CAVA (CAVA)

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3 Restaurant Stocks to Watch in Fast-Casual Space
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-02-24 19:44
Group 1: CAVA Group Inc - CAVA is currently trading at $104.37, down 3.3%, marking its lowest level since December and on track for a fourth consecutive loss [2] - The stock experienced a significant weekly drawdown of 17.5%, the worst performance of the year, but still shows a year-over-year gain of 105.2% [2] - Historically, CAVA has a positive post-earnings reaction, with four out of five sessions finishing higher, averaging a move of 7.4%, while options are pricing in a larger swing of 20.6% for the upcoming earnings report [2] Group 2: Sweetgreen Inc - Sweetgreen is trading at $23.22, up 6.4%, indicating its best single-day percentage gain since November [3] - The shares are recovering from a pullback to their lowest level since May, maintaining a year-over-year lead of 103.8% [3] - Sweetgreen typically performs well after earnings, with five out of the last eight quarters seeing higher settlement, averaging a move of 24.3% over the past two years, while options are pricing in a smaller move of 17.4% this time [3] Group 3: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. - Chipotle is trading at $51.41, down 0.2%, and has dropped 18.5% over the last nine months [4] - The stock is on track for a sixth consecutive loss, following a third straight weekly drop, and is currently at its lowest level since August [4] - Chipotle has struggled to overcome resistance at the $60 level, which has been in place since January [4]
Should You Buy Cava Stock Before Feb. 25?
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-22 21:15
Company Overview - Cava Group has seen significant stock performance since its public debut in early 2023, with a 122% increase over the past year, although it may be losing momentum as it approaches its earnings report on February 25 [1] - The company operates in the fast-casual restaurant sector, aiming to replicate the success of Chipotle Mexican Grill, focusing on fresh, premium Mediterranean fare with customizable options [2] Growth Potential - As of the end of Q3, Cava operated 352 stores and plans to open approximately 57 new stores in 2024, with a long-term goal of reaching about 1,000 stores by 2030, indicating steady growth potential [3] - The company has reported impressive comparable sales growth, with total revenue increasing by 39% year over year and comparable sales up by 18% in Q3 [5] Financial Performance - Cava has shown positive net income since its first quarter as a public company, with net income rising from $6.8 million to $18 million in Q3 [4][5] - The restaurant-level profit margin improved from 25.1% to 25.6%, and management has raised its outlook for Q4 to approximately 12.5% comparable sales growth and a profit margin of 24.5% to 25% [5] Market Valuation - Cava's stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 134, which is considered high for a non-tech company, suggesting limited near-term upside potential [8] - The stock has experienced a decline in the weeks leading up to the earnings report, reflecting investor caution regarding high expectations built into the current valuation [6][9] Future Outlook - If Cava delivers strong earnings on February 25, the stock is likely to rise, but any disappointing results could lead to a decline, highlighting the risks associated with its high valuation [9] - The company is expected to maintain steady and strong growth over the next five to ten years, making it a potential long-term investment despite current high prices [10]
CAVA Stock Before Q4 Earnings: Should You Buy Now or Wait for Results?
ZACKS· 2025-02-21 13:45
Core Viewpoint - CAVA Group, Inc. is expected to report strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, driven by expansion efforts and innovative menu offerings, despite facing valuation concerns and a recent stock decline [1][16][17]. Financial Performance - CAVA's fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) estimate remains at 6 cents, reflecting a 200% increase from the previous year's EPS of 2 cents [2]. - Revenue consensus for the quarter is projected at $225.5 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 27.3% [2]. - Same-restaurant sales are estimated to grow by 18.3%, with total restaurant sales expected to reach $223 million, representing a 27.4% increase year-over-year [10]. Growth Drivers - The company's ongoing expansion into new markets, including South Florida and additional Midwest regions, is expected to enhance its growth trajectory [5]. - CAVA's average unit volumes (AUV) are on the rise, showcasing the effectiveness of its expansion strategy [6]. - Culinary innovation, including successful new menu items, has contributed to increased sales and customer engagement [7]. - The nationwide rollout of a loyalty program has positively impacted sales by enhancing customer relationships and increasing visit frequency [8]. Operational Efficiency - CAVA is focusing on operational efficiency through technology and modern labor models, which have improved restaurant performance and guest experience [9]. - Early testing of AI-powered kitchen tools indicates potential for improved productivity and faster service times [9]. Stock Performance and Valuation - CAVA's stock has increased by 137.2% over the past year, outperforming industry peers and the broader market [11]. - However, the stock has declined by 18.2% in the last three months, contrasting with a 2% rise in the industry [14]. - CAVA's forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio is 10.98, significantly higher than the industry average and the S&P 500's 5.39, raising concerns about overvaluation [14][17].
