Core Insights - Plains is targeting $100 million in annual savings through 2027, with approximately 50% expected to be realized in 2026, attributed to a simplified post-divestiture business model [1][6] - The company is focusing on execution and self-help in 2026, driven by the divestiture of its NGL business and the acquisition of the EPIC Pipeline, now named Cactus III, aimed at enhancing cash flow quality and durability [2][6] - Plains reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $738 million and full-year adjusted EBITDA of $2.833 billion, marking a transition to a "pure-play crude" midstream operator [3] Financial Performance - The company announced a 10% increase in quarterly distribution, raising it to an annualized $1.67 per unit, reflecting an 8.5% yield based on recent equity price [4][13] - For 2026, Plains provided adjusted EBITDA guidance with a midpoint of $2.75 billion (±$75 million), with crude-segment EBITDA expected at $2.64 billion, indicating a 13% year-over-year growth [5][10] - The company anticipates generating about $1.8 billion of adjusted free cash flow in 2026, excluding sale proceeds from the NGL divestiture [17] Strategic Initiatives - The company is pursuing a strategic shift to a pure-play crude business, with a focus on reducing G&A and operating expenses, consolidating operations, and optimizing lower-margin businesses [1][6] - Management expects $50 million in synergies from the Cactus III acquisition, with half tied to G&A and OPEX reductions, and anticipates achieving these synergies during 2026 [7][10] - Plains is evaluating capital-efficient optimization options for potential expansion while prioritizing stabilization and recontracting of the base system [8] Capital Allocation and Debt Management - The company plans to use proceeds from the NGL sale to pay down debt, targeting a leverage ratio of 3.25x to 3.75x [4][19] - A special distribution of up to $0.15 per unit is expected after the NGL sale closes, pending board approval [18] - Capital spending for 2026 is guided at $350 million for growth and $165 million for maintenance, reflecting a return to typical spending levels [16] Operational Insights - Plains forecasts Permian crude production to remain relatively flat year-over-year in 2026, with basin volumes around 6.6 million barrels at year-end [11] - The company achieved its best-ever safety performance, highlighting a commitment to operational excellence [20]

Core Viewpoint - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (NASDAQ:PAA) is recognized as one of the best pipeline and MLP stocks to buy in 2026, despite mixed analyst ratings and price targets from various financial institutions [1]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - RBC Capital and Morgan Stanley have maintained their Hold ratings on PAA, with price targets of $20 and $21 respectively as of January 28, 2026 [2]. - BofA downgraded PAA's rating from Neutral to Underperform, setting a lower price target of $19 [2]. - Mizuho raised its price target for PAA from $22 to $23 while maintaining an Outperform rating, highlighting a positive outlook on the company's transition to a pure-crude portfolio [3]. Market Sentiment and Company Overview - The 1-year median target for PAA from 20 analysts is 7.09%, indicating a cautious but slightly optimistic sentiment [4]. - Founded in 1998, PAA is a midstream master limited partnership focused on the transportation, storage, and marketing of crude oil and NGLs, operating a significant infrastructure network across the U.S. and Canada [4].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, Plains reported Adjusted EBITDA of $738 million and full-year Adjusted EBITDA of $2.833 billion, indicating a pivotal year despite market challenges [3][4] - The crude oil segment Adjusted EBITDA was $611 million, while the NGL segment reported $122 million, reflecting seasonal impacts and market conditions [11][12] - The company expects 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.75 billion at the midpoint, with a 13% year-over-year growth in the crude segment [7][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The crude oil segment's performance was bolstered by the Cactus 3 acquisition, contributing to overall EBITDA despite challenges from recontracting [11] - The NGL segment's performance was impacted by warm weather and weak frac spreads, leading to a moderated seasonal uptick [11] - The company anticipates $100 million of EBITDA from the NGL segment post-divestiture, along with $10 million of other income [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Permian crude production is expected to remain flat year-over-year in 2026, with overall basin volumes projected to be about 6.6 million barrels by year-end [8] - The company noted a cautious optimism among larger producers in the Permian Basin, with a focus on efficiency and inventory preservation [29][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Plains