智通财经APP获悉，美国30年期抵押贷款平均利率在本周跌破6%，为三年半来首次。但经济学家表示，这可能只是暂时的现象，且除非住房供应增加，否 则仅凭利率下降本身不足以显著提振住房需求。房地美周四公布的数据显示，30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率为5.98%，为2022年9月以来最低水平，低于上 周的6.01%，同时显著低于上年同期的6.76%。 美国住房市场已成为一个敏感的政治议题。由于供应有限、利率高企和建筑成本上升，美国房地产市场一直举步维艰，1月成屋销售降至两年多来最低水 平。负责监管抵押贷款金融巨头房地美和房利美的联邦住房金融局周二表示，美国去年12月房价同比上涨1.8%，较11月的同比涨幅2.1%有所下降。 美国总统特朗普正面临在11月国会中期选举前解决生活成本问题的压力，他提出了多项旨在提高购房可负担性的建议。特朗普上个月命令联邦住房金融局购 买2000亿美元的抵押贷款债券，以帮助降低住房贷款成本。经济学家对这些抵押贷款购买行为能否显著改善住房可负担性持怀疑态度。 上周公布的美联储1月27-28日政策会议纪要描述了一位纽约联储官员的情况介绍，指出政府的债券购买计划已导致"抵押贷款支持证券收益率显著下降" ...

Lennar Corporation to Broadcast Its First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call on March 13, 2026 [Accessibility Statement] Skip NavigationMIAMI, Feb. 26, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN and LEN.B), one of the nation's largest homebuilders, announced today that the Company will release its first quarter 2026 earnings after the market closes on March 12, 2026. Additionally, the Company will host a conference call on March 13, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. Eastern Time.The call will be broadcast live and can be ...

智通财经APP获悉，在家装零售商劳氏(LOW.US)表示利率和其他压力仍在拖累房屋销售后，美国房屋 建筑商和其他房地产相关公司股价周三大幅下挫，多只股票成为当天标普500指数中百分比跌幅最大的 个股，与美股大盘0.8%的涨幅形成鲜明对比。数据显示，劳氏跌5.6%，莱纳建筑(LEN.US)跌4.9%，普 得集团(PHM.US)跌4.7%，霍顿房屋(DHI.US)跌4.0%，建筑材料公司Builders FirstSource(BLDR.US)跌 6.4%。此外，标普1500房屋建筑指数下跌3.7%，触及三周低点;费城住房行业指数下跌3%。 周三公布的数据显示，美国30年期固定抵押贷款平均利率下降8个基点至6.09%。然而，作为房地产市 场最具前瞻性的指标之一，购房贷款需求下降了4.7%。 由于供应有限、利率高企和建筑成本上升，美国房地产市场一直举步维艰，1月成屋销售降至两年多来 最低水平。美国总统特朗普在周二晚间的国情咨文中重申了限制大公司拥有住房数量的计划。对此，俄 克拉荷马州塔尔萨Longbow Asset Management首席执行官杰克·多拉海德表示："你可能会认为，总统关 于禁止大型企业购房的言论将 ...

Stocks exposed to the US housing market plummeted Wednesday as investors assessed grim outlooks from companies like home improvement retailer Lowe’s Cos Inc., and weighed the lack of a housing policy update during President Donald Trump’s State of the Union speech. The S&P composite homebuilder index shed as much as 5.2%, the most since last April’s tariff-related market meltdown. The declines were led by Green Brick Partners Inc., Lennar Corp., Champion Homes Inc., Dream Finders Homes Inc., Installed Bui ...

I maintain the Hold recommendation on Lennar ( LEN ) shares, as I do not see strong drivers for share price growth in the coming quarter. The Q4 financial results turned out to be weak,Hi there! I’m Narek, and I’ve been in the investment world for over six years. I started out as an equity analyst at European banks, digging into reports and learning how to spot value in the markets. I’ve worked across sectors — from telecom to industry — and found that behind every financial statement is a real story. I stu ...

