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Bears are Losing Control Over Royal Gold (RGLD), Here's Why It's a 'Buy' Now
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:57
Core Viewpoint - Royal Gold (RGLD) shares have recently declined by 10.6% over the past week, but the formation of a hammer chart pattern suggests potential support and a possible trend reversal in the future [1][2]. Technical Analysis - A hammer chart pattern indicates a potential bottom and exhaustion of selling pressure, which may lead to a trend reversal [2][5]. - The hammer pattern is characterized by a small candle body with a long lower wick, suggesting that buying interest has emerged after a downtrend [4][5]. - The effectiveness of the hammer pattern is enhanced when used alongside other bullish indicators [6]. Fundamental Analysis - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for RGLD, which is a bullish indicator suggesting potential price appreciation [7]. - The consensus EPS estimate for the current year has increased by 4.4% over the last 30 days, indicating analysts' agreement on improved earnings potential [8]. - RGLD holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks, which typically outperform the market [9][10].
Royal Gold's Q2 Stream Segment Sales Volume Slips 5% Sequentially
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 17:31
Core Insights - Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) reported a decrease in gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) sold in Q2 2025, totaling 40,600 GEOs, down from 42,800 GEOs in Q1 2025 and 52,600 GEOs in Q2 2024 [1][8] - The average realized prices for gold and silver increased in Q2 2025, while copper prices experienced a slight decline [2][8] - The company is expected to see a year-over-year increase in revenues due to higher metal prices, despite lower sales volumes [4][6] Sales and Production - In Q2 2025, RGLD sold 40,600 GEOs, which included 32,200 ounces of gold, 578,700 ounces of silver, and 1,100 tons of copper [1] - The cost of sales per GEO increased to $596 in Q2 2025 from $573 in Q1 2025 [3][8] - The company ended the quarter with 12,700 ounces of gold and 341,000 ounces of silver in inventory [2] Price Performance - The average realized price of gold rose to $3,248 per ounce in Q2 2025 from $2,842 per ounce in Q1 2025, while silver prices increased to $32.91 per ounce from $31.30 [2][3] - Average realized copper prices decreased by 1% to $9,210 per ton in Q2 2025 [2] Financial Performance - RGLD's revenues for Q2 2025 are projected to reflect a 29.6% year-over-year increase, driven by higher average metal prices and increased production from certain mines [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGLD's Q2 earnings is $1.70, up from $1.25 in Q2 2024 [4][5] - The company reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.51 in Q1 2025, marking a 66% year-over-year improvement [5] Stock Performance - Over the past year, RGLD's shares have increased by 23.4%, while the industry has seen a growth of 49.4% [7]
3 Momentum Anomaly Picks as Markets Wobble on Fresh Tariff Salvo
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 15:16
Group 1: Market Overview - The U.S. equity markets are experiencing a downtrend due to President Trump's proposed tariffs on imported goods from 14 countries, including Japan and South Korea, set to take effect in August [1] - The sudden shift in tariff policy has increased market uncertainty and financial turmoil, prompting policymakers to take action to protect their economies [1] Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors are turning to momentum stocks as a strategy to achieve sustained profits amid market volatility [2] - Momentum investing is based on the principle of "buying high and selling higher," capitalizing on established trends in stock prices [3] Group 3: Momentum Strategy Implementation - A screening strategy has been developed to identify momentum anomaly stocks, focusing on the top 50 stocks with the best percentage price change over the last 52 weeks [5] - The strategy also includes selecting stocks that are among the 10 worst performers over the past week to identify those experiencing a short-term pullback [6] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and a Momentum Style Score of B or better are prioritized for selection, indicating a higher probability of success [7] Group 4: Selected Stocks - Urban Outfitters, Inc. has seen a 63.6% increase in stock price over the past year but a 4.2% decline in the past week, with a Momentum Score of B [8] - Royal Gold, Inc. has experienced a 22% increase in stock price over the past year but a 9.8% decline in the past week, holding a Momentum Score of A [9] - Kodiak Gas Services has seen a 25.3% increase in stock price over the past year but a 3.8% decline in the past week, also with a Momentum Score of A [10]
After Plunging 7.7% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why the Trend Might Reverse for Royal Gold (RGLD)
ZACKS· 2025-07-09 14:35
Core Viewpoint - Royal Gold (RGLD) has experienced a downtrend with a 7.7% decline over the past four weeks, but it is now in oversold territory, suggesting a potential turnaround due to improved earnings expectations from analysts [1]. Group 1: Technical Indicators - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that indicates whether a stock is oversold, with readings below 30 typically signaling this condition [2]. - RGLD's current RSI reading is 29.66, indicating that heavy selling may be exhausting, which could lead to a price rebound as it seeks to return to equilibrium [5]. - RSI helps identify potential reversal points, allowing investors to look for entry opportunities when a stock is undervalued due to excessive selling pressure [3]. Group 2: Fundamental Indicators - Analysts covering RGLD have raised earnings estimates for the current year, resulting in a 5% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, which often correlates with near-term price appreciation [7]. - RGLD holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, indicating strong potential for a turnaround [8].
