Group 1 - The analyst has over 10 years of experience researching more than 1000 companies across various sectors including commodities and technology [1] - The focus has shifted from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, covering hundreds of companies [1] - The analyst expresses a particular interest in metals and mining stocks, while also being comfortable with consumer discretionary, REITs, and utilities [1]

Group 1 - EOG Resources, Inc. is considered one of the best very cheap stocks to invest in, with recent ratings from analysts maintaining a Hold rating while adjusting price targets [1][2] - The company's fiscal Q3 2025 results showed a revenue decrease of 1.98% year-over-year to $5.85 billion, although it exceeded estimates by $260.39 million, and EPS of $2.71 topped consensus by $0.26 [2][3] - Management attributed the revenue decline to lower NGL and natural gas prices compared to Q2 2025, but higher crude oil and condensate prices helped the company surpass estimates [2][3] Group 2 - Analyst Mark Lear from Piper Sandler noted that despite the company exceeding estimates, the overall oil macro environment remains challenging, and the gas equity rally may have advanced too far [3] - EOG Resources primarily operates in major US basins and Trinidad, focusing on crude oil and natural gas exploration and production [3]

Core Insights - EOG Resources, Inc. is recognized as one of the 15 Best Stocks to Buy for the Medium Term [1] - Piper Sandler has reduced its price target for EOG from $129 to $124 while maintaining a Neutral rating, citing solid sector performance but concerns about the broader oil macro environment [2] - EOG reported Q3 2025 revenue of $5.85 billion, a nearly 2% decline year-over-year, with adjusted net income of $1.5 billion or $2.71 per share [2] Financial Performance - EOG generated $1.4 billion in free cash flow during Q3 2025 [2] - The company paid $545 million in regular dividends and repurchased $440 million worth of shares [2] - Oil, gas, and NGL volumes exceeded guidance midpoints, supported by higher volumes and lower-than-expected per-unit cash operating costs and DD&A [3] Company Overview - EOG Resources, Inc. is an independent oil and gas producer focused on exploring, developing, producing, and marketing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids [3]

Core Insights - EOG Resources, Inc. has garnered significant hedge fund interest and is listed among the top 12 commodity stocks to buy currently [1] - RBC Capital maintains a price target of $145 for EOG Resources, reflecting a bullish outlook [2] Financial Performance - EOG Resources reported a net income of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $1.4 billion for Q3 [2] - The company achieved an adjusted EPS of $2.71 and adjusted operating cash flow per share of $5.57 [2] - EOG's quarterly dividend payments reached a record high of nearly $550 million, with regular dividends increasing by 8% year-over-year [2] Shareholder Returns - EOG Resources committed $1 billion to dividends and share repurchases during the quarter [2] - Buybacks amounted to nearly $450 million [2] Financial Guidance - The company raised its free cash flow guidance to $4.5 billion [2] - EOG ended the quarter with $3.5 billion in cash and $7.7 billion in long-term debt [2] Operational Resilience - EOG Resources remains confident in its operational resilience despite short-term oil supply challenges, supported by a robust portfolio including the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, Utica, and emerging gas plays [2]

