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Duolingo Shares Drop 18% After Soft 2026 Outlook Despite Q4 Beat
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-27 22:10
Core Insights - Duolingo Inc. reported fourth-quarter results that exceeded analyst estimates but provided weaker-than-expected guidance for 2026, resulting in an 18% drop in shares as the company shifts focus toward user growth over short-term profitability [1] Financial Performance - The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.84, slightly above the analyst estimate of $0.83 [1] - Revenue increased by 35% year over year to $282.9 million, surpassing the consensus estimate of $275.74 million [1] Guidance and Projections - First-quarter revenue guidance of $288.5 million fell short of the $291.8 million consensus forecast [2] - Full-year revenue guidance is set between $1.20 billion and $1.22 billion, trailing analyst expectations of $1.26 billion, with a midpoint implying approximately 17% growth, below prior growth rates [2] User Metrics - Daily active users (DAU) increased by 30% year over year to 52.7 million, while paid subscribers grew by 28% to 12.2 million [3] - DAU growth is projected to slow to approximately 20% in 2026, down from growth exceeding 40% in earlier periods [3] Strategic Changes - Duolingo expects bookings growth of around 11% in 2026, compared to nearly 20% under its prior strategy [4] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is projected to decline to approximately 25% from 29.5% in 2025, reflecting strategic shifts such as moving the Video Call feature to the standard subscription tier and reducing friction for free users [4] - Management estimates reinvesting over $50 million in foregone bookings to enhance the free user experience [4]
Duolingo (DUOL) Q4 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-27 21:30
Core Insights - Duolingo, Inc. reported a revenue of $282.87 million for the quarter ended December 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 35% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.19% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $0.94, significantly higher than the $0.31 reported a year ago, with an EPS surprise of 19.24% over the consensus estimate of $0.79 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Paid subscribers reached 12.2 million, slightly above the estimated 12.12 million [4] - Subscription bookings totaled $296.6 million, marginally exceeding the average estimate of $296.58 million [4] - Daily active users (DAUs) were reported at 52.7 million, surpassing the average estimate of 52.33 million [4] - Monthly active users (MAUs) were 133.1 million, below the average estimate of 137.98 million [4] - Total bookings amounted to $336.8 million, slightly above the estimated $335.84 million [4] Revenue Breakdown - Subscription revenue was $242.29 million, exceeding the four-analyst average estimate of $237.33 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 39% [4] - Other revenues, including advertising and in-app purchases, totaled $31.03 million, below the average estimate of $39.91 million, with a year-over-year increase of 14.9% [4] - In-app purchases generated $9.55 million, slightly below the estimated $10.12 million [4] - Advertising revenue was $20.22 million, exceeding the average estimate of $17.55 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 41.5% [4] - Revenue from the Duolingo English Test was $10.28 million, slightly below the estimate of $10.42 million, showing a year-over-year decline of 9.9% [4] Stock Performance - Duolingo's shares have returned -15.8% over the past month, compared to a -0.5% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
Options Corner: Why The Smart Money Is Suddenly Interested In Duolingo Stock - Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)
Benzinga· 2026-02-27 21:15
Not surprisingly, several Wall Street analysts downgraded DUOL stock. Even experts who maintained optimism lowered their price forecasts. Still, the one group that apparently doesn't share in the pessimism is the smart money. Essentially, the volatility skew is a visual representation of the surface-area distortion of volatility space, enabling retail traders to better understand how the smart money is positioned for risk. The skew is a lot like a soccer team's starting formation. In the case of DUOL stock, ...
Duolingo stock is falling off a cliff, continuing a dramatic collapse. You can't just blame that ‘AI first' memo
Fastcompany· 2026-02-27 19:11
In 2025, Duolingo recorded $1.03 billion in revenue, along with total bookings of $1.15 billion, the latter figure representing 33% year-over-year growth. Net income for the year totaled $414.1 million. "We closed 2025 with strong momentum,†Duolingo CEO Luis von Ahn said in a statement, "surpassing 50 million daily active users and generating more than $1 billion in bookings for the first time.†Yet it was von Ahn's next comments, along with the company's 2026 guidance, that caused investors to turn negati ...
Skillsoft vs. Duolingo: Which EdTech Stock Is a Smarter Bet Today?
