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3 Solar Stocks to Watch Amid Solid Installation Trend in US
ZACKS· 2025-01-06 19:50
Industry Overview - The Zacks Solar industry is divided into companies involved in designing and producing solar modules, panels, and cells, and those engaged in installing grids and solar power systems [2] - Photovoltaic (PV) solar accounted for 64% of new electricity-generating capacity added to the U S grid through Q3 2024, making it the dominant form of new generating capacity [2] Growth Trends - The U S solar industry installed 8 6 GWdc of new solar capacity in Q3 2024, a 21% year-over-year increase [3] - The U S Energy Information Administration expects 25 GW of solar generation capacity to come online in 2025, increasing total solar generation capacity to 153 GW from 128 GW in 2024 [3] Inflation Reduction Act Impact - The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has been a significant growth catalyst, with clean energy investments increasing 71% to $493 billion from H2 2022 to H1 2024 [4] - Utility-scale solar investments increased 56% from pre-IRA levels, and the IRA is expected to boost solar deployment by more than 40% from 2027 to 2032 [4] Challenges - Residential solar installations in the U S declined 39% year-over-year in Q3 2024 due to elevated interest rates and poor demand [5] - SEIA projects flat growth in the residential solar segment over the next five years due to power sector challenges, labor shortages, and interconnection delays [5] - China's dominance in solar module manufacturing, accounting for over 80% of global capacity, has led to oversupply and downward pressure on U S module prices [6] - Solar PV manufacturing costs in China are 20% lower than in the U S, posing a cost competitiveness challenge for U S manufacturers [6] Industry Performance - The solar industry has underperformed, with stocks collectively losing 30 3% over the past year, compared to a 4% growth in the Oils-Energy sector and a 24 4% surge in the S&P 500 [10] - The industry's current EV/EBITDA ratio is 12 90X, compared to the S&P 500's 18 32X and the sector's 3 36X [12] Key Companies - Nextracker shipped the first U S -manufactured solar trackers, achieving 100% domestic content value under the IRA, with a 14 2% improvement in fiscal 2025 sales estimates [15][16] - Canadian Solar executed agreements to deliver 188 MWh DC and 127 MWh DC battery energy storage systems, with a 21 2% improvement in 2025 sales estimates [18][19] - Enphase Energy announced initial shipments of its IQ Battery 5P, with a 27 7% improvement in 2025 sales estimates [20][21]
4 Solar Stocks That Might Beat the Market in 2025
ZACKS· 2024-12-30 21:00
Industry Overview - The global solar industry is projected to experience significant growth in 2024, despite a slowdown in demand in Europe, which held a 19% share of the global market in 2023 [1] - The industry reached a historic milestone of 2 terawatts (TW) of installed solar PV capacity in November 2024 [3] - However, the outlook for 2025 is less optimistic, with global installations expected to decline by 0.4% to 492 gigawatts [6] Challenges - The European solar market faces challenges such as oversupply of panels, competition from countries with cheaper solar products, and lower utility rates [1] - In 2025, installations in major countries like Brazil and India may suffer due to increased tariffs, grid connectivity delays, land acquisition issues, and domestic content requirement standards [5][13] - Limited grid capacity and the need to curtail solar generation are anticipated to negatively impact installations in China, which accounts for over 50% of global solar installations [13] Company Insights - **First Solar (FSLR)**: The largest thin-film PV solar module manufacturer globally, with an expected annual manufacturing capacity exceeding 25 GW by the end of 2026. The consensus estimate for FSLR's 2025 sales is $5.53 billion, reflecting a 32.8% improvement from the prior year [7][16] - **Enphase Energy (ENPH)**: A leading manufacturer of solar microinverters and batteries, with a long-term earnings growth rate of 3.6%. The consensus estimate for ENPH's 2025 sales is $1.70 billion, indicating a 27.7% increase from the previous year [8][9] - **Nextracker (NXT)**: The number-one global market-share solar tracker company, with a market share of 30%. The consensus estimate for NXT's 2025 sales is $3.17 billion, an 11.1% improvement from the prior year, and earnings are expected to be $3.44 per share, up 5.7% [10][18] - **Canadian Solar (CSIQ)**: A company that has delivered over 118 GW of solar modules globally, with a consensus estimate for 2025 sales at $7.59 billion, reflecting an 18.4% increase from the previous year [19][20] Investment Focus - Investors are encouraged to consider stocks from the Zacks solar industry, including First Solar, Enphase Energy, Nextracker, and Canadian Solar, due to their favorable growth prospects and strong market presence [11][15]
Onshoring Brightens Canadian Solar's Future
Seeking Alpha· 2024-12-27 10:20
BuildingBenjamins is a free stock picking and market commentary investment newsletter. Building Benjamins is the DBA (doing businesses as) publishing entity for Tradition Investment Management, LLC, a registered investment adviser. Benjamin Halliburton, our founder, also founded Tradition Capital Management in 2000 and was named “PSN Manager of the Decade” for All-Cap in the 2000s and “PSN Manager of the Decade” for Dividend Value in the 2010s. Since starting his investment career at Merrill Lynch in 1986, ...
