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Credo: Is It Too Late To Buy?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-09 17:18
We picked NVDA at $8.78 in 2020, making almost 1300% in that single trade. With a 4.9-star average rating and a proven, transparent approach, you have nothing to lose and everything to gain. Sign up hereA subscription to The Data Driven Investor helps you uncover alpha in the AI revolution, while protecting your portfolio from downside risk in a volatile tech landscape. Our Long Term Growth Portfolio is up nearly 194% since 2018, driven by disciplined strategy and risk-aware execution, not hype.Credo Techno ...
Earnings live: AutoZone, Toll Brothers stocks fall, Campbell's sales decline
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-09 13:37
Group 1: Earnings Season Overview - The Q3 earnings season has shown solid results, with 99% of S&P 500 companies reporting a 13.4% increase in earnings per share, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2][3] - Analysts had initially expected a lower earnings growth of 7.9% for Q3, indicating a significant positive surprise in actual results [3] Group 2: Company-Specific Earnings Reports - AutoZone (AZO) reported earnings of $31.04 per share on revenue of $4.62 billion, missing estimates of $32.40 and $4.64 billion respectively, with gross profit decreasing due to inventory charges [6][7] - Campbell's Company (CPB) saw a 3% decline in net sales to $2.67 billion and earnings per share of $0.65, below the expected $0.71 [8][9] - Toll Brothers (TOL) reported earnings per share of $4.58, missing estimates of $4.89, while revenue was $3.41 billion, exceeding estimates of $3.31 billion [11][12] - Victoria's Secret (VSCO) stock rose over 13% after raising its 2025 guidance for net sales and earnings, forecasting net sales between $6.45 billion and $6.48 billion [18][19] - Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) shares fell 4% after forecasting Q1 revenue below estimates, expecting $9 billion to $9.4 billion compared to the $9.9 billion expected [22] - CrowdStrike (CRWD) reported a 22% revenue increase to $1.23 billion, raising its full-year guidance to $4.79 billion to $4.80 billion [55][56] Group 3: AI Mentions and Market Sentiment - Mentions of "AI" on earnings calls reached a record high, with 306 S&P 500 companies citing the term, reflecting the growing importance of AI in corporate strategies [14][15] - Companies mentioning AI have experienced higher average stock price increases compared to those that did not, indicating a market trend favoring AI-related narratives [15][16] - Oracle (ORCL) is expected to report earnings soon, which may influence sentiment around AI and its cloud business backlog [17]
Earnings live: Toll Brothers stock falls on margin softness; investors look to Oracle, Broadcom results ahead
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-08 21:54
Core Insights - The Q3 earnings season has shown strong results, with a projected 13.4% increase in earnings per share for S&P 500 companies, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2][3] - Oracle is anticipated to report significant earnings, following its impressive second quarter results that highlighted a substantial cloud backlog [4][17] - Mentions of "AI" during earnings calls have reached a record high, indicating its growing importance in corporate strategies and market performance [13][14] Group 1: Earnings Reports - Campbell's Company reported a 3% decline in net sales year over year to $2.67 billion, with earnings per share dropping to $0.65, below Wall Street estimates [6][7] - Toll Brothers' earnings per share for the fiscal fourth quarter were $4.58, missing estimates of $4.89, while revenue was $3.41 billion, slightly above expectations [10][11] - Victoria's Secret raised its 2025 guidance for net sales to $6.45 billion to $6.48 billion, up from previous estimates, and reported a net loss of $0.46 per share, better than expected [18][19][20] Group 2: Market Trends - The retail sector is experiencing shifts, with specialty retailers like GameStop and AutoZone expected to report results that will provide insights into consumer spending patterns [4] - Companies mentioning "AI" have seen a higher average stock price increase compared to those that did not, indicating a market trend favoring AI-related investments [14][15][16] - The competitive landscape for grocery retailers like Kroger is intensifying, with challenges from Amazon and Walmart affecting market sentiment [28][29] Group 3: Company Strategies - CrowdStrike raised its full-year revenue guidance, attributing growth to increased demand for its AI-driven cybersecurity solutions [55][56] - Snowflake's partnership with Anthropic aims to enhance its AI capabilities, although its revenue guidance fell short of expectations, leading to a stock decline [36][39][40] - Marvell announced the acquisition of Celestial AI for $3.25 billion, aiming to strengthen its position in AI datacenter infrastructure [61][63]
Credo’s Licensing Pact With Siemon Highlights Push Into Scalable Data-Center Connectivity
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-08 16:08
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd. (NASDAQ:CRDO) is one of the fastest-growing semiconductor stocks to buy. On November 24, 2025, Credo said it reached a license agreement with The Siemon Company covering Credo’s patents for active electrical cable (AEC) technology; the parties issued a joint statement and said terms are confidential. While the release doesn’t spell out strategic rationale beyond the joint announcement, Credo consistently positions AECs and its broader high-speed connectivity portfolio a ...