RGLD to Boost Portfolio With Sandstorm Gold & Horizon Copper Buyout
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 16:26
Core Viewpoint - Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) has announced agreements to acquire Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (SAND) and Horizon Copper Corp, reinforcing its position as a leading North American precious metal streaming and royalty company [1] Group 1: Details of Transactions - RGLD plans to acquire Sandstorm Gold in an all-stock deal, offering 0.0625 Royal Gold shares for each Sandstorm share, implying a $3.5 billion equity value and a 21% premium based on the 20-day VWAP [2] - The acquisition of Horizon Copper is a cash deal worth C$2.00 per share, representing an 85% premium to Horizon Copper's 20-day VWAP and a 72% premium to its July 4, 2025, closing price, valued at around $196 million [3] - Both transactions are expected to complete in the fourth quarter of 2025, with the closing of the Horizon Copper deal subject to conditions and the completion of the Sandstorm Gold transaction [3] Group 2: Benefits of the Deal - The acquisitions will create a diversified global precious metals portfolio for Royal Gold with significant growth and exploration potential [4] - The deal will add 40 producing assets to Royal Gold's portfolio, expected to generate gold equivalent ounces (GEO) of 65,000-80,000 in 2025, increasing GEO production by 26% based on midpoints of 2025 guidance [5] - Post-transaction, the revenue mix is anticipated to be 87% from precious metals, with gold accounting for 75% of total revenues [5] Group 3: Financial Position - Upon closing, Royal Gold expects a low debt balance and a manageable debt-to-EBITDA ratio, providing financial flexibility for further growth and major transactions in the industry [6] Group 4: Stock Performance - Over the past year, shares of Royal Gold have gained 29.6%, compared to the industry's growth of 48.1% [7]
Sandstorm Set to be Acquired by Royal Gold in $3.5 Billion Deal
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 15:51
Core Insights - Sandstorm Gold Ltd. (SAND) has entered into an agreement with Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) for the acquisition of all issued and outstanding common shares of Sandstorm at an implied value of approximately $3.5 billion [1][8] - The transaction is expected to provide Sandstorm shareholders with 0.0625 shares of Royal Gold for each Sandstorm share, representing a 21% premium to Sandstorm's 20-day volume-weighted average price as of July 3, 2025 [2][3][8] - The merger aims to enhance portfolio maturity and diversification, allowing Sandstorm shareholders to participate in a larger, diversified precious metals streaming and royalty company [3][4][8] Transaction Details - The acquisition is part of a broader strategy by Sandstorm to deliver consistent growth and value to its shareholders [2] - Royal Gold will benefit from Sandstorm's high-quality, long-life precious metals assets located in mining-friendly jurisdictions [4] - The transaction is anticipated to close in the fourth quarter of 2025, pending requisite approvals, leading to the delisting of Sandstorm and Horizon stocks from the TSX, NYSE, and TSX-V [4] Market Performance - Sandstorm's stock has increased by 85.3% over the past year, outperforming the industry average growth of 49.5% [6] - The current Zacks Rank for Sandstorm is 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook [7]
Are Basic Materials Stocks Lagging Royal Gold (RGLD) This Year?
