Group 1 - Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) is being reviewed for its third-quarter financial results and future expectations [1] - The analyst emphasizes the importance of understanding the story behind financial statements and applying analytical tools to uncover hidden value [1] Group 2 - The analyst has a background in equity analysis across various sectors, including telecom and industry, and has academic qualifications in finance [1] - The focus of the investment project is on the CIS region, aiming to apply Western analytical methods to emerging markets [1]

Financial Performance - Revenue for the third quarter of 2025 was $1.3469 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year from $1.3336 billion in 2024[67][70] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) from continuing operations decreased to $4.97 in Q3 2025, down from $5.30 in Q3 2024[70] - The operating income for Q3 2025 was $293.9 million, compared to $316.4 million in Q3 2024, reflecting a decrease in operating margin from 23.7% to 21.8%[70] - The gross profit for Q3 2025 was $485.2 million, down 5.7% from $514.4 million in Q3 2024, with a gross margin of 36.0%[73] - Net income for Q3 2025 was $214.2 million, a decrease of 12.3% compared to $244.3 million in Q3 2024[97] - Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2025 was $302.6 million, reflecting a decrease of 7.6% from $327.6 million in the same period last year[83] - Adjusted EBITDA for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $976.4 million, down 7.1% from $1,051.0 million in the same period of 2024[97] - Operating income for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $798.9 million, compared to $861.0 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a decrease of 7.2%[98] - Adjusted EBIT for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $799.0 million, down from $860.3 million in 2024, indicating a decline of 7.1%[98] Expenses - Research and development expenses increased by 53.1% to $12.4 million in Q3 2025, driven by higher new product development costs[77] - Selling and administrative expenses decreased by 7.2% to $177.9 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to lower wage and benefit expenses[74][75] - The company experienced a decrease in operating margin and adjusted EBITDA margin in Q3 2025 due to materials inflation and higher operating costs[84][87] Cash Flow - Cash provided by operating activities increased to $715.8 million in the first nine months of 2025, up $56.1 million from $659.7 million in 2024[90] - Cash used in investing activities was $199.4 million in the first nine months of 2025, primarily for acquisitions and capital expenditures[94] - Cash used in financing activities totaled $165.4 million in the first nine months of 2025, mainly due to share repurchases of $1,000.0 million and cash dividend payments of $135.3 million[95] Market and Strategic Focus - The company is focused on innovation, with strong market adoption of new products such as RapidLock™, SeamShield™, and UltraTouch, which align with energy efficiency trends[69] - The company anticipates continued challenges from competition and raw material costs, which may impact future performance[99] - The company is focused on strategic acquisitions and dispositions to enhance its market position and operational efficiency[99] - CCM's revenue growth in the first nine months of 2025 was primarily driven by the acquisition of MTL, while CWT's revenue was impacted by lower sales volumes due to market softness[83][86] Shareholder Returns - The company repurchased 0.8 million shares for $300 million during the quarter and raised its dividend by 10%, marking the 49th consecutive annual increase[69] Tax and Interest - The effective tax rate for Q3 2025 was 23.1%, slightly down from 23.3% in Q3 2024, with a provision for income taxes of $64.3 million[81] - The company reported a decrease in interest expense for the first nine months of 2025 to $50.8 million, down from $56.0 million in the same period of 2024[78][79] Revenue Overview - For the first nine months of 2025, revenues totaled $2,894.9 million, an increase of 0.8% compared to $2,870.7 million in 2024[83] - Revenues for the third quarter of 2025 were $1,000.8 million, a slight increase of 0.3% compared to $998.2 million in 2024[83] - Total revenues for Q3 2025 increased to $1,346.9 million, a slight increase of 1.3% from $1,333.6 million in Q3 2024[97] Risk Assessment - There have been no material changes in the company's market risk for the nine months ended September 30, 2025[100]

Core Insights - Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of $5.61 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.47, but reflecting a 2.9% year-over-year decline [1][9] - Total revenues reached $1.35 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.33 billion, and increased by 1% year over year, although organic revenues fell by 2.1% [1][9] - The company’s cash and cash equivalents rose to $1.11 billion from $753.5 million at the end of 2024, while long-term debt increased to $2.9 billion from $1.89 billion [6][9] Segment Performance - Revenues from the Carlisle Construction Materials segment increased by 0.3% year over year to $1.0 billion, with organic revenues remaining flat, driven by strong re-roof activity [3] - The Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies segment saw a 3% year-over-year revenue increase to $346 million, aided by acquisitions, although organic revenues declined by 8% [4] Margin Analysis - The cost of sales rose by 5.2% year over year to $861.7 million, while selling and administrative expenses decreased by 7.2% to $177.9 million [5] - Adjusted EBITDA for the Construction Materials segment was $303 million, down 8% year over year, and for the Weatherproofing Technologies segment, it was $60 million, declining 13% year over year [3][4] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - In the first nine months of 2025, CSL generated net cash of $715.8 million from operating activities, compared to $659.7 million in the same period last year [6] - The company rewarded shareholders with a dividend payment of $135.3 million, up 6.2% year over year, and repurchased shares worth $1 billion, down 14.2% year over year [7] Future Outlook - For the fourth quarter of 2025, Carlisle anticipates a low single-digit revenue decrease in the Construction Materials segment, while the Weatherproofing Technologies segment is expected to see low single-digit growth [8] - The company projects flat revenues for 2025, with an expected adjusted EBITDA margin contraction of approximately 250 basis points [10]