通信行业周报 2025年第49周:Credo FY2026Q2营收环比+20.2%,可回收火箭“朱雀三号”入轨成功-20251208
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-08 01:53
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [6][46]. Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing significant growth driven by advancements in AI infrastructure and cloud computing technologies, particularly with the introduction of new AI chips and optical interconnect technologies [5][11][18]. - Companies like Marvell and Credo are leading the charge with substantial revenue growth and strategic acquisitions aimed at enhancing their capabilities in AI and data center technologies [2][3][21]. - The successful launch of the "Zhuque-3" rocket marks a pivotal moment in China's commercial space endeavors, further stimulating interest and investment in the aerospace sector [4][31]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - AWS successfully hosted its annual re:Invent cloud computing conference, unveiling the next-generation AI chip Trainium 4, which supports NVLink Fusion technology for high-speed chip interconnects [11][12]. - Marvell reported a 37% year-over-year revenue increase for FY2026 Q3, driven by data center demand and operational efficiency, and announced a $3.25 billion acquisition of Celestial AI to enhance its optical interconnect technology [2][18]. - Credo's FY2026 Q2 revenue reached $268 million, reflecting a 20.2% quarter-over-quarter growth, with expectations for continued growth driven by AI training and inference infrastructure [3][21]. Market Performance Review - The communication sector index increased by 3.69% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 2.41%, ranking second among primary industries [4][36]. - Notable performers in the sector included satellite internet, optical devices/chips, and IoT controllers, with respective increases of 9.85%, 5.93%, and 4.35% [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of AI computing infrastructure development, recommending investments in optical devices, communication equipment, and liquid cooling technologies [5][43]. - It suggests long-term investment in the three major telecom operators due to their stable operations and increasing dividend payouts, highlighting companies such as China Mobile and ZTE [5][43].
通信行业周报2025年第49周:Credo FY2026Q2营收环比+20.2%,可回收火箭“朱雀三号”轨成功-20251207
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-07 13:37
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry, indicating expected performance above the market benchmark by over 10% [6][46]. Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing significant growth driven by advancements in AI infrastructure and cloud computing technologies, with companies like AWS and Marvell leading the charge [5][11][18]. - Credo's revenue growth is attributed to the expansion of AI training and inference infrastructure, with a notable increase in demand for AEC and ALC products [3][21]. - Marvell's acquisition of Celestial AI is a strategic move to enhance its capabilities in data center optical interconnect technology, positioning the company for future growth in AI and cloud data centers [2][18]. Summary by Sections Industry News Tracking - AWS successfully hosted its annual re:Invent cloud computing conference, unveiling the next-generation AI training chip Trainium 4, which supports NVLink Fusion technology [11][12]. - Marvell reported a 37% year-over-year revenue increase for FY2026Q3, driven by data center demand and operational efficiency, and announced a $3.25 billion acquisition of Celestial AI to enhance optical interconnect technology [2][13][18]. - Credo's FY2026Q2 revenue reached $268 million, reflecting a 20.2% quarter-over-quarter increase, with ALC expected to drive future growth [3][21]. Market Performance Review - The communication sector index rose by 3.69% this week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 1.28% [4][36]. - Key sectors such as satellite internet, optical devices/chips, and IoT controllers showed strong performance, with respective increases of 9.85%, 5.93%, and 4.35% [36]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests continued focus on AI computing infrastructure development, recommending investments in optical devices, communication equipment, and liquid cooling technologies [5][43]. - The three major telecom operators are highlighted as important assets for dividend allocation, with stable operations and increasing dividend payouts [5][43].
Credo Technology Stock Is Soaring. Is This a Top AI Play for 2026?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 11:45
Core Insights - Credo Technology (CRDO) has experienced significant stock price appreciation since its IPO, currently trading around $177, up from an initial public offering price of $10 per share [1][2] - The company has shown explosive growth, particularly benefiting from the expanding artificial intelligence (AI) market, with a revenue increase of 273% year-over-year in the first half of fiscal 2026 [2][9] Company Overview - Credo Technology specializes in high-speed connectivity solutions for data centers, offering products such as active electrical cables (AECs) and serializer/deserializer (SerDes) chiplets [4][5] - Its products are essential for modern data centers, facilitating upgrades necessary for cloud and AI applications [5] Financial Performance - In fiscal 2025, Credo generated 94% of its revenue from product sales, with a notable revenue growth of 126% compared to the previous year [7][9] - The company reported an adjusted gross margin of 67.6% in the first half of fiscal 2026, with adjusted net income rising nearly ninefold to $226 million [9][10] - Analysts project revenue growth of 173% and adjusted EPS growth of 301% for fiscal 2026, with continued growth expected in fiscal 2027 [10] Market Position and Competition - Credo has established an early-mover advantage in the AI infrastructure sector but may face increased competition from larger, diversified chipmakers like Broadcom and Marvell Technology [11] - Customer concentration poses a risk, as four hyperscale customers accounted for over 10% of its revenue, indicating potential vulnerability if any major customer is lost [11] Future Outlook - While Credo is expected to continue expanding, it may not sustain triple-digit growth rates indefinitely, and its stock is currently valued at 93 times its forward adjusted earnings [12] - The long-term growth potential remains strong, driven by the ongoing expansion of the AI market, making it a potential investment opportunity [12]
Credo Technology Just Proved It's an AI "Picks-and-Shovels" Stock Worth Watching
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-07 09:40
Core Insights - Credo Technology's stock surged 10% following a record-setting earnings report for Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a year-to-date increase of over 180% [1][4] - The company is positioned to benefit from the significant growth in the AI and data center markets, with projections indicating the AI market could expand from $279 billion to $3.5 trillion by 2033, and the data center market from $347.6 billion to $652 billion by 2030 [4] Company Overview - Credo Technology, based in San Jose, California, specializes in high-performance connectivity solutions for data centers, 5G carriers, AI, and high-performance computing markets [3] - The company offers products like Active Electrical Cables (AECs) that enhance data transfer efficiency in data centers, and its OmniConnect architecture aims to improve AI inference scalability [5][6] Financial Performance - For Q2 of fiscal 2026, Credo reported revenue of $268 million, a 272% increase year-over-year and a 20.2% increase from Q1, with gross margins at 67.5% [7][8] - The company achieved a net income of $86.2 million and earnings per share of $0.44, ending the quarter with a cash balance of $813.6 million [7] Future Outlook - Management provided guidance for Q3 revenue between $335 million and $345 million, indicating a potential 151% increase year-over-year, with projected gross margins between 63.8% and 65.8% [8] - Analysts have raised price targets for Credo, with Mizuho increasing its target to $225 and Bank of America raising it from $165 to $240, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory [11] Market Position - Credo's valuation is characterized by a high price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 276 and a forward P/E of 90, which, while elevated, is seen as manageable compared to other companies in the sector [9][10] - The company is recognized as a critical player in the AI ecosystem, providing essential connectivity solutions that support the functionality of high-end chips from major AI companies [11][12]
通信行业研究:Marvell收购Celestial AI布局CPO,DeepSeek-V3.2发布
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-12-07 09:29
Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on sectors driven by domestic AI development such as servers and IDC, as well as sectors like servers and optical modules driven by overseas AI development [5] Core Insights - Marvell reported revenue of $2.075 billion for the quarter, exceeding market expectations and guidance by $15 million, and announced the acquisition of Celestial AI for approximately $3.25 billion to enhance its position in the CPO field [1][50] - AWS launched the AI training chip Trainium 3 with a computing power of 2.52 PFLOPS FP8 at its annual cloud computing event, indicating strong growth in AI infrastructure [1] - Credo's Q2 FY2026 revenue reached $268 million, a year-over-year increase of 272.1%, driven by growth in its core AEC and IC businesses [1] - DeepSeek introduced two AI models, achieving performance levels close to GPT-5, indicating advancements in domestic AI capabilities [1][47] - ByteDance's Doubao team launched the "Doubao Phone Assistant," with the first device selling out quickly, showcasing the potential for AI applications in consumer electronics [1] Summary by Sections Communication Sector - The communication sector shows a steady upward trend, with significant investments in cloud and IDC businesses compensating for pressures in traditional telecom services [14] Server Sector - The server index decreased by 1.22% this week, but AWS's announcement of a significant expansion in AI/HPC data centers suggests ongoing demand growth [2][7] Optical Modules - The optical module index increased by 4.67%, supported by Marvell's strong quarterly performance and strategic acquisition [2][7] IDC Sector - The IDC index rose by 0.50%, with DeepSeek's new AI models expected to drive demand in data centers [3][8] Core Data Updates - Telecom business revenue reached 1.467 trillion yuan in the first ten months of 2025, a year-over-year increase of 0.9% [4][15] - The export value of optical modules decreased by 27.6% year-over-year in October, attributed to domestic companies establishing overseas factories [31] Market Trends - The communication sector's performance this week ranked second among all industries, with notable gains in specific companies [39][42]
Can Credo Maintain Margin Strength as Its Business Accelerates?
ZACKS· 2025-12-05 18:25
Core Insights - Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) achieved a record-setting quarter in Q2 of fiscal 2026, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 67.7%, exceeding guidance and improving sequentially by 11 basis points [1][2] - The company reported a 20% sequential revenue increase and a remarkable 272.1% year-over-year growth, driven by strong demand in its Active Electrical Cable (AEC) and Integrated Circuit (IC) segments [2][9] - Credo's diversified growth strategy includes five high-growth connectivity pillars, targeting a total addressable market expected to exceed $10 billion in the coming years [3][4] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP operating margin reached 46.3%, expanding 319 basis points from the previous quarter, indicating effective management of operating expenses relative to revenue growth [2] - Non-GAAP net margins for Q2 were 47.7%, showcasing the company's efficient scaling despite ongoing investments in optical and system-level products [2] - For Q3 fiscal 2026, management anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 27% sequentially, with gross margins projected to moderate to a range of 64-66% [5] Market Position and Competition - Credo's AECs are becoming the standard for inter-rack connectivity, with expectations for significant growth in optical DSP deployments, particularly in 50-gig and 100-gig per lane designs [4] - The company faces competition from semiconductor giants like Broadcom and Marvell Technology, which are also experiencing strong growth in their respective markets [6] Valuation and Stock Performance - CRDO is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 27.68, significantly higher than the Electronic-Semiconductors sector average of 7.9 [11] - Over the past three months, CRDO shares have increased by 22.6%, outperforming the Electronics-Semiconductors industry growth of 15.9% [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CRDO's earnings for fiscal 2026 has been revised upward in the last 60 days, indicating positive market sentiment [13]