Core Viewpoint - Lennar's significant investment in Opendoor Technologies indicates confidence in the future of digital home sales and strengthens the strategic partnership between the two companies, positively impacting Opendoor's stock price [1][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Lennar is one of the largest homebuilders in the U.S., focusing on single-family homes and offering mortgage, title, and insurance services, making it a key indicator of housing demand [2]. - Opendoor Technologies is experiencing strong stock performance, with a notable increase in share price attributed to investor optimism and strategic partnerships [1][8]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Expectations - Opendoor is set to report earnings, with expectations of a loss of approximately $0.10 per share and quarterly revenue around $595 million; any improvement in losses or growth in builder channels could further boost the stock [4]. - Over the past year, Opendoor's shares have surged by 202.49%, indicating a strong recovery and positioning closer to 52-week highs [5]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The stock is currently trading 12.4% below its 20-day simple moving average (SMA) and 31.8% below its 100-day SMA, suggesting short-term weakness, while being 0.2% above its 200-day SMA, indicating a potential long-term bullish outlook [5][6]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 31.41, showing neutral momentum, while the MACD indicates bearish pressure, reflecting mixed momentum and uncertainty in the stock's near-term direction [6]. Group 4: Market Sentiment - The Benzinga Edge scorecard rates Opendoor Technologies with a strong momentum score of 96.54, indicating it is outperforming the broader market; however, profitability challenges remain a concern for sustaining investor confidence [7].

Company Overview - Lennar Corporation, based in Miami, Florida, constructs and sells single-family attached and detached homes, and engages in buying and selling residential land. The company has a market capitalization of $30.2 billion and also provides mortgage financing, title insurance, commercial real estate, investment management, and other financial services [1]. Stock Performance - Over the past year, Lennar's shares have underperformed the broader market, declining by 1.2%, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by nearly 11.8%. However, in 2026, Lennar's stock has risen by 19%, outperforming the S&P 500's slight decline on a year-to-date basis [2]. - Compared to the iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF, which gained about 10.3% over the past year, Lennar's year-to-date returns have surpassed the ETF's 17.9% gains [3]. Market Challenges and Strategic Shifts - Lennar's performance has been negatively impacted by a challenging housing market characterized by affordability issues and weak consumer confidence, resulting in lower sales volume and increased incentives. The company is adapting by shifting towards more affordable homes and adopting an asset-light strategy, investing in technology, and streamlining operations. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with hopes for rate moderation and government initiatives to enhance affordability [3]. Earnings Forecast - For the current fiscal year ending in November, analysts project Lennar's earnings per share (EPS) to decline by 20.1% to $6.44 on a diluted basis. The company's earnings surprise history has been disappointing, missing consensus estimates in three of the last four quarters while beating forecasts once [4]. Analyst Ratings - Among the 19 analysts covering Lennar stock, the consensus rating is a "Hold," which includes two "Strong Buy" ratings, nine "Holds," one "Moderate Sell," and seven "Strong Sells" [4]. - The overall rating has improved slightly from a month ago, now reflecting a "Moderate Sell" with one analyst suggesting a "Strong Buy." Wells Fargo's analyst maintained a "Hold" rating with a price target of $105, while the mean price target is $107.15, and the highest price target of $140 indicates a potential upside of 14.5% [5].

Company Performance - Lennar's stock increased by 1.2% to $122.28, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.05% on the same day [1] - Over the past month, Lennar's stock has decreased by 1.16%, underperforming the Construction sector's gain of 6.88% and the S&P 500's loss of 1.99% [1] Earnings Estimates - Analysts project Lennar's earnings per share (EPS) to be $0.96, reflecting a 55.14% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] - Quarterly revenue is estimated at $6.83 billion, down 10.47% from the previous year [2] - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are expected to be $6.44 per share and revenue at $33 billion, indicating changes of -20.1% and -3.48% respectively from the prior year [3] Analyst Sentiment - Recent revisions in analyst estimates are crucial as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive changes indicating a favorable outlook on business health and profitability [3][4] - The Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 5.41% over the past month, and Lennar currently holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell) [5] Valuation Metrics - Lennar's Forward P/E ratio is 18.76, which is a premium compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 15.01 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.76, while the average PEG ratio for the Building Products - Home Builders industry is 2.26 [7] Industry Context - The Building Products - Home Builders industry is part of the Construction sector and currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 241, placing it in the bottom 2% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]

