Market Overview - The price of bitcoin experienced a significant drop, nearing $60,000, marking one of its worst single-day declines in the past decade, although it rebounded to around $71,000 later in the week, with overall losses tracking in double digits [2] - Other cryptocurrencies, including altcoins like ether and solana, saw losses of approximately 25%, while Hyperliquid's native token was an exception, gaining about 11% [3] Company Impact - Shares of major crypto-related companies such as Coinbase Global (COIN), Robinhood (HOOD), and Circle (CRCL) also faced double-digit pullbacks, although they showed signs of recovery [5] - Gemini, a crypto exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins, announced plans to close overseas operations and reduce its workforce by 200 as part of a restructuring effort [5] Investor Sentiment - The Crypto Fear and Greed Index remains at "extreme fear" levels, indicating heightened anxiety among investors regarding digital assets [6] - Analysts have noted a correlation between bitcoin's recent performance and that of software stocks, contributing to concerns about the future of cryptocurrencies [7] ETF and Investment Trends - Bitcoin ETFs experienced approximately $1.25 billion in net outflows over three days, with $434 million occurring in a single day, although over 90% of assets under management in these funds have not been sold [8] - The average purchase price for bitcoin held in major ETFs is reported to be around $90,000, indicating that ETF holders are facing approximately $15 billion in unrealized losses [9]

🚨 🚨 🚨 1,020 #BTC (71,318,735 USD) transferred from #Robinhood to unknown wallethttps://t.co/Ca1oepYpxQ ...

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin-related stocks experienced a significant rebound as Bitcoin price recovered from a recent low of $60,000 to above $68,000 [1] Company Performance - Strategy (MSTR.US) saw an increase of over 14% [1] - Coinbase (COIN.US) rose by more than 6% [1] - Circle (CRCL.US) increased by over 9% [1] - Robinhood (HOOD.US) gained more than 11% [1] - Bitmine Immersion Technologies (BMNR.US) rose by over 9% [1]

Core Viewpoint - Robinhood Markets' transaction-based revenues are expected to show decent performance in Q4 2025, with a significant portion of total net revenues coming from these transactions [1][4]. Revenue Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Robinhood's transaction-based revenues is $809.9 million, reflecting a 20.5% increase year-over-year [4]. - Options transaction revenues are estimated at $315.3 million, indicating a growth of 42% [5]. - Equity transaction revenues are projected to rise by 42.3% to $86.8 million, while cryptocurrency transaction revenues are expected to decline by 19.8% to $287.1 million [5]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings per share is 62 cents, representing a 14.8% increase from the previous year [6]. - Total sales are expected to reach $1.32 billion, marking a 30.5% year-over-year rise [6]. Market Context - Trading volumes and client activity remained strong in Q4, supported by a risk-on sentiment in global markets, despite challenges such as the U.S. government shutdown and geopolitical issues [2]. - Unlike previous quarters, equities and fixed income showed steady trading momentum, while crypto trading remained muted due to volatility [3]. Competitive Landscape - Interactive Brokers reported adjusted earnings of 65 cents per share, exceeding estimates and reflecting a 27.5% year-over-year increase, driven by revenue growth and reduced expenses [9]. - Charles Schwab's adjusted earnings of $1.39 per share also surpassed estimates, with a 38% year-over-year increase, supported by strong asset management performance and increased trading revenues [10]. Operational Insights - Robinhood is expected to see higher interest revenues due to an increase in interest-earning assets and securities lending activity, despite interest rate cuts [13]. - Operating expenses are anticipated to remain elevated due to ongoing investments in platform upgrades, product innovation, and regulatory compliance [14]. Stock Performance - Robinhood's shares have experienced significant growth, soaring 203.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 37% and its peers [15].

Core Insights - Robinhood (HOOD) is viewed positively, with strong performance and excellent fundamentals, but the only factor preventing it from being a "buy" is its price [1] Company Performance - The company is noted for delivering excellent fundamentals and performing well in the market [1] Investment Perspective - The analysis emphasizes the potential for growth in Robinhood, indicating it is a value investment opportunity [1]

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) stands out as one of Cathie Wood’s 10 stock picks with huge upside potential. Falling Cryptocurrency Prices and Concerns Surrounding Lower Prediction Market Activity Weighs on Robinhood Markets (HOOD) On February 2, 2026, falling cryptocurrency prices and concerns surrounding lower prediction market activity weighed on the stock, driving Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ:HOOD) shares downward. The stock declined by more than 10% during the day, bringing the year-to-dat ...