ZACKS· 2025-07-08 14:40
Group 1 - Royal Gold (RGLD) is currently outperforming its Basic Materials peers with a year-to-date performance increase of 27.6%, compared to the sector average gain of 12.5% [4] - The Zacks Rank for Royal Gold is 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong analyst sentiment and an improving earnings outlook, with a consensus estimate for full-year earnings moving 11.9% higher in the past quarter [3] - Royal Gold belongs to the Mining - Gold industry, which has an average year-to-date gain of 56.2%, indicating that RGLD is slightly underperforming its industry [6] Group 2 - B2Gold (BTG) is another stock in the Basic Materials sector that has outperformed, with a year-to-date increase of 50.8% and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] - The consensus EPS estimate for B2Gold has increased by 35.1% over the past three months, reflecting positive analyst sentiment [5] - Investors in the Basic Materials sector are encouraged to monitor both Royal Gold and B2Gold for their continued strong performance [7]
Royal Gold(RGLD) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-08-06 21:24
[Royal Gold, Inc. Form 8-K Filing (July 8, 2025)](index=1&type=section&id=Form%208-K%20Current%20Report) This Form 8-K filing details Royal Gold, Inc.'s Q2 2025 stream sales announcement and accompanying exhibits [Announcement of Q2 2025 Stream Sales](index=2&type=section&id=Item%202.02%20Results%20of%20Operations%20and%20Financial%20Condition) Royal Gold, Inc. issued a press release on July 8, 2025, providing information on its Q2 2025 stream sales, furnished under SEC regulations - Royal Gold issued a press release on July 8, 2025, containing information about its stream sales for the quarter ending June 30, 2025[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The information provided, including the press release exhibit, is considered "furnished" and not "filed" for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Exhibits](index=2&type=section&id=Item%209.01%20Financial%20Statements%20and%20Exhibits) This section lists the exhibits accompanying the filing, including the press release and interactive data file List of Exhibits | Exhibit No. | Description | | :--- | :--- | | 99.1 | Press Release dated July 8, 2025 | | 104 | Cover Page Interactive Data File (formatted as Inline XBRL) |
Royal Gold to acquire Sandstorm Gold for $3.5B
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-07-07 17:34
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The company focuses on medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's news team delivers insights across various sectors including biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Royal Gold (RGLD) M&A Announcement Transcript
2025-07-07 15:00
Summary of Royal Gold (RGLD) M&A Announcement Company and Industry - **Company**: Royal Gold (RGLD) - **Industry**: Gold streaming and royalty sector Core Points and Arguments 1. **Acquisition Announcement**: Royal Gold has entered into agreements to acquire Sandstorm Gold Royalties and Horizon Copper, aiming to create a premier growth company in the gold streaming and royalty sector [2][4] 2. **Strategic Growth**: The acquisitions align with Royal Gold's long-term strategy of growth through high-quality precious metals assets, enhancing its position as the only large-cap gold-focused streaming and royalty company domiciled in the U.S. [4][5] 3. **Portfolio Diversification**: The transactions will diversify Royal Gold's portfolio in terms of revenue and net asset value (NAV), adding immediate cash flow and substantial organic growth potential [5][22] 4. **Shareholder Benefits**: The addition of Sandstorm and Horizon assets is expected to be accretive to NAV and cash flow, enhancing long-term growth potential for Royal Gold shareholders [5][22] 5. **Transaction Structure**: The Sandstorm acquisition will be an all-share transaction, with Royal Gold shareholders owning 77% of the combined company, while the Horizon acquisition will be an all-cash transaction [11][12] 6. **Expected Growth**: The combined company is projected to increase 2025 gold equivalent ounces (GEO) production by approximately 26%, positioning for over 350,000 GEOs [22][23] 7. **Asset Quality**: The combined portfolio will include high-quality assets such as Antamina, Greenstone, and Fruta Del Norte, which are expected to provide significant growth and exploration upside [14][15][16] 8. **Market Position**: Post-acquisition, Royal Gold will have the largest and most diversified portfolio of mining assets in the streaming and royalty sector, with a focus on precious metals [24][28] 9. **Financial Position**: Royal Gold had no debt and a cash position of $241 million at the end of Q1, with plans to maintain a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio post-transaction [32][33] 10. **Investor Appeal**: The increased scale and liquidity from the transactions are expected to attract both passive and active investors, enhancing Royal Gold's market presence [31][34] Other Important Content 1. **Regulatory Approvals**: The transactions are subject to court and regulatory approvals, with expected closure in Q4 2025 [12][33] 2. **Simplification of Structure**: The integration of Sandstorm and Horizon will simplify the ownership structure, reducing overhead and legal complexities [29] 3. **Geographic Diversification**: The combined portfolio will maintain a strong focus on mining-friendly jurisdictions, with Canada and the U.S. representing 41% of NAV [27] 4. **Long-term Growth Potential**: The combined portfolio is expected to provide numerous growth opportunities, with 40 new revenue-producing assets and a total of 266 exploration stage assets [24][25] 5. **Market Sentiment**: There is a belief that the merger will lead to a revaluation of Royal Gold shares, benefiting Sandstorm shareholders as well [62]