Shares of EuroDry (EDRY) have gained 27.6% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $16.9, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $22.83 indicates a potential upside of 35.1%.The mean estimate comprises three short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $2.57. While the lowest estimate of $20.00 indicates an 18.3% increase from the current ...

EuroDry (NasdaqCM:EDRY) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 20, 2026 08:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsAristides Pittas - CEOTasos Aslidis - CFOConference Call ParticipantsHans Baldauf - AnalystPoe Fratt - Equity research AnalystTate Sullivan - MD and Senior Research AnalystOperatorThank you for standing by, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to EuroDry Limited conference call for the fourth quarter 2025 financial results. We have with us today Mr. Aristides Pittas, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Mr. Tas ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, total net revenues were $17.4 million, a 19.9% increase from $14.5 million in Q4 2024 [26] - Net income attributable to controlling shareholders was $3.2 million, with earnings per diluted share of $1.14 [3] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $7.5 million, compared to $1.85 million in Q4 2024, marking an increase of over 300% [28] - For the full year 2025, total net revenues were $52.3 million, a 14.4% decrease from $61.1 million in 2024 [30] - Adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2025 was $12.55 million, a 33% increase from $9.4 million in 2024 [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company sold the M/V Eirini P. for $8.5 million, resulting in a gain of nearly $1 million, as part of its fleet renewal strategy [5] - The average time charter equivalent rate for Q4 2025 was $16,260 per day, significantly higher than $12,201 per day in Q4 2024 [34] - The fleet currently consists of 11 vessels with an average age of approximately 14 years, and two Ultramax vessels under construction [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Panamax spot rates declined from approximately $14,600 per day in Q4 2025 to about $9,650 per day by late December, before recovering to roughly $13,500 per day [10] - The Baltic Dry Index and the Baltic Panamax Index recorded year-over-year increases of approximately 47% and 52% respectively [11] - The global economy is projected to grow by 3.3% in 2026, with trade growth in the dry bulk sector expected at 1.9% in 2026 [12][14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined capital allocation, operational efficiency, and delivering profits for shareholders [24] - There is an ongoing strategy to increase longer-term charters if market rates continue to rise [6] - The company is considering selling older vessels and potentially acquiring more modern ships as part of its fleet renewal strategy [60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the strengthening market but acknowledged uncertainties related to geopolitical developments and trade dynamics [56] - The company expects the average rate for 2026 to potentially be similar to 2025, with hopes for higher rates [57] - There are concerns about the impact of ongoing geopolitical tensions and trade frictions on the global economy [12] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased 334,000 shares for a total of $5.3 million as part of its share repurchase plan [4] - The cash flow breakeven rate for Q4 2025 was $13,231, compared to $11,259 for Q4 2024 [35] - The estimated net asset value per share exceeds $48, indicating significant potential upside for shareholders [42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Satisfaction with the joint venture with NRP Partners - Management expressed satisfaction with the joint venture and indicated a willingness to pursue more such deals in the future [46] Question: Cargo breakdown for the fleet - Management offered to provide data on the cargo breakdown for the fleet offline [48] Question: Coal demand compared to other commodities - Management noted that coal consumption has stabilized but is expected to decrease as a percentage of energy mix in the future [50] Question: Fixed rate coverage for 2026 - Management indicated that expanding coverage depends on market evolution and expressed willingness to fix more long-term charters [54] Question: Fleet renewal and modernization strategy - Management has not made fixed decisions regarding the sale of older vessels but is continuously discussing the strategy [60] Question: Changes to reported numbers for Q4 2024 - Management clarified that a claim was recognized in Q4 2025, which was included in the audited results [65]

Earnings Presentation Quarter Ended December 31, 2025 1 February 20, 2026 38 – 138 – 222 22 – 90 – 144 149 – 55 – 53 192 – 0 – 0 217 – 217 – 217 This presentation shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy securities, nor shall there be any sale of securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. 2 38 – 138 – 222 220 – 230 – 242 242 – 242 – 242 154 – 172 – 204 Forward/Looking Statement ...

Core Viewpoint - EuroDry (EDRY) reported quarterly earnings of $0.87 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.78 per share, and showing a significant improvement from a loss of $0.25 per share a year ago [1] Financial Performance - The company achieved revenues of $17.39 million for the quarter ended December 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.29% and increasing from $14.51 million in the same quarter last year [2] - EuroDry has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times over the last four quarters [2] Stock Performance - EuroDry shares have increased approximately 26.7% since the beginning of the year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.5% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for future stock performance, with current consensus EPS estimates at $0.22 on $13.78 million in revenues for the coming quarter and $2.82 on $60.76 million in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] - The estimate revisions trend for EuroDry was favorable ahead of the earnings release, resulting in a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6] Industry Context - The Transportation - Shipping industry, to which EuroDry belongs, is currently in the top 25% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting a positive outlook for stocks within this sector [8]