is transitioning to a peer-play crude company, focusing on streamlining operations and enhancing cash flow durability through strategic acquisitions and divestitures [3][4] - The company is targeting $100 million in annual savings through efficiency initiatives by 2027, with half expected to be realized in 2026 [4][24] - The acquisition of the Wild Horse Terminal is expected to enhance storage capacity and generate returns above internal thresholds [7] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of executing on efficiency initiatives and closing the NGL divestiture to position the company competitively for the future [15] - The geopolitical environment and OPEC actions were noted as challenges, but management remains focused on long-term growth and stability [3][15] - The company expressed confidence in the ability to grow beyond 2026, supported by self-help initiatives and market fundamentals [58] Other Important Information - A 10% increase in quarterly distribution was announced, bringing the annual distribution to $1.67 per unit, representing an 8.5% yield [8][9] - The company plans to reduce its distribution coverage ratio threshold from 160% to 150%, reflecting improved visibility and alignment with peers [9][10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Synergies from Cactus Pipeline - Management confirmed achieving $50 million in synergies, with half from G&A and OPEX reductions and the rest from optimizing pipeline capacity [20][21] Question: Cost Savings Initiatives - The NGL business sale allows for a comprehensive review of company structure, targeting $100 million in savings by 2027 [24][25] Question: Permian Basin Outlook - Management noted cautious optimism among producers, with a focus on efficiency and inventory preservation, expecting growth to resume in 2027 [29][30] Question: Distribution Coverage Ratio - The reduction to 150% is seen as conservative, allowing for routine investments and distribution growth [37][73] Question: Growth Capital Expenditures - The 2026 growth CAPEX is guided at $350 million, aligning with typical investment levels, focusing on ongoing projects and potential expansions [41][42]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, the company reported Adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $738 million and $2.833 billion for the full year, indicating a pivotal year despite market challenges [4][5] - The crude oil segment adjusted EBITDA was $611 million, which included contributions from the Cactus III acquisition, while the NGL segment reported adjusted EBITDA of $122 million [11][12] - The company expects adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 at $2.75 billion, with a midpoint for the oil segment EBITDA of $2.64 billion, reflecting a 13% year-over-year growth in the crude segment [7][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The crude oil segment is expected to drive significant growth, while the NGL segment is projected to contribute $100 million of EBITDA, assuming the divestiture closes as planned [8][12] - The company is focusing on streamlining operations and has targeted $100 million in annual savings through 2027, with approximately 50% expected to be realized in 2026 [5][6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Permian crude production is expected to remain flat year-over-year in 2026, with overall basin volumes projected to be about 6.6 million barrels at the end of the year [8] - The company anticipates growth to resume in 2027, driven by global energy demand growth and diminishing OPEC spare capacity [8] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning to a pure-play crude company, which is expected to streamline operations and enhance cash flow durability [4][5] - Key initiatives for 2026 include closing the NGL divestiture, integrating the Cactus III Pipeline, and improving cost structures [5][6] - The company remains committed to generating significant free cash flow, optimizing its asset base, and maintaining a flexible balance sheet [10][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the challenges faced in 2025, including geopolitical unrest and OPEC actions, but emphasized a focus on operational efficiency and strategic transactions [4][16] - The outlook for 2026 is characterized as a year of execution and self-help, with confidence in the ability to grow beyond 2026 due to expected synergies and market improvements [16][61] Other Important Information - The company announced a 10% increase in quarterly distributions, bringing the annual distribution to $1.67 per unit, representing an 8.5% yield based on recent equity prices [8][9] - The company is also focused on maintaining a distribution coverage ratio of 150%, which reflects improved visibility and aligns with peers [9][42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Synergies from Cactus Pipeline - Management confirmed that they are on track