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Genius Sports (GENI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-06 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a 24% growth in group revenue, reaching a record high adjusted EBITDA margin of 29% in the second quarter [4][25] - Full year guidance has been raised to $645 million in revenue and $135 million in adjusted EBITDA, reflecting continued business momentum [4][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Betting revenue increased by 30% year-on-year to $88 million, driven by price increases from contract renewals and expansion of value-added services like BetVision [22] - Media revenue returned to growth, increasing 4% year-on-year to $19 million, with expectations for stronger growth in the second half of the year [22][27] - Sports tech revenue grew by 22% year-on-year to $13 million, as leagues utilize Genius IQ for various applications [23] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company secured exclusive data and streaming rights to Serie A, enhancing its position in the European market, which is the largest in terms of annual gross gaming revenue [9][11] - The exclusive rights to the European leagues from IMG Arena were acquired, giving the company a leading position in European soccer [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to distribute its technology globally across stadiums and leagues, focusing on enhancing fan engagement and monetization opportunities [5][12] - Recent partnerships and technology deployments are expected to create a sustainable long-term model with high barriers to entry [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to maintain consistent long-term revenue growth and margin expansion, targeting at least a 30% EBITDA margin [18][27] - The evolving rights market is seen as shifting competitive dynamics in favor of the company, validating its strategic approach [12][17] Other Important Information - A transition in the CFO position was announced, with Brian Castellani joining as the new CFO, bringing extensive media experience [19][20] - The company is exploring potential M&A opportunities while maintaining a disciplined approach to cash management [82][85] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of ESPN and NFL tie-up on technology offerings - Management views the ESPN and NFL partnership positively, expecting it to enhance media technology offerings [30][32] Question: Revenue potential of Fanhub and marketing platform - Management believes the media business could eventually exceed the size of the betting business in the long term [34][36] Question: Financial expectations for new contracts in European leagues - Management confirmed that new contracts are expected to generate positive returns and are immediately accretive to EBITDA [39][41] Question: Guidance increase related to new league partnerships - The guidance increase incorporates both new partnerships and organic growth trends in the betting segment [53][55] Question: Market share increase with new partnerships - Management indicated that market share is increasing, particularly in European soccer, with a strong position in the market [90][94] Question: Incremental revenue opportunities from Genius IQ - The technology deployed in Genius IQ offers various use cases, which are expected to capture significant parts of the European soccer market [96]
Genius Sports (GENI) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-08-06 12:00
Financial Performance - Group revenue increased by 24% year-on-year to $119 million in Q2 2025, driven by 30% growth in Betting revenue[12] - Group Adjusted EBITDA reached a record $34 million in Q2 2025, a 64% increase year-on-year[12] - Group Adjusted EBITDA margin reached a record 29% in Q2 2025, representing a 700 bps expansion year-on-year[12] - The company is raising 2025 Group Revenue guidance from $620 million to $645 million, implying year-on-year growth of 26%[12] - The company is raising 2025 Group Adjusted EBITDA guidance from $125 million to $135 million, implying 57% year-on-year growth and ~410 bps of margin expansion to 21%[12] Business Expansion and Partnerships - The company expanded and extended its exclusive NFL partnership through the 2030 Super Bowl[12] - The company secured exclusive data & streaming rights to Serie A, previously held by Stats Perform[12] - The company secured exclusive data rights to the European Leagues, previously held by IMG Arena[12] Technology and Innovation - The company showcased cutting-edge GeniusIQ technology for the FIBA U19 Basketball World Cup[12] - The company is launching a new partnership with the Belgian Pro League to provide semi-automated offsides technology[12]
2 Soaring Growth Stocks That Could Climb Another 15% to 20%, According to Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-05 07:43
Group 1: O'Reilly Automotive - O'Reilly Automotive shares increased by 35% from the end of 2024 to August 1, 2023, with analysts predicting further growth [4][7] - Citigroup analyst Steven Zaccone raised the price target for O'Reilly stock to $114 per share, indicating a potential 15% gain over the next 12 months [4] - The company operates over 6,000 stores in the U.S., giving it a strong position in the automotive aftermarket and favorable pricing from suppliers [5] - Sales to professional mechanics rose by 7.9% year over year in the first half of 2025, highlighting the company's competitive advantage [6] Group 2: Genius Sports - Genius Sports shares also gained 35% from the end of 2024 to August 1, 2023, with analysts forecasting further increases [9] - Truist Financial analyst Barry Jonas set a buy rating and a price target of $14, suggesting a potential 20% rise over the next 12 months [9] - The company has secured important partnerships, including an exclusive deal with the NFL for real-time statistics and betting data [10] - Management expects sales to grow by 21% this year, with adjusted EBITDA projected to reach $125 million, a 46% increase year over year [11]
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Moves 10.6% Higher: Will This Strength Last?
