Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation is positioned for significant growth in the eVTOL market, with potential service launches in multiple cities next year, despite not yet commencing commercial operations [1][4]. Company Overview - Joby Aviation's current market capitalization is approximately $14 billion, reflecting high expectations for its future success [2]. - The company has made progress towards regulatory certification for its eVTOL aircraft, which is crucial for launching its air taxi services [4]. Market Opportunities - The air taxi market presents a substantial opportunity for Joby, particularly in major urban areas where traffic congestion is prevalent [4]. - Management has indicated plans to launch its air taxi service in Dubai by 2026, which could significantly boost its share price if successful [5]. Regulatory and Competitive Landscape - A key catalyst for Joby’s business could be obtaining FAA certification in the U.S., which would enable service launches in major markets like Los Angeles and New York City [6]. - The eVTOL space is competitive, with other companies like Archer Aviation and Beta Technologies also nearing service launches [6]. Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment - Joby’s stock has seen a nearly 90% increase this year, but it has also experienced volatility, trading at $15.44, down 24% from its 52-week high of $20.95 [7]. - Analysts have set a one-year price target for Joby’s stock at less than $14, indicating limited short-term upside potential [10]. Financial Performance - Joby has incurred operating losses totaling $663 million over the past 12 months, raising concerns about its path to profitability [9]. - The company’s gross margin is reported at -11490.90%, highlighting significant financial challenges [9].

Core Viewpoint - Joby Aviation, Inc. has experienced a 10.1% increase in share price over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500, but concerns remain about the sustainability of this trend leading up to the next earnings report [1][2]. Financial Performance - Joby reported a third-quarter 2025 loss of 26 cents per share, which was wider than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 19 cents and the previous year's loss of 21 cents [3]. - Quarterly revenues reached $22.6 million, significantly exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 140.2%, compared to only $0.03 million in the same quarter last year [3]. - Total operating expenses increased by 30.3% year over year, driven by a rise in research and development costs (up 18.2%) and selling, general, and administrative costs (up 47%) [4]. - Adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was a loss of $132.8 million, which included costs related to employee expenses for aircraft development and the Blade acquisition [4]. - At the end of the third quarter, Joby had cash and cash equivalents of $208.4 million, up from $199.6 million at the end of 2024, with expectations to generate cash and short-term investments in the range of $500-$540 million for 2025 [5]. Estimate Revisions - There has been a downward trend in estimates, with the consensus estimate shifting down by 8.33% over the past month [6]. - Joby Aviation currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating an expectation of an in-line return in the coming months [8]. VGM Scores - Joby Aviation has a poor Growth Score of F, a Momentum Score of F, and a Value Score of F, placing it in the fifth quintile for investment strategy [7]. Industry Comparison - Joby Aviation is part of the Zacks Aerospace - Defense industry, where General Dynamics has seen a slight gain of 0.4% over the past month, reporting revenues of $12.91 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 10.6% [9].

Core Insights - The U.S. will permit air taxis to operate, which is expected to significantly benefit companies like Joby Aviation Inc. and Archer Aviation Inc. [1] Industry Developments - Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy expressed confidence that air taxis will become operational under the Trump administration, highlighting their advantages over helicopters in terms of safety, noise, and cost [2] - Duffy noted that the aviation industry has not seen major changes in the last 7-8 decades, but anticipates a significant transformation in air travel and delivery services, particularly with the rise of companies like DoorDash [2] Company Performance - Joby Aviation's stock increased by 7.72% to $15.76 at market close, though it dipped slightly to $15.67 in after-hours trading [4] - Archer Aviation's stock rose by 7.19% to $8.95 at market close, with a minor decline to $8.92 in after-hours trading [4] Company Initiatives - Archer Aviation announced plans for a new Miami Air Taxi Network, which will offer 10-20 minute flights across various regions in South Florida [5] - A report from Hunterbrook Media criticized Archer Aviation for not delivering a demonstration of its Midnight eVTOL at the Dubai Airshow [5]

