Way back in September of 2023, one bank that I decided to analyze was Capitol Federal Financial, Inc. (NASDAQ: CFFN ). At the time, the firm had experienced significant downside because of the banking crisis that occurredCrude Value Insights offers you an investing service and community focused on oil and natural gas. We focus on cash flow and the companies that generate it, leading to value and growth prospects with real potential.Subscribers get to use a 50+ stock model account, in-depth cash flow analyse ...

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 Commission File Number: 001-34814 ________________________ Form 10-Q ________________________ (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2025 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from __ to __ 700 South Kansas Avenue, Topeka, Kansas 66603 (Address of princip ...

Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). An upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices -- has triggered this rating change.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.The power o ...

Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.12 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.11 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 9.09%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this holding company for Capitol Federal Savings Bank would post earnings of $0.11 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.12, delivering a surprise o ...

Financial Performance - The Company reported net income of $15.4 million, or $0.12 per share, for the quarter ended March 31, 2025, unchanged from the prior quarter[2]. - For the six months ended March 31, 2025, net income was $30.8 million, or $0.24 per share, compared to $16.3 million, or $0.12 per share, in the prior year[18]. - Net income for the six months ended March 31, 2025, was $30,830 thousand, an increase of $14,525 thousand or 89.1% from $16,305 thousand in the prior year[33]. - Net income for the three months ended March 31, 2025, was $15,399 thousand, slightly down from $15,431 thousand in the previous quarter[56]. Interest Income and Expense - Total interest and dividend income rose to $98.175 million, a 0.6% increase from the previous quarter[4]. - Interest expense decreased by 1.9% to $54.335 million, primarily due to lower rates on deposits[7]. - Total interest and dividend income increased by $10,816 thousand, or 5.8%, to $195,797 thousand for the six months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $184,981 thousand for the same period in 2024[22]. - Interest expense on deposits rose by $7,340 thousand, or 11.1%, totaling $73,198 thousand for the six months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $65,858 thousand in the prior year[25]. Non-Interest Income and Expense - Non-interest income increased by 5.5% to $4.953 million, driven by higher insurance commissions and other non-interest income[10]. - Non-interest income surged to $9,646 thousand for the six months ended March 31, 2025, compared to a net loss of $4,251 thousand in the prior year, marking a change of $13,897 thousand or 326.9%[28]. - Non-interest expense rose by 8.8% to $29.540 million, with significant increases in salaries and employee benefits, and regulatory services[13]. - Total non-interest expense slightly decreased by $265 thousand, or 0.5%, to $56,688 thousand for the six months ended March 31, 2025, compared to $56,953 thousand in the prior year[31]. Efficiency and Ratios - The Company's efficiency ratio was 60.54%, up from 57.86% in the prior quarter, indicating higher costs relative to revenue generation[14]. - The efficiency ratio improved to 59.23% for the current year period compared to 74.29% for the prior year period, indicating better cost management[32]. - The return on average assets (annualized) was 0.64% for the three months ended March 31, 2025, slightly down from 0.65% in the previous quarter[58]. - Return on average assets improved to 0.64% for the six months ended March 31, 2025, up from 0.34% in the prior year[60]. - Return on average equity increased to 5.97% for the six months ended March 31, 2025, compared to 3.15% for the same period in 2024[60]. Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased by $180 million, or 7.5%, to $9.72 billion as of March 31, 2025, primarily due to increases in cash and cash equivalents and securities[37]. - Total assets increased to $9,611,340 thousand as of March 31, 2025, from $9,552,269 thousand at the end of the previous quarter[58]. - Total liabilities increased to $8.68 billion as of March 31, 2025, compared to $8.51 billion as of December 31, 2024[54]. - The Bank's stockholders' equity totaled $1.04 billion as of March 31, 2025, reflecting an increase of $4.8 million from September 30, 2024[44]. Deposits - Deposits rose by $166.4 million, or 10.7% annualized, during the current quarter, largely due to the Bank's high yield savings account offering[39]. - Deposits rose by $242.6 million from September 30, 2024, driven by high yield savings accounts and retail checking accounts, while borrowings decreased by $36.6 million[41]. - The deposit portfolio totaled $6.372 billion, with a weighted average rate of 2.28%[104]. - Total retail deposits amounted to $5,937,725 thousand with an average rate of 2.30%, representing 93.2% of total deposits[107]. Loans and Credit Quality - Loan originations for one- to four-family and consumer loans amounted to $64.5 million at a rate of 6.65% for the three months ended March 31, 2025[43]. - Total loans receivable as of March 31, 2025, amounted to $7,894,620 thousand, with a weighted average rate of 4.10%[64]. - The unpaid principal balance of non-owner occupied commercial real estate loans was $1.01 billion as of March 31, 2025[72]. - The total amount of consumer loans was $108,483 thousand, with a weighted average rate of 7.93%[64]. - As of March 31, 2025, the total gross loan amount was $1,802,424,000, a slight decrease from $1,813,579,000 as of December 31, 2024[75]. - The total number of non-accrual loans was 81, with a total amount of $10,833,000 as of March 31, 2025[84]. - The percentage of loans 90 or more days delinquent or in foreclosure was 0.12% as of March 31, 2025, compared to 0.13% on December 31, 2024[84]. Credit Losses and Provisions - The provision for credit losses increased to $677 thousand in the current year period from $424 thousand in the prior year period, driven by commercial loan growth[27]. - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) totaled $23,970,000 as of March 31, 2025, with a ratio of ACL to loans receivable at 0.30%[89]. - The commercial real estate substandard loans increased to $45,961,000 as of March 31, 2025, primarily due to a $39.0 million participation loan related to a hotel in Texas[86]. - The ratio of ACL to commercial real estate loans was 1.27 as of March 31, 2025, slightly down from 1.32 on December 31, 2024[89]. Securities and Investments - The Company initiated a securities strategy in October 2023, selling $1.30 billion of securities to improve earnings and liquidity[20]. - The securities portfolio at amortized cost was $941.585 million, with fixed-rate securities comprising 92% of the portfolio[97]. - The weighted average yield on the securities portfolio was 5.46% as of March 31, 2025[98]. - The weighted average life (WAL) of the securities portfolio was estimated at 5.6 years[98]. Borrowings - The Bank's total borrowings as of March 31, 2025, were $2,143,320 thousand with a weighted average effective rate of 3.54%[112]. - New FHLB borrowings during the three months ended March 31, 2025, amounted to $150,000 thousand at an effective rate of 4.35%[112]. - The weighted average maturity (WAM) of the Bank's borrowings remained at 1.6 years as of March 31, 2025[112]. Future Outlook - The Bank anticipates continued improvement in net interest margin for the remainder of fiscal year 2025, driven by decreasing deposit costs and increasing yields on the loan portfolio[35]. - Management anticipates improved occupancy and cash flow for the hotel project in Texas during 2025, expecting full stabilization in 2026[86].

