Core Viewpoint - Lenovo reported strong financial results for Q3 FY26, with revenue of $22.2 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus expectations by approximately 7% [1] - The company's Non-HKFRS net profit reached $589 million, a 36% year-over-year increase, surpassing the consensus estimate of $463 million by about 27% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Revenue for the Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) increased by 14% year-over-year to $15.76 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3%, demonstrating resilience amid rising storage costs [2] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw revenue growth of 31% year-over-year to $5.18 billion, driven by demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions [2] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) reported an 18% year-over-year revenue increase to $2.65 billion, maintaining double-digit growth for the 19th consecutive quarter, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [3] Group 2: Market Position and Growth Drivers - Lenovo's global PC market share reached a historic high of 25.3%, up 1.0 percentage points year-over-year, maintaining a leading advantage of approximately 5 percentage points over the second-place competitor [1][2] - The company is benefiting from the increasing penetration of AI PCs, which has surpassed 30% and continues to rise, contributing to stable revenue growth in the IDG business [2] - The Neptune liquid cooling technology within ISG experienced a remarkable 300% year-over-year revenue increase, solidifying Lenovo's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [2] Group 3: Future Outlook and Valuation - The company expects to leverage its scale and supply chain advantages to mitigate the impact of rising storage costs, with AI anticipated to drive stable revenue growth in the IDG segment [2] - The ISG business is projected to turn profitable in Q4 FY26, supported by the rapid growth of hybrid AI infrastructure demand and cost-saving measures from restructuring [3] - Lenovo maintains a target price of HKD 14.0, corresponding to a 12.0x FY27E PE, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory and market position [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company is expected to achieve stable growth driven by the increasing penetration of AI PCs, strong orders for AI servers, and resilient supply chain management, leading to an upward revision of FY2026 earnings forecasts while maintaining projections for FY2027-2028 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY2026Q3, the company reported revenue of $22.204 billion, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates of $20.76 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [1] - Non-GAAP net profit for FY2026Q3 was $589 million, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of $463 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 35.5% [1] - The company has revised its FY2026-2028 non-GAAP net profit estimates to $1.81 billion, $2.07 billion, and $2.36 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.5%, 14.5%, and 13.9% [1] Group 2: Business Segments - In the IDG segment, revenue reached $15.755 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.3%, with Lenovo's PC shipments growing 14.4% compared to the industry average of 9.6% [1] - The AI devices within the IDG segment saw a significant year-on-year growth of 71%, accounting for 40% of the segment's revenue [1] - The ISG segment generated revenue of $5.176 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year, driven by the deployment of GB300 NVL72 and a 59% increase in AI infrastructure revenue [1] Group 3: Operational Metrics - The operating profit margin (OPM) for the IDG segment was 7.32%, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.07 percentage points, demonstrating the company's supply chain resilience amid rising component costs [1] - The SSG segment achieved revenue of $2.652 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 17.5%, with deferred revenue increasing by 20% to $3.78 billion, enhancing business predictability [2] - The OPM for the SSG segment was 22.48%, up 2.12 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong operational resilience [2]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported FY25/26 Q3 financial results that exceeded expectations, with significant growth in both revenue and adjusted net profit, indicating strong operational performance in key business segments [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For FY25/26 Q3, the company achieved revenue of $22.204 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18.13% [1]. - The adjusted net profit for the same period was $589 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.54% [1]. - The overall performance in terms of revenue and net profit surpassed market expectations [1]. Group 2: Business Segments - The IDG smart device business group reported revenue of $15.755 billion for FY25/26 Q3, marking a year-on-year increase of 14.30% [1]. - The PC segment within IDG generated approximately $11.6 billion in revenue for FY25/26 Q3, with a year-on-year growth of 14.4%, significantly outpacing the global PC shipment growth rate of 9.6% [1]. - The ISG infrastructure solutions segment achieved revenue of $5.176 billion for FY25/26 Q3, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 31.42% [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company disclosed a backlog of orders amounting to $15.5 billion for the ISG segment, indicating strong future growth potential [2]. - The AI server business within ISG is experiencing double-digit growth, and the company is expected to leverage scale effects and a robust global supply chain to achieve profitability in the next fiscal quarter [2]. - The company has established a comprehensive supply chain system that positions it well to manage the impact of rising storage costs, with effective cost pass-through capabilities to B-end clients [3].