ZACKS· 2026-02-27 19:00
Core Insights - Both Skillsoft (SKIL) and Duolingo (DUOL) are positioned in the digital education sector, focusing on online learning platforms that generate revenue through subscriptions and enterprise solutions. The shift towards remote work and app-based learning is driving demand for digital education [1] Skillsoft (SKIL) - Skillsoft aims to evolve into an AI-first skill-management organization, focusing on its Percipio platform to enhance the connection between learning and business performance [2] - The company is leveraging AI technologies to create tailored content more efficiently, resulting in a 74% year-over-year increase in AI learner bases and a 158% growth in AI learning hours [3] - Despite a 2.4% decrease in content and software development expenses and a 7.1% decline in selling and marketing expenses, SKIL experienced a 6% year-over-year drop in revenue due to challenges in the global knowledge segment [4] - Management is conducting a strategic review to address inefficiencies in the GK segment, which has negatively impacted the adjusted EBITDA margin by 130 basis points year-over-year [5] - Skillsoft is trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 0.96, significantly lower than its median of 2.82, indicating a more attractive valuation for investors [13] Duolingo (DUOL) - Duolingo integrates AI into its core business model, which has driven a 30% year-over-year increase in daily active users and a 28% rise in paid subscribers [6] - However, the outlook for 2026 shows a concerning decline in growth, with management projecting an 11% year-over-year increase in bookings, down from 33% in 2025 [7] - The company anticipates a decrease in adjusted EBITDA margin to 25% for 2026 from 29.5% in 2025, raising concerns about margin compression [9] - Duolingo is facing challenges in achieving virality, which could hinder its growth trajectory [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Duolingo's fiscal 2026 sales is $512.2 million, reflecting a 3.6% decline from the previous year, with EPS expected to drop by 3.7% [11] Comparative Analysis - Skillsoft presents a deep-value proposition with its AI-first model and strategic pivot, while Duolingo's premium valuation of 28.06X raises concerns given its declining growth prospects for 2026 [16][17] - Skillsoft is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), while Duolingo holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) [17]
DUOL INVESTIGATION ALERT: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Investigates Claims on Behalf of Investors of Duolingo
Globenewswire· 2026-02-27 17:58
Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Securities Litigation Partner James (Josh) Wilson Encourages Investors Who Suffered Significant Losses In Duolingo To Contact Him Directly To Discuss Their Options If you suffered significant losses in Duolingo stock or options and would like to discuss your legal rights, call Faruqi & Faruqi partner Josh Wilson directly at 877-247-4292 or 212-983-9330 (Ext. 1310). [You may also click here for additional information] NEW YORK, Feb. 27, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP, a l ...
Duolingo Bets on User Growth to Outpace AI Disruption
PYMNTS.com· 2026-02-27 17:01
Duolingo said Thursday (Feb. 27) that it plans to shift its focus from financial growth to user growth amid a challenge posed by artificial intelligence.By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions .Complete the form to unlock this article and enjoy unlimited free access to all PYMNTS content — no additional logins required.Louis von Ahn ...
美股异动|多邻国大跌超14%,第一季度和全年预订量展望低于预期
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-27 16:26
格隆汇2月27日|语言学习平台多邻国(DUOL.US)大跌超14%,报100.4美元。消息面上,多邻国公布,去年第四季度营收同比增长35%至2.829亿美元,经调 整EBITDA为8430万美元,均超过市场预期。期内,日活用户同比增长30%至5270万,为四年来最慢增速。 展望第一季度,公司预计营收为2.885亿美元,经调整EBITDA约为7360万美元,分别低于市场普遍预期的2.918亿美元和8400万美元。多邻国为推动订户增 长将加大人工智能投资,短期盈利增速及利润率将放缓。业绩公布后,Needham将对多邻国的目标价从300美元砍半至145美元。 ...
多邻国大跌超14%,第一季度和全年预订量展望低于预期
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-27 16:15
语言学习平台多邻国(DUOL.US)大跌超14%,报100.4美元。消息面上,多邻国公布,去年第四季度营 收同比增长35%至2.829亿美元,经调整EBITDA为8430万美元,均超过市场预期。期内,日活用户同比 增长30%至5270万,为四年来最慢增速。 展望第一季度,公司预计营收为2.885亿美元,经调整EBITDA 约为7360万美元,分别低于市场普遍预期的2.918亿美元和8400万美元。多邻国为推动订户增长将加大 人工智能投资,短期盈利增速及利润率将放缓。业绩公布后,Needham将对多邻国的目标价从300美元 砍半至145美元。(格隆汇) ...
Duolingo shares drop sharply on guidance miss
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2026-02-27 16:11
Company Overview - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team operates from key finance and investing hubs including London, New York, Toronto, Vancouver, Sydney, and Perth [2] Expertise and Focus Areas - The company specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive delivers news and insights across various sectors including biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is recognized for its forward-looking approach and enthusiastic adoption of technology to enhance workflows [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]