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Core Viewpoint - Goldman Sachs analyst Adam Hotchkiss initiated coverage on Similarweb Ltd (SMWB) with a Buy rating and a price target of $16, citing potential for sustainable mid-to-high teens growth and improving margins due to recent initiatives [1][2]. Financial Performance - Hotchkiss projected fourth-quarter revenue of $65.4 million and adjusted earnings per share of 5 cents [4]. - The price target implies approximately 29 times EV/FCF based on current estimates [3]. Valuation and Market Position - Similarweb's shares are currently trading at a multiple of 4.5 times, which is a discount compared to software peers growing at 10-20% annually, which trade at around 6.6 times [2]. - The 4.5 times multiple reflects a premium to Similarweb's three-year historical trading average, driven by recent revenue acceleration and improving profitability [3]. Market Reaction - Similarweb stock is up 6.86% at $13.02 as of the last check [5].

Group 1 - The company Similarweb (NYSE: SMWB) has been given a buy rating due to its strong competitive advantage over peers, which is attributed to its ability to source and synthesize data effectively [1] - The investment approach focuses on identifying undervalued companies with long-term growth potential, emphasizing the importance of buying quality companies at a discount to their intrinsic value [1]

Group 1 - Similarweb reported quarterly earnings of $0.01 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.04 per share, representing an earnings surprise of -75% [1] - The company posted revenues of $64.71 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.87%, compared to year-ago revenues of $54.83 million [2] - Similarweb shares have increased approximately 96.6% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 25.8% [3] Group 2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.04 on $65.03 million in revenues, and $0.18 on $247.38 million in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Internet - Content is currently in the top 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the industry [8]

Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2024 was $64.7 million, an 18% increase from $54.8 million in Q3 2023[4] - Non-GAAP operating profit was $4.4 million, representing 7% of revenue, compared to $1.1 million or 2% of revenue in Q3 2023[4] - Free cash flow reached $8.7 million, a significant improvement from $(4.9) million in Q3 2023[6] - Revenue for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, was $161,264 thousand, an increase from $184,326 thousand in 2024, representing a growth of 14.5%[24] - Gross profit for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, was $126,033 thousand, compared to $144,843 thousand in 2024, indicating a gross margin of 78.2%[24] - Net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, was $(25,965) thousand, improving to $(6,037) thousand in 2024, a reduction of 76.8%[24] - The company reported a non-GAAP gross profit of $130,325 thousand for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, increasing to $148,841 thousand in 2024, with a non-GAAP gross margin of 81%[32] - The company expects to achieve a non-GAAP operating income of $12,480,000 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to a loss in the same period of 2023[33] Customer Growth - Customer base grew by 21% year-over-year to over 5,300 annual customers[2] - Dollar-based net retention rate (NRR) for customers with ARR of $100,000 or more was 111%, up from 108% in Q3 2023[6] - Customers with ARR of $100,000 or more contributed 60% of total ARR, up from 55% a year ago[6] Guidance and Projections - Q4 2024 revenue guidance is estimated between $64.7 million and $65.7 million, indicating approximately 15% growth year-over-year at the mid-point[10] - Full year 2024 revenue guidance is estimated between $249.0 million and $250.0 million[10] - The company anticipates continued growth in user data and market expansion, as indicated by the positive projections for free cash flow and operating income in 2024[37] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents totaled $60.1 million as of September 30, 2024, down from $71.7 million at the end of 2023[6] - Cash flows from operating activities showed a net cash provided of $26,756 thousand for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $(6,771) thousand in 2023[29] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $67,412 thousand for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, decreasing to $60,131 thousand in 2024[29] Operating Expenses - Operating expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, totaled $153,755 thousand, slightly decreasing to $150,947 thousand in 2024, reflecting a reduction of 1.2%[24] - Research and development expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, were $42,452 thousand, slightly decreasing to $40,238 thousand in 2024, a decline of 5.2%[24] - The company incurred share-based compensation costs totaling $13,685 thousand for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, compared to $13,092 thousand in 2024[26] - The amortization of intangible assets related to business combinations was $3,605,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, contributing to the overall operating expenses[33] Other Financial Metrics - The company achieved a free cash flow of $(8,936,000) for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, but projected a positive free cash flow of $24,765,000 for the same period in 2024[37] - Non-GAAP sales and marketing expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, were $74,648,000, with a non-GAAP sales and marketing margin of 46%[34] - The GAAP general and administrative expenses for the nine months ended September 30, 2023, were $31,941,000, with a non-GAAP general and administrative margin of 17%[34] - For the nine months ended September 30, 2023, the company reported a GAAP loss from operations of $27,722,000, while the non-GAAP operating loss was $9,564,000, reflecting a non-GAAP operating margin of -6%[33]

Shares of Similarweb Ltd SMWB have climbed almost 77% year to date.The company's revenue growth is accelerating, "driven by returning demand and abating down sell activity," according to Needham.Analyst Scott Berg initiated coverage with a Buy rating and price target of $11.The Similarweb Thesis: Apart from revenue growth, the company's operating model is driving "rapidly improving profitability," Berg said in the initiation note.Check out other analyst stock ratings."We believe Similarweb is an early leade ...

Most of us have heard the dictum "the trend is your friend." And this is undeniably the key to success when it comes to short-term investing or trading. But it isn't easy to ensure the sustainability of a trend and profit from it. The trend often reverses before exiting the trade, leading to a short-term capital loss for investors. So, for a profitable trade, one should confirm factors such as sound fundamentals, positive earnings estimate revisions, etc. that could keep the momentum in the stock alive. Our ...

Momentum investing is all about the idea of following a stock's recent trend, which can be in either direction. In the 'long' context, investors will essentially be "buying high, but hoping to sell even higher." And for investors following this methodology, taking advantage of trends in a stock's price is key; once a stock establishes a course, it is more than likely to continue moving in that direction. The goal is that once a stock heads down a fixed path, it will lead to timely and profitable trades. Whi ...

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of timing and sustainability in stock trends for successful short-term investing, highlighting the need for strong fundamentals and positive earnings revisions to maintain momentum [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Similarweb (SMWB) has shown a solid price increase of 14.5% over the past 12 weeks, indicating investor confidence in its potential upside [4]. - Over the last four weeks, SMWB's price has increased by 36.9%, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - SMWB is currently trading at 83.4% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout opportunity [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - SMWB holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises [6]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting high optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is a useful tool for investors to identify stocks like SMWB that are on an uptrend supported by strong fundamentals [3]. - The article suggests exploring over 45 Zacks Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles to find potential winning stocks [8].

Shares of Similarweb (SMWB) have gained 13.6% over the past four weeks to close the last trading session at $8.04, but there could still be a solid upside left in the stock if short-term price targets of Wall Street analysts are any indication. Going by the price targets, the mean estimate of $11 indicates a potential upside of 36.8%. The mean estimate comprises six short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $1.67. While the lowest estimate of $10 indicates a 24.4% increase from the current price ...