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Coinbase Analysts See 'Inherent Profitability' In Q4 Results
Benzinga· 2025-02-14 19:20
Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global Inc reported strong fourth-quarter revenues, exceeding analyst expectations, but its shares traded lower despite the positive results [1][9]. Financial Performance - Coinbase's fourth-quarter total revenue reached $2.272 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.862 billion by 22% [2]. - Transaction revenues exceeded consensus by 33%, while subscription and services revenue was 6% above expectations [2]. - Revenues grew 138% year-on-year to $2.3 billion, with adjusted EBITDA increasing nearly 300% to $1.3 billion [6]. Operational Insights - The strong results were attributed to volume growth and a sequentially flat take rate, with EBITDA margins approaching 57% [3]. - The company demonstrated prudent operational expense control, contributing to its profitability [3]. - Management's first-quarter guidance for subscription and service revenue is projected at $725 million, indicating 13% sequential growth [5]. Market Position - Coinbase continues to gain market share despite not being the lowest cost service provider [5][8]. - The company listed 13 new assets on its platform, leading to a 24% sequential increase in monthly transacting users (MTUs) to 9.7 million [8]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Goldman Sachs maintained a Neutral rating, raising the price target from $340 to $350 [2]. - Canaccord Genuity maintained a Buy rating, increasing the price target from $280 to $400 [4]. - JMP Securities reaffirmed a Market Outperform rating, lifting the price target from $400 to $475 [6]. - HC Wainwright reiterated a Buy rating, raising the price target from $330 to $350 [8].
ETFs to Buy on Coinbase's Blowout Q4 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-02-14 17:30
Core Insights - Coinbase Global (COIN) reported strong fourth-quarter 2024 results, exceeding earnings and revenue estimates, driven by increased trading volumes in Bitcoin and other digital tokens following the U.S. election [1][3] - The company achieved its highest quarterly revenues in three years, with earnings per share of $4.68, significantly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.94 [3] Financial Performance - Revenues surged 88% quarter-over-quarter and 138% year-over-year to $2.27 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.73 billion [3] - Trading volume increased 185% year-over-year to $439 billion, with retail trading volume up 224% and institutional trading rising 176% [4] - Total transaction revenues more than doubled from the previous year to $1.56 billion, while subscription and services revenues reached $641 million [4] Future Outlook - For the first quarter of 2025, Coinbase anticipates transaction revenues of approximately $750 million and subscription and services revenues between $685 million and $765 million [5] - The company is optimistic about future growth, viewing recent regulatory changes as a new era for cryptocurrency, and plans to enhance stablecoin adoption and expand its layer-2 network [6] Investment Opportunities - Investors are encouraged to consider ETFs with significant exposure to Coinbase, including First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry & Digital Economy ETF (CRPT), Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH), Fidelity Crypto Industry and Digital Payments ETF (FDIG), ARK 21Shares Blockchain and Digital Economy Innovation ETF (ARKD), and ARK Fintech Innovation ETF (ARKF) [2][7][9][12][15]
Coinbase Q4 Was Strong, But Here Are 3 Reasons Not To Buy
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-14 15:32
Group 1 - Coinbase is considered a solid company with a good quality service and a high level of trust, making it one of the most reliable options for crypto exchanges [1] - The analysis focuses on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential, indicating a value investment approach [1]
Coinbase Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates on Higher Trading Volume
ZACKS· 2025-02-14 14:06
Core Insights - Coinbase Global, Inc. reported a significant increase in net operating earnings per share for Q4 2024, reaching $3.39, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 74.7% and represented a more than three-fold increase year over year [1][2] - The company's total revenues for Q4 2024 were $2.3 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 21.3% and more than doubling year over year, driven by higher transaction revenues and subscription services [3][10] Financial Performance - Total trading volume in Q4 2024 more than doubled year over year to $439 million, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $391 million [3] - Total transaction revenues surged nearly three-fold year over year to $1.56 billion, significantly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1 billion [4] - Subscription and services revenues increased by 70.7% year over year to $641.1 million, driven by higher crypto asset prices and growth in Coinbase One subscribers, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $586 million [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $1.3 billion, nearly four times higher year over year, while total operating expenses rose by 47.6% to $1.2 billion [6] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2024, Coinbase had cash and cash equivalents of $8.5 billion, a 66.2% increase from the end of 2023, while long-term debt rose by 42% to $4.2 billion [7] - Shareholders' equity reached $10.3 billion at the end of Q4 2024, up 63.6% from the previous year [7] Q1 2025 Outlook - Coinbase anticipates subscription and services revenues to grow sequentially, projected to be between $685 million and $765 million [8] - The company expects technology and development expenses to be in the range of $750 million to $800 million, reflecting increased variable expenses due to elevated trading volume [9]
