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an adjusted EPS of $1.81 and an adjusted ROTCE of 7.7% for Q4 2025, with full-year adjusted net income surpassing $16 billion, reflecting an 180 basis points improvement to 8.8% ROTCE after adjustments for Banamex and Russia [3][18] - Total revenues increased by 2%, with adjusted revenues up 8%, driven by growth in banking, services, USPB, and wealth [17][18] - Expenses rose by 6% to $13.8 billion, influenced by higher compensation, tax charges, and technology expenses [17][20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Services revenues increased by 15%, with net income of $2.2 billion and an ROTCE of 36.1% for Q4 [25] - Markets revenues were down 1%, with fixed income and equities both experiencing slight declines, but average loans increased by 25% [27] - Banking revenues surged by 78%, with M&A fees up 84%, marking a record year for investment banking [28][29] - Wealth management revenues grew by 7%, with net new investment asset flows of $7.2 billion in Q4 [30][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cross-border transaction value increased by 14%, and assets under custody and administration grew by 24% [25] - The company maintained a diversified deposit base of $1.4 trillion, with a 1% increase driven by growth in services [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a multi-year transformation strategy, with over 80% of its programs nearing target state [10][12] - Investments in technology and operational efficiency are prioritized to enhance client experience and reduce expenses [11][39] - The company aims to achieve a ROTCE target of 10%-11% and maintain positive operating leverage [13][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The global economy is showing signs of optimism, with inflation normalizing and capital investment remaining strong, particularly in technology [11][12] - The company is well-positioned to support corporate clients, who are predominantly investment-grade in credit quality [12] - Management expressed confidence in the ongoing transformation and the ability to deliver higher returns in the future [39] Other Important Information - The company repurchased over $13 billion in common shares during the year, with a total capital return of over $17.5 billion [9][24] - The company is nearing the end of its international divestitures, including the sale of its consumer business in Poland and operations in Russia [9][10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on market performance and ROTCE - Management noted strong top-line revenue growth for markets, with a focus on optimizing RWA and deploying it in high-return areas [41][42][43] Question: Clarification on efficiency ratio targets - Management confirmed the shift in efficiency ratio targets to around 60%, emphasizing the need for continued investment in the business [45] Question: Update on transformation progress - Management highlighted that over 80% of transformation efforts are nearing completion, with a focus on compliance, risk, controls, and data modernization [46][48] Question: Addressing competitive gaps in investment banking - Management acknowledged past gaps but emphasized ongoing investments in technology and talent to enhance competitive positioning [52][54] Question: Outlook for net interest income (NII) - Management expects NII growth of 5%-6% in 2026, driven by loan and deposit volume growth [60][61]
Wall Street’s Mixed Investment Banking Hauls Fail to Wow Investors
Barrons· 2026-01-14 16:51
Core Insights - Big banks have reported mixed fourth quarter earnings for their investment banking businesses despite a strong IPO market in 2025, which did not significantly boost share prices as investors had higher expectations going into the earnings season [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Citi reported a 35% increase in investment banking fees, reaching $1.29 billion, as part of its efforts to enhance investment banking performance under CEO Jane Fraser [1] - The revenue from advisory services, which includes guiding companies on significant transactions like mergers and acquisitions, surged by 84% year-over-year, contributing to the overall increase in investment banking fees [2] - This increase in advisory revenue more than compensated for a 16% decline in equity underwriting compared to the previous year [2]
Big banks push back on Trump's credit card cap, warning of 'significant' economic slowdown
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-14 16:50
Core Viewpoint - Major U.S. banks are warning that President Trump's proposed cap on credit card interest rates could negatively impact lower-income consumers, the economy, and their profitability [1][2]. Group 1: Bank Executives' Opinions - Executives from JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo agree that while affordability is a concern, capping credit card interest rates is not the appropriate solution [2][3]. - Citigroup's outgoing CFO Mark Mason stated that an interest rate cap could lead to a significant economic slowdown and emphasized the need for collaboration with the administration on affordability issues [3]. - Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan argued that lowering interest rate caps would restrict credit availability, resulting in fewer credit card approvals and lower credit limits for consumers [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Shares of Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Citigroup, and JPMorgan Chase have experienced declines between 5% and 8% over the past week [5]. - JPMorgan and Citigroup reported a decline in net income compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, while Wells Fargo and Bank of America saw an increase [5]. Group 3: Presidential Proposal - President Trump proposed a one-year cap on credit card interest rates at 10%, threatening banks with violations if they do not comply by January 20 [6]. - Analysts have raised questions about how the cap would be implemented without an executive order, voluntary action, or legislative approval [6]. Group 4: Impact on Consumers - JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon highlighted that the proposed cap would have a dramatic impact on subprime customers [7]. - Wells Fargo CEO Charles Scharf expressed alignment with the goal of improving affordability and finding solutions to assist consumers [7].