Core Insights - Demand for advanced air transport, particularly eVTOL aircraft, is increasing due to urban congestion and technological advancements [1] - Investor confidence is rising in companies like Vertical Aerospace Ltd. (EVTL) and Joby Aviation (JOBY), which are developing eVTOL aircraft [1] Vertical Aerospace (EVTL) - Vertical Aerospace is advancing its VX4 aircraft, focusing on certification and expanding into international markets [2] - Insiders at Vertical Aerospace have increased their shareholdings by approximately 50%, indicating confidence as the company approaches key milestones [4][5] - The company received a permit from the U.K. Civil Aviation Authority and is conducting Phase 4 transition testing for the VX4 prototype [6] - Vertical Aerospace is involved in the OxCam AAM Corridor project, which aims to accelerate the transition to commercial air mobility operations in the U.K. [7] Joby Aviation (JOBY) - Joby signed a memorandum of understanding with Red Sea Global and The Helicopter Company for pre-commercial evaluation flights in Saudi Arabia in 2026 [8] - The partnership aims to create a testing environment for air taxi operations, enhancing Joby's international presence [9] - Joby is targeting commercial services soon and has acquired Blade Air Mobility's urban air mobility passenger business, marking a significant step towards commercialization [12] - Joby's growth is supported by strategic partnerships, including a substantial investment from Toyota totaling nearly $1 billion [13] Comparative Analysis - Joby has outperformed EVTL in share price and liquidity, indicating a stronger market position [10][14] - Joby's current ratio is significantly higher than EVTL's, suggesting better liquidity to meet short-term obligations [18] - In terms of earnings surprises, EVTL has had mixed results, while JOBY has consistently missed earnings estimates [20] - Overall, Joby appears to be the stronger candidate in the eVTOL market due to its commercial traction, partnerships, and liquidity position [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - Retail traders are heavily investing in EVTOL stocks, particularly Joby Aviation and Archer, despite Goldman Sachs expressing concerns about overhype in the flying car market [1][2][3] EVTOL Market Performance - EVTOL stocks have shown volatility in 2026, with Joby stock increasing by 70% year-to-date, while Archer has decreased by 22%. Other competitors, BETA Technologies and Eve Holding, have also seen declines of 16% and 13% respectively [2] - High retail investor participation is identified as a significant factor contributing to the volatility of these stocks [2] Retail Participation and Analyst Ratings - Retail participation in Joby and Archer is more than double that of the S&P 500, indicating strong retail interest [3] - Goldman Sachs has initiated coverage with a "Sell" rating for Joby, despite its strong performance this year, and has a "Buy" rating for BETA Technologies, citing it as the best-positioned company in the sector [3][4] Company-Specific Insights - Joby is noted for having the most flight hours and a comprehensive business model, but faces regulatory hurdles and high capital requirements [4] - Archer is viewed cautiously due to its lack of vertical integration, which may lead to lower margins, despite its rapid progress [5][6] - Eve Holdings is considered to be lagging behind its competitors, receiving a Neutral rating from analysts [5] Market Sentiment - Retail traders appear to favor Archer over Joby, despite Joby's better stock performance, as indicated by Stocktwits data from 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has entered the eVTOL industry stock rating business, giving a "buy" rating to BETA Technologies, a "neutral" rating to Archer Aviation and Eve Holding, and a "sell" rating to Joby Aviation [1][2] Group 1: BETA Technologies - BETA Technologies is rated "buy" due to its phased certification process through CTOL aircraft, which allows for early revenue generation and accelerates the learning curve without affecting the eVTOL timeline [1] - The company operates as both an aircraft manufacturer (OEM) and a parts supplier, representing an attractive business model in the aviation industry [1] - BETA has partnered with General Electric (GE) to develop a hybrid aircraft for defense and is collaborating with competitors to sell motors and chargers, aiding in scaling [2] Group 2: Joby Aviation - Joby Aviation is rated "sell" as it is the oldest company in the field with the most flight hours and leads in certification [2] - The company aims to be a one-stop service provider covering manufacturing, supply, and operations, which presents the largest market opportunity but faces regulatory hurdles and significant capital demands [2] - The current stock price is considered to have a significant premium, which is viewed as unreasonable [2] Group 3: Archer Aviation - Archer Aviation receives a "neutral" rating, with its outsourcing approach accelerating the certification process despite being established later than competitors [2] - The size of its aircraft may indicate strong performance, but the lack of vertical integration suggests lower aftermarket profits and margins [2] - The partnership with Anduril could lead to a top defense product, but the lack of funding visibility makes it difficult to assess its value [2] Group 4: Eve Holding - Eve Holding is rated "neutral," with its parent company Embraer's control providing attractive labor, facilities, and aerospace expertise [2] - However, this structure results in slower development and fewer flight hours [2] - The company is expected to compete in the market eventually, but it is relatively behind in certification [2]

Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs has initiated stock ratings in the eVTOL industry, providing a "Buy" rating for BETA Technologies, "Neutral" ratings for Archer Aviation and Eve Holding, and a "Sell" rating for Joby Aviation [1][2] Group 1: BETA Technologies - BETA Technologies is rated "Buy" due to its phased certification process through CTOL aircraft, which allows for early revenue generation and accelerated learning without affecting the eVTOL timeline [1] - The company operates as both an aircraft manufacturer (OEM) and a parts supplier, representing an attractive business model in the aviation industry [1] - BETA has partnered with General Electric (GE) to develop a hybrid aircraft for defense and is collaborating with competitors to sell motors and chargers, aiding in scaling [2] Group 2: Joby Aviation - Joby Aviation is rated "Sell" as it is the oldest company in the sector with the most flight hours and leads in certification [2] - The company aims to be a one-stop service provider covering manufacturing, supply, and operations, which presents the largest market opportunity [2] - However, Joby faces regulatory hurdles and significant capital requirements, and its current stock price is considered to be at a significant premium, which is deemed unreasonable [2] Group 3: Archer Aviation - Archer Aviation receives a "Neutral" rating, with its outsourcing approach accelerating certification despite being younger than competitors [2] - The size of its aircraft may indicate strong performance, but the lack of vertical integration suggests lower aftermarket profits and margins [2] - Archer's partnership with Anduril could lead to a top defense product, but the lack of funding visibility makes it difficult to assess its value [2] Group 4: Eve Holding - Eve Holding is rated "Neutral," with its parent company Embraer's control providing attractive labor, facilities, and aerospace expertise [2] - This structure, however, results in slower development and fewer flight hours [2] - The company is expected to compete in the market eventually, but it is currently lagging in certification [2]

A key reason for Goldman's rating is the aircraft maker's high valuation, given the uncertainty of the industry. But investors see potential. ...

Core Insights - Joby Aviation has seen its stock price increase over 70% this year, with the potential for significant growth as it aims to obtain FAA-type certification in 2026, marking the beginning of a decade of expansion in urban air travel [1][3] Company Overview - Joby Aviation is an aircraft start-up focused on alleviating urban traffic congestion by using electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft to transport passengers over city roads and highways [1][2] - The company's aircraft are designed to be electric, relatively quiet, and utilize a combination of fixed wings and propellers for flight, distinguishing them from traditional helicopters [2] Competitive Position - Joby Aviation is nearing the completion of the FAA-type certification process, positioning itself as a potential first-mover in the eVTOL market, which could provide a significant competitive advantage over rivals like Archer Aviation [4] Financial Metrics - As of the latest data, Joby Aviation has a market capitalization of $13 billion, with a current stock price of $14.43 [5][6] - The company ended the third quarter with approximately $978 million in cash and equivalents, which is expected to sustain its research and development efforts for the next couple of years [7] Strategic Partnerships - Joby has partnered with Nvidia, which selected the company as a launch partner for its IGX Thor computer platform, aimed at enhancing the safety and reliability of Joby's aircraft through real-time data processing from onboard sensors [6]

Core Insights - The recent sell-off of electric air taxi companies presents a potential entry point for long-term investors despite skepticism surrounding the industry [1][2] Company Summaries Joby Aviation - Joby Aviation is leading in the eVTOL market and is in the final stage of FAA certification, with expectations for commercial operations by 2026 [3][4] - The stock has decreased approximately 35% from its 52-week high of nearly $21, resulting in a market capitalization of around $12.8 billion [4][6] - Joby has completed over 600 flights this year and announced a $250 million aircraft sale in Kazakhstan, indicating growing international demand [7] Archer Aviation - Archer Aviation focuses on selling aircraft to operators and building infrastructure for urban air mobility, with its stock down roughly 34% recently [8][11] - The company acquired Hawthorne Airport for $126 million, positioning itself strategically for the upcoming 2028 Olympics in Los Angeles [9] - Archer has over $2 billion in liquidity and has secured partnerships with Stellantis and United Airlines, enhancing its long-term prospects [11] Market Outlook - Wall Street remains optimistic, with a consensus price target of around $12.4 for the companies, suggesting a potential 70% upside from current levels [12] - The eVTOL industry is expected to grow into a multibillion-dollar market by the end of the decade, with both companies having the necessary partnerships and technology to lead [14]