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About Cava (CAVA) Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-02-20 15:20
Group 1 - Cava Group (CAVA) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.06 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 200% [1] - Anticipated revenues for Cava are projected to be $225.54 million, which represents a 27.3% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating analysts have reassessed their initial estimates [1] Group 2 - Analysts predict that 'Revenue- CAVA Restaurant' will reach $223.32 million, showing a year-over-year change of +27.3% [4] - 'CAVA Same Restaurant Sales Growth' is expected to be 18.3%, up from 11.4% reported in the same quarter last year [4] - The estimated number of 'End of period CAVA Restaurants' is projected to be 366, compared to 309 a year ago [4] Group 3 - 'Occupancy as a percentage of CAVA Revenue' is forecasted to be 7.2%, down from 8.3% in the same quarter of the previous year [5] - Analysts estimate 'Restaurant-Level profit- CAVA' at $55.16 million, an increase from $39.31 million reported in the same quarter last year [5] - Cava shares have shown a return of -3.2% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.6% change [5]
Is Cava a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-16 23:17
The S&P 500 has risen about 20% over the past 12 months, which is a very strong performance. Cava Group's (CAVA 0.44%) stock price has rallied 160% over the same span. There's a lot to digest about that eye-popping share price advance when you consider the buy, sell, or hold call on this upstart restaurant concept.Buy Cava GroupLet's start with the good news: Cava is a Mediterranean-themed restaurant that uses an assembly line-style preparation system. It cooks the food in a kitchen behind the counter, so c ...
Cava Group (CAVA) Exceeds Market Returns: Some Facts to Consider
ZACKS· 2025-02-10 23:46
Group 1 - Cava Group (CAVA) closed at $140.62, with a +1.6% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's daily gain of 0.67% [1] - The stock has gained 20.22% over the past month, while the Retail-Wholesale sector gained 7.15% and the S&P 500 gained 2.07% [1] - The upcoming earnings release on February 25, 2025, is projected to show an EPS of $0.06, a 200% increase year-over-year, with revenue estimated at $225.54 million, up 27.3% from the prior-year quarter [2] Group 2 - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Cava Group reflect short-term business trends, with upward revisions indicating analysts' positive outlook on the company's operations [3] - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimated changes, currently ranks Cava Group at 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [5] - Cava Group's Forward P/E ratio is 225.3, significantly higher than the industry's average Forward P/E of 24.04, indicating a premium valuation [6] Group 3 - The Retail - Restaurants industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 56, placing it in the top 23% of over 250 industries [6][7] - The Zacks Industry Rank measures the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Why Cava Stock Jumped 20% in January
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-05 11:48
Company Overview - Cava Group's stock increased by 20% in January, attributed to positive investor sentiment following Donald Trump's inauguration, despite no specific news about the company [1] - Cava operates a chain of fast-casual restaurants with a Mediterranean focus, currently having over 350 stores, with plans to expand to approximately 1,000 stores by 2032 [2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Cava reported a 39% increase in sales, with same-store sales growing by 18% year over year, indicating strong performance in the restaurant industry [3] - The restaurant-level profit margin improved from 25.1% to 25.6%, and net income rose from $6.8 million in 2023 to $18 million in 2024 [4] - Cava generated $23.4 million in free cash flow and launched a new membership program aimed at enhancing brand loyalty and increasing sales [4] Market Valuation - Cava's stock is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 309, which is considered extremely high for a non-tech, product-based company [5] - The PEG ratio stands at 0.4, suggesting potential undervaluation based on earnings growth, despite the high P/E ratio [6]
Got $2,000? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy and Hold for Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-03 13:45
The bull market of the past year or more has reinvigorated investors' interest across a range of industries, and the performance of many top stocks reflects this reality. However, a share price moving upward or downward should never be the sole reason you buy (or sell) stocks.Instead, it's important to evaluate each company on its merits to ensure it's the right fit for your personal portfolio and your overall investment strategy. If you have $2,000 to invest right now, here are two top growth stocks to con ...
Here is What to Know Beyond Why CAVA Group, Inc. (CAVA) is a Trending Stock
ZACKS· 2025-01-29 15:05
Cava Group (CAVA) has been one of the most searched-for stocks on Zacks.com lately. So, you might want to look at some of the facts that could shape the stock's performance in the near term.Shares of this Mediterranean restaurant chain have returned +11.7% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.7% change. The Zacks Retail - Restaurants industry, to which Cava belongs, has gained 0.5% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?While media ...
Think Cava Stock is Expensive? This Chart Might Change Your Mind.
The Motley Fool· 2025-01-27 09:35
Cava Group (CAVA 0.70%) stock was a breakout winner last year as the market cap of the Mediterranean fast-casual restaurant chain more than doubled on blistering growth. The numbers the company is generating right now are reminiscent of Chipotle Mexican Grill, the leader and pioneer in fast casual, and Cava's average unit volumes, or average sales per restaurant, are already approaching Chipotle levels.However, after soaring through most of 2024, Cava's stock price pulled back following the release of its t ...