Coinbase Q4 Earnings: Into The World Of Certainty
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-14 13:00
Group 1 - Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) reported strong FY 2024 results, particularly in the last quarter, attributed to the historic re-election of Donald Trump and his pro-crypto campaign stance [1] - The company emphasizes a long-term investment approach, focusing on valuations rather than short-term price predictions [1] - The investment strategy has shifted to a simplified "Buy or Don't Buy" approach, moving away from issuing Sell ratings [1] Group 2 - The article reflects a cautious perspective on investment, aiming for continuous improvement and growth in understanding company fundamentals [1]
Coinbase Global (COIN) Q4 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-14 00:31
Core Insights - Coinbase Global, Inc. reported a revenue of $2.27 billion for Q4 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 138.2% and an EPS of $3.39 compared to $1.04 a year ago [1] - The revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.84 billion by 23.65%, and the EPS surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.94 by 74.74% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Trading Volume reached $439 billion, exceeding the six-analyst average estimate of $391.25 billion [4] - Institutional Trading Volume was $345 billion, compared to the five-analyst average estimate of $313.95 billion [4] - Consumer Trading Volume was $94 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $63.28 billion [4] - Net Revenue was reported at $2.20 billion, exceeding the eight-analyst average estimate of $1.62 billion [4] - Total Subscription and Services Net Revenue was $641.10 million, compared to the estimated $585.87 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 70.8% [4] - Transaction Revenue was $1.56 billion, significantly higher than the estimated $1.04 billion, representing a 194% year-over-year increase [4] - Other Revenue was $74.61 million, compared to the average estimate of $68.97 million, showing a 51.8% year-over-year change [4] - Net Transaction Revenue from Consumers was $1.35 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $859.14 million [4] - Net Transaction Revenue from Other Transactions was $67.60 million, compared to the estimated $43.01 million [4] - Institutional Net Transaction Revenue was $141.30 million, surpassing the average estimate of $104.13 million, reflecting a 285% year-over-year increase [4] - Other Subscription and Services Net Revenue was $91.40 million, exceeding the four-analyst average estimate of $63.75 million, with a year-over-year change of 96.6% [4] - Blockchain Subscription and Services Net Revenue was $214.90 million, compared to the average estimate of $174.84 million, representing a year-over-year change of 126% [4]
Coinbase(COIN) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-02-14 00:26
Financial Performance - In 2024, Coinbase Global, Inc. reported total revenue of $6.6 billion, more than doubling from the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA of $3.3 billion, marking two consecutive years of positive adjusted EBITDA [10][29] - The company's subscription services revenue increased by 64% year-over-year to $2.3 billion, driven by USDC, staking, and Coinbase One [11][29] - Total trading volume for Q4 was $439 billion, up 137%, with consumer trading volume reaching $94 billion, up 176% [31][29] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $1.3 billion, with net income also at $1.3 billion, benefiting from $476 million in pretax gains on the crypto asset investment portfolio [38][29] Business Lines Performance - Subscription and services revenue reached $641 million, up 15%, driven by higher asset prices and USDC market cap [35][29] - Stablecoin revenue declined by $21 million or 9%, while other subscription and services revenue grew by $33 million or 56%, largely due to Coinbase One [36][29] - Institutional trading volume was $345 billion, up 128%, with institutional transaction revenue at $141 million, up 156% [33][29] Market Data - The average crypto market cap increased by 33% and crypto asset volatility rose by 27% in Q4 [30][29] - International revenue share reached 19% in Q4, attributed to improved payment rails and localization efforts [11][29] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - Coinbase aims to capitalize on regulatory tailwinds and expand its market presence by replicating successful strategies in new high-growth markets [12][20] - The company plans to drive revenue growth through existing products, enhance utility for mass adoption, and scale its foundational services [24][20] - Coinbase is focused on becoming the preferred partner for companies integrating crypto, with a vision of expanding the use of crypto in daily transactions and payments [14][20] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the future, highlighting the potential for crypto to integrate into mainstream financial systems and the importance of regulatory clarity [7][27] - The company anticipates a strong start to 2025, with expectations for Q1 subscription and services revenue to grow sequentially [44][29] - Management