Group 1 - First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) has experienced a 30% decline over the past year, attributed to a general downturn in solar stocks and concerns regarding the potential elimination of tax credit benefits by the Trump administration [1] - The negative sentiment surrounding First Solar has been compounded by broader market trends affecting the solar industry [1] Group 2 - MMMT Wealth, led by Oliver, a CPA with experience in private equity, hedge funds, and asset management, focuses on investment strategies and stock analysis [1] - Oliver's investment approach emphasizes gathering insights from various sources, including investor calls and financial reports, with a long-term perspective of 3-5 years [1] - Despite having 5 years of investing experience and 4 years as a CPA, Oliver is dedicated to researching top businesses, believing that even a few successful investments can be life-changing [1]

First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) is scheduled to release first-quarter 2025 results on April 29, after market close. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter revenues is pegged at $851.9 million, implying a 7.3% improvement from the year-ago reported figure. The consensus mark for earnings is pegged at $2.49 per share, suggesting a 13.2% increase from $2.20 reported in the prior-year quarter. The bottom-line estimate has, however, moved down 34.1% in the past 60 days. (Find the latest EPS estimates and surpri ...

As clean energy investments continue to escalate worldwide, solar power has emerged as the fastest-growing energy source, brightening the growth prospects for key industry players like First Solar (FSLR) and Canadian Solar (CSIQ) . As investor interest in green energy escalates, these two solar giants offer compelling yet contrasting opportunities worth exploring.While First Solar, a U.S.-based company, specializes in manufacturing advanced thin-film photovoltaic (PV) solar modules and focuses on deploying ...

Analyst's Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, but may initiate a beneficial Long position through a purchase of the stock, or the purchase of call options or similar derivatives in FSLR over the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking ...

Core Viewpoint - First Solar has shown resilience amid market volatility, with its stock price increasing by approximately 4.5% while the S&P 500 declined by about 7% in early April 2025, despite a year-to-date decline of over 28% [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - First Solar's stock has struggled over the past several quarters, down more than 28% year-to-date and 25% over the past 12 months leading up to April 8 [2]. - The company has an attractive valuation with a price-to-sales ratio of 3.3 and a forward P/E ratio of 10.0, alongside strong fundamentals such as a return on equity (ROE) of 17.6% and net margins of 32.4% [3]. - In Q4, First Solar reported a 30.7% year-over-year net sales improvement, with gross profit increasing by over 13% [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The sell-off in First Solar shares over the past year is attributed to a shift in investor focus from solar energy to nuclear and other energy sources, following initial excitement about AI-driven energy demand [4]. - Despite the medium-term decline, First Solar's stock price has more than tripled over the last five years [5]. Group 3: Competitive Advantage - First Solar operates primarily within the U.S., making it less susceptible to tariffs compared to competitors reliant on Southeast Asian materials, which have been significantly impacted by recent tariffs [7]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from strong momentum in solar energy capacity growth, with about 50 gigawatts added to the U.S. power grid in 2024, the highest in nearly two decades [9]. Group 4: Analyst Sentiment - Analysts maintain a positive outlook on First Solar, with a 12-month stock price forecast of $257.42, indicating a potential upside of 98.58% from the current price [10]. - The consensus among analysts includes 25 Buy ratings and only three Holds, reflecting optimism about the company's earnings growth, projected at 56.1% [11]. - Despite recent price target reductions by some firms, the overall sentiment remains bullish, suggesting a potential turnaround for First Solar [12].