AI 驱动价值跃迁，生态闭环筑牢增长确定性 联想集团(0992) ——联想集团 FY26Q3 业绩点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 秦和平(分析师) | 0755-23976666 | qinheping@gtht.com | S0880523110003 | | 刁云鹏(研究助理) | 021-38674878 | diaoyunpeng@gtht.com | S0880125070016 | 本报告导读： 顺应 AI 从训练向推理转型趋势，联想集团构建终端、算力、服务生态闭环，营收与 利润增长显著，实现从 PC 巨头向 AI 生态核心枢纽的转型。 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万美元) | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 56,864 | 69,077 | 80,456 | 87,789 | 94,819 | | 同比增长（%） | -8.2% | 21.5% | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lenovo Group is "Buy" [10] Core Insights - Lenovo's revenue performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong orders for AI servers and robust supply chain resilience, which is expected to stabilize profit margins [6][7] - The company has adjusted its FY2026 earnings forecast upwards due to better-than-expected Q3 performance, maintaining FY2027-2028 earnings projections [6] - Non-GAAP net profit for FY2026 is projected at $1.81 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.5% [6] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2026 Q3, Lenovo reported revenue of $22.204 billion, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of $20.76 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [7] - Non-GAAP net profit reached $589 million, exceeding expectations of $463 million, with a year-on-year increase of 35.5% [7] - Breakdown of revenue by business segments: - IDG: Revenue of $15.755 billion, up 14.3% year-on-year, with PC shipments growing 14.4% compared to the industry average of 9.6% [7] - ISG: Revenue of $5.176 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year, supported by AI infrastructure orders [7][8] - SSG: Revenue of $2.652 billion, up 17.5% year-on-year, with deferred revenue increasing by 20% [8] Earnings and Valuation Metrics - Projected revenues for FY2026 are $81.289 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 17.7% [9] - Non-GAAP net profit projections for FY2026-2028 are $1.81 billion, $2.07 billion, and $2.36 billion, respectively, with growth rates of 25.5%, 14.5%, and 13.9% [9] - The current P/E ratios are projected at 9.5, 8.3, and 7.3 for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028, respectively [9]

本财季，联想人工智能相关收入同比增长72%，占集团总收入的32%。智能设备业务方面，个人电脑全 球市场份额达25.3%，连续两季成为近三十年来全球PC市场份额突破25%的唯一供应商，智能手机销量 及激活量创历史新高；基础设施方案业务收入同比增长31%，方案服务业务收入同比增长18%。 北京商报讯（记者 陶凤 王天逸）近日，联想集团披露2025/26财年第三季度（截至2025年12月31日）未 经审核业绩。财报显示，本财季集团收入同比增长18%至222亿美元，创历史新高。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global technology industry is undergoing a significant restructuring, characterized by soaring prices in core components like memory chips and aggressive investments in AI by tech giants. Lenovo Group has found a path to evolve amidst these changes, demonstrating strong financial performance and growth potential in the AI ecosystem [2]. Financial Performance - Lenovo Group reported a revenue of 157.5 billion RMB for the third quarter of the fiscal year 2025/26, representing an over 18% year-on-year growth. Adjusted net profit increased by 36%, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth [2]. - The company’s PC shipments grew by 15% year-on-year, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of outperforming the market, and its global PC market share rose to 25.3%, leading the second-place competitor by 5.2 percentage points [5]. Market Dynamics - The memory chip price surge is creating a "Matthew Effect," where leading brands like Lenovo are expected to gain market share while smaller brands struggle due to weaker bargaining power [4]. - Lenovo's strategy during the memory supply crisis involves securing inventory through long-term procurement contracts, which enhances the value of its stock during price surges [5][6]. ISG Business Growth - Lenovo's Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) achieved a revenue of 36.7 billion RMB, growing over 30% year-on-year, driven by strong demand in the server market [8]. - The ISG segment is expected to turn profitable in the upcoming quarter, with a focus on aligning product lines with future trends and capitalizing on AI infrastructure demand [9]. AI Strategy and Market Position - Lenovo's AI server revenue grew by 59% year-on-year, indicating a robust demand for AI-related infrastructure as tech giants continue to invest heavily in AI capabilities [11]. - The company aims to enhance user engagement with AI on devices, targeting an increase in daily active users from 40%-50% to 70%-80% [12]. Long-term Growth Potential - Lenovo's mixed AI strategy, combining personal and enterprise intelligence, is expected to drive sustainable growth and profitability, with AI-related revenue accounting for 32% of total revenue, reflecting a 72% year-on-year increase [13]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the evolving landscape of AI and smart agents, with a focus on maintaining a competitive edge through vertical integration and proprietary technology [9][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Lenovo Group is "Buy" and