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猫途鹰财报不及预期股价大跌,机构下调目标价
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-12 20:35
Core Viewpoint - The stock of TripAdvisor (TRIP.US) experienced a significant decline on February 12, 2026, following the release of its fiscal year 2025 earnings report, which fell short of market expectations, leading to decreased investor confidence [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The fiscal year 2025 earnings report revealed a year-over-year revenue increase to $1.891 billion and a substantial net profit growth to $40 million; however, the revenue growth rate has slowed down [2] - Market focus is on the anticipated negative earnings per share for the fourth quarter of 2025, indicating a shift from profit to loss, which directly impacts investor confidence in the company's earnings sustainability [2] Group 2: Institutional Perspectives - Before the earnings report, Wedbush lowered TripAdvisor's target price from $20 to $15 while maintaining a "hold" rating, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's short-term performance and putting pressure on the stock price [3] Group 3: Industry Policy and Environment - The online travel industry is facing structural challenges, with growth increasingly reliant on improving the "quality-price ratio" [4] - The State Administration for Market Regulation initiated an investigation into Ctrip Group for alleged monopoly practices in January 2026, which may affect the entire online travel sector and increase policy uncertainty [4] Group 4: Financial and Technical Aspects - In the week leading up to the earnings report, TripAdvisor's stock price had already declined significantly, with a notable increase in turnover rate, indicating heightened risk-averse sentiment among investors [5] - On February 12, the stock exhibited considerable volatility, ultimately closing lower with a trading volume of approximately $99.62 million and evident selling pressure [5]
Why TripAdvisor Stock Was Diving on Thursday
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-12 18:32
Core Insights - TripAdvisor's stock experienced a significant decline of nearly 15% following a disappointing earnings report, indicating investor dissatisfaction with the company's performance [1][6]. Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, TripAdvisor reported revenue of $411 million, which was flat year-over-year, and a non-GAAP net income of $5 million, or $0.04 per share, reflecting a 12% decrease [2][4]. - The company's results fell short of analyst expectations, with revenue estimates averaging $412.3 million and non-GAAP net income expectations at $0.17 per share [4]. Business Segments - TripAdvisor saw a notable increase in its experiences offerings, which allow travelers to engage in unique activities, but this growth was countered by a decline in revenue from its legacy businesses [5]. - The profitability of the experiences segment was impacted by higher spending aimed at enhancing this area, raising concerns about its ability to drive significant growth [5][7]. Market Sentiment - Investors remain skeptical about the experiences segment's potential to significantly impact TripAdvisor's overall performance, leading to doubts about the stock's attractiveness [7][8]. - The company faces competition in the travel sector, which may hinder its ability to leverage the experiences segment as a strong growth driver [8].
Tripadvisor (TRIP) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 17:17
Core Insights - The company is experiencing rapid growth and diversifying its revenue streams, particularly in the dining marketplace, which is seen as a valuable long-term growth opportunity [1][2] - A strategic review is underway for The Fork, with potential alternatives being explored to enhance shareholder value while investing in the Experiences strategy [1][2] - The shift towards marketplace businesses is changing the revenue and profit profile, with expectations for marketplace revenue to represent two-thirds of total group revenue by 2026 [3] Financial Performance - In 2025, the company achieved record revenue of $1.9 billion, with Experiences growing by 10% and The Fork by 22%, offsetting declines in legacy segments [4][20] - Adjusted EBITDA for the group was $319 million, representing 17% of revenue, with a focus on profitable growth in Experiences and The Fork [4][21] - The Fork's revenue in Q4 was $57 million, reflecting 18% growth, while full-year revenue reached $221 million, a 22% increase [30][31] Market Strategy - The company aims to solidify its leadership in the Experiences market, leveraging its assets for an AI-enabled future and simplifying legacy offerings [2][5] - The Experiences segment is expected to contribute over 50% of total revenue by 2026, with a focus on improving unit economics and customer loyalty [3][39] - The company is enhancing its marketing efficiency and expanding its supply base to attract new customers, with a significant increase in bookings and gross booking value (GBV) [7][11] AI and Innovation - The company launched an AI-native MVP to enhance user experience and drive personalization, with early data indicating improved engagement and monetization [14][70] - Partnerships with AI platforms are being explored to leverage user-generated content (UGC) and improve conversion rates [15][74] - The focus on AI is expected to drive significant growth in the Experiences market, with a commitment to continuous innovation [13][70] Future Outlook - For 2026, the company anticipates modest consolidated revenue growth, with marketplace businesses expected to represent approximately two-thirds of total revenue [38][39] - Experiences revenue is projected to grow in the low teens, while The Fork is expected to see growth in the low to mid-teens [40][41] - The company is managing its Hotels and Other segment for profitability, anticipating revenue declines due to SEO traffic headwinds [41][42]