to achieve $50 million in synergies from the Cactus III acquisition, with half already realized through G&A and OPEX reductions [21][22] Question: Cost Savings Initiatives - The company is rethinking its structure post-NGL sale, aiming for $100 million in cost savings by the end of 2027, with $50 million expected in 2026 [26][27] Question: Permian Basin Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding producer sentiment in the Permian Basin, noting that efficiencies are improving despite a flat production outlook for 2026 [31][33] Question: Capital Allocation Priorities - The company reiterated its focus on distribution growth and maintaining a conservative coverage ratio, with plans for opportunistic investments in bolt-ons and repurchases [36][42] Question: Long-Haul Permian Volume Guidance - Management explained that the guidance includes contributions from Cactus III and increased contracted capacity, with expectations for stable margins [66][68] Question: Impact of Geopolitical Developments - Management discussed the potential impacts of developments in Venezuela, noting that while immediate effects may create opportunities, substantial long-term changes would require significant investment [52][54]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, the company reported Adjusted EBITDA of $738 million and $2.833 billion for the full year, indicating a pivotal year despite market challenges [3][4] - The crude oil segment Adjusted EBITDA was $611 million, which included contributions from the Cactus 3 acquisition [10] - The NGL segment reported Adjusted EBITDA of $122 million, reflecting seasonal impacts and warm weather [10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is transitioning to a peer-play crude company, enhancing cash flow quality through the sale of the NGL business and acquisition of the Cactus 3 Pipeline [3][4] - The NGL segment is expected to contribute $100 million of EBITDA post-divestiture, while the oil segment is projected to grow by 13% year-over-year [6][7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Permian crude production is expected to remain flat year-over-year in 2026, with overall basin volumes around 6.6 million barrels by year-end [7] - The company anticipates a more constructive oil market environment in 2027, driven by global energy demand growth [7][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on three key initiatives for 2026: closing the NGL divestiture, integrating the Cactus 3 Pipeline, and streamlining operations for efficiency [4][5] - A targeted $100 million in annual savings is expected through 2027, with half of that realized in 2026 [5][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism regarding producer sentiment in the Permian Basin, noting improved efficiencies and a focus on preserving inventory [29][30] - The company remains committed to generating significant free cash flow and maintaining a flexible balance sheet while returning capital to unit holders [9][16] Other Important Information - A 10% increase in quarterly distribution was announced, raising the annual distribution to $1.67 per unit, representing an 8.5% yield [7][8] - The company plans to reduce its distribution coverage ratio threshold from 160% to 150%, reflecting improved cash flow visibility [8][39] Q&A Session Summary Question: Synergies from Cactus Pipeline - Management confirmed that $50 million in synergies are already on track, with half achieved through G&A and OPEX reductions [20] Question: Cost savings initiatives - The NGL business sale allows for a comprehensive review of company structure, targeting $100 million in savings by 2027 [24][25] Question: Permian Basin outlook - Producer sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a focus on efficiency and improved recoveries [29][30] Question: Distribution coverage rationale - The 150% coverage level is seen as conservative, allowing for multi-year distribution growth [38][39] Question: Growth CAPEX details - The 2026 growth CAPEX is guided at $350 million, reflecting a return to typical investment levels [41][42] Question: Impact of geopolitical developments - Management discussed potential impacts from Venezuela, emphasizing the need for stability and investment for long-term changes [49][51] Question: Trends in other business segments - The company sees stable performance in Canadian operations, with growth expected in the Uinta Basin [83]

4Q25 Earnings Call Investor Relations Contacts Blake Fernandez Vice President, Investor Relations Blake.Fernandez@plains.com Ross Hovde Director, Investor Relations Ross.Hovde@plains.com Investor Relations 866-809-1291 plainsIR@plains.com 2 February 6, 2026 Forward-Looking Statements & Non-GAAP Financial Measures Disclosure This presentation contains forward-looking statements, including, in particular, statements about the performance, plans, strategies and objectives for future operations of Plains All Am ...