emphasized the need for clear market structure legislation and stablecoin frameworks to facilitate growth in the crypto sector [90][29] Other Important Information - The SEC's recent changes in accounting rules have led to a shift in how customer assets are reported, with a focus on assets on the platform [41][29] - Coinbase's strong balance sheet, with $9.3 billion in USD resources, provides flexibility for investments and acquisitions [39][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of February liquidation event on users - Management noted that volatility is inherent in crypto, and there was no meaningful impact on business from the February price actions [48][47] Question: Promising growth drivers under new regulatory regime - Management highlighted the diverse revenue streams and ongoing international expansion as key growth drivers [50][51] Question: Initiatives possible under new regulatory regime - Management discussed potential for perpetual futures and tokenized securities as exciting areas for future growth [56][57] Question: Consumer acquisition strategy - Management emphasized the importance of trust and brand recognition in attracting new users, alongside effective marketing strategies [99][101] Question: Retail trading fees dynamics - Management explained that strong growth in both simple and advanced trading contributed to stable retail fee rates despite increased trading volume [140][138] Question: Competitive landscape and differentiation - Management expressed a commitment to expanding the crypto user base and highlighted the importance of building a trusted platform [142][141]
Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-02-13 23:25
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Coinbase Global, Inc. reported quarterly earnings of $3.39 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.94 per share, and showing a significant increase from $1.04 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 74.74% [1] - The company posted revenues of $2.27 billion for the quarter ended December 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 23.65%, compared to revenues of $953.8 million in the same quarter last year [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Coinbase Global shares have increased approximately 10.7% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 2.9% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.93 on revenues of $1.52 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.87 on revenues of $6.05 billion [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Financial - Miscellaneous Services industry, to which Coinbase Global belongs, is currently ranked in the top 19% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for stocks within this sector [8]
Coinbase Q4 Earnings Highlights: Trading Platform Welcomes 'Dawn Of A New Era For Crypto'
Benzinga· 2025-02-13 21:35
Financial Performance - Coinbase reported fourth-quarter revenue of $2.3 billion, an increase of 88% quarter-over-quarter, surpassing the Street consensus estimate of $1.83 billion [1] - The company achieved transaction revenue of $1.6 billion, up 172% quarter-over-quarter, and subscription and services revenue of $641 million, up 15% quarter-over-quarter, exceeding guidance of $505 million to $580 million [2] - Full fiscal year revenue reached $6.6 billion, a 111% increase year-over-year, with full-year transaction revenue at $4 billion, up 162% year-over-year [4] Trading Volume and Market Share - Consumer trading volume in the fourth quarter was $94 billion, up 176% quarter-over-quarter, outpacing the U.S. spot market growth of 126% [2] - Bitcoin accounted for 27% of trading volume and transaction revenue, down from 37% and 35% in the third quarter, while Ethereum made up 10% of both trading volume and transaction revenue, down from 15% and 13% [3][4] - XRP Token contributed 14% to transaction revenue in the fourth quarter [4] Future Outlook - Coinbase expressed optimism about strong momentum due to regulatory clarity and a new White House administration, indicating a new era for crypto [5] - The company plans to focus on building and aims to drive revenue and utility, with a first-quarter subscription and services revenue guidance of $685 million to $765 million [6] - As of February 11, the company reported transaction revenue of $750 million [6] Stock Performance - Coinbase stock rose 3.5% to $308.53 in after-hours trading, with an 8.4% increase to $298.11 during Thursday's trading session [7]
Coinbase revenue surges more than 130% driven by postelection crypto rally
CNBC· 2025-02-13 21:17
Core Insights - Coinbase reported better-than-expected fourth-quarter results, achieving its largest quarterly revenue in three years, driven by a significant post-election rally in cryptocurrency prices [1][2] Financial Performance - The company reported a net income of $1.3 billion, or $4.68 per share, compared to $273 million, or $1.04 per share, in the same period last year [2] - Revenue reached $2.3 billion, up from $953.8 million year-over-year, with transaction revenue more than doubling to $1.56 billion, surpassing analyst estimates of $1.29 billion [3][6] - Total trading volume was $439 billion, reflecting a 185% increase year-over-year, with consumer trading volume rising 224% and institutional trading volume increasing 176% [3] Market Drivers - The growth in trading volume was attributed to higher levels of cryptocurrency asset volatility and increased average crypto asset prices, particularly influenced by the launch of bitcoin ETF products and the election of a pro-crypto President and Congress [4]