Market Overview - The current market environment is characterized by changing global supply, demand, and investor sentiment, with precious metals leading gains alongside industrial metals, as indicated by a 10% increase in the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) as of November 19, 2025 [2] - Four out of six BCOM sectors reported gains in Q3, while petroleum rose by 4%, with grains and energy sectors being exceptions [2] - China's major commodity imports eased in October, with iron ore showing resilience despite declines in crude oil, natural gas, and coal [3] - The World Bank's Commodity Markets Outlook predicts a 7% decline in global commodity prices in 2026 due to subdued economic activity, trade tensions, and excess oil supplies, while precious metals are expected to grow by 5% [4] LNG Supply Growth - Global LNG supply is projected to grow by 10.2% in 2026, driven by U.S. expansions, with capacity expected to rise to 130 million tons in 2026 from 90 million tons in 2024 [5] Investment Strategy - The list of the 12 best commodity stocks is curated based on hedge fund interest, utilizing data from Insider Monkey's hedge fund database, which tracks 983 stocks as of Q2 2025 [8] - Research indicates that imitating top stock picks of leading hedge funds can lead to market outperformance [9] Company Highlights Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. (NYSE:APD) - Air Products and Chemicals, Inc. is among the top commodity stocks, with 53 hedge fund holders [11] - The company reported Q4 FY25 EPS of $3.39, slightly above the forecast of $3.38, with a full-year EPS of $12.03, down 3% year-over-year [13] - Management highlighted a focus on cost-reset strategies, including a 16% workforce reduction, and stable operating margins at 23.7% [13] - The NEOM green hydrogen project is nearly 90% complete, with expectations for ammonia output in 2027 [14] EOG Resources, Inc. (NYSE:EOG) - EOG Resources, Inc. also has 53 hedge fund holders and maintained a price target of $145 with a "Buy" rating [16] - The company reported Q3 net income of $1.5 billion and free cash flow of $1.4 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.71 [17] - EOG returned $1 billion to shareholders through dividends and repurchases, with regular dividend payments increasing by 8% year-over-year [18] - The company raised its free cash flow guidance to $4.5 billion, ending the quarter with $3.5 billion in cash [19] The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) - The Mosaic Company has 54 hedge fund holders and received a "Buy" rating from Goldman Sachs, with a lowered price target from $37 to $33 [21][22] - The company reported Q3 net income of $411 million, up from $122 million year-over-year, and adjusted EBITDA of $806 million [23] - Mosaic aims to achieve $250 million in cost savings by 2026, having already recorded $150 million in reductions [25]

Core Viewpoint - EOG Resources, Inc. has experienced a decline in share value, losing over 15% over the past year, resulting in shares being near a 52-week low despite recent market movements [1] Company Performance - EOG Resources, Inc. shares have underperformed, with a significant drop of over 15% in value over the last year [1] - The current share price is close to a 52-week low, indicating a challenging market position for the company [1] Market Context - The broader market has recently shown positive movements, contrasting with the poor performance of EOG Resources, Inc. shares [1]

Group 1 - The article does not provide any specific content or key points related to a company or industry [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, EOG Resources reported $1.4 billion in free cash flow, $1.5 billion in net income, and $1 billion returned to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases [6][14][16] - Adjusted earnings per share were $2.71, and adjusted cash flow from operations per share was $5.57 [14] - The company has committed to returning nearly 90% of its estimated 2025 free cash flow, including $2.2 billion in dividends and $1.8 billion in share repurchases [6][17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Oil, natural gas, and NGL volumes exceeded guidance midpoints, while capital expenditures and cash operating costs were below guidance midpoints [6][19] - The Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Utica remain foundational assets driving strong returns, with emerging plays like Dorado and Powder River Basin showing improved well performance [7][8][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates continued inventory builds in the oil market due to spare capacity returning, with a cautious near-term outlook but a constructive medium-term view [12][34] - For natural gas, EOG expects structural bullish drivers from record LNG feed gas demand and growing electricity demand, supporting price stability [12][35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - EOG's strategy focuses on capital discipline, operational excellence, sustainability, and culture, with a commitment to generating sustainable free cash flow [6][11][28] - The acquisition of Encino enhances EOG's portfolio, diversifying production and accelerating free cash flow generation [5][14] - The company is exploring international opportunities in the UAE and Bahrain, aiming to leverage its technical expertise [9][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to navigate a dynamic market environment, emphasizing the importance of operational improvements and cost reductions [11][12][19] - The outlook for 2026 remains cautious, with expectations of no to low oil growth in the near term but continued investment in gas plays [46][48] Other Important Information - EOG has maintained a pristine balance sheet with a leverage target of less than 1 times total debt to EBITDA, providing flexibility for investments [11][15] - The company has returned over $20 billion to investors through dividends and share repurchases over the past five years [17][18] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: Can you unpack your macro view on oil and gas? - Management maintains a cautious near-term view on oil due to spare capacity but is bullish on medium-term supply-demand balances, particularly for natural gas driven by LNG demand and electricity growth [32][34][35] Question: How is the Delaware Basin performing amid concerns about productivity? - Management reassured that Delaware Basin wells are performing as designed, with significant cost reductions and efficiency gains achieved through innovation [37][39][41] Question: What are the considerations for 2026 capital expenditures? - Management indicated that the Q4 run rate is a good starting point for 2026, with continued investment in gas plays and international opportunities [45][46][50] Question: How will free cash flow be allocated post-Encino acquisition? - The company plans to maintain a minimum commitment of 70% of free cash flow to shareholders, with flexibility to exceed this based on market conditions [60][61][90] Question: Can you provide insights on the Utica's base production performance? - Management noted that integration efforts and operational momentum have led to improved performance in the Utica, with efficiency gains from high-intensity completion designs [92]

Core Insights - EOG Resources, Inc. reported third-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $2.71, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.43, but down from $2.89 in the same quarter last year [1][8] - Total quarterly revenues were $5.85 billion, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.95 billion and declining from $5.97 billion in the prior-year quarter [1][8] Operational Performance - Total production volumes increased by 21% year over year to 119.7 million barrels of oil equivalent (MMBoe), driven by contributions from the Delaware Basin, Eagle Ford, and Utica [4] - Crude oil and condensate production reached 534.5 thousand barrels per day (MBbls/d), an increase of 8.4% from the previous year, surpassing estimates [4] - NGL volumes rose by 21.6% year over year to 309.3 MBbls/d, exceeding estimates [5] - Natural gas volumes increased to 2,745 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d), up from 1,970 MMcf/d a year earlier, also beating estimates [5] - Average price realization for crude oil and condensates fell by 14.3% year over year to $65.95 per barrel, while natural gas prices improved by nearly 37% to $2.80 per Mcf [5][8] Operating Costs - Lease and well expenses rose to $431 million from $392 million a year ago [6] - Gathering, processing, and transportation costs increased to $587 million from $445 million in the prior year [6] - Total operating expenses for the quarter were $4.01 billion, up from $3.88 billion a year ago [6] Liquidity Position & Capital Expenditure - As of September 30, 2025, EOG had cash and cash equivalents of $3.5 billion and long-term debt of $7.7 billion [7] - The company generated $1.4 billion in free cash flow during the quarter, with capital expenditures amounting to $1.65 billion [7] Guidance - For 2025, EOG expects total production between 1,211.5 to 1,234.4 MBoe/d and anticipates fourth-quarter production of 1,346.4-1,386.3 MBoe/d [9]

Financial Performance & Capital Allocation - EOG's strategy delivers peer-leading Return on Capital Employed[8] - EOG is committed to returning a minimum of 70% of annual Free Cash Flow[4] - In 2024, EOG returned $53 Billion or 98% of annual Free Cash Flow to shareholders[16] - EOG's marketing strategy provides a competitive advantage through diverse markets[31] Operational Excellence & Efficiency - EOG's decentralized structure provides a broad footprint for learnings, innovation, & technology transfer[23] - In 2024, average well costs were reduced by 6% due to operational excellence[25] - In 2024, total production increased by 8% due to operational excellence[25] - EOG achieved an outstanding cash recycle ratio of 45x at $65 oil[26] Sustainability & Emissions Reduction - EOG is committed to safe operations, leading environmental performance, and community engagement[4] - EOG aims to reduce GHG emissions intensity rate by 25% from 2019 levels by 2030, targeting 147 metric tons CO2e/MBoe[51][52] - EOG is targeting near-zero methane emissions, aiming for 020% or less between 2025-2030[58][62]