Financial Performance - Fourth-quarter 2025 net income attributable to Plains All American was $342 million, with full-year net income reaching $1.435 billion, an 86% increase compared to 2024[4] - Fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains All American was $738 million, while full-year adjusted EBITDA totaled $2.833 billion, reflecting a 2% increase from 2024[4] - Operating income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, was $1,434 million, compared to $868 million in 2024, reflecting a significant increase[26] - Total net income for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, reached $1.169 billion, a significant increase from $514 million in 2024[29] - Net income attributable to PAA for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $342 million, up from $36 million in the same period of 2024[26] - Basic net income per Class A share for continuing operations was $0.77 for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, compared to $0.19 in 2024[64] - Basic net income per common unit for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $0.41, compared to a loss of $0.04 in the same period of 2024[36] Cash Flow and Distributions - Plains All American anticipates strong adjusted free cash flow generation of approximately $1.80 billion for 2026, excluding changes in assets and liabilities[4] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow after Distributions for the year was impacted by cash distributions paid to preferred and common unitholders, which are critical for assessing available cash for distributions and debt repayments[22] - Cash provided by operating activities for continuing operations was $2.452 billion for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, compared to $2.236 billion in 2024, reflecting a 9.7% increase[31] - Cash distributions paid to common unitholders in Q4 2025 totaled $268 million, up from $223 million in Q4 2024, a 20.2% increase[40] - Adjusted Free Cash Flow for Q4 2025 was $(1,219) million, compared to $365 million in Q4 2024, showing a significant decline[43] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets increased to $30,169 million as of December 31, 2025, compared to $26,562 million in 2024, indicating growth in the company's asset base[27] - Total debt rose to $11,262 million as of December 31, 2025, from $7,621 million in 2024, leading to a long-term debt-to-total book capitalization ratio of 52%[28] - Current liabilities decreased slightly to $4,902 million as of December 31, 2025, from $4,924 million in 2024[61] - Senior notes increased to $9,118 million as of December 31, 2025, compared to $7,141 million in 2024, indicating a rise of 28%[61] Acquisitions and Divestitures - Plains All American successfully raised $750 million in senior unsecured notes in November 2025, aimed at reducing commercial paper and funding the Cactus III acquisition[4] - The company completed the acquisition of Cactus III in the fourth quarter of 2025, contributing to the growth strategy despite a flat Permian production profile expected for 2026[3] - The pending sale of the Canadian NGL business is expected to close by the end of Q1 2026, with the company retaining all NGL assets in the U.S. and crude oil assets in Canada[5] - The company is undergoing a divestiture of its Canadian NGL Business, which may impact business relationships and operating results[66] Operational Metrics - Revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2025, were $10,565 million, a decrease of 12.2% from $12,035 million in the same period of 2024[26] - Total revenues for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, were $44,262 million, a decrease of 9% from $48,889 million in 2024[59] - Crude oil pipeline tariff volumes for Q4 2025 totaled 10,079 thousand barrels per day, an increase of 11.7% from 9,028 thousand barrels per day in Q4 2024[53] - NGL fractionation volumes for Q4 2025 were 150 thousand barrels per day, up 8.7% from 138 thousand barrels per day in Q4 2024[53] Cost Management - The company is focused on achieving approximately $100 million in cost savings through efficiency initiatives by 2027, with about half expected to be realized in 2026[4] - Total capital expenditures for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, amounted to $719 million, up from $571 million in 2024, indicating a 25.9% increase[33] - The company’s total maintenance capital expenditures for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025, were $211 million, down from $242 million in 2024, indicating a decrease of 12.8%[33] Market and Economic Conditions - Economic conditions, including potential recession and high inflation, could affect demand for crude oil and midstream services[66] - There is a risk of significant declines in North American crude oil and NGL production due to reduced producer cash flow and other factors[66] - The company faces competition that may exert downward pressure on rates, volumes, and margins[66] - Future performance may be impacted by the successful operation of joint ventures and the integration of acquired assets[66] - The company is exposed to environmental liabilities and litigation that may not be covered by insurance[66] - The impact of societal sentiment regarding the hydrocarbon energy industry could influence consumer preferences and regulatory actions[66] - The company is monitoring the pace of natural gas infrastructure development and its effect on crude oil production growth in the Permian Basin[69] - The company is subject to risks related to capital markets, including increased costs of capital and liquidity concerns[69]

Core Insights - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. reported strong financial results for Q4 and full-year 2025, with a net income attributable to PAA of $342 million for Q4 and $1.435 billion for the full year, reflecting an 86% increase year-over-year [5][30] - The company is transitioning to focus on becoming a premier North American pure play crude oil midstream provider, highlighted by the sale of its Canadian NGL business and the acquisition of Cactus III [3][4] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 Adjusted EBITDA attributable to PAA was $738 million, a 1% increase from Q4 2024, while full-year Adjusted EBITDA was $2.833 billion, a 2% increase from 2024 [5][7] - The company achieved a pro forma leverage ratio of 3.9x at year-end 2025, with expectations to return to a target range of 3.25 to 3.75x post-NGL divestiture [5][30] - The annualized distribution rate was increased by $0.15 per unit, resulting in a new rate of $1.67 per unit, representing a 10% increase compared to 2025 levels [5][30] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focused on closing the pending sale of its Canadian NGL business, realizing synergies from the Cactus III acquisition, and implementing efficiency initiatives to drive growth in a volatile oil market [3][4] - Expected Adjusted EBITDA for full-year 2026 is projected at a midpoint of $2.75 billion, assuming a contribution of $100 million from NGL operations for one quarter [5][30] Capital Expenditures and Cash Flow - The company anticipates full-year 2026 growth capital expenditures of approximately $350 million and maintenance capital expenditures of around $165 million [5][30] - Expected strong Adjusted Free Cash Flow generation of approximately $1.80 billion, excluding changes in assets and liabilities [5][30] Market Position and Outlook - The company aims to enhance its market position by focusing on crude oil midstream operations while divesting non-core assets [3][4] - The transition is expected to position the company favorably for improving oil market fundamentals in the future [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) is anticipated to report a decline in both earnings and revenues for the fourth quarter of 2025, with earnings estimated at 42 cents per unit and revenues at $11.55 billion, reflecting a year-over-year revenue decline of 6.85% [1][2][6]. Earnings Estimates - Fourth-quarter earnings estimates have decreased by 17.65% over the past 60 days, with the bottom-line projection aligning with the previous year's quarter [2]. - The average earnings surprise for PAA over the last four quarters is 4.21%, with two earnings beats and two misses [3][4]. Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict an earnings beat for PAA this quarter, as the Earnings ESP is -6.11% and the Zacks Rank is 3 (Hold) [5][7]. Revenue and Cash Flow - PAA's expected Q4 revenues of $11.55 billion represent a 6.85% decline year-over-year, with the company relying heavily on fee-based, long-term contracts that provide stable cash flow [6][10]. - The acquisition of EPIC Crude Holdings is expected to positively impact fourth-quarter earnings due to long-term volume commitments from customers [11]. Financial Performance Metrics - PAA's trailing 12-month return on equity is 11.04%, which is below the industry average of 13.28%, indicating less effective utilization of shareholders' funds [12]. - PAA's current trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA is 10.78X, slightly undervalued compared to the industry average of 10.88X [14][15].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Oil and Gas - Pipeline MLP industry consists of master limited partnerships that transport oil, natural gas, refined petroleum products, and natural gas liquids in North America, generating stable fee-based revenues from transportation and storage assets [3] - The industry is currently facing a gloomy outlook due to conservative spending by exploration and production companies, which is expected to reduce demand for transportation and storage assets [1][6] Financial Metrics - The industry has a high debt-to-capitalization ratio of 56.6%, indicating that borrowing is common for financing large infrastructure projects, which may limit financial flexibility [4] - The current trailing 12-month enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio for the industry is 11.01X, lower than the S&P 500's 19.05X but above the sector's 5.95X [14] Market Performance - The Zacks Oil and Gas - Pipeline MLP industry has underperformed the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector and the S&P 500 over the past year, declining by 7.8% compared to the sector's 14.8% gain and the S&P 500's 17.3% rise [10] Future Challenges - The industry is expected to face challenges from a shift to renewable energy, which may lower demand for pipeline and storage networks for oil and natural gas [5] - Oil and gas exploration and production companies are under pressure to prioritize stockholder returns over production growth, negatively impacting the demand for pipeline and storage assets [6] Key Players - Enterprise Products Partners LP (EPD) has a robust business model with a pipeline network exceeding 50,000 miles, generating stable fee-based revenues and returning capital to unitholders consistently [17][18] - Energy Transfer LP (ET) operates a vast pipeline network of 125,000 miles, generating stable revenues and is projected to see earnings growth of 17% this year [20][21] - Plains All American Pipeline LP (PAA) benefits from stable fee-based revenues through its pipeline network and storage assets, with recent upward earnings estimate revisions [23]