Core Insights - Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL) is recognized as one of the 13 most undervalued dividend stocks according to Wall Street analysts [1] - Vertical Research initiated coverage of Carlisle with a Hold rating and a price target of $356 [2] Financial Performance - The company reported strong earnings, generating $620 million in free cash flow during the first nine months of the year, and expects to achieve approximately $1 billion in operating cash flow for the full year [3] - Carlisle's management reaffirmed its Vision 2030 goals, targeting $40 in adjusted EPS and maintaining a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 25% or higher, which is projected to yield over $6 billion in cumulative free cash flow through 2030 [3] Dividend Information - Carlisle has increased its dividends for 49 consecutive years, currently paying a quarterly dividend of $1.10 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 1.82% as of October 29 [4]

Core Insights - Carlisle (CSL) reported $1.35 billion in revenue for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1% and surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.01% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $5.61, down from $5.78 a year ago, but exceeded the consensus EPS estimate of $5.47 by 2.56% [1] Revenue Performance - Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT) generated $346.1 million in revenue, exceeding the average estimate of $340.35 million by four analysts, representing a year-over-year increase of 3.2% [4] - Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) reported $1 billion in revenue, slightly above the average estimate of $992.89 million, with a year-over-year change of 0.3% [4] Adjusted EBIT Analysis - Adjusted EBIT for Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) was $280 million, below the three-analyst average estimate of $285.65 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Corporate and unallocated was reported at -$15 million, better than the average estimate of -$28.54 million [4] - Adjusted EBIT for Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT) was $33.9 million, falling short of the three-analyst average estimate of $40.7 million [4] Stock Performance - Shares of Carlisle have returned +3.5% over the past month, compared to a +3.8% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]

