Non-GAAP Financial Measures QUARTERLY EARNINGS PRESENTATION Q2'26 NASDAQ: SMTC 1 | QUARTERLY EARNINGS PRESENTATION | Q2'26 Safe Harbor Statement This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, as amended, based on the Company's current expectations, estimates and projections about its operations, industry, financial condition, performance, results of operations, and liquidity. Forward-looking ...

Executive Summary & Highlights This section outlines Semtech Corporation's Q2 FY26 financial performance and management insights [Company Overview](index=1&type=section&id=Item%201.1.%20Company%20Overview) Semtech Corporation is a leading provider of high-performance semiconductor, Internet of Things (IoT) systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions, focused on delivering technology for a smarter, more connected, and sustainable planet - Semtech is a leading provider of high-performance semiconductor, IoT systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions[2](index=2&type=chunk)[22](index=22&type=chunk) [Q2 FY26 Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Item%201.2.%20Q2%20FY26%20Financial%20Highlights) Semtech reported record net sales of $257.6 million, representing 20% year-over-year growth, with improved non-GAAP adjusted gross and operating margins, and significantly increased non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS Q2 FY26 Key Financial Highlights | Metric | Q2'26 | Q2'25 | YoY Change | | :-------------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :--------- | | Net sales (million USD) | $257.6 | $215.4 | +20% | | GAAP gross margin (%) | 52.1% | 49.0% | +3.1 pp | | Non-GAAP adjusted gross margin (%) | 53.2% | 50.4% | +2.8 pp | | GAAP operating margin (%) | (6.3)% | 3.6% | -9.9 pp | | Non-GAAP adjusted operating margin (%) | 18.8% | 14.2% | +4.6 pp | | GAAP diluted loss per share (USD) | $(0.31) | $(2.61) | +$2.30 | | Non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS (USD) | $0.41 | $0.11 | +$0.30 | [Management Commentary](index=1&type=section&id=Item%201.3.%20Management%20Commentary) CEO Hong Hou highlighted strong year-over-year financial performance driven by deep customer engagement, operational discipline, and targeted investments, while CFO Mark Lin noted improved cash flows enabling accelerated debt reduction - CEO Hong Hou attributed strong YoY financial performance to deep customer engagement, operational discipline, and a culture of excellence, positioning the company for high-growth opportunities[3](index=3&type=chunk) - CFO Mark Lin emphasized that strong net sales growth and improving profitability resulted in meaningful sequential and year-over-year increases in operating and free cash flows, leading to accelerated debt reduction and a reduced net leverage ratio[3](index=3&type=chunk) Financial Results This section details Semtech's Q2 FY26 financial performance, including GAAP and non-GAAP results, and provides the Q3 FY26 outlook [Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Results](index=2&type=section&id=Item%202.1.%20Second%20Quarter%20Fiscal%20Year%202026%20Results) Semtech reported Q2 FY26 net sales of $257.6 million, a GAAP net loss of $(27.1) million due to a goodwill impairment, and a non-GAAP adjusted net income of $36.7 million GAAP Financial Results (Q2'26 vs Q1'26 vs Q2'25) | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net sales (million USD) | $257.6 | $251.1 | $215.4 | | Gross margin (%) | 52.1% | 52.3% | 49.0% | | Operating expenses, net (million USD) | $150.3 | $95.3 | $97.7 | | Operating (loss) income (million USD) | $(16.2) | $36.0 | $7.8 | | Operating margin (%) | (6.3)% | 14.3% | 3.6% | | Interest expense, net (million USD) | $4.7 | $6.2 | $28.1 | | Goodwill impairment (million USD) | $42.0 | — | — | | Net (loss) income (million USD) | $(27.1) | $19.3 | $(170.3) | | Diluted (loss) earnings per share (USD) | $(0.31) | $0.22 | $(2.61) | Non-GAAP Financial Results (Q2'26 vs Q1'26 vs Q2'25) | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net sales (million USD) | $257.6 | $251.1 | $215.4 | | Adjusted gross margin* (%) | 53.2% | 53.5% | 50.4% | | Adjusted operating expenses, net* (million USD) | $88.4 | $86.6 | $77.9 | | Adjusted operating income* (million USD) | $48.6 | $47.6 | $30.5 | | Adjusted operating margin* (%) | 18.8% | 19.0% | 14.2% | | Adjusted interest expense, net* (million USD) | $4.1 | $5.0 | $20.5 | | Adjusted net income* (million USD) | $36.7 | $33.9 | $8.1 | | Adjusted diluted earnings per share* (USD) | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.11 | | Adjusted EBITDA* (million USD) | $56.5 | $55.4 | $40.5 | | Adjusted EBITDA margin* (%) | 21.9% | 22.1% | 18.8% | [Third Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook](index=2&type=section&id=Item%202.2.