Citi Sees $70 Brent in Near Term as Geopolitical Risks Mount
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-14 16:30
Core Viewpoint - Analysts at Citi predict that Brent Crude prices could reach $70 per barrel in the next three months due to increased geopolitical risks, raising their short-term outlook from $65 to $70 per barrel [1]. Group 1: Price Movements and Market Reactions - Early trading saw Brent Crude prices rise by 1% to above $66 per barrel as the market began to factor in potential U.S. military action against Iran and possible supply disruptions in the region [2]. - Citi analysts believe that the current oil rally has the potential to exceed their previous forecast range of $55-65 per barrel in the coming days [2]. Group 2: Supply Dynamics and Geopolitical Context - The current market is described as oversupplied, with looser fundamental balances compared to previous U.S. strikes on Iran, suggesting that any price spikes may allow for producer hedging [3]. - Protests in Iran are occurring far from key oil-producing regions, which mitigates the risk of immediate physical supply disruptions, keeping the impact on Iranian crude supply and export flows limited [4]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Citi advises investors to sell any Brent price rally that exceeds $70 per barrel, as market balances are expected to loosen further in the first half of the year [5].
Citi Q4 Shows Banking's Future Is Embedded, Not Episodic
PYMNTS.com· 2026-01-14 16:25
Core Insights - Citi's Treasury and Trade Solutions (TTS) performance reflects a broader industry trend where embedded, cross-border financial infrastructure is increasingly valuable due to supply chain reconfiguration, regulatory complexity, and demand for real-time liquidity management [1][12] - The strategic shift towards transaction banking, including payments, liquidity, custody, and cross-border settlement, has driven growth alongside M&A advisory gains [2][4] Financial Performance - In Q4 2025, Citi reported a net income of $2.5 billion on revenues of $19.9 billion, with an 84% increase in M&A advisory fees [4] - For the fiscal year 2025, Citi's Services business generated approximately $21 billion in revenue, an 8% year-over-year increase, with returns on tangible common equity nearing 30% on an adjusted basis [6] Transaction Banking Evolution - Citi's TTS processed millions of payments daily across over 90 countries, with cross-border transaction values growing at a double-digit rate in 2025 [7] - The cost structure of transaction banking is changing due to modernization efforts, moving from legacy systems to technology-enabled services platforms [8][9] Technological Advancements - Citi's multiyear investment in data platforms and automation has significantly reduced operational risk and marginal costs in high-volume businesses like TTS [9][10] - AI and automation have improved control assessments and customer self-service, enhancing processing efficiency in transaction banking [10] Strategic Importance of Embedded Services - The growing importance of embedded financial services is evident as transaction banking becomes integral to clients' daily operations, such as payroll and supplier payments [11] - In 2025, Citi's offerings in cross-border transactions and commercial card spend reflect a trend towards real-time settlement and programmable money [12] Industry Context - The performance of Citi's TTS is indicative of a financial services landscape where scale, technology, and regulatory competence are converging [14] - While FinTech firms have made progress in payments and cash management, barriers to entry remain high in the institutional market, favoring incumbents with established infrastructure [15]
Citi(C) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-14 16:00
Financial Performance Highlights - The company reported revenues of $85.2 billion, up 6% year-over-year[9], or $86.4 billion excluding notable items, up 7% year-over-year[9] - Net income was $14.3 billion, up 13% year-over-year[9], or $16.1 billion excluding notable items, up 27% year-over-year[9] - Earnings per share (EPS) was $6.99, or $7.97 excluding notable items[9] - The company's Return on Tangible Common Equity (RoTCE) was 7.7%, up 70 bps year-over-year[9], or 8.8% excluding notable items, up 180 bps year-over-year[9] Business Segment Results - Services revenues reached $21.3 billion[11], up 8% year-over-year[32] - Markets revenues totaled $22.0 billion[11], up 11% year-over-year[37] - Banking revenues were $8.2 billion[11], up 32% year-over-year[41] - Wealth revenues amounted to $8.6 billion[11], up 14% year-over-year[46] - U S Personal Banking (USPB) revenues were $21.0 billion[11], up 5% year-over-year[54] Capital and Liquidity - The company's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital Ratio was 13.2%, approximately 160 bps above regulatory requirements[9, 27] - The company returned over $17.5 billion to common shareholders, including $13.25 billion in share repurchases[9] Outlook - The company projects Net Interest Income (NII) excluding Markets to grow by 5-6% year-over-year in 2026[67] - The company is targeting an efficiency ratio of approximately 60% and positive operating leverage for 2026[69] - The company is targeting a return of 10-11% in 2026[72]
Big Bank Earnings Fail to Impress Investors. Shares Are Falling.
Barrons· 2026-01-14 15:35
Investors were selling bank stocks Tuesday morning after three of the nation's largest banks—Citigroup, Bank of America, and Wells Fargo—reported mixed fourth-quarter earnings. Wells Fargo and Bank of America dropped 4.7% and 4.6%, respectively. Citigroup was down 2.2%. Shares of other banks that have yet to report earnings were falling, too, and the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index was down 1.2%. Wells Fargo's fourth-quarter earnings of $1.62 a share missed Wall Street analyst estimates of $1.66, according to FactSet ...