Core Insights - Carlisle (CSL) reported quarterly earnings of $5.61 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.47 per share, but down from $5.78 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of +2.56% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.35 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 1.01% and showing a slight increase from $1.33 billion year-over-year [2] - Carlisle's stock has underperformed, losing about 7.7% since the beginning of the year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 17.2% [3] Earnings Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $4.43 on revenues of $1.14 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $19.77 on revenues of $5.02 billion [7] - The trend of estimate revisions for Carlisle was unfavorable prior to the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 5 (Strong Sell) for the stock, indicating expected underperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Diversified Operations industry, to which Carlisle belongs, is currently in the top 30% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenues reached $1.3 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, slightly below previous expectations [6][19] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $5.61, down 3% compared to the previous year [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $349 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.9%, a decrease of 170 basis points from the prior year [20][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CCM reported Q3 revenue of $1 billion, essentially flat year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $303 million, down 8% compared to the prior year [21] - CWT reported Q3 revenue of $346 million, up 3% year-over-year, but organic revenue declined 8% due to lower volumes [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ongoing challenges in both residential and non-residential new construction are attributed to higher interest rates and economic uncertainty [5][9] - Housing prices have risen over 45% since 2020, with the median home price exceeding $430,000, creating affordability issues [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Vision 2030 strategy, emphasizing product innovation, operational excellence, and strategic M&A to enhance capabilities [10][18] - Recent acquisitions are expected to create value by expanding capabilities and addressable markets, with a goal of two to three acquisitions each year [14][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to create shareholder value despite near-term challenges, citing strong demand for reroofing and ongoing innovation [9][10] - The company revised its full-year 2025 guidance to flat revenue, anticipating continued macroeconomic and distribution channel uncertainties [17][24] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 800,000 shares for $300 million and raised its dividend by 10%, marking the 49th consecutive annual increase [10][16] - The company expects to generate approximately $1 billion of cash flow from operating activities this year, supporting ongoing investments and capital returns [17][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of destocking in Q3 and outlook for Q4 - Management noted normal seasonal patterns for destocking, with some additional effects from M&A integration, but no major impact expected [33][35] Question: Leveraging the Carlisle experience in a competitive environment - Management highlighted the importance of efficient labor use and enhanced customer service to gain market share amid declining new construction [40][41] Question: Pricing outlook and CapEx investments - Pricing for CCM is expected to remain flat, while CapEx guidance was slightly reduced due to ambitious project timelines [47][48] Question: Price versus volume dynamics in CCM - Pricing was flat in the CCM segment, with volume also flat, and raw material costs negatively impacting results [56][58] Question: Outlook for EBITDA margins in Q4 - Expected adjusted EBITDA margin for CCM in Q4 is around 26%, with CWT margins expected to decline due to lower organic volumes [63][64] Question: Market share outlook amid distribution disruptions - Management indicated no long-term changes in market share, with temporary effects due to distributor channel issues expected to resolve [66][67] Question: Direct sales model positioning - The company has lagged competitors in direct sales but is adapting to market changes and enhancing direct engagement with end users [73][75] Question: Pricing expectations for CWT amid raw material pressures - Pricing for CWT is expected to decline slightly, with mixed trends in raw material costs impacting pricing strategies [89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenues reached $1.3 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, slightly below previous expectations [6][19] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $5.61, down 3% compared to the previous year [20] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $349 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.9%, a decrease of 170 basis points from the prior year [20][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CCM reported Q3 revenue of $1 billion, essentially flat year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $303 million and a margin of 30.2%, down 260 basis points [21][22] - CWT reported Q3 revenue of $346 million, up 3% year-over-year, but organic revenue declined 8% due to lower volumes [22][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ongoing challenges in new construction are attributed to higher interest rates, affordability issues, and economic uncertainty [5][9] - Housing prices have risen over 45% since 2020, with the median home price exceeding $430,000, creating significant affordability challenges [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Vision 2030 strategy, emphasizing product innovation, operational excellence, and strategic M&A to enhance capabilities and expand markets [10][18] - Recent acquisitions are expected to create value and expand market share, with a goal of two to three acquisitions annually [14][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to create shareholder value despite near-term challenges, citing strong demand for reroofing and ongoing innovation [10][17] - The company revised its full-year 2025 guidance to flat revenue, anticipating continued pressures from macroeconomic factors [17][24] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 800,000 shares for $300 million and raised its dividend by 10%, marking the 49th consecutive annual increase [10][16] - The company expects to generate approximately $1 billion in cash flow from operating activities this year, supporting ongoing investments and capital returns [17][24] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of destocking in Q3 and outlook for Q4 - Management noted normal seasonal patterns for destocking, with some additional effects from distributor adjustments due to M&A activities [34][35] Question: Leveraging the Carlisle experience in a competitive environment - The company is enhancing its customer service capabilities to help contractors operate more efficiently, which is crucial in a labor-constrained market [40][42] Question: Willingness to invest in the business amid current cash flows - Management highlighted ongoing investments in R&D and customer insights to ensure strong product development pipelines [44][46] Question: Pricing outlook in CCM and CWT segments - Pricing in CCM is expected to remain flat, while CWT may see a slight decline due to market pressures [62][63] Question: Nature of distribution disruption and resolution - Management indicated that the disruption was due to various factors related to integration and management changes, but expects resolution in 2026 [88][89]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 revenues reached $1.3 billion, a 1% increase year-over-year, slightly below previous expectations [5][18] - Adjusted EPS for Q3 was $5.61, down 3% compared to the previous year [18] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $349 million, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 25.9%, a decrease of 170 basis points from the prior year [18][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CCM reported Q3 revenue of $1 billion, essentially flat year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $303 million, down 8% compared to the prior year [19][20] - CWT reported Q3 revenue of $346 million, up 3% year-over-year, but organic revenue declined 8% due to lower volumes [21][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The ongoing challenges in the new construction market are attributed to higher interest rates, affordability issues, and economic uncertainty [4][6] - Housing prices have risen over 45% since 2020, with the median home price exceeding $430,000, creating significant affordability challenges [7][8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on its Vision 2030 strategy, emphasizing product innovation, operational excellence, and strategic M&A to enhance capabilities and expand market reach [9][17] - Recent acquisitions are expected to create value and expand addressable markets, with a goal of two to three acquisitions annually [12][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to create shareholder value despite near-term challenges, citing strong demand for reroofing and ongoing innovation [8][9] - The full-year 2025 guidance has been revised to flat revenue with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to decline by approximately 250 basis points [16][24] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 800,000 shares for $300 million and raised its dividend by 10%, marking the 49th consecutive annual increase [9][15] - The company generated free cash flow of $620 million in the first nine months of 2025, on track to exceed its free cash flow margin target of 15% for the full year [22][23] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of destocking in Q3 and outlook for Q4 - Management indicated that destocking is expected as part of normal seasonal patterns, with no major impact anticipated [33][34] Question: Leveraging the Carlisle experience in a competitive environment - The company is enhancing its customer service capabilities to help contractors operate more efficiently, which is expected to provide a competitive advantage [40][42] Question: Outlook for EBITDA margins in Q4 by segment - CCM's adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be around 26% in Q4, while CWT's margins are anticipated to decline by 250 to 300 basis points compared to the prior year [55] Question: Pricing outlook for CWT and raw material trends - Pricing for CWT is expected to decline slightly, with mixed trends in raw material prices, particularly MDI and polyol [69]

Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call October 29, 2025 Forward Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally use words such as "expect," "foresee," "anticipate," "believe," "project," "should," "estimate," "will," "plans," "intends," "forecast," and similar expressions, and reflect our expectations concerning the future. Such statements are made ...