Workflow
Super Micro Computer(SMCI)
icon
Search documents
Super Micro Computer: Margins May Expand This Year (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-19 12:47
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly those influenced by non-recurrent events, to identify potential buying opportunities [1] - Insider buying at lower prices serves as a key indicator for selecting stocks, reflecting confidence from company executives [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off to ensure credibility and assess motivations [1]
DELL vs. SMCI: Which AI-Server Stock Offers Better Growth Opportunity?
ZACKS· 2026-02-18 19:01
Core Insights - Dell Technologies (DELL) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) are prominent players in the rapidly growing AI server market, with Dell being a diversified infrastructure giant and SMCI focusing on high-performance, customizable AI systems [1][2][3] Dell Technologies (DELL) - Dell shipped $5.6 billion of AI servers in Q3 FY26 and has a backlog of $18.4 billion, with expectations of reaching $25 billion in AI shipments for FY26, indicating strong demand [2][6] - Despite strong revenue growth, Dell faces margin pressures due to rising component costs and a product mix skewed towards lower-margin AI systems, which may impact profitability [4][5] - Strategic partnerships with NVIDIA and collaborations with AMD and hyperscale customers enhance Dell's position in the AI infrastructure market [6] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for DELL's fiscal 2027 earnings is $11.28 per share, reflecting a slight decrease in earnings expectations [7] Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI reported $12.68 billion in Q2 FY26 revenues, a 123% year-over-year increase, with over 90% of sales coming from AI GPU platforms [9][10] - The company is rapidly scaling its production capacity, targeting up to 6,000 racks per month by the end of FY26, supported by $4.1 billion in cash [11] - SMCI's gross margin fell to 6.3% from 11.8% year-over-year, influenced by a heavy reliance on large hyperscale customers and supply chain challenges [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's fiscal 2026 earnings is $2.22 per share, indicating a 7.77% growth from the previous year [13] Market Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Dell's shares have decreased by 7.6%, while SMCI's shares have increased by 3.2%, reflecting stronger investor confidence in SMCI's AI-driven growth [14][15] - Dell trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 0.61, while SMCI trades at 0.4, suggesting a more attractive entry point for SMCI [18] - Analyst confidence is reflected in the Zacks Rank, with SMCI rated 3 (Hold) and Dell rated 4 (Sell), indicating lower confidence in Dell's near-term performance [22] Conclusion - While Dell offers scale and diversification, it faces margin pressures and cyclical exposure, whereas SMCI's focused AI strategy and rapid revenue growth position it for stronger momentum, making SMCI a potentially better investment choice [21]
Nvidia Partner Super Micro's Momentum Drops As Investors Shrug Off Earnings Surprise— Shares Approach 52-Week Low - NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI)
Benzinga· 2026-02-18 13:07
Core Insights - The company reported a significant second-quarter earnings beat with adjusted earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $12.68 billion, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.49 and $10.21 billion respectively [2] - Despite strong operational performance, the stock's momentum score has dropped sharply from 16.26 to 6.35, placing it in the bottom 10% for relative strength, indicating a preference for technical weakness over fundamental success [1][3] Financial Performance - Management has raised full-year revenue guidance to $40 billion, reflecting confidence in operational growth [2] - The company maintains high fundamental scores, including a quality rank of 98.52 and a growth rank of 82.57, but faces negative price-driven metrics [3] Technical Analysis - The stock is currently trading 34.11% below its 200-day simple moving average of $41.69, indicating a bearish technical outlook [4] - Over the past year, shares have decreased by 46.04%, with a year-to-date decline of 2.75% compared to a 2.83% drop in the Nasdaq Composite [6] Investor Sentiment - The neutral Relative Strength Index of 45.40 and a low momentum score suggest significant uncertainty regarding the stock's short-term trajectory [5] - Despite a value rank of 80.49 indicating potential undervaluation, the weak momentum score raises concerns for short-term traders [5]
Nvidia Partner Super Micro's Momentum Drops As Investors Shrug Off Earnings Surprise— Shares Approach 52-Week Low
Benzinga· 2026-02-18 13:07
Core Insights - The company reported a significant second-quarter earnings beat with adjusted earnings of $0.69 per share on revenue of $12.68 billion, surpassing consensus estimates of $0.49 and $10.21 billion respectively [2] - Despite strong operational performance, the stock's momentum score has dropped sharply from 16.26 to 6.35, placing it in the bottom 10% for relative strength, indicating a preference for technical weakness over fundamental success [1][3] Financial Performance - The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to $40 billion, reflecting confidence in its operational capabilities [2] - The stock has seen a year-to-date decline of 2.75%, with a 46.04% decrease over the past year, while the Nasdaq Composite was down 2.83% in the same period [6] Technical Analysis - The company maintains strong fundamental scores, including a quality rank of 98.52 and a growth rank of 82.57, but its price-driven metrics have turned negative, with all price trends currently flashing red [3] - The stock is trading 34.11% below its 200-day simple moving average of $41.69, indicating a mixed to bearish technical outlook [4] Investor Sentiment - The combination of a neutral Relative Strength Index of 45.40 and a momentum score nearing zero suggests significant uncertainty in the stock's short-term trajectory [5] - The value rank of 80.49 indicates the stock may be underpriced relative to its assets and earnings, but the weak momentum score serves as a warning for short-term traders [5]
Beyond Nvidia: 4 AI Stocks Flying Under the Radar
Investing· 2026-02-18 06:36
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis focusing on key companies in the technology sector, specifically NVIDIA Corporation, Super Micro Computer Inc, Synopsys Inc, and Arista Networks [1] - It highlights the performance and strategic positioning of these companies within the industry, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] - The analysis includes insights into market trends and competitive dynamics affecting these firms [1] Group 2 - NVIDIA Corporation is noted for its leadership in graphics processing units (GPUs) and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies, which are driving significant growth [1] - Super Micro Computer Inc is recognized for its innovative server solutions, catering to the increasing demand for data center infrastructure [1] - Synopsys Inc is highlighted for its software solutions in electronic design automation, which are essential for semiconductor development [1] - Arista Networks is mentioned for its cloud networking solutions, capitalizing on the shift towards cloud computing [1]
SMCI Declines 6% in a Month: Time to Hold or Fold the Stock?