TripAdvisor(TRIP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record high revenue of $1.9 billion in 2025, reflecting a 3% growth year-over-year, with a 10% growth in experiences and a 22% growth at TheFork, offsetting an 8% decline in hotels and other segments [4][19] - Group adjusted EBITDA was $319 million, or 17% of revenue, with Q4 adjusted EBITDA at $45 million, or 11% of revenue, which was at the low end of expectations [4][19] - Experiences adjusted EBITDA margin was 10% for the full year, making it the most profitable scaled experiences platform globally [28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Marketplace businesses represented 61% of group revenue in 2025, with experiences expected to contribute over 50% of revenue and roughly 40% of adjusted EBITDA in 2026 [5][36] - Experiences segment saw bookings grow by 18% in Q4, with revenue growing 10% to $204 million, while TheFork's revenue in Q4 was $57 million, representing an 18% growth [22][28] - Hotels and other segment revenue declined by 15% in Q4, with a full-year decline of 8% to $750 million [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The online experiences market is expected to grow by double digits over the next few years, with the company seeing strong demand signals and increasing market share [8][50] - TheFork's B2C channel bookings grew 9%, while B2B subscription revenue grew at a higher rate, indicating strong value proposition [28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on becoming an experiences-first company, exploring strategic alternatives for TheFork to unlock shareholder value while simplifying legacy offerings [6][17] - Plans include extending leadership in experiences globally, leveraging AI for enhanced customer engagement, and improving marketing efficiency [6][14] - The company aims to balance growth and profitability, with a focus on repeat customers and expanding into new geographies [12][56] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the experiences market's growth potential, with expectations for continued acceleration in bookings and revenue in 2026 [36][41] - The company anticipates modest consolidated revenue growth in 2026, driven by marketplace businesses, while facing structural traffic headwinds in legacy segments [36][39] - Management highlighted the importance of leveraging AI to enhance user experience and drive conversion rates [14][68] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.1 million shares in 2025, reducing share count by approximately 21% since the end of 2024 [34] - Operating cash flow for the full year was $245 million, with free cash flow at $163 million, indicating a strong capital structure [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you characterize the incremental growth investments in the experiences business? - Management sees the experiences market as attractive and growing faster than other travel categories, with plans to invest further to drive global leadership [47][50] Question: Regarding experiences margin expansion, why not focus on customer acquisition instead of margin? - Management emphasized that profitability is driven by marketing efficiencies and repeat customer growth, while still being open to customer acquisition investments [55][56] Question: Can you elaborate on the AI native MVP launched in Q4? - The AI native MVP aims to provide personalized recommendations and improve user engagement, with early data showing higher engagement compared to previous efforts [68] Question: What are the economics behind traffic from large AI platforms? - Management noted that AI-driven traffic tends to be higher intent, leading to stronger conversions, and is growing faster than traditional SEO traffic [71][72]
TripAdvisor(TRIP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 14:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record high revenue of $1.9 billion in 2025, reflecting a 3% growth year-over-year, with a group adjusted EBITDA of $319 million, or 17% of revenue [4][19] - In Q4, consolidated revenue was $411 million, flat compared to the previous year, with adjusted EBITDA of $45 million, or 11% of revenue [19][20] - Experiences segment revenue grew 10% to $204 million in Q4, while full-year revenue reached $924 million, also a 10% increase [23][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Marketplace businesses represented 61% of group revenue in 2025, with experiences expected to contribute over 50% of revenue and roughly 40% of adjusted EBITDA in 2026 [5][6] - TheFork segment revenue grew 18% in Q4 to $57 million, with full-year revenue of $221 million, representing a 22% increase [28][29] - Hotels and other segment revenue declined 15% in Q4 to $151 million, with a full-year decline of 8% to $750 million [29][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The experiences market is expected to grow by double digits over the next few years, with the online portion growing at 13% from 2019 to 2025 [8][47] - The company reported that repeat bookings are the fastest-growing cohort, comprising the majority of gross booking value (GBV) [24][12] - TheFork's B2B subscription revenue grew significantly, driven by the adoption of higher-priced premium plans by restaurants [16][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on becoming an experiences-first company, streamlining legacy offerings while exploring strategic alternatives for TheFork [6][7] - Plans include leveraging AI to enhance customer experience and optimize marketing efficiency, with a goal to simplify operations and improve profitability [14][18] - The company aims to extend its leadership in the experiences market globally and invest in capturing more market share [8][9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential of the experiences market, citing strong demand signals and the ability to exceed market growth rates [47][50] - The company anticipates modest consolidated revenue growth in 2026, driven by a shift towards marketplace businesses, while facing headwinds in legacy segments [36][39] - Management highlighted the importance of repeat customers and the potential for increased profitability through improved marketing efficiencies [24][56] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 6.1 million shares in 2025, reducing share count by approximately 21% since the end of 2024 [34] - Operating cash flow for the full year was $245 million, with free cash flow of $163 million, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities [33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you characterize the incremental growth investments in the experiences business? - Management sees the experiences market as attractive and growing faster than other travel categories, with plans to invest in marketing to capture demand [46][47] Question: Regarding experiences margin expansion, why not focus on customer acquisition instead of margin? - Management emphasized the balance between growth and profitability, focusing on marketing efficiencies and repeat customer growth [54][56] Question: Can you elaborate on the AI native MVP launched in Q4? - The AI native MVP aims to enhance personalization and user engagement, leveraging user-generated content to build trust and improve conversion rates [64][68] Question: What are the economics behind traffic from large AI platforms compared to traditional SEO? - Management noted that AI-driven traffic tends to be higher intent, leading to stronