Core Insights - Nomad Foods is facing challenges due to weather and inflation, which are impacting its revenue and earnings growth trajectory, with 2025 expected to mark the end of its consistent growth record [1] Company Performance - The company is recognized as Europe's leading savory food producer, but current conditions suggest a shift in its financial performance [1] Market Outlook - The anticipated end of revenue and earnings growth in 2025 indicates potential shifts in investor sentiment and market positioning for Nomad Foods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nomad Foods Limited has announced the appointment of Dominic Brisby as the new Executive President and CEO-Elect, effective November 3, 2025, succeeding Stéfan Descheemaeker, who will retire on January 1, 2026 [1][3]. Group 1: Leadership Transition - Dominic Brisby will work alongside current CEO Stéfan Descheemaeker during a transition period until Descheemaeker's retirement [1]. - Descheemaeker has been CEO since the company's founding in 2015 and will continue as a non-executive Director after his retirement [3]. - The transition is part of a planned succession process, with the Board expressing confidence in Brisby's leadership capabilities [4]. Group 2: Dominic Brisby's Background - Brisby has a strong track record in the consumer goods industry, having served as President of North America and Europe at Flora Food Group, where he achieved significant market share growth [2]. - His previous role at Imperial Brands involved reversing market share declines and implementing cost-saving measures that resulted in record profit growth in the U.S. market [2]. Group 3: Company Performance and Future Outlook - Under Descheemaeker's leadership, Nomad Foods has experienced nine consecutive years of revenue and Adjusted EBITDA growth through 2024, with Adjusted EPS expected to have approximately doubled from 2016 to 2025 [3]. - The company is recognized as Europe's leading frozen food business, with a portfolio of iconic brands that align with current consumer trends [5]. - Brisby expressed enthusiasm for unlocking the company's growth potential and delivering attractive returns to stakeholders, emphasizing alignment with trends in nutrition, convenience, value, and sustainability [4].

Core Viewpoint - Nomad Foods Ltd (NYSE:NOMD) is considered a strong investment opportunity in the FMCG sector despite a recent price target reduction by BTIG from $20 to $18 due to challenges in European markets [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - BTIG has reiterated a 'Buy' rating on Nomad Foods, indicating confidence in the stock despite lowering sales and earnings estimates due to market-specific dynamics affecting profitability [2]. - The company reported earnings per share of $0.40 for the second quarter, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.38 [3]. Group 2: Market Position - Nomad Foods is recognized as Europe's largest frozen food company, with a diverse portfolio that includes well-known brands such as Birds Eye, Findus, and igloo, offering a variety of frozen food products [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The research firm believes that Nomad Foods remains undervalued at current levels, with potential for realistic medium-term cash flow and margin improvements [3]. - The company is evaluating the impact of a reset in advertising and promotion investments expected next year, which may influence future performance [2].

Company Overview - Nomad Foods, a UK frozen foods producer, has seen its stock hit an 18th 52-week low, last trading at this level in October 2023 [1] - The company owns well-known frozen food brands including Birds Eye, Findus, and Iglo [1] Stock Performance - Since going public in 2014, Nomad Foods' shares have fluctuated between $10 and $31.85, with an all-time high reached on May 31, 2021 [2] - Over the past year, the company's stock has declined by 25% [2] - Despite the decline, the stock may attract bargain-seeking investors due to its potential value [2] SPAC Background - Nomad Foods went public in April 2014 as a SPAC, raising $500 million in its initial public offering [3] - The SPAC made a significant acquisition in June 2015, purchasing Iglo Food Holdings Limited for €2.6 billion ($3.04 billion), which included the Birds Eye and Iglo brands [3] - In November 2015, Nomad acquired the Findus Group for £500 million ($677 million), financed through cash and stock issuance [4] Historical Stock Performance - The initial SPAC shares were issued at $10 in April 2014 and were later delisted from London, switching to New York [5] - The share price closed at $12.30 on its opening day in New York, reflecting a 15% increase over the decade since its IPO [5] - The company has provided attractive dividends to early investors, which has mitigated the overall poor annual return [5]

Company Overview - Nomad Foods is a leader in the frozen food category in Europe, with well-known brands such as Birds Eye, iglo, and Findus, as well as regional brands like Ledo and Frikom in Serbia and Croatia, and Goodfella's pizza in the U.K. [2] Financial Performance - The company has achieved consistent growth over the past 9 years, increasing sales, EBITDA, and EPS annually, although it did not achieve this for the 10th consecutive year, which is a point of frustration for the management [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has experienced nine consecutive years of growth in sales, EBITDA, and EPS, but this year marks a disappointing performance [4][5][13] - The company is targeting a 1% to 3% CAGR in EBITDA over the next three years, with a focus on improving the quality of earnings and reducing exceptional items [37][39] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen stabilization in volume market share and growth in volume share in the frozen food category, despite a decline in the overall category growth due to unusual weather conditions [8][34] - The ice cream business has faced challenges, particularly in July and August, due to unrest in Serbia affecting out-of-home sales [36][64] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen food category has shown resilience, with growth over the last ten years, although recent months have seen a decline linked to weather conditions [34][35] - The company has reaffirmed its guidance for 2025, indicating confidence in future performance despite recent challenges [65] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on a "Must Win Battles" strategy to concentrate on key markets where it holds significant market share [7] - A new master brand advertising campaign is being rolled out to enhance brand visibility and efficiency in media spending [18][47] - The company plans to increase its productivity program by 25%, targeting €200 million in savings over the next three years, primarily in supply chain and overheads [39][40] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the challenges faced this year, including inflation and supply chain issues, but emphasizes the importance of learning from these experiences to strengthen future performance [6][10][13] - The company believes there are significant growth opportunities in the frozen food category, particularly in markets with lower penetration compared to the U.S. [15][16] Other Important Information - The company is committed to innovation, with plans to increase the percentage of renovated products and introduce new offerings in the ready meals category [21][23] - The foodservice segment, which accounts for around 8% of the business, is expected to grow, particularly in the Nordics and Southern Europe [29][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why has the company lowered its long-term growth targets? - Management indicated that the previous targets were too ambitious given the volatile environment and emphasized the need for a larger savings program to create space for reinvestment [53][55] Question: Are the targeted cost savings realistic? - Management clarified that the $200 million savings target is an increase from previous savings and is essential for maintaining competitiveness and reinvesting in product quality [60][62] Question: How does the company plan to manage pricing and market share? - Management explained that they have developed a revenue growth management tool to make more informed pricing decisions by category and country, allowing for better management of market share [71] Question: What is the outlook for capital allocation moving forward? - Management highlighted that the company has been active in share buybacks and dividends, and will continue to evaluate capital allocation based on current valuations [72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has experienced a decline in performance this year, breaking a nine-year streak of increasing sales, EBITDA, and EPS [4][5][13] - The company is targeting a 1% to 3% CAGR for EBITDA over the next three years, with a focus on improving the quality of earnings and reducing exceptional items [39][50] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen food category remains strong, with the company maintaining a leading position in Europe, but has faced challenges due to weather conditions impacting sales [2][36] - The company is focusing on innovation and renovation, with plans to accelerate product launches in key categories like fish fingers and pizza [11][21] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The frozen food category has shown growth over the last decade, but recent unusual weather patterns have led to a decline in growth numbers [36][37] - The company has seen a stabilization of value share and growth in volume share in the second quarter of 2025, despite earlier declines [36] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is implementing a €200 million productivity program over the next three years, focusing on supply chain efficiencies and overhead reductions [41][46] - The strategy includes a significant emphasis on brand investment, product quality, and innovation to maintain competitive positioning in the healthy food category [41][49] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the challenges faced this year, including inflation and supply chain issues, but remains optimistic about future growth opportunities in the frozen food category [6][13] - The company is committed to learning from past experiences and adapting its strategies to better respond to market conditions [10][12] Other Important Information - The company is launching a new master brand advertising campaign aimed at maximizing media efficiency across various markets [17][20] - The company has a strong focus on health and nutrition, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from fish, protein, and vegetables [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: What has changed regarding long-term targets for revenue and EBITDA growth? - Management indicated that the previous targets were too tight given the volatile environment and emphasized the need for a larger savings program alongside lower EBITDA guidance [55][56] Question: Are the targeted cost savings real, and where will they be allocated? - Management clarified that the $200 million savings target is a cumulative increase and will be reinvested into product quality and innovation [60][62] Question: How does the company plan to manage pricing actions while minimizing market share loss? - Management explained that they have developed a revenue growth management tool to make more informed pricing decisions by category and country [67][70] Question: What is the outlook for capital allocation given strong free cash flow? - Management stated that they will continue to evaluate capital allocation strategies, including share buybacks and dividends, in light of current valuations [71]

Brand Performance - Nomad Foods 在 13/15 的市场中品牌资产排名第一[8]，在 12/15 的市场中偏好度排名第一[8]，在 12/15 的市场中品牌认知度排名第一[8] - 在公司前 25 个必胜的关键市场中，加权平均价值市场份额为 46%[8]（销量份额为 37%[8]），是所有其他品牌竞争对手总和的 2.6 倍[8] Financial Performance & Guidance - 2016-2025 年调整后每股收益复合年增长率为 8%[10]，收入复合年增长率为 5%[10]，调整后 EBITDA 复合年增长率为 6%[10] - 2025 年收入预计同比增长 0% 至 -2%[41]，调整后 EBITDA 预计同比增长 -3% 至 -7%[41]，调整后自由现金流转换率预计超过 90%[41]，调整后每股收益预计为 164 欧元至 176 欧元[41]（或 190 美元至 204 美元[41]） Category & Portfolio - 过去 10 年，欧洲冷冻食品（不包括冰淇淋和甜点）的价值销售额复合年增长率为 34%[16]，高于食品总量的 30%[16] - Nomad Foods 的收入构成中，鱼和海鲜占 33%[21]，蔬菜占 25%[21]，餐食占 17%[21]，家禽占 9%[21]，其他占 16%[21] Future Targets & Enablers - 2026-2028 年，调整后 EBITDA 目标为增长 +1% 至 +3%[43]，自由现金流目标为增长 +15%（2026-28 年与 2023-25 年相比）[43] - 公司计划通过 2 亿欧元的生产力计划[43]（包括采购、转换成本、物流和管理费用方面的节省[43]）来实现这些目标，并加大对产品和品牌的再投资[43]

Core Viewpoint - Nomad Foods (NOMD) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 10.7% decline over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better earnings than previously expected, indicating potential for recovery [1]. Group 1: Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is utilized to determine if NOMD is oversold, with a reading of 27.07 suggesting that heavy selling may be exhausting, leading to a possible price rebound [2][5]. - Stocks oscillate between overbought and oversold conditions, and the RSI helps identify potential reversal points, making it a useful tool for investors seeking entry opportunities [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - There is a consensus among sell-side analysts that earnings estimates for NOMD have increased by 2.9% over the last 30 days, which typically correlates with price appreciation [7]. - NOMD holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [8].

Group 1 - The investment strategy focuses on long-only investment, evaluating companies from an operational and buy-and-hold perspective [1] - The approach does not prioritize market-driven dynamics or future price action, instead emphasizing the long-term earnings potential of companies [1] - The majority of recommendations will be holds, indicating a cautious approach to market conditions and a belief that only a small fraction of companies are suitable for buying at any given time [1] Group 2 - The articles aim to provide valuable information for future investors while maintaining a healthy skepticism towards a generally bullish market [1] - The author emphasizes the importance of conducting due diligence and seeking professional investment advice before making decisions [2][3]