is maintained [10] Core Insights - Lenovo Group's revenue performance exceeded expectations, driven by strong orders for AI servers and robust supply chain resilience, which is expected to stabilize profit margins [6][7] - The company has adjusted its FY2026 earnings forecast upwards due to better-than-expected Q3 performance, while maintaining FY2027-2028 earnings projections [6] - Non-GAAP net profit for FY2026 is projected to be $1.81 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.5% [6] Financial Performance Summary - For FY2026 Q3, Lenovo reported revenue of $22.204 billion, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of $20.76 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 18.1% [7] - Non-GAAP net profit for the same period was $589 million, exceeding expectations of $463 million, and showing a year-on-year increase of 35.5% [7] - Breakdown of revenue by business segments: - IDG: Revenue of $15.755 billion, up 14.3% year-on-year, with PC shipments growing 14.4% compared to the industry average of 9.6% [7] - ISG: Revenue of $5.176 billion, up 31.4% year-on-year, supported by AI infrastructure orders [7][8] - SSG: Revenue of $2.652 billion, up 17.5% year-on-year, with deferred revenue increasing by 20% [8] Valuation Metrics - Projected non-GAAP net profits for FY2026-2028 are $1.81 billion, $2.07 billion, and $2.36 billion respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 25.5%, 14.5%, and 13.9% [6] - The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are projected at 9.5, 8.3, and 7.3 for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 respectively [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 14.00, corresponding to a 12.0x FY27E PE ratio [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of USD 22.2 billion for 3QFY26, representing an 18% year-over-year increase, exceeding Bloomberg consensus estimates by approximately 7% [1]. - Non-HKFRS net profit attributable to shareholders reached USD 589 million, up 36% year-over-year, surpassing the consensus estimate of USD 463 million by 27% [1]. - The growth was driven by a rising demand for hybrid AI solutions, with AI-related business revenue accounting for 32% of total revenue, an increase of 2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter [1]. - The company is expected to leverage its scale and supply chain management capabilities to mitigate the impact of rising component prices, particularly in the storage segment [2]. Summary by Sections IDG (Intelligent Devices Group) - IDG revenue increased by 14% year-over-year to USD 15.76 billion, with an operating profit margin of 7.3% [2]. - The company's global PC market share reached a historic high of 25.3%, up 1.0 percentage point year-over-year, maintaining a 5 percentage point lead over the second-largest competitor [2]. - AI PC penetration exceeded 30% and continues to rise, contributing to the overall revenue growth [2]. ISG (Infrastructure Solutions Group) - ISG revenue grew by 31% year-over-year to USD 5.18 billion, driven by demand for cloud infrastructure and enterprise solutions [3]. - AI server business revenue saw high double-digit year-over-year growth, with a project pipeline of USD 15.5 billion [3]. - The Neptune liquid cooling technology revenue surged by 300% year-over-year, reinforcing the company's leadership in energy-efficient AI infrastructure [3]. SSG (Solutions and Services Group) - SSG revenue rose by 18% year-over-year to USD 2.65 billion, marking the 19th consecutive quarter of double-digit growth, with an operating profit margin exceeding 22% [4]. - Projects and solutions, along with operational services, accounted for approximately 60% of SSG's total revenue [4]. Financial Projections - The report projects an increase in Non-HKFRS net profit for FY26/27/28 by 8.5%/8.8%/7.0% to USD 1.80 billion, USD 2.03 billion, and USD 2.24 billion, respectively, with year-over-year growth rates of 25.0%, 12.6%, and 10.4% [5]. - Non-HKFRS EPS is expected to be USD 0.13, USD 0.15, and USD 0.17 for FY26, FY27, and FY28, respectively [5].

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group (00992) reported a solid performance in the third fiscal quarter, benefiting from stronger-than-expected revenue growth across various business segments and resilient operating profit margins, maintaining a "Hold" rating with a target price increase from HKD 9.7 to HKD 9.85 [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for the fiscal years 2026 to 2028, increasing them by 5.7%, 9.7%, and 4.3% respectively, to USD 1.833 billion, USD 1.77 billion, and USD 2.178 billion [1] - The revenue growth is attributed to the impact of PC and smartphone shipment volumes, as well as factors affecting the Solutions and Services Group (SSG) and Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) businesses [1] Group 2: Strategic Preparedness - Management indicated that the company is well-prepared to address the pressures from rising memory and chip costs by increasing average selling prices, improving product mix, and enhancing inventory management [1]