Group 1 - First Solar was initially covered by an analyst, but the stock underperformed the S&P by almost 20% [1] - The analyst has a background in mechanical engineering and has transitioned from the oil and gas sector to focus on global equities, particularly in semiconductors, robotics, and energy [2] - The investment approach emphasizes growth at a reasonable price with a mid- to long-term investment horizon [2] Group 2 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in First Solar shares through various means [2] - The article aims to provide small investors with valuable investment ideas [2] - The analyst's experience suggests that risks in smaller companies are often underestimated, leading to a preference for companies in oligopolistic sectors with high barriers to entry [2]

Core Insights - The article discusses the investment strategies and achievements of Paul Franke, a seasoned investor with 38 years of trading experience, highlighting his unique stock selection methods and performance metrics [1]. Group 1: Investment Strategies - Paul Franke employs a contrarian stock selection style, utilizing daily algorithm analysis of fundamental and technical data to identify investment opportunities [1]. - His system, named "Victory Formation," focuses on supply/demand imbalances indicated by specific stock price and volume movements [1]. - The "Bottom Fishing Club" articles target deep-value candidates or stocks showing significant upward technical momentum reversals [1]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - Franke was consistently ranked among the top investment advisors nationally during the 1990s and achieved the 1 position in the Motley Fool® CAPS stock picking contest in 2008 and 2009, out of over 60,000 portfolios [1]. - As of September 2024, he is ranked in the Top 3% of bloggers by TipRanks® for 12-month stock picking performance over the last decade [1]. Group 3: Risk Management - Franke advises investors to implement stop-loss levels of 10% or 20% on individual stock choices and to maintain a diversified portfolio of at least 50 well-positioned stocks to enhance regular stock market outperformance [1].

Group 1 - The Quant Rating for First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR) is a neutral Hold, indicating a balanced outlook on the stock [1] - Valuation and financial growth for First Solar remain strong, but there are concerns regarding the lack of momentum in share prices and several downward earnings revisions [1] Group 2 - The analyst has over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management, specializing in equity valuation and market trends [1] - The investment approach combines risk management with long-term value creation, focusing on macroeconomic trends and corporate earnings [1]

Company Overview - First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) is a technology company that specializes in providing solar energy solutions globally by producing photovoltaic (PV) solar modules [1]. Stock Performance - Recently, the stock of First Solar has exhibited poor performance, which may be perceived as undervaluation [1]. Investment Background - The article discusses the author's background in algorithmic trading and macroeconomic topics, highlighting a conservative investment track record with a portfolio yield of 17.5% at the end of 2020 and a nearly flat performance in 2022 with a loss of only 0.16% [1]. - The author transitioned to a quantitative trading approach, achieving a portfolio yield of 12.84% last year with a beta of less than 0.6, indicating a lower risk profile [1]. Future Plans - The author plans to increase risk to enable higher yields on investments moving forward [1].

Core Viewpoint - First Solar Inc. (FSLR) has experienced a significant decline in share price, underperforming both the solar industry and broader market indices, which may present a buying opportunity for investors looking at long-term growth potential in the solar sector [1][2][3]. Company Performance - FSLR shares have dropped 28.2% year-to-date, compared to the Zacks solar industry's decline of 18.1% and the S&P 500's decline of 3.7% [1]. - The company has faced manufacturing challenges with its Series 7 modules, leading to substantial warranty charges, including a $56 million charge in Q4 2024, with future charges estimated between $56 million and $100 million [5][6]. - Despite the challenges, FSLR is expanding its manufacturing capacity, with a total installed nameplate production capacity of approximately 21 GW and plans for an additional 4 GW expansion [7][8]. Industry Context - The International Energy Agency projects that solar photovoltaic (PV) will become the leading renewable electricity source by 2030, indicating a growing market for solar energy [3]. - The rapid expansion of manufacturing capacity in China and Southeast Asia has created supply-demand imbalances, impacting FSLR's operating results and investor sentiment [6]. Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for FSLR's long-term earnings growth rate is 37.4%, with near-term revenue and earnings estimates showing improvements of 6.7% and 23.2% respectively for Q1 2025 [10][11]. - Annual estimates for 2025 indicate a 56.2% increase in earnings and a 31.2% increase in revenues compared to 2024 [12]. Valuation - FSLR's forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 2.35X, significantly higher than the peer group's average of 0.86X, suggesting that investors are paying a premium for expected sales growth [15].