%20Third%20Quarter%20Fiscal%20Year%202026%20Outlook) For Q3 FY26, Semtech projects net sales of $266.0 million (±$5.0 million), with non-GAAP adjusted diluted EPS of $0.44 (±$0.03) and strong adjusted operating and EBITDA margins Q3 FY26 Non-GAAP Financial Outlook | Metric | Q3'26 Outlook | | :-------------------------- | :-------------- | | Net sales (million USD) | $266.0M (±$5.0M) | | Adjusted gross margin* (%) | 53.0% (±50 bps) | | Adjusted operating expenses, net* (million USD) | $88.8M (±$1.0M) | | Adjusted operating income* (million USD) | $52.2M (±$3.0M) | | Adjusted operating margin* (%) | 19.6% (±80 bps) | | Adjusted interest and other expense, net* (million USD) | $(5.0)M | | Adjusted normalized tax rate* (%) | 15% | | Adjusted diluted earnings per share* (USD) | $0.44 (±$0.03) | | Adjusted EBITDA* (million USD) | $60.0M (±$3.0M) | | Adjusted EBITDA margin* (%) | 22.5% (±80 bps) | | Non-GAAP diluted share count* (million) | 91.6M | Non-GAAP Financial Measures This section defines Semtech's non-GAAP financial measures and provides detailed reconciliations to their GAAP equivalents [Definition and Rationale](index=3&type=section&id=Item%203.1.%20Definition%20and%20Rationale) Semtech uses various non-GAAP measures to supplement GAAP results, excluding items like share-based compensation and goodwill impairment, to provide a clearer view of core operational performance and enhance comparability - Non-GAAP measures exclude share-based compensation, intangible amortization, transaction/integration costs, restructuring, litigation costs, and goodwill impairment[10](index=10&type=chunk)[12](index=12&type=chunk) - Management believes these exclusions provide useful information by reflecting core results and enhancing comparability between periods, despite some excluded items potentially being recurring[11](index=11&type=chunk)[13](index=13&type=chunk)[14](index=14&type=chunk) - A full-year normalized non-GAAP tax rate of **15%** is projected for fiscal year 2026 to reduce quarterly variability and improve comparability[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Results](index=11&type=section&id=Item%203.2.%20Reconciliation%20of%20GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Results) This section provides detailed reconciliations from GAAP to Non-GAAP figures for gross margin, operating expenses, operating income, net income, diluted EPS, and EBITDA across Q2'26, Q1'26, and Q2'25, illustrating the specific adjustments made for each metric [Gross Margin Reconciliation](index=11&type=section&id=Item%203.2.1.%20Gross%20Margin%20Reconciliation) This subsection reconciles GAAP gross margin to non-GAAP adjusted gross margin, detailing adjustments for compensation and amortization | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Gross margin (GAAP) (%) | 52.1% | 52.3% | 49.0% | | Share-based compensation (%) | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | | Amortization of acquired technology (%) | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | | Adjusted gross margin (Non-GAAP) (%) | 53.2% | 53.5% | 50.4% | [Operating Expenses and Income Reconciliation](index=12&type=section&id=Item%203.2.2.%20Operating%20Expenses%20and%20Income%20Reconciliation) This subsection reconciles GAAP operating expenses and income to their non-GAAP adjusted counterparts, outlining various excluded items Operating Expenses, Net Reconciliation | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :------------------------------------ | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Operating expenses, net (GAAP) (million USD) | $150.3 | $95.3 | $97.7 | | Share-based compensation (million USD) | $(16.7) | $(6.1) | $(16.4) | | Intangible amortization (million USD) | $(0.1) | $(0.1) | $(0.3) | | Transaction and integration related costs, net (million USD) | $(1.2) | $(1.1) | $(1.5) | | Restructuring and other reserves, net (million USD) | $(1.5) | $(1.2) | $(1.5) | | Litigation costs, net (million USD) | $(0.4) | $(0.2) | $(0.1) | | Goodwill impairment (million USD) | $(42.0) | — | — | | Adjusted operating expenses, net (Non-GAAP) (million USD) | $88.4 | $86.6 | $77.9 | Operating Income Reconciliation | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Operating (loss) income (GAAP) (million USD) | $(16.2) | $36.0 | $7.8 | | Share-based compensation (million USD) | $17.3 | $6.8 | $17.1 | | Intangible amortization (million USD) | $2.4 | $2.4 | $2.6 | | Transaction and integration related costs, net (million USD) | $1.2 | $1.1 | $1.5 | | Restructuring and other reserves, net (million USD) | $1.5 | $1.2 | $1.5 | | Litigation costs, net (million USD) | $0.4 | $0.2 | $0.1 | | Goodwill impairment (million USD) | $42.0 | — | — | | Adjusted operating income (Non-GAAP) (million USD) | $48.6 | $47.6 | $30.5 | [Net Income and EPS Reconciliation](index=13&type=section&id=Item%203.2.3.%20Net%20Income%20and%20EPS%20Reconciliation) This subsection reconciles GAAP net income and diluted EPS to their non-GAAP adjusted equivalents, including tax effects and other adjustments Net Income Reconciliation | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :------------------------------------ | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net (loss) income (GAAP) (million USD) | $(27.1) | $19.3 | $(170.3) | | Total Non-GAAP adjustments before taxes (million USD) | $65.3 | $12.9 | $175.6 | | Associated tax effect (million USD) | $(1.7) | $2.7 | $2.8 | | Equity method loss (income) (million USD) | $0.1 | $(1.0) | — | | Adjusted net income (Non-GAAP) (million USD) | $36.7 | $33.9 | $8.1 | Diluted EPS Reconciliation | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :------------------------------------ | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Diluted (loss) earnings per share (GAAP) (USD) | $(0.31) | $0.22 | $(2.61) | | Adjustments per above (USD) | $0.72 | $0.16 | $2.72 | | Adjusted diluted earnings per share (Non-GAAP) (USD) | $0.41 | $0.38 | $0.11 | [Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation](index=14&type=section&id=Item%203.2.4.%20Adjusted%20EBITDA%20Reconciliation) This subsection provides a reconciliation from GAAP net income to non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA, detailing various adjustments | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :-------------------------- | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net (loss) income (GAAP) (million USD) | $(27.1) | $19.3 | $(170.3) | | Interest expense (million USD) | $5.2 | $6.6 | $28.6 | | Interest income (million USD) | $(0.5) | $(0.4) | $(0.4) | | Provision for income taxes (million USD) | $4.8 | $8.7 | $4.2 | | Equity method loss (income) (million USD) | $0.1 | $(1.0) | — | | Share-based compensation (million USD) | $17.3 | $6.8 | $17.1 | | Depreciation and amortization (million USD) | $10.3 | $10.2 | $12.6 | | Goodwill impairment (million USD) | $42.0 | — | — | | Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) (million USD) | $56.5 | $55.4 | $40.5 | Supplemental Information This section provides additional context, including webcast details, forward-looking statements, notes on results, and a company overview [Webcast and Conference Call Details](index=3&type=section&id=Item%204.1.%20Webcast%20and%20Conference%20Call%20Details) Semtech hosted a conference call on August 25, 2025, to discuss Q2 FY26 results, with webcast and replay information available on its Investor Relations website - A conference call was held on August 25, 2025, at 1:30 p.m. Pacific time to discuss Q2 FY26 results[9](index=9&type=chunk) - Webcast and supplemental materials are available on Semtech's Investor Relations website, with a replay accessible until September 22, 2025[9](index=9&type=chunk) [Forward-Looking and Cautionary Statements](index=5&type=section&id=Item%204.2.