Core Viewpoint - The company emphasizes providing actionable and clear investment ideas through independent research, aiming to help members outperform the S&P 500 and mitigate significant losses during market volatility [1] Group 1 - The service offers at least one in-depth article per week focused on investment ideas [1] - Members have reportedly achieved better performance than the S&P 500 while avoiding substantial drawdowns in both equity and bond markets [1] - A trial membership is available to assess the effectiveness of the company's investment methods [1]

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Lab (RKLB) stock experienced a decline of over 7% due to the cancellation of NASA's Mars Sample Return program, which removed a potential revenue stream for the company [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - The stock's decline reflects a disconnect between public sentiment and institutional investor confidence, suggesting a potential for a rebound in RKLB stock [2] - Options flow indicates a positive sentiment among institutional investors, with January's transactions showing a cumulative positive delta imbalance [3] Group 2: Volatility and Risk Management - The volatility skew analysis reveals that smart money traders are hedging against downside risks while maintaining upside potential, indicating a belief in RKLB's future price increase [4][6] - The skew suggests that sophisticated market participants are not dismissing the potential for RKLB stock to rise, as evidenced by the maintained upside convexity [7] Group 3: Price Projections - The Black-Scholes-derived Expected Move calculator projects a price range for RKLB stock between $56.73 and $91.58 for the March 20 expiration date, indicating a high-low spread of 23.5% relative to the current spot price [8]

Core Insights - Rocket Lab and Intuitive Machines are highlighted as resilient investments in the space sector, surviving the SPAC market wash-out that affected many other companies in the industry [1] Rocket Lab - Rocket Lab specializes in reusable orbital rockets, having launched its Electron rocket 81 times, deploying over 248 satellites [2] - The company plans to launch its second rocket, Neutron, in 2023 to handle heavier payloads [2] - Current market capitalization stands at $39 billion, with a current stock price of $73.22, reflecting a 9.90% decrease [3][4] - Rocket Lab's gross margin is reported at 28.93%, and its major clients include NASA and the U.S. Space Force [4] - The company secured an $816 million contract with the U.S. Space Development Agency for 18 satellites, marking its largest contract to date [4] - Revenue projections indicate growth from $600 million in 2025 to $1.29 billion in 2027, with profitability expected by 2027 [5] Intuitive Machines - Intuitive Machines focuses on lunar landers and exploration vehicles, having successfully sent two Nova-C landers to the moon for NASA [6] - The current market capitalization is $2 billion, with a stock price of $16.58, down 15.45% [7] - The company has a gross margin of -70.43% and plans to launch its next lunar mission, IM-3, as part of its NASA contract [8] - Intuitive Machines has diversified its business through the acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems, aiming to become a comprehensive provider of space transportation services [9] - Revenue is expected to grow from $219 million in 2025 to $1.04 billion in 2027, with profitability anticipated in 2026 [10]

Core Viewpoint - Rocket Lab Corporation (RKLB) has experienced significant stock volatility in 2026, with daily fluctuations exceeding 5% in either direction, leading to increased investor caution [1]. Company Summary - The stock of Rocket Lab Corporation has been characterized by a "wild, rollercoaster" year, indicating extreme price movements and investor uncertainty [1]. - The company is facing challenges as momentum in its stock performance has become increasingly unpredictable, prompting a more cautious approach from investors [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Mars Sample Return (MSR) project has been officially canceled, which is a significant disappointment for Rocket Lab and its investors, as it would have provided a substantial revenue boost and enhanced the company's reputation [1][8]. Group 1: Mars Sample Return Overview - MSR was intended to involve NASA's Perseverance rover collecting samples from Mars and returning them to Earth, a project that has been in development since February 2021 [3][4]. - The estimated total cost for MSR was between $8 billion and $11 billion, with a projected completion time of 16 years [5]. - Rocket Lab proposed a more cost-effective solution at $4 billion, aiming to complete the project by 2031, which would have significantly increased its revenue [7]. Group 2: Financial Implications for Rocket Lab - The cancellation of MSR means Rocket Lab loses a potential $4 billion in revenue, which would have represented about nine times its projected sales for 2024 and a more than 50% annual revenue growth over six years [7][10]. - The contract would have provided approximately $666 million in annual revenue, covering 74% of the $900 million revenue forecast for Rocket Lab in 2026 [10]. - Despite the setback, Rocket Lab is still expected to turn profitable by 2027, driven by revenue from its new Neutron reusable rocket [11].

