Economic Data - The U.S. consumer prices rose +0.3% month-over-month in December, with annual inflation at +2.7%, consistent with expectations [1] - Core CPI, excluding food and fuel, increased by +0.2% month-over-month and +2.6% year-over-year, which was below expectations of +0.3% and +2.7% respectively [1] - U.S. new home sales fell -0.1% month-over-month to 737K in October, surpassing expectations of 716K [1] Market Performance - Wall Street's major indexes closed lower, with software stocks declining after Anthropic's new tool announcement, leading to Salesforce dropping over -7% and Adobe falling more than -5% [2] - Credit card companies also saw declines, with Visa down over -4% and Mastercard dropping more than -3% following President Trump's proposal for a cap on credit card interest rates [2] - Moderna's shares surged over +17% after the CEO announced plans for a combined flu and COVID-19 vaccine launch within two years [2] Corporate Earnings - The fourth-quarter corporate earnings season is underway, with major U.S. banks like Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup set to report [7] - S&P 500 companies are expected to see an average quarterly earnings increase of +8.4% for Q4 compared to the previous year [7] Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates, with a 97.2% probability of no change and a 2.8% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the January meeting [6] - Fed officials expressed that inflation risks are easing, with expectations for prices to align with the central bank's target later this year [5] International Market Developments - The Euro Stoxx 50 Index decreased by -0.10% amid cautious sentiment ahead of U.S. economic data and bank earnings [13] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Index reached a new record high, driven by potential political changes and strong performances in healthcare, energy, and banking sectors [17][18] - China's trade surplus hit a record $1.19 trillion in 2025, with exports rising +5.5% year-over-year, indicating robust manufacturing strength [15]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. Department of Justice has initiated a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony regarding office renovations, adding uncertainty to monetary policy outlook, although market reactions have been relatively calm [2]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Market response to the investigation has been muted, with the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rising only about 2 basis points [2]. - This contrasts sharply with last summer's market volatility when President Trump suggested he might dismiss Powell, leading to a significant yield increase of 8 basis points on July 11 and 11 basis points on July 16 [2]. - The probability of Powell leaving the Federal Reserve Board by the end of the year has decreased from 83% to 57% according to Polymarket data [2]. Group 2: Implications for Monetary Policy - The investigation may embolden hawkish members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), complicating the prospects for a more dovish stance from the next Federal Reserve Chair [3]. - The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hold a hearing on January 21 regarding a case involving Fed Governor Lisa Cook, which may have significant implications for future policy direction [3]. - A negative ruling against Cook could increase the risk of Powell facing removal [3]. Group 3: Economic Indicators and Predictions - Recent lower-than-expected inflation data has raised market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, with traders anticipating a cut at the June policy meeting, though the likelihood of a cut in January remains low [3]. - The health of the job market will be crucial in determining whether further rate cuts are necessary, as evidenced by the unexpected drop in the U.S. unemployment rate in December [4]. - Major Wall Street banks, including Morgan Stanley, Barclays, and Citigroup, have pushed back their rate cut predictions to late 2026, while JPMorgan no longer expects a cut in 2026 and anticipates a rate hike in 2027 [4].

Market Sentiment - The CNN Money Fear and Greed index showed a decline in overall market sentiment, remaining in the "Greed" zone with a current reading of 56.3, down from 58.6 [1][4] - U.S. stocks settled lower, with the Dow Jones index falling almost 400 points during the session, closing at 49,191.99 [1][3] Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 2.7% year over year in December, matching prior readings and economist estimates, while core CPI came in at 2.6% year over year, slightly below expectations [1] Company Earnings - JPMorgan Chase & Co. shares fell more than 4% despite beating earnings estimates, as investors were concerned about weaker investment-banking fees and cautious commentary on loan growth [2] - Delta Air Lines Inc. shares slid over 2% after issuing soft forward guidance, citing cost pressures and normalization in post-pandemic travel demand [2] Sector Performance - Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed positively, with energy, consumer staples, and real estate stocks recording the biggest gains, while consumer discretionary and financial stocks closed lower [3]

Core Viewpoint - U.S. stock futures are trading lower, with several companies expected to report quarterly earnings, drawing investor attention [1] Company Earnings Expectations - Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) is anticipated to report quarterly earnings of 96 cents per share on revenue of $27.87 billion, with shares slipping 0.1% to $54.51 in after-hours trading [1] - Citigroup Inc (NYSE:C) is expected to post quarterly earnings of $1.68 per share on revenue of $20.53 billion, with shares falling 0.1% to $116.15 in after-hours trading [1] - Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE:WFC) is projected to report quarterly earnings of $1.67 per share on revenue of $21.65 billion, with shares decreasing 0.2% to $93.38 in after-hours trading [1] Company Updates - TG Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:TGTX) provided preliminary fourth quarter revenue estimates, expecting U.S. net product revenue of approximately $182 million for Q4 and $594 million for the full year of 2025, with total global revenue for 2025 expected to be around $616 million [1] - Gelteq Ltd. (NASDAQ:GELS) reported positive preclinical results for its cannabinoid oral gel delivery platform, leading to a significant share price increase of 69.3% to $1.41 in after-hours trading [1]

Group 1 - Citigroup raised the target price for Caterpillar from $690 to $710, maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]

根据花旗年度报告，截至2024年底，该行全职员工总数约22.9万人。公司表示，人员规模的缩减将持续 至2026年，但未透露具体裁员数字。 目前，花旗在美国的消费银行网络规模小于部分大型竞争对手，其约650家分支机构主要集中在六大城 市。去年，花旗在中国的两个技术中心已裁员约3500人，该举措属于其全球科技业务整合与简化的一部 分，旨在强化风险管理并升级数据系统。 花旗发言人表示："我们将在2026年继续优化人员规模。这些调整旨在使员工数量、地域分布及专业能 力更好地适应当前业务需求，同时反映技术提升带来的运营效率改进，以及我们'转型计划'接近目标状 态的进展。我们感谢这些同事为花旗做出的贡献。" 自2021年上任以来，首席执行官简·弗雷泽持续推进大规模组织重组。2023年末，她公布了一项旨在提 升盈利能力、简化业务流程并强化风险管理与数据治理的改革方案。在此轮持续调整中，花旗财富管理 和科技部门已出现多名高管离职。 智通财经获悉，据知情人士透露，花旗集团(C.US)本周将启动新一轮裁员，预计削减约1000个职位。此 次裁员为该行此前宣布的"截至今年年底裁员约2万人"计划的最新进展。 近期，花旗还宣布了高层人事 ...

据知情人士透露，花旗集团(C.US)本周将启动新一轮裁员，预计削减约1000个职位。此次裁员为该行此 前宣布的"截至今年年底裁员约2万人"计划的最新进展。 近期，花旗还宣布了高层人事变动：原财务主管马克·梅森卸任，由贡萨洛·卢凯蒂接任首席财务官一 职。 目前，花旗在美国的消费银行网络规模小于部分大型竞争对手，其约650家分支机构主要集中在六大城 市。去年，花旗在中国的两个技术中心已裁员约3500人，该举措属于其全球科技业务整合与简化的一部 分，旨在强化风险管理并升级数据系统。 花旗发言人表示："我们将在2026年继续优化人员规模。这些调整旨在使员工数量、地域分布及专业能 力更好地适应当前业务需求，同时反映技术提升带来的运营效率改进，以及我们'转型计划'接近目标状 态的进展。我们感谢这些同事为花旗做出的贡献。" 自2021年上任以来，首席执行官简·弗雷泽持续推进大规模组织重组。2023年末，她公布了一项旨在提 升盈利能力、简化业务流程并强化风险管理与数据治理的改革方案。在此轮持续调整中，花旗财富管理 和科技部门已出现多名高管离职。 根据花旗年度报告，截至2024年底，该行全职员工总数约22.9万人。公司表示，人 ...

Market Overview - European stocks are expected to open lower, with London's FTSE 100 potentially benefiting from high crude oil prices due to tensions in Iran and possible U.S. intervention [1] - Asian stocks showed mostly positive performance, particularly Japan's Nikkei, which is on a record run influenced by a weaker yen and speculation of a snap election [3] - U.S. stocks fluctuated before closing lower, influenced by mixed earnings from JPMorgan and various proposals from Donald Trump affecting the financial sector [6][7] Earnings Reports - Following JPMorgan's earnings report, major banks such as Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley are set to release their results [2] - An adverse ruling from the U.S. Supreme Court regarding tariffs could negatively impact market reactions, despite assurances from U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent about sufficient funds for potential tariff refunds [2] Commodity Prices - Gold prices rose over 1% to trade above $4,630 an ounce amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties [5] - Copper prices reached a record high, driven by supply concerns that outweighed the strength of the dollar [3] - Brent crude futures experienced a slight decline after a significant four-day gain, influenced by heightened tensions regarding Iran [5] Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar remained near a one-month high, supported by inflation data and comments from Federal Reserve officials indicating a potential pause in interest rate changes [4] - U.S. consumer prices increased by 2.7% year-on-year in December, aligning with market expectations [6]

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's remarks about capping credit card interest rates at 10% have created uncertainty in the banking sector, leading to declines in bank stocks and financial-sector ETFs [1][2]. Group 1: Impact on Financial Sector - Major credit card issuers experienced significant stock declines, with Capital One down over 10%, Citigroup down 5%, JPMorgan Chase down 6%, American Express down 7%, and Bank of America down 4% over five days [4]. - The Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB) slid 3% over five days, despite returning over 32% in 2025, which was more than double the 15% return of the S&P 500 Financials Index [4]. - The Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) dropped 4% after a 15% gain in 2025, while Vanguard's Financials ETF (VFH) declined 3% after a 15% climb last year [6]. Group 2: Legislative Context and Market Reactions - There is skepticism regarding the feasibility of implementing a credit card interest rate cap without Congressional approval, raising questions about the actual threat to banks [2][5]. - The pressure from the White House on the Federal Reserve and proposals to limit financial institutions' investments in single-family homes are contributing to market volatility and the need for diversification among financial services holdings [5].

受地缘政治风险加剧、现货市场供应持续短缺，以及美联储独立性再遭质疑等因素影响，近期贵金 属价格连创新高。花旗集团13日将近3个月黄金目标价上调至每盎司5000美元，白银目标价上调至每盎 司100美元，并预计贵金属牛市将在2026年第一季度持续。 新华社纽约1月13日电（记者徐静）国际现货白银价格13日一度突破每盎司90美元，再创历史新 高。今年以来白银价格已上涨25%。 花旗集团同时预计，如果地缘政治紧张局势缓解，黄金价格在2026年下半年可能下挫。 【纠错】 【责任编辑:刘阳】 ...