Core Insights - EuroDry Ltd. reported a profitable fourth quarter of 2025, with net income attributable to controlling shareholders of $3.2 million, contrasting with a net loss of $6.2 million in the same period of 2024 [6][21][24] - The company experienced a 19.9% increase in total net revenues for Q4 2025, reaching $17.4 million, driven by higher time charter rates despite a decrease in the average number of vessels operated [10][24] - For the full year 2025, total net revenues decreased by 14.4% to $52.3 million, attributed to a lower number of vessels operated and reduced time charter equivalent rates [24][36] Fourth Quarter 2025 Highlights - Average time charter equivalent rate for Q4 2025 was $16,262 per day, a 33.3% increase compared to Q4 2024 [10][22] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $7.5 million, significantly up from $1.8 million in Q4 2024 [9][22] - The company operated an average of 11.2 vessels in Q4 2025, down from 13.0 vessels in Q4 2024 [8][10] Full Year 2025 Highlights - Average time charter equivalent rate for the full year 2025 was $11,642 per day, down from $13,039 per day in 2024 [24] - Adjusted EBITDA for the full year 2025 was $12.5 million, compared to $9.4 million in 2024 [37] - The company reported a net loss attributable to controlling shareholders of $4.3 million for the full year 2025, an improvement from a net loss of $12.6 million in 2024 [36][38] Operational Insights - Total vessel operating expenses for Q4 2025 were $6.2 million, a decrease from $6.6 million in Q4 2024, primarily due to a lower number of vessels operated [12][26] - The company has initiated a strategy shift to secure longer-term charters as market rates strengthen, with a recent one-year time charter for an Ultramax vessel at $15,500 per day [7][8] - As of December 31, 2025, the company had outstanding debt of $103.7 million and cash reserves of $25.7 million [9][65] Fleet Profile - EuroDry's fleet consists of 11 dry bulk vessels with a total deadweight tonnage of 766,420 [40] - The company has two Ultramax vessels under construction, expected to be delivered in 2027 [42][43] - The average daily results indicate a fleet utilization rate of 99.6% for Q4 2025, reflecting efficient deployment of vessels [44][49]

Core Viewpoint - EuroDry Ltd. is set to release its financial results for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, on February 19, 2026, after market closes in New York [1] Group 1: Financial Results Announcement - The financial results will be discussed in a conference call and webcast on February 20, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time [2] - Participants can join the call by dialing in 10 minutes before the scheduled time using specific numbers provided [3] - An audio webcast of the conference call will be available live and archived on the company's website [5] Group 2: Company Overview - EuroDry Ltd. was formed on January 8, 2018, to consolidate the drybulk fleet of Euroseas Ltd. into a separate public company and trades on NASDAQ under the ticker EDRY [7] - The company operates in the dry cargo, drybulk shipping market, managed by Eurobulk Ltd., which handles day-to-day operations [8] - EuroDry has a fleet of 11 vessels with a total cargo capacity of 766,420 dwt, and plans to expand to 13 vessels with a capacity of 893,420 dwt after the delivery of two Ultramax vessels in 2027 [9]

Core Viewpoint - EuroDry (EDRY) has received a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) upgrade due to a positive trend in earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on the Zacks Consensus Estimate, which reflects EPS estimates from sell-side analysts for the current and following years [1][2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements, influenced by institutional investors who adjust their valuations based on these estimates [4]. Company Performance and Investor Sentiment - The upgrade indicates an improvement in EuroDry's underlying business, suggesting that investors may respond positively by driving the stock price higher [5]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for EuroDry has increased by 93.2%, indicating a significant upward revision in earnings expectations [8]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - EuroDry's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [10].

Core Viewpoint - EuroDry (EDRY) is anticipated to report a year-over-year increase in earnings due to higher revenues for the quarter ending December 2025, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant potential impact on the stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts quarterly earnings of $0.78 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +412% [3]. - Expected revenues are projected to be $16.51 million, which is a 13.8% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2100% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for EuroDry aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative reading indicates the likely deviation of actual earnings from the consensus estimate, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [9][10]. - EuroDry currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1, but the combination with an Earnings ESP of 0% complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, EuroDry was expected to post a loss of $0.15 per share but instead reported a loss of -$0.23, resulting in a surprise of -53.33% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While EuroDry is not positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, investors are advised to consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of its earnings release [17].

Core Insights - The webinar featured key executives from major companies in the dry bulk shipping sector, discussing market dynamics and strategic considerations [1] Group 1: Company Strategies - Wah Kwong Maritime Services employs a strategy that balances spot and time charters based on market views and risk management [2] - EuroDry focuses on mid-sized dry bulk segments, avoiding smaller Handysize and larger Capesize vessels, and emphasizes a balanced fleet post-merger with Eagle Bulk Shipping [3] - Pangaea Logistics Solutions prioritizes customer needs, utilizing voyage charter contracts and long-term COAs while mixing spot market activity with contracted cargoes [4] Group 2: Financial Management - EuroDry advocates for a medium leverage strategy targeting approximately 50% loan-to-value to enhance equity returns while remaining resilient during downturns [5] - Pangaea's debt to fair market value is around 40-45%, indicating a comfortable leverage level, while Star Bulk focuses on using cash flow for stock buybacks rather than increasing leverage [6] Group 3: Market Outlook - The dry bulk shipping market experienced volatility, with a weak first half of the year followed by a stronger second half, leading to cautious optimism among executives [7] - Forecasts suggest a modest market correction, with geopolitical factors becoming increasingly significant in influencing freight rates, which are expected to remain stable with a potential variance of 20%-25% [8] - Optimism remains regarding strong volumes for coal, grain, and minor bulks, despite concerns over coal demand due to warm weather [9][10] Group 4: Fleet and Order Book - The newbuild order book is considered manageable, with Kamsarmax at approximately 14% and Ultramax at 11.5%, well within historical norms [11] - Shifts in Chinese demand, particularly in steel exports and power demand from AI data centers, are creating beneficial long-haul shipping demand for raw materials and finished steel [12]