Core Viewpoint - Baillie Gifford continues to focus on technology and growth sectors, maintaining a global perspective despite a reduction in total assets held to $120 billion, down $15 billion from the previous quarter [1]. Holdings Overview - As of Q4 2025, Baillie Gifford holds a total of 265 companies with assets amounting to $120 billion, reflecting a decrease of $15 billion from Q3 [1]. Top Holdings - The firm remains heavily invested in global technology and consumer giants, with a notable emphasis on Latin American e-commerce platform MercadoLibre, and Nvidia leading the portfolio, indicating confidence in the long-term potential of AI infrastructure [4]. Top Buys - Significant increases in holdings include: - Axon Enterprise (AXON) with an additional investment of $860 million - Medline Inc (MDLN) with $437 million - Rocket Lab (RKLB) with $399 million - Google-A (GOOGL) with $373 million - Duolingo (DUOL) with $357 million - The firm shows strong interest in vertical technology sectors, particularly in safety technology and education [5][6]. Top Sells - The firm has reduced its positions in: - Datadog Inc (DDOG) by $1.01 billion - Cloudflare (NET) by $990 million - Shopify (SHOP) by $680 million - BioNTech SE (BNTX) by $630 million - Meta Platforms (META) by $590 million - This indicates a strategic retreat from cloud computing and vaccine-related companies, likely based on valuation and growth switching logic [7][8]. New Positions - New investments include: - Medline Inc (MDLN) with $437 million - United Therapeutics (UTHR) with $157 million - MongoDB (MDB) with $112 million - BillionToOne (BLLN) with $104 million - Silvergate Capital (SVM) with $35 million - The new positions reflect Baillie Gifford's exploration in emerging fields such as rare disease treatment and databases, showcasing a commitment to long-term tracking in technology and healthcare [9][10].

Core Insights - Rocket Lab Corporation successfully launched its 81st Electron rocket, marking the second launch in eight days, to deploy the NEONSAT-1A satellite for the Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology (KAIST) [1][2][3] Company Performance - The launch of "Bridging The Swarm" took place on January 30, 2026, at 2:21 p.m. NZDT, deploying the NEONSAT-1A satellite into a 540 km low Earth orbit [2] - The NEONSAT-1A satellite is designed to enhance the South Korean government's capabilities in monitoring natural disasters and national security events [2] - Rocket Lab's founder and CEO, Sir Peter Beck, highlighted the strong demand for the Electron rocket and the company's commitment to maintaining its leadership in reliable launch services [3] Future Outlook - Rocket Lab is preparing for a busy launch year in 2026, with upcoming missions planned for commercial Earth observation, international space agencies, national security, and hypersonic technology development [3] - The company has established itself as a leader in the launch services market, having achieved a record number of launches in 2025 [3] Company Overview - Rocket Lab is a prominent space company providing launch services, spacecraft, payloads, and satellite components for commercial, government, and national security markets [4] - The Electron rocket is noted as the world's most frequently launched orbital small rocket, while the HASTE rocket offers hypersonic test launch capabilities [4] - The company has supported over 1,700 missions across various sectors, including GPS, constellations, and exploration missions to the Moon, Mars, and Venus [4]

Group 1 - Rocket Lab (RKLB) has been added to the Top 10 of Investor's Business Daily's IBD 50 list, indicating strong market interest and performance [1] - The stock has shown resilience by bouncing off its 21-day exponential moving average, suggesting potential upward momentum [1] - Traders are advised to consider a bull put spread as a defined risk strategy to capitalize on Rocket Lab's stock performance [1] Group 2 - The stock market has experienced sell-offs, including Rocket Lab, alongside other companies like AMD and Tesla, indicating broader market volatility [1] - Recent contract wins have triggered bullish signals for Rocket Lab, highlighting its growth potential in the space industry [1] - The company is planning to expand its launch capabilities next year, which may further enhance its market position [1]

Core Insights - Rocket Lab's shares have experienced a significant decline of nearly 20% from recent all-time highs, attributed to a Neutron test failure and uncertainty regarding its launch schedule [3][7] - The long-term valuation of Rocket Lab is heavily dependent on the successful development of its Neutron rocket, which is expected to enable larger payloads and higher-margin missions [4] - The recent incident involving a Stage 1 tank rupture during qualification testing is viewed as a routine setback in the development process, with no damage to surrounding facilities [5][6] Company Developments - The rupture occurred during a hydrostatic pressure test, which is a standard part of the qualification process to validate safety margins [5] - Rocket Lab has confirmed that the next Stage 1 tank is already in production, and the development program for Neutron remains active [6] - Investors are particularly focused on whether this incident will delay Neutron's maiden flight, currently scheduled for the first half of 2026, with an update expected during the fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call [6] Market Reaction - The market's initial reaction to the Neutron test failure was one of fear, leading to a more than 10% drop in after-hours trading [4] - Despite the recent sell-off, analysts maintain a bullish outlook, suggesting that the decline may be more reflective of short-term uncertainty and profit-taking rather than a fundamental change in the company's long-term prospects [7]

Rocket Lab logo billboard beside a rocket on a coastal launchpad at sunrise, highlighting the space tech boom. Key Points Retail enthusiasm and Wall Street research are converging around space technology stocks in 2026. Rocket Lab and AST SpaceMobile sit at the center of the momentum, but each carries very different risk. For broader exposure with less single-event volatility, a space-focused ETF can offer a more balanced approach. Interested in Procure Space ETF? Here are five stocks we like better. ...