Canadian Solar to Supply 315 MWh Battery Energy Storage in Texas
ZACKS· 2024-12-13 15:35
Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ) recently announced that its e-STORAGE subsidiary has clinched a contract to provide a 188 megawatt-hour (MWh) direct-current DC to the Gaia project and a 127 MWh DC Midpoint project in Hill County. The company also inked a key contract with Sunraycer Renewables LLC. to sell up to 2 gigawatt-peak (GWp) of high-efficiency solar modules for multiple Sunraycer projects.Details of CSIQ’s Contract Sunraycer's forthcoming projects will use up to 2 GWp of Canadian Solar's latest high-effi ...
Canadian Solar to Deliver 315 MWh DC of Battery Energy Storage Solutions and up to 2 GWp of Solar Modules to Sunraycer Projects in Texas
Prnewswire· 2024-12-12 12:00
KITCHENER, ON, Dec. 12, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Canadian Solar Inc. (the "Company" or "Canadian Solar") (NASDAQ: CSIQ) today announced that it has executed three significant agreements with Sunraycer Renewables LLC ("Sunraycer"), an Annapolis, Maryland-based renewable energy platform. These include battery energy storage supply and commissioning agreements for two projects in Texas, as well as the purchase of up to 2 GWp of high-efficiency solar modules for various Sunraycer projects.Under the agreements, e-ST ...
Solar(CSIQ) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-12-05 16:26
Canadian Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:CSIQ) Q3 2024 Earnings Conference Call December 5, 2024 8:00 AM ET Company Participants Shawn Qu - Chairman, President, Chief Executive Officer Yan Zhuang - President, CSI Solar Ismael Guerrero - President, Recurrent Energy Xinbo Zhu - Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Thomas Koerner - Senior Vice President, Sales and Marketing Wina Huang - Head of Investor Relations Conference Call Participants Andre Adams - Oppenheimer Praneeth Satish - Wells Fargo Philip Shen - Ro ...
Solar(CSIQ) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-12-05 13:41
Canadian Solar 3Q24 Earnings Call December 5, 2024 Canadian Solar Inc. Safe Harbor Statement This presentation has been prepared by the Company solely to facilitate the understanding of the Company's business model and growth strategy. The information contained in this presentation has not been independently verified. No representation, warranty or undertaking, express or implied, is made as to, and no reliance should be placed on, the fairness, accuracy, completeness or correctness of the information or th ...