Group 1: Robinhood - Robinhood shares have declined approximately 40% from their 52-week high, entering oversold territory due to a steep selloff despite weak momentum [1] - ARK Invest purchased around $32.7 million worth of Robinhood shares, betting on potential long-term benefits from proposed "Trump Accounts" and a technical rebound [1] - ARK funds collectively acquired 89,677 shares of Robinhood, valued at about $7.8 million [1] Group 2: Coinbase and Crypto Market - Shares of Coinbase and other crypto-related companies fell as Bitcoin dropped below $80,000, influenced by a tightening U.S. liquidity environment affecting high-risk assets [2] - Coinbase's stock price decreased by 4.36%, closing at $179.66, while ARK Invest's ARKF fund bought 3,510 shares of Coinbase for approximately $630,606 [3] - The global crypto market cap fell to $2.59 trillion, with Bitcoin sliding below $73,000, leading to over $750 million in liquidations amid "extreme fear" sentiment [5] Group 3: Circle and Other Investments - ARK Invest's ARK Innovation ETF and ARK Blockchain & Fintech Innovation ETF acquired 42,878 shares of Circle, valued at approximately $2.4 million based on a closing price of $56.16 [4] - ARKF and ARKW funds purchased a total of 135,131 shares of ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF, valued at around $3.4 million, despite a 1.97% decline in the ETF's value [7] - ARKK fund bought 145,488 shares of Bitmine Immersion Technologies for about $3.25 million, aligning with Ark's focus on cryptocurrency infrastructure [8] Group 4: Bullish and Other Trades - ARKF and ARKK funds purchased a total of 125,218 shares of Bullish, valued at approximately $3.5 million, with Bullish's stock declining by 3.93% [11] - Ark's investment in Bullish aligns with its strategy of supporting companies involved in digital asset trading, with Bullish representing 1.15% of Ark's portfolio [12] - Other notable trades include significant purchases across various companies, reflecting Ark's active investment strategy in the current volatile market [6][20]

Core Viewpoint - Robinhood Markets Inc is facing significant challenges, including a recent stock decline and historical underperformance after earnings announcements, while still being viewed with cautious optimism by analysts with a revised price target indicating potential upside [2][3][6]. Group 1: Company Performance - Robinhood is preparing to report its fourth-quarter results on February 12, amidst its eighth consecutive loss, which reflects ongoing difficulties in its performance [3][6]. - The stock has historically underperformed after earnings announcements, finishing lower after five of its past eight reports, indicating a trend of volatility surrounding earnings [3][6]. - Over the past year, Robinhood shares have fluctuated significantly, reaching a high of $153.86 and a low of $29.66, showcasing the stock's volatility [5]. Group 2: Market Activity - The stock is currently on the short sale restricted (SSR) list, down 10.7% at $72.03, marking its worst day on record amid a Bitcoin selloff [4][6]. - The current trading price of HOOD is $72.68, reflecting a decrease of $7.94 or -9.85% today, with a market capitalization of approximately $65.35 billion [4]. - The trading volume for the day is 54.24 million shares, indicating significant investor interest despite the challenges faced [5]. Group 3: Analyst Insights - Truist Financial has set a new price target of $130 for Robinhood, suggesting a potential increase of 78.82% from the current trading price of $72.70, although this is a reduction from a previous target of $155, indicating a more cautious outlook [2][6]. - Options traders are anticipating a larger swing of 16.5% post-earnings, compared to the average swing of 8.6% in either direction over the past two years, reflecting heightened expectations for volatility [5].

We came across a bullish thesis on Robinhood Markets, Inc. on The AI Architect’s Substack. In this article, we will summarize the bulls’ thesis on HOOD. Robinhood Markets, Inc.'s share was trading at $80.62 as of February 4th. HOOD’s trailing and forward P/E were 36.28 and 33.33 respectively according to Yahoo Finance. Oversold Bank Stocks To Buy Image by Sergei Tokmakov, Esq. from Pixabay Robinhood Markets, Inc. operates financial services platform in the United States. HOOD is increasingly transformin ...

Core Insights - Robinhood Markets Inc (NASDAQ:HOOD) is set to report its fourth-quarter results on February 12, indicating a significant moment for the company as earnings season continues [1] Performance Trends - Historically, HOOD has underperformed after earnings reports, with a decline in five of the last eight reports, including a notable 10.8% drop in November [2] - Over the past two years, the stock has averaged a price swing of 8.6%, while options traders are anticipating a larger swing of 16.5% for the upcoming report [2] Current Stock Activity - Robinhood's stock is currently on the short sale restricted (SSR) list, down 10.7% at $72.03, marking its worst day on record amid a Bitcoin selloff, and is experiencing its longest losing streak since August 2023 with an overall decline of 35.4% in 2026 [3] Short Interest and Analyst Ratings - Short interest has decreased by 17.7% over the past two reporting periods, representing 4.3% of the stock's available float, suggesting that it would take shorts less than two days to cover their positions [5] - Currently, 16 out of 22 analysts maintain a "buy" or better rating, indicating potential downgrades may be overdue [5] Options Trading Sentiment - Despite the negative price movement, call traders are showing increased interest, with a 10-day call/put volume ratio of 2.59, which is higher than 72% of readings from the past year [6] - Short-term options traders are exhibiting bullish sentiment, as indicated by a put/call open interest ratio of 0.64, which is in the 27th percentile of annual readings, suggesting that a reversal of this sentiment could lead to further challenges [7] - The stock's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is at 76 out of 100, indicating that HOOD has consistently experienced higher volatility than what its options pricing suggests [7]