%20Forward-Looking%20and%20Cautionary%20Statements) This section contains standard forward-looking statements regarding future financial and operational performance, subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, cautioning investors against undue reliance - The press release contains forward-looking statements about future financial performance, operational performance, growth trends, and company plans[17](index=17&type=chunk)[18](index=18&type=chunk) - Potential risks include industry volatility, rapid decrease in average selling prices, supply chain disruptions, failure to develop new products, intellectual property issues, R&D investment needs, competition, and difficulties integrating acquisitions like Sierra Wireless[19](index=19&type=chunk) - Investors are cautioned against undue reliance on forward-looking information, which is subject to significant risks and uncertainties detailed in SEC filings[20](index=20&type=chunk) [Notes on Reported Results](index=7&type=section&id=Item%204.3.%20Notes%20on%20Reported%20Results) The reported amounts are preliminary and subject to finalization for the Form 10-Q filing, with specific quarter-end dates defined for Q2'26, Q1'26, and Q2'25 - Reported results are preliminary and subject to finalization for the Form 10-Q filing for the quarter ended July 27, 2025[21](index=21&type=chunk) - Q2'26 refers to the quarter ended July 27, 2025; Q1'26 to April 27, 2025; and Q2'25 to July 28, 2024[21](index=21&type=chunk) [About Semtech](index=7&type=section&id=Item%204.4.%20About%20Semtech) Semtech Corporation (Nasdaq: SMTC) is a leading provider of high-performance semiconductor, IoT systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions, dedicated to delivering technology for a smarter, more connected, and sustainable planet - Semtech Corporation is a leading provider of high-performance semiconductor, IoT systems, and cloud connectivity service solutions[22](index=22&type=chunk) - The company is dedicated to delivering technology solutions for a smarter, more connected, and sustainable planet, serving infrastructure, industrial, and consumer markets[22](index=22&type=chunk) Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited) This section presents Semtech's unaudited consolidated statements of operations, balance sheets, and cash flow information [Statements of Operations](index=8&type=section&id=Item%205.1.%20Statements%20of%20Operations) The unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations show Q2'26 net sales of $257.6 million and a GAAP net loss of $(27.1) million, significantly impacted by a $42.0 million goodwill impairment charge Condensed Consolidated Statements of Operations (GAAP) | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :------------------------------------ | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net sales (million USD) | $257.6 | $251.1 | $215.4 | | Total cost of sales (million USD) | $123.5 | $119.8 | $109.9 | | Gross profit (million USD) | $134.1 | $131.3 | $105.5 | | Total operating expenses, net (million USD) | $150.3 | $95.3 | $97.7 | | Operating (loss) income (million USD) | $(16.2) | $36.0 | $7.8 | | Goodwill impairment (million USD) | $42.0 | — | — | | Net (loss) income (million USD) | $(27.1) | $19.3 | $(170.3) | | Diluted (loss) earnings per share (USD) | $(0.31) | $0.22 | $(2.61) | [Balance Sheets](index=9&type=section&id=Item%205.2.%20Balance%20Sheets) As of July 27, 2025, total assets were $1,405.9 million, with increased current assets and decreased total liabilities, notably a reduction in goodwill due to an impairment charge Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets | Metric | July 27, 2025 | January 26, 2025 | | :-------------------------- | :-------------- | :--------------- | | Total current assets (million USD) | $614.9 | $585.5 | | Total non-current assets (million USD) | $791.0 | $833.8 | | Total assets (million USD) | $1,405.9 | $1,419.3 | | Total current liabilities (million USD) | $243.1 | $283.0 | | Total non-current liabilities (million USD) | $609.8 | $593.8 | | Stockholders' equity (million USD) | $552.9 | $542.4 | | Total liabilities & equity (million USD) | $1,405.9 | $1,419.3 | - Goodwill decreased from **$533.1 million** to **$492.2 million**, reflecting the impairment charge in Q2'26[27](index=27&type=chunk)[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Current portion of long-term debt reduced from **$45.6 million** to zero, contributing to the decrease in total current liabilities[27](index=27&type=chunk) [Supplemental Cash Flow Information](index=10&type=section&id=Item%205.3.%20Supplemental%20Cash%20Flow%20Information) Net cash provided by operating activities significantly improved to $44.4 million in Q2'26, and free cash flow turned positive, reaching $41.5 million, demonstrating strong sequential and year-over-year growth Supplemental Cash Flow Information | Metric | Q2'26 | Q1'26 | Q2'25 | | :------------------------------------ | :------ | :------ | :------ | | Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities (million USD) | $44.4 | $27.8 | $(5.0) | | Net capital expenditures (million USD) | $(2.9) | $(1.7) | $(3.4) | | Free cash flow (million USD) | $41.5 | $26.2 | $(8.4) |

Core Insights - Semtech Corporation (SMTC) is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on August 25, with anticipated revenues of $256 million, reflecting an 18.9% increase year-over-year [1][10] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - For the fiscal second quarter, Semtech expects non-GAAP earnings per share to be 40 cents, showing a significant improvement from 11 cents in the same quarter last year [2][10] Performance Drivers - The anticipated strong performance is attributed to growth in infrastructure and high-end consumer markets, as well as robust demand in the wireless sector driven by 5G offerings [3][10] - The launch of cost-optimized 5G solutions, including EM9492 and EM9295 modules, is expected to enhance adoption among telecom carriers [3] - Increased compliance with various certifications for 5G modules is likely to boost their acceptance among global networking carriers [3] - Strong momentum in Signal Integrity and Analog Mixed Signal & Wireless product lines is expected to contribute positively [4] - Demand for Tri-Edge and FiberEdge products in hyperscale data centers is anticipated to aid performance [5] - The growing popularity of LoRa devices and LoRaWAN standards is expected to positively impact top-line growth [6] Challenges - Macroeconomic factors such as prolonged inflation and high interest rates may pose challenges for Semtech in the fiscal second quarter [7] - Tensions between the United States and China could raise concerns, while softness in the industrial end-market and Connectivity segment is expected to negatively affect results [7]

Core Insights - Semtech (SMTC) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.40 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 263.6% [1] - Anticipated revenues for the quarter are projected to be $256.04 million, which represents an 18.9% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1] - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the past 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their projections [1] Revenue Estimates by Market Segment - Net Sales for the High-End Consumer market are forecasted to reach $36.79 million, showing a slight decline of -0.8% from the prior-year quarter [4] - Net Sales for the Industrial market are expected to be $143.82 million, indicating a year-over-year increase of +14.8% [4] - Net Sales for the Infrastructure market are projected at $75.47 million, suggesting a significant year-over-year increase of +42.6% [4] Revenue Estimates by Reportable Segment - Net Sales for the Signal Integrity segment are predicted to reach $77.92 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +31.1% [5] - Semtech shares have decreased by -5.7% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of +2% [5] - Semtech holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating it is expected to closely follow overall market performance in the near term [5]

Core Viewpoint - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is investigating potential claims against Semtech Corporation due to a class action complaint alleging breaches of fiduciary duties by the board of directors [1][2] Group 1: Class Action Complaint Details - The class action complaint was filed on February 20, 2025, covering a Class Period from August 27, 2024, to February 7, 2025 [1] - Allegations include that Semtech's management made materially false and misleading statements and failed to disclose adverse facts about the company's business and operations [2] - Specific failures include the inadequacy of CopperEdge products for server rack customers, necessary architectural changes, and lower-than-expected sales projections for fiscal 2026 [2] Group 2: Company Information and Contact - Bragar Eagel & Squire, P.C. is a nationally recognized law firm representing investors in complex litigation [4] - Long-term stockholders of Semtech are encouraged to contact the firm for more information regarding their rights and the ongoing investigation [3][6]