Group 1 - Continued net interest margin expansion is expected to be a key earnings catalyst for Capitol Federal Financial (NASDAQ: CFFN) this year [1] - There is a less optimistic outlook on residential mortgage demand compared to previous assessments [1] - Loan growth is anticipated to be maintained near historical levels [1]

Financial Performance - The Company reported net income of $15.4 million, or $0.12 per share, for the current quarter, compared to $2.5 million, or $0.02 per share, in the prior year quarter[113]. - Net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $15,431,000, compared to $2,543,000 for the same quarter in 2023, reflecting a significant year-over-year increase[204]. - Basic EPS for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $0.12, up from $0.02 for the same quarter in 2023[204]. - Income before income tax expense increased dramatically by 823.5% to $19.098 million, with net income rising by 506.8% to $15.431 million[246]. - The Company reported total dividends paid year-to-date of $44,275,000 for 2024, with a per share dividend of $0.340[201]. Interest Income and Margin - Total interest and dividend income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $97,622,000, an increase from $91,692,000 for the same quarter in 2023[204]. - The net interest margin increased by 15 basis points to 1.86% due to higher yields on loans and securities, outpacing the increase in deposit costs[114]. - Total interest and dividend income rose to $97.622 million, up 6.5% from $91.692 million in the prior year quarter, with loans receivable increasing by 7.2% to $81.394 million[232]. - The net interest margin increased by six basis points from 1.80% in the prior quarter to 1.86% in the current quarter, primarily due to growth in the higher yielding commercial loan portfolio[213]. Loan Portfolio and Growth - The loan portfolio reached $7.95 billion, a $46.2 million increase from the previous quarter, with commercial loans growing by 36.5% on an annualized basis[117]. - Total loans receivable reached $7,981,231 thousand, with a yield of 4.05%, reflecting an increase from $7,939,973 thousand and a yield of 4.00% in the previous quarter[207]. - Loans receivable, net rose by $46.2 million during the current quarter, with a shift towards commercial loans, which grew by $137.5 million[132]. - Total originated, refinanced, and purchased loans reached $335,521 thousand, with an overall weighted average rate of 6.85%[140]. Deposits and Borrowings - Total deposits increased by $76.1 million to $6.21 billion, primarily in retail savings accounts due to high-yield offerings[118]. - The deposit portfolio balance increased to $6,206,117 thousand at December 31, 2024, compared to $6,129,982 thousand at September 30, 2024[181]. - Total borrowings decreased by $15.8 million to $2.16 billion, with $2.91 billion in additional liquidity available[119]. - Total borrowings were $2.16 billion, consisting of $1.96 billion in fixed-rate FHLB advances and $200 million in variable-rate advances tied to interest rate swaps[185]. Asset Quality and Delinquency - The Bank's asset quality remained strong, with loans 30 to 89 days delinquent at 0.40% and loans 90 or more days delinquent at 0.13%[121]. - The total amount of loans 90 or more days delinquent or in foreclosure was $10.140 million, representing 0.13% of total loans[160]. - The delinquent loans for 30 to 89 days increased to $31,965 thousand as of December 31, 2024, compared to $16,030 thousand in September 2024, reflecting a rise in delinquency rates[157]. - Total nonaccrual loans increased to $11,361,000 from $10,092,000, representing a rise of 12.5%[160]. Efficiency and Expenses - The efficiency ratio improved to 57.86% from 92.86% in the prior year quarter, with an operating expense ratio of 1.14% compared to 1.18%[115]. - Non-interest expense increased slightly to $27.1 million, a 0.4% increase from $27.0 million in the prior quarter, driven by higher salaries and employee benefits[222]. - The Company's efficiency ratio improved to 57.86% from 59.29% in the prior quarter, indicating a more efficient operation due to higher net interest income[223]. - The provision for credit losses for the current quarter was $677 thousand, compared to a provision release of $637 thousand in the prior quarter, reflecting a $2.0 million increase in the allowance for loans[218]. Future Plans and Strategies - Management plans to launch new checking products and digital banking services for small businesses in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025[127]. - The Company anticipates sufficient taxable income in fiscal year 2025 to allow for earnings distributions to the holding company in fiscal year 2026[198]. - The Company has $75 million authorized for stock repurchase, with plans to extend the repurchase program through February 2026[196].

Core Viewpoint - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook driven by an upward trend in earnings estimates [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system emphasizes the importance of changing earnings estimates as a key factor influencing stock prices, with a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock movements [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Company Performance Indicators - Capitol Federal is projected to earn $0.46 per share for the fiscal year ending September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 24.3% [8]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Capitol Federal has risen by 2.2%, indicating a positive trend in earnings expectations [8]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of Capitol Federal to a Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, suggesting potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Group 1: Earnings Performance - Capitol Federal Financial (CFFN) reported quarterly earnings of $0.12 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.11 per share, and up from $0.10 per share a year ago [1] - The earnings surprise for this quarter was 9.09%, following a previous quarter where the company reported earnings of $0.09 per share against an expectation of $0.07, resulting in a surprise of 28.57% [2] - Over the last four quarters, Capitol Federal has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times [2] Group 2: Revenue Performance - The company posted revenues of $46.92 million for the quarter ended December 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.74%, compared to year-ago revenues of $30.7 million [3] - Capitol Federal has also topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters [3] Group 3: Stock Performance and Outlook - Capitol Federal shares have declined approximately 3.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 3.2% [4] - The company's earnings outlook is mixed, with the current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter at $0.11 on revenues of $47.33 million, and $0.45 on revenues of $191.46 million for the current fiscal year [8] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Financial - Savings and Loan is currently in the top 12% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [9] Group 4: Competitor Insights - Berkshire Hills Bancorp (BHLB), another company in the same industry, is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.54 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +14.9% [10] - The expected revenues for Berkshire Hills Bancorp are $104.59 million, which is a decrease of 16.7% from the year-ago quarter [11]