Core Insights - Many investors have lost faith in housing stocks due to the rise in 30-year fixed mortgage rates from under 3% in 2021 to nearly 8% in 2023, but homebuilders are expected to thrive by 2026 [1] Group 1: Housing Supply Dynamics - The U.S. housing market is experiencing a supply crisis, exacerbated by underbuilding since the 2008 financial crisis and the acquisition of homes by private equity firms like Blackstone [1] - The monthly supply of new houses in the U.S. is at its lowest level since September 2024, indicating a significant supply constraint [1] Group 2: Homeowner Behavior - Approximately half of U.S. homeowners have mortgage rates below 4%, leading to a 'Golden Handcuff' effect that freezes the existing home market and increases reliance on new construction [2][5] Group 3: Future Mortgage Rates - Analysts predict a gradual decline in mortgage rates by 2026, which could create favorable conditions for homebuilders as demand rises while existing homeowners remain in place due to low rates [6] Group 4: Government Initiatives - The Trump Administration has proposed a plan to construct 1 million entry-level homes to increase housing supply, supported by bipartisan efforts [7] - Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are set to purchase $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities to help lower interest rates [7] Group 5: Earnings Expectations - Homebuilders like DR Horton and Lennar are expected to return to double-digit EPS growth by next year after several quarters of negative EPS [8] - Zacks Consensus Estimates show a projected EPS growth of 26.61% from 2026 to 2027, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [9] Group 6: Market Performance - The stock performance of homebuilders is showing strength, with companies like Toll Brothers experiencing a 19% increase year-to-date [10] Group 7: Structural Advantages - The current market conditions present a unique structural advantage for homebuilders, bridging the gap between supply deficits and federal initiatives aimed at affordability [11]

Economic Indicators - Nonfarm payrolls are expected to increase by +68,000 in January, with the unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 4.4% [1] - Average hourly earnings are projected to rise by +0.3% month-over-month and +3.7% year-over-year in January [1] - Initial weekly unemployment claims are anticipated to decrease by -7,000 to 224,000 [1] - Existing home sales in January are expected to decline by -4.3% month-over-month to 4.16 million [1] - January CPI is expected to rise by +2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI also expected to increase by +2.5% year-over-year [1] Retail Sales and Employment Costs - US December retail sales were unchanged month-over-month, falling short of expectations of +0.4% [2] - The employment cost index for Q4 rose by +0.7% quarter-over-quarter, which is the smallest increase in 4.5 years and below the expected +0.8% [2] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes experienced mixed trading, with the Dow Jones reaching a new all-time high while the S&P 500 closed down -0.33% and the Nasdaq down -0.56% [6][5] - The broader market initially found support from weaker-than-expected retail sales and employment cost index reports, which lowered bond yields [5] Earnings Season Insights - Over half of the S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% beating expectations [7] - S&P earnings growth is expected to rise by +8.4% in Q4, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth [7] - Excluding the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, Q4 earnings are projected to increase by +4.6% [7] Interest Rates and Bond Market - The markets are pricing in a 23% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting [8] - The 10-year T-note yield fell to a 3.5-week low of 4.13%, supported by weaker-than-expected economic reports [9] Sector Performance - AI-infrastructure stocks faced pressure, with Western Digital down more than -7% and other tech stocks also declining [12] - Wealth-management stocks dropped significantly, with Raymond James Financial down more than -8% due to concerns over AI disruption [13] - Homebuilding stocks rose after the drop in mortgage rates, with Toll Brothers up more than +6% [14] Company-Specific Developments - Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 39 cents, below the consensus of 49 cents, leading to a decline of more than -14% [15] - Incyte forecasted dull-year total net product revenue of $4.77 billion to $4.94 billion, causing a drop of more than -8% [16] - Spotify reported a record 38 million monthly active users in Q4, leading to a rise of more than +17% [17]