Core Insights - SkyWater Technology (SKYT) and Semtech Corporation (SMTC) are positioned to benefit from the growing semiconductor market, particularly as the U.S. increases domestic chip production [1][2] - Semiconductor sales are projected to grow 11.2% year over year, reaching $700.9 billion in 2025 and $760.7 billion in 2026, driven by demand for AI hardware, electric vehicles, and industrial automation [2] SkyWater Technology (SKYT) - SkyWater is enhancing its market position through product innovation and expanded manufacturing capabilities, with a focus on its ThermaView platform for thermal imaging [4] - The company reported Q1 2025 revenues of $61.3 million and a gross margin of 24.2%, with advanced computing now accounting for 10% of total revenues [5] - The acquisition of Infineon's Fab 25 is expected to significantly increase SkyWater's capacity, adding approximately 400,000 wafer starts per year and making it the largest U.S.-based pure-play foundry service provider [6] Semtech Corporation (SMTC) - Semtech is experiencing growth in next-gen data center infrastructure, reporting record data center revenue of $51.6 million in Q1 fiscal 2026, a 143% increase year over year [7] - The CopperEdge product line offers over 90% power savings and is designed for high-density AI/ML data centers, with new ICs launched to support advanced connectivity [8] - Semtech's collaboration with major cloud platforms positions its technologies at the core of next-generation compute infrastructure, enhancing its growth potential in AI-centric markets [9][10] Market Performance and Valuation - Both SKYT and SMTC shares have declined year-to-date, with drops of 25.8% and 21.3% respectively, attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment [11] - SMTC shares are currently overvalued with a Value Score of D, while SKYT holds a Value Score of B; SMTC's Price/Sales ratio is 3.87X compared to SKYT's 1.43X [13] - Earnings estimates indicate a projected loss of one cent per share for SKYT in 2025, while SMTC's earnings for fiscal 2026 are estimated at $1.66 per share, reflecting an 88.64% year-over-year increase [16] Conclusion - Both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on long-term growth trends in the semiconductor market, with SkyWater benefiting from its unique foundry status and Semtech showing stronger near-term visibility due to record data center performance [17][18]

Company Overview - Semtech's shares have increased by approximately 20.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 index [1] - The consensus estimate for Semtech has shifted upward by 26.11% in the past month, indicating positive revisions [2] Performance Metrics - Semtech currently holds a Growth Score of A, but has a low Momentum Score of D and a Value Score of D, placing it in the bottom 40% for value investment strategy [3] - The overall VGM Score for Semtech is B, which is a composite score that investors should consider if not focused on a single strategy [3] Future Outlook - The upward trend in estimates suggests a promising outlook for Semtech, leading to a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating expectations for above-average returns in the coming months [4] Industry Comparison - Semtech is part of the Zacks Semiconductor - Analog and Mixed industry, where Analog Devices (ADI) has gained 8.8% over the past month [5] - Analog Devices reported revenues of $2.64 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 22.3%, with EPS rising from $1.40 to $1.85 [5] - For the current quarter, Analog Devices is expected to post earnings of $1.92 per share, representing a year-over-year change of 21.5% [6]

Group 1 - Semtech (SMTC) shares have increased by 2.2% over the past four weeks, closing at $40.23, with a mean price target of $56.33 indicating a potential upside of 40% [1] - The average of 12 short-term price targets ranges from a low of $43.00 to a high of $68.00, with a standard deviation of $8.32, suggesting a variability in analyst estimates [2] - Analysts show strong agreement on SMTC's ability to report better earnings than previously predicted, which supports the potential for stock upside [4][11] Group 2 - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMTC's current year earnings has increased by 20.4% over the past month, with four estimates rising and three falling [12] - SMTC holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimates [13] - While consensus price targets may not be reliable for predicting the extent of gains, they can provide a directional guide for price movement [14]

Industry Overview - The analog/mixed signal semiconductor market is expected to continue growing in 2025, following a strong performance in 2024, despite macro and geopolitical uncertainties, particularly related to China [1][8] - The World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) projects an 11.2% growth in semiconductors this year, driven by a 13.4% increase in integrated circuits (ICs) [2] - The Americas are expected to see the fastest growth at 18%, followed by Asia Pacific at 9.8%, Europe at 3.4%, and Japan at 0.6% [3] Market Drivers - Key drivers for growth include artificial intelligence (AI), cloud infrastructure, and advanced consumer electronics [3][15] - The automotive market is influenced by electrification and increased electronics usage in vehicles, with China being a significant driver [5][11] - Industrial end markets are expected to grow due to the adoption of new technologies such as AI, smart cities, and IoT [4] Company Insights - Semtech Corp. (SMTC) focuses on analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for various markets, with a strong emphasis on R&D and margin expansion [28][30] - Semtech's revenue and earnings are projected to increase by 14.2% and 88.6% in 2026, respectively [30] - Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) is well-positioned for long-term growth with innovative product development and strong customer engagement [33][34] - ADI's revenue and earnings are expected to grow by 12.5% and 15.8% in 2025, respectively [35] Market Performance - The semiconductor industry has experienced a decline of 15.1% over the past year, while the broader technology sector gained 6.4% [23] - The industry currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.21X, which is a premium compared to the S&P 500's 21.86X [26] Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and China, pose risks to the semiconductor supply chain, which is globally distributed [18][19] - The ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties, including high interest rates and tariff concerns, are impacting demand in the industrial end market [13][14]

Core Viewpoint - Semtech Corporation's stock has seen a nearly 9% increase due to renewed optimism from U.S.-China trade talks, although it remains down 33% year-to-date in 2025 [2] Financial Performance - Semtech's quarterly revenues rose 30.1% to $251 million from $193 million a year prior, compared to a 4.8% growth for the S&P 500 [6] - The company's revenue has increased at an average rate of 7.2% over the past three years, outpacing the S&P 500's 5.5% growth [7] - Semtech's revenues expanded 4.7% from $869 million to $909 million in the last 12 months, again against a 5.5% rise for the S&P 500 [7] Profitability Metrics - Semtech's operating income over the last four quarters was $62 million, reflecting a poor operating margin of 6.9%, compared to 13.2% for the S&P 500 [8] - The company's net income was -$162 million, resulting in a net income margin of -17.8%, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 11.6% [8] Valuation Comparison - Semtech has a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 3.4, higher than the S&P 500's 3.0 [7] - The price-to-free cash flow (P/FCF) ratio for Semtech is 52.6, compared to 20.5 for the S&P 500 [7] Financial Stability - Semtech's debt stood at $558 million, with a market capitalization of $3.4 billion, resulting in a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 18.3% [9] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $164 million of the total $1.4 billion in assets, giving a cash-to-assets ratio of 11.6% [9] Downturn Resilience - Semtech's stock has experienced more severe declines than the S&P 500 during recent downturns, including an 85.4% drop from its peak in 2021 [11] - The stock's performance during past crises indicates a neutral resilience to downturns [14]