Canadian Solar (CSIQ) Reports Q3 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-12-05 13:15
Core Insights - Canadian Solar reported a quarterly loss of $0.31 per share, which was better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.44, representing an earnings surprise of 29.55% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.51 billion for the quarter ended September 2024, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.69% and down from $1.85 billion year-over-year [2] - The stock has underperformed significantly, losing about 54% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 27.6% [4] Earnings Performance - Over the last four quarters, Canadian Solar has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times [2] - The company had a favorable estimate revisions trend ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [7] Future Outlook - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.34 on revenues of $2.22 billion, and $0.41 on revenues of $6.9 billion for the current fiscal year [8] - The outlook for the solar industry is positive, with the Zacks Industry Rank placing Solar in the top 29% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting that the industry outlook can materially impact stock performance [9]
Solar(CSIQ) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-12-05 12:20
Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Canadian Solar generated net revenues of $1.5 billion, a decrease of 8% quarter-over-quarter and 18% year-over-year[5]. - For Q3 2024, net revenues were $45,056 million, a decrease of 29.3% year-over-year from $63,806 million in Q3 2023[36]. - Net revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $1,507,624, a decrease of 18.3% compared to $1,846,285 for the same period in 2023[70]. - For the nine months ended September 30, 2024, total net revenues were $4,472,168, a decrease of 24.4% from $5,911,589 in the same period of 2023[74]. - The company reported a loss from operations of $294 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to an income of $83,016 in the same period of 2023[70]. - Net loss for Q3 2024 was $6.1 million, a significant decline from net income of $27.4 million in Q2 2024 and $62.5 million in Q3 2023[79]. - The company reported earnings per share (EPS) of $(0.31) for Q3 2024, compared to $0.02 in Q2 2024 and $0.33 in Q3 2023[77]. Revenue and Shipments - Total module shipments recognized as revenues were 8.4 GW, up 2% quarter-over-quarter and 1% year-over-year[4]. - CSI Solar shipped 8.4 GW of solar modules and solar system kits in Q3 2024, with the top five markets being the U.S., China, Pakistan, Germany, and Brazil[37]. - For Q4 2024, total revenue is expected to be between $1.5 billion and $1.7 billion, with gross margin anticipated to be between 16% and 18%[51]. - For the full year of 2025, total module shipments are projected to be between 30 GW and 35 GW, and total battery energy storage shipments are expected to be between 11 GWh and 13 GWh[52]. Profitability - Gross profit for the quarter was $247 million, with a gross margin of 16.4%, down from 17.2% in Q2 2024 and 16.7% in Q3 2023[6]. - Gross profit for Q3 2024 was $14,418 million, resulting in a gross margin of 32.0%, compared to 27.7% in Q3 2023[36]. - Gross profit for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $247,436, resulting in a gross margin of 16.4%, down from 16.7% in the same period last year[70]. Cash Flow and Liquidity - The company ended the quarter with a strong cash position of $2.8 billion, which will be strategically deployed for long-term growth[3]. - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2024, totaled $2,168,777, an increase from $1,614,146 at the end of the previous quarter[70]. - Cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash at the end of the period totaled $2,827,794,000, an increase from $2,192,241,000 at the end of the previous quarter[86]. - Net cash provided by financing activities was $1,271,293,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, significantly up from $187,598,000 in the previous quarter[86]. - The company reported a significant increase in cash flow from financing activities, totaling $2,182,303,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $1,830,612,000 for the same period in 2023[86]. Debt and Liabilities - Total debt increased to $5.4 billion as of September 30, 2024, up from $4.2 billion as of June 30, 2024[14]. - Total liabilities increased to $9,563.0 million as of September 30, 2024, compared to $8,190.5 million at the end of 2023, reflecting increased borrowings[84]. - Short-term borrowings increased to $2,502.6 million in Q3 2024, up from $1,805.2 million at the end of 2023, indicating higher leverage[84]. Project Development and Future Outlook - Recurrent Energy signed a record number of long-term PPAs totaling 540 MWp of solar and 600 MWh of storage in Q3 2024[3]. - Recurrent Energy's total solar project development pipeline reached 26.4 GWp, with 1.7 GWp under construction[20]. - The battery energy storage project development pipeline totaled 66.1 GWh, including 9.8 GWh under construction and in backlog[28]. - e-STORAGE had a total project turnkey pipeline of over 60 GWh as of September 30, 2024, with a contracted backlog of $3.2 billion as of November 30, 2024[41][42]. - The company plans to establish a 6 GWh battery cell, module, and packaging manufacturing facility in Kentucky with an initial investment of over $300 million[54]. - Canadian Solar has developed approximately 11 GWp of solar power projects and 3.7 GWh of battery energy storage projects globally since entering the project development business in 2010[65]. Operating Expenses - Operating expenses totaled $247.1 million in Q3 2024, compared to $234.4 million in Q2 2024 and $225.0 million in Q3 2023, with R&D expenses increasing to $30.5 million from $25.6 million in Q2 2024[77].
Canadian Solar Reports Third Quarter 2024 Results
Prnewswire· 2024-12-05 11:00
KITCHENER, ON, Dec. 5, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Canadian Solar Inc. ("Canadian Solar" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: CSIQ) today announced financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2024.Highlights 16.4% gross margin, above guidance of 14% to 16%. Grew e-STORAGE contracted backlog to record $3.2 billion, as of November 30, 2024. Achieved final closing of BlackRock's $500 million investment in Recurrent Energy.Dr. Shawn Qu, Chairman and CEO, commented, "The solar industry faces significant external ...