Citi profits hit by Russia charge, after ending 2025 with strong dealmaking performance
New York Post· 2026-01-14 15:31
Citigroup’s fourth-quarter profit plunged 13% as the financial behemoth grappled with massive charges from dumping its Russia operations amid the war in Ukraine, but it wrapped up 2025 on a high note with beefier annual earnings as a surge in dealmaking helped boost investment banking fees.The Jane Fraser-led New York powerhouse posted net income, which is profit after taxes and expenses, of $2.5 billion for October through December, down from $2.9 billion a year prior. “2025 was a year of significant progr ...
Citi(C) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-01-14 15:21
Financial Performance - Citigroup reported a consolidated net income of $4.5 billion for Q4 2025, reflecting a 10% increase year-over-year[1]. - Total Citigroup revenues reached $20 billion in Q4 2025, with net interest income (NII) contributing $12 billion, up 8% from the previous year[1]. - Citigroup reported net revenues of $21,596 million for Q4 2025, a 10% increase from Q4 2024, and full-year revenues of $85,225 million, reflecting a 6% increase compared to FY 2024[2]. - Citigroup's net income for Q4 2025 was $4,064 million, a 34% decrease from Q4 2024, while full-year net income reached $14,306 million, a 13% increase from FY 2024[2]. - Citigroup's net income for FY 2025 was $14,306 million, reflecting a 13% increase from FY 2024[7]. - Total Citigroup reported revenues for FY 2025 reached $85.225 billion, reflecting a 6% increase compared to FY 2024's $80.722 billion[93]. - Total Citigroup Net Income for FY 2025 was reported at $14.306 billion, reflecting a 13% increase compared to FY 2024's $12.682 billion[97]. Revenue Breakdown - Non-Interest Revenues (NIR) accounted for $8 billion, representing a 12% increase compared to Q4 2024[1]. - Total non-interest revenues (NIR) decreased by 4% to $25,433 million in FY 2025 compared to FY 2024[7]. - Services revenue for Q4 2025 reached $5,942 million, an increase of 11% from Q3 2025 and 15% year-over-year[15]. - Corporate lending revenues for Q4 2025 were $938 million, a decrease of 5% from Q3 2025 but a significant increase of 197% year-over-year[104]. - Legacy franchises revenues for FY 2025 were $5,512 million, a 19% decrease from FY 2024[101]. Operating Expenses - Citigroup's total operating expenses for Q4 2025 were $14 billion, which is a 4% increase year-over-year[1]. - Operating expenses for Q4 2025 were $13,425 million, up 6% year-over-year, with full-year operating expenses totaling $55,132 million, a 3% increase from FY 2024[2]. - Total operating expenses for FY 2025 were reported at $55.132 billion, a 3% increase from FY 2024's $53.567 billion[95]. - Total operating expenses for FY 2025 were $6,040 million, a 14% decrease from FY 2024[104]. Capital and Assets - The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio stood at 12.5%, indicating a strong capital position[1]. - The Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) Capital ratio stood at 13.41% for Q4 2025, while the Tier 1 Capital ratio was 15.10%[3]. - Total assets increased to $2,571.5 billion in Q4 2025, reflecting a 13% increase from the previous year[2]. - Total end-of-period assets reached $86 billion in Q4 2025, a 16% increase from Q4 2024[49]. Loans and Deposits - Total loans reached $702.1 billion in Q4 2025, marking an 8% increase year-over-year, while total deposits were $1,316.4 billion, a 9% increase from Q4 2024[2]. - Total end-of-period loans as reported for Q4 2025 were $752 million, an 8% increase from Q4 2024's $695 million[93]. - Total end-of-period deposits as reported for Q4 2025 reached $1.404 billion, a 9% increase from Q4 2024's $1.285 billion[93]. Credit Losses and Provisions - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) was reported at $3 billion, with a decrease of 5% from the previous quarter[1]. - Net credit losses (NCLs) for Q4 2025 were $2,459 million, a 1% increase from Q4 2024, with total NCLs for FY 2025 at $9,097 million, a 1% increase compared to FY 2024[2]. - The total allowance for credit losses (ACL) was $19,247 million, with a ratio of 2.58%[76]. - The net credit losses (NCLs) for the quarter were $(2,190) million, showing a 1% decrease compared to $(2,234) million in the previous quarter[79]. Strategic Initiatives - The company plans to expand its wealth management services, targeting a 15% growth in client assets by 2026[1]. - Citigroup is investing in new technology platforms, with a budget of $1 billion allocated for digital transformation initiatives in 2026[1]. - Citigroup's market expansion strategy includes entering three new international markets by the end of 2026[1]. Efficiency and Returns - The efficiency ratio improved to 62.2% in Q4 2025, compared to 67.1% in Q4 2024, indicating better cost management[2]. - The return on common equity (RoCE) for FY 2025 is 8.0%, compared to 5.1% in FY 2024, indicating a significant improvement[90]. - The return on tangible common equity (RoTCE) for FY 2025 was 11.6%, an increase of 250 basis points from 9.1% in FY 2024[24].