ZACKS· 2026-02-17 16:55
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares have declined by 6.4% over the past month, underperforming the Zacks Computer-Storage Devices industry's growth of 25% and the broader Computer and Technology sector's decline of 4% [1][7] - The current forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for SMCI is 13.25, significantly lower than the industry average of 19.26, indicating that the stock may be undervalued [4] - Despite strong revenue growth driven by AI, SMCI is facing margin pressures, high inventory levels, and negative free cash flow [7][9] Financial Performance - SMCI's non-GAAP gross margin fell by 310 basis points to 6.4% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, primarily due to rising transportation costs, component shortages, and pricing volatility [9][10] - A single datacenter customer accounted for approximately 63% of SMCI's revenues in the fiscal second quarter, highlighting customer concentration risks [10] - SMCI's inventory surged to $10.6 billion, up from $5.7 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 and $4.7 billion at the end of fiscal 2025 [11] Growth Opportunities - SMCI is expanding its AI server offerings and plans to roll out 6,000 racks per month, including 3,000 liquid-cooled racks, to meet increasing demand [12] - The company is forming partnerships with vendors like NVIDIA and AMD to enhance its product offerings in AI data centers and HPC [14] - SMCI is entering Client, Edge, and Consumer AI markets, which could provide additional growth avenues [15][19] Product Innovations - SMCI has launched a range of AI-optimized products, including the Super AI Station and various edge systems, aimed at reducing power and water consumption while lowering total ownership costs [16][18] - The introduction of advanced AI compute solutions powered by NVIDIA and AMD platforms is expected to drive demand [15][14] Investment Recommendation - Given the current challenges and long-term growth potential, it is suggested that investors hold SMCI stock for now, as the company navigates through near-term headwinds while pursuing expansion in various markets [19]
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Trading 35% Below Analyst Targets After 11% Weekly Drop
247Wallst· 2026-02-17 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (Nasdaq: SMCI) is currently trading at $30.54, reflecting a decline of 11.2% over the past week [1] Company Summary - The stock price of Super Micro Computer has decreased significantly, indicating potential volatility in its market performance [1]
The Zacks Analyst Blog NVIDIA, Super Micro Computer, Advanced Micro Devices and Intel
ZACKS· 2026-02-17 10:41
For Immediate ReleasesChicago, IL – February 17, 2026 – Zacks.com announces the list of stocks featured in the Analyst Blog. Every day the Zacks Equity Research analysts discuss the latest news and events impacting stocks and the financial markets. Stocks recently featured in the blog include  NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) , Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) , Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) and Intel Corporation (INTC) .Here are highlights from Tuesday’s Analyst Blog:NVIDIA vs. SMCI: Which AI Hardware Stock ...
Why Nvidia, AMD, and Super Micro Computer Are No Longer Moving in Sync
Investing· 2026-02-16 08:33
Market Analysis by covering: NVIDIA Corporation, Advanced Micro Devices Inc, Super Micro Computer Inc. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com ...
Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Week in Review: 11% Stock Drop Despite 123% Growth
247Wallst· 2026-02-15 15:22
Core Viewpoint - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) experienced an 11% stock drop despite reporting a 123% year-over-year revenue growth, primarily due to concerns over margin compression and insider selling [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - Super Micro reported $12.7 billion in revenue for Q2 fiscal 2026, exceeding Wall Street's expectations of $10.3 billion, marking a 123% increase year-over-year [1]. - The CEO raised the full-year revenue target to $40 billion, describing it as "conservative" [1]. - Gross margins fell to 6.3%, the lowest recorded, down from 15.6% in late 2023 and below 10% at the beginning of 2025 [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Analyst Opinions - Goldman Sachs turned bearish on Super Micro, citing margin compression and limited bargaining power with hyperscaler customers [1]. - Analysts from JR Research downgraded the stock to Hold, highlighting risks from increasing competition, particularly from Dell and potential Nvidia offerings [1]. - Retail investor sentiment on platforms like r/wallstreetbets shifted from bullish to bearish within the week, indicating a loss of confidence in the stock [1]. Group 3: Insider Activity - Multiple executives sold shares in late November 2025, including CEO Charles Liang and 10% owner Sara Liu, each selling 5,000 shares [1]. - The largest recent transaction involved Director Sherman Tuan selling 48,630 shares at $33 [1]. - There have been 60 insider sales over the past year with no open market purchases, raising concerns among investors about insider confidence [1].