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 18:16
Company Overview - Genius Sports Limited (GENI) shares increased by 10.6% to $11.25 in the last trading session, with a higher-than-average trading volume, contrasting with a 0.7% gain over the past four weeks [1] - The company is experiencing growth due to expanding partnerships, innovative product launches such as BetVision and SAOT, and the integration of GeniusIQ technology across sports ecosystems [1] Earnings Expectations - Genius Sports is projected to report quarterly earnings of $0.00 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +100% [2] - Expected revenues are $118.04 million, which is a 23.7% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Earnings Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate for Genius Sports has been revised 145.2% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive trend that typically correlates with stock price appreciation [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting favorable market sentiment [3] Industry Comparison - Genius Sports is part of the Zacks Internet - Content industry, where Yelp (YELP) also operates, closing 0.6% higher at $34.9, but has seen a -1.4% return over the past month [3] - Yelp's consensus EPS estimate remains unchanged at $0.48, representing an -11.1% change compared to the previous year, and it also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4]
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:06
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Genius Sports Limited (GENI) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on August 6, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.00, indicating a year-over-year change of +100% [3][19]. - Revenues are projected to be $118.04 million, reflecting a 23.7% increase from the same quarter last year [3][19]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 145.21% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a significant reassessment by analysts [4][19]. - Despite the positive revision trend, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the consensus, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -875.19%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12][19]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, but the predictive power is stronger for positive readings [9][10]. - Genius Sports Limited's combination of a negative Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12][20]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Genius Sports Limited had an expected loss of $0.05 per share but reported a loss of -$0.03, resulting in a surprise of +40.00% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has only surpassed consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Conclusion - While the company is not positioned as a compelling earnings-beat candidate, investors should consider various factors beyond earnings expectations when evaluating the stock [17][20].
Does Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Have the Potential to Rally 26.06% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Genius Sports Limited (GENI) has shown a 0.7% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $10.17, with a potential upside indicated by Wall Street analysts' price targets suggesting a mean estimate of $12.82, representing a 26.1% upside [1] Price Targets - The average of 17 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $11.00 to a high of $15.00, with a standard deviation of $1.13, indicating variability among analysts [2] - The lowest estimate suggests an 8.2% increase from the current price, while the highest estimate indicates a 47.5% upside [2] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have shown increasing optimism regarding GENI's earnings prospects, as evidenced by a strong consensus in revising EPS estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has risen by 6.2% over the past month, with one estimate increasing and no negative revisions [12] Zacks Rank - GENI holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating a strong potential for upside in the near term [13] Conclusion on Price Targets - While the consensus price target may not be a reliable measure of the extent of potential gains for GENI, it does provide a useful guide for the direction of price movement [14]
Are Computer and Technology Stocks Lagging Enovix Corporation (ENVX) This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-07-29 14:42
Group 1 - Enovix Corporation (ENVX) is currently outperforming its peers in the Computer and Technology sector with a year-to-date return of approximately 38.6%, compared to the sector average of 11.3% [4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ENVX's full-year earnings has increased by 3.5% over the past quarter, indicating improved analyst sentiment and earnings outlook [4] - Enovix Corporation holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting it is positioned to outperform the broader market in the near term [3] Group 2 - Enovix Corporation is part of the Electronics - Miscellaneous Products industry, which ranks 55 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average year-to-date gain of 14.8% [6] - Another notable stock in the Computer and Technology sector is Genius Sports Limited (GENI), which has returned 19.3% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [5] - The Internet - Content industry, to which Genius Sports Limited belongs, is currently ranked 175, with a year-to-date gain of 10.9% [6]
Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Surges 8.4%: Is This an Indication of Further Gains?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 14:41
