Core Viewpoint - RXO Inc (NYSE: RXO) is currently facing mixed market expectations, with various research firms adjusting their price targets and ratings, indicating potential downside from its current stock price [1][4]. Group 1: Price Targets and Ratings - Stephens has set a price target of $15 for RXO, suggesting a potential downside from the current stock price of $16 [1][4]. - The consensus rating for RXO from nineteen research firms is "Hold," with an average twelve-month target price of approximately $16.07, closely aligning with the current stock price [2][4]. - Citigroup has lowered its price target from $16 to $15 while maintaining a "neutral" rating, and Truist Financial has reduced its target from $20 to $18 but still recommends a "buy" [3]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Market Capitalization - RXO's stock price has fluctuated between $15.76 and $17.40 recently, with a one-year high of $22.17 and a low of $10.43 [3]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately $2.64 billion, with a trading volume of 2,392,948 shares on the NYSE [3].

UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 _______________________________________________________ Form 10-K _______________________________________________________ (Mark One) ☒ ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 or ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number: 001-41514 RXO, INC. (Exa ...

RXO Inc. (NYSE:RXO) maintains a Neutral rating from UBS with a revised price target, indicating potential stability in its stock value.The company reported an operating loss and nearly negative EBITDA in Q4 2025, highlighting significant financial challenges and margin pressures.Despite facing difficulties in covering debt costs due to low EBITDA guidance for Q1 2026, RXO's stock shows signs of volatility with a slight increase in price.RXO Inc. (NYSE:RXO), a key player in the logistics and transportation s ...

Core Insights - The freight market has been stagnant for nearly two years, but early signs indicate a potential upward shift, although this does not guarantee an easier environment for brokers [1] - Recent earnings calls from RXO and C.H. Robinson highlight the challenges brokers face as the market begins to strengthen, particularly regarding financial and operational stress [1] Group 1: RXO's Performance - RXO's fourth-quarter results reveal ongoing pricing pressure and margin compression, with the company struggling to balance carrier costs against cautious shipper demand [2] - The company reported a GAAP net loss of $46 million in the fourth quarter, which is a significant increase from a $25 million loss in the same quarter of 2024 and $14 million in the third quarter [5] - Brokers are experiencing difficulties not just at the bottom of the cycle, but as the market begins to improve, leading to uncomfortable decisions regarding margin sacrifice versus customer retention [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - In an upward-inflating market, brokers face working capital strain as carrier rates increase faster than shipper pricing, requiring brokers to manage higher payments while awaiting contractual adjustments [4] - Operational stress is heightened by rising volatility, rewarding brokers with strong carrier relationships and real-time pricing visibility, while those relying on static models risk mispricing freight [5] Group 3: C.H. Robinson's Position - C.H. Robinson's earnings calls present a contrasting perspective, with management emphasizing productivity gains, cost discipline, and improved execution despite the challenging environment [6] - The market reacted positively to C.H. Robinson's performance, resulting in a stock price increase even amid mixed freight fundamentals [6]

Harris said brokerage gross margin was 11.9%, slightly below the low end of the company’s outlook, declining 160 basis points sequentially and 130 basis points year-over-year. He characterized the dynamic as a squeeze on a largely contractual, enterprise-focused book of business because costs moved faster than revenue per load.CEO Drew Wilkerson said EBITDA came in below expectations primarily because brokerage margins tightened toward the end of the quarter. He attributed the margin pressure to capacity ex ...

Group 1 - The results are challenging due to a margin squeeze between contracted operations and increasing upstream rates [1] - The investment approach focuses on operational aspects and long-term earnings power rather than market-driven dynamics [1] - The majority of recommendations will be holds, indicating a cautious stance in a bullish market [1] Group 2 - There is no current or planned investment position in the companies mentioned, ensuring an unbiased analysis [2] - The article reflects the author's personal opinions without any compensation from the companies discussed [2] - Seeking Alpha emphasizes that past performance does not guarantee future results and that opinions may not represent the platform as a whole [3]

Core Insights - RXO's fourth quarter earnings report reflected anticipated negativity, with a focus on highlighting improvements rather than losses [1][2] - Management emphasized structural changes to position the company for a potential turnaround in the freight market [2] Financial Performance - The company reported lower EBITDA and a net loss for the quarter, continuing a trend from previous periods [2] - CFO James Harris projected a decrease in EBITDA for the first quarter compared to the fourth quarter, indicating limited growth in spot opportunities and sale rates [7] Market Conditions - The freight market is showing signs of strengthening, but early stages are challenging for brokers due to rising spot rates while contract rates remain stagnant [3][4] - In December, spot rates increased by approximately 15% month over month, outpacing contractual sale rates, but demand remains low [4] Spot Market Dynamics - RXO's chief strategy officer noted a slight sequential increase in spot loads from Q3 to Q4, with expectations for further increases if demand improves [6] - The SONAR Outbound Tender Rejection Index indicates a strong spot market, reflecting increased freight activity [4] AI Integration - RXO faces challenges in convincing investors of its profitability improvements through AI, similar to C.H. Robinson, which has seen significant stock growth attributed to its AI initiatives [8]

RXO (NYSE:RXO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 06, 2026 08:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsBrian Ossenbeck - Managing DirectorDrew Wilkerson - Chairman and CEOJamie Harris - CFOJared Weisfeld - Chief Strategy OfficerKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorLucas Severa - VP of Equity ResearchRavi Shankar - Managing DirectorStephanie Moore - Managing DirectorConference Call ParticipantsAri Rosa - AnalystMatt Milask - AnalystScott Group - Managing Director and Senior AnalystTom Wadewitz - Senior Equity Research AnalystOper ...

RXO (NYSE:RXO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 06, 2026 08:00 AM ET Company ParticipantsBrian Ossenbeck - Managing DirectorDrew Wilkerson - Chairman and CEOJamie Harris - CFOJared Weisfeld - Chief Strategy OfficerKen Hoexter - Managing DirectorLucas Severa - VP of Equity ResearchRavi Shankar - Managing DirectorStephanie Moore - Managing DirectorConference Call ParticipantsAri Rosa - AnalystMatt Milask - AnalystScott Group - Managing Director and Senior AnalystTom Wadewitz - Senior Equity Research AnalystOper ...

RXO (NYSE:RXO) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 06, 2026 08:00 AM ET Speaker7Welcome to the RXO Q4 2025 earnings conference call and webcast. My name is Ina, and I will be your operator for today's call. Please note that this conference is being recorded. During this call, the company will make certain forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws, which by their nature involve a number of risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially f ...