Financial Performance - The company reported net income of $15.4 million, or $0.12 per share, for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, an increase of $3.4 million from the previous quarter[6]. - Net income for the three months ended December 31, 2024, was $15.4 million, a 506.8% increase from $2.5 million in the prior year[38]. - Net income for the quarter ended December 31, 2024, was $15.431 million, an increase from $12.057 million in the previous quarter[60]. - The effective tax rate decreased to 19.2% from 37.2% in the prior quarter, resulting in a significant reduction in income tax expense[17]. Income and Expenses - Interest and dividend income totaled $97.622 million, a $755 thousand increase from the previous quarter, primarily driven by an increase in the average balance of the commercial loan portfolio[4]. - Non-interest income decreased to $4.693 million, down $93 thousand from the previous quarter, with deposit service fees declining by 4.3%[12]. - Total non-interest expense increased slightly to $27.148 million, with salaries and employee benefits rising by 8.8% due to the accrual of incentive compensation[14]. - The company's efficiency ratio improved to 57.86% from 59.29% in the prior quarter, indicating better cost management relative to revenue generation[15]. Loan Portfolio and Credit Losses - The provision for credit losses was recorded at $677 thousand, compared to a provision release of $637 thousand in the prior quarter, reflecting a $2.0 million increase in the allowance for credit losses for loans[10]. - The Company recorded a provision for credit losses of $677 thousand during the current quarter, compared to $123 thousand for the prior year quarter[30]. - The allowance for credit losses (ACL) increased to $24.997 million, with a ratio of ACL to loans receivable at 0.31% as of December 31, 2024[91]. - The ratio of non-performing loans to total loans was 0.13% as of December 31, 2024, up from 0.12% in the previous quarter[85]. Asset and Liability Management - Total assets increased by 0.4% to $9.54 billion as of December 31, 2024, from $9.53 billion at the end of the previous quarter[40]. - Total interest-earning assets increased to $9,088,947 thousand with a net interest income of $42,230 thousand for the three months ended December 31, 2024, reflecting a net interest margin of 1.86%[63]. - Total interest-bearing liabilities reached $7,815,163 thousand with an average rate of 2.79% as of December 31, 2024[119]. - The total amount of non-maturity deposits was $2,735,138 thousand with an average rate of 0.88%[119]. Securities and Investments - The Company initiated a securities strategy by selling $1.30 billion of securities, representing 94% of its securities portfolio, and recognized an impairment loss of $192.6 million[23]. - The securities portfolio's ending balance was $861.5 million with a weighted average yield of 5.62%[101]. - The weighted average life (WAL) of the securities portfolio was estimated at 4.8 years as of December 31, 2024[100]. Dividends and Stockholder Equity - The company announced a cash dividend of $0.085 per share, payable on February 21, 2025, to stockholders of record as of February 7, 2025[6]. - Stockholders' equity totaled $1.03 billion at December 31, 2024, a decrease of $5.3 million from September 30, 2024, primarily due to a decrease in accumulated other comprehensive income[48]. - The Company intends to pay a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.085 per share for fiscal year 2025, totaling $0.34 per share for the year[51]. Market and Economic Conditions - Single-family origination activity has slowed, with originated loan balances decreasing due to high interest rates and limited housing inventory, impacting the one- to four-family loan portfolio[42]. - The one- to four-family originated loan portfolio is expected to continue decreasing due to ongoing housing affordability challenges[42]. - The bank anticipates funding approximately $87.5 million in commercial real estate and construction loans during the March 2025 quarter[76]. Delinquency and Non-Performing Assets - The total amount of loans 30 to 89 days delinquent was $31.965 million, representing 0.40% of total loans receivable[84]. - Non-performing assets totaled $11.361 million, accounting for 0.12% of total assets as of December 31, 2024[85]. - The increase in 30-89 day delinquent commercial real estate loans was primarily due to a $15.5 million Community Reinvestment Act loan[83].