Group 1: Company Overview - Genius Sports Limited (GENI) shares increased by 8.4% to close at $10.47, supported by high trading volume, contrasting with a 4.4% loss over the past four weeks [1] - The company is leveraging advanced technology solutions and partnerships with NCAA and the English Premier League, along with innovative products like GeniusIQ, BetVision, and SAOT, to drive revenue growth [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - Genius Sports is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 111.1% [2] - Revenue projections for the upcoming quarter are $118.96 million, which is a 24.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2] Group 3: Market Trends and Stock Performance - Trends in earnings estimate revisions are closely linked to short-term stock price movements, indicating potential strength in the stock [3] - The consensus EPS estimate for Genius Sports has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, suggesting that the stock's price may not continue to rise without earnings estimate revisions [4] - Genius Sports currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), while another company in the same industry, Perion Network, has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [4]
Gabelli Funds to Host 17th Annual Media & Entertainment Symposium Thursday, June 5, 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-05-12 12:00
Core Insights - Gabelli Funds will host its 17th Annual Media & Entertainment Symposium on June 5, 2025, at the Harvard Club in New York City, focusing on industry dynamics, current trends, and business fundamentals [1] - The symposium will include discussions on Sports Investing, Media & Telecom Regulatory issues, and Advertising Panels, providing a platform for attendees to engage with leading companies in the media ecosystem [1][3] - A webcast option will be available for those unable to attend in person, ensuring broader access to the discussions and insights shared during the event [1] Presenting Companies - Notable companies participating in one-on-one meetings include Atlanta Braves Holdings, AMC Networks, Lionsgate Studios, Churchill Downs, Nexstar Media Group, Genius Sports, Reservoir Media, Gray Television, Rogers Communications, Live Nation Entertainment, Sinclair Inc., Sportradar Group, TEGNA Inc., TKO Group, and The E.W. Scripps Company [2] Panel Discussions - The symposium will feature several panel discussions, including "Sports Investing: Ways to Play," a TV Bureau of Advertising (TVB) Panel, and a Media & Telecom Regulatory Expert Session led by former FCC Commissioner Rob McDowell [3]
Genius Sports (GENI) FY Conference Transcript
2025-05-09 15:15
Summary of Genius Sports Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Genius Sports - **Industry**: Sports technology and betting Key Highlights from Q1 Results - **Revenue Growth**: 20% year-on-year growth in revenue [5] - **EBITDA Growth**: EBITDA increased threefold, with strong incremental margins of 53% [5] - **Betting Revenue**: Betting revenue rose 44% year-on-year, despite headwinds in March [6] - **Guidance Reaffirmed**: Guidance for 21% revenue growth, 40% EBITDA growth, and a 20% margin [6] Strategic Developments - **NCAA Deal**: Recently announced a new deal with NCAA, enhancing strategic positioning [6] - **Semi-Automated Offsides Technology**: Implementation in the Premier League, showcasing technological advancements [6] - **Flywheel Concept**: Emphasizes the convergence of sports, betting, and media advertising, with Genius Sports' technology at the center [8] Betting Technology Insights - **Revenue Breakdown**: Revenue from revenue share contracts grew 65%, while minimum guarantees increased by 36% year-on-year [19] - **US Market Focus**: Majority of growth attributed to US sports books, with European markets also showing significant growth [14][15] - **In-Play Betting**: In-play betting is a key growth driver, with penetration expected to increase over time [39] Consumer Behavior and Market Resilience - **Consumer Resilience**: Betting is viewed as a form of entertainment, with historical data suggesting stability during economic downturns [27][28] - **Market Dynamics**: The shift from linear to digital advertising is creating opportunities for Genius Sports [67] Fanhub and Advertising Opportunities - **Fanhub Platform**: A self-serve platform for advertisers to engage with sports fans during key emotional moments [68] - **Unique Inventory Creation**: Genius Sports is focused on creating unique advertising inventory through its technology [76][80] - **Ad Spend Efficiency**: Brands can achieve higher returns on ad spend through Genius Sports compared to generalist platforms [71] Capital Allocation and M&A Strategy - **M&A Focus**: Priority remains on acquiring subscale, high-quality sports tech that is margin and cash accretive [110] - **Share Buyback**: A $100 million buyback authorization is in place, viewed as good housekeeping [108] League Rights and Margins - **League Renewals**: Upcoming renewals, including the EPL, are expected to maintain high margins without requiring additional rights [100][102] - **NCAA Deal Impact**: The NCAA deal is seen as accretive to margins and overall business strategy [104] Conclusion - Genius Sports is positioned for continued growth in the sports technology and betting industry, with strong Q1 results, strategic partnerships, and a focus on innovative advertising solutions. The company remains committed to maintaining high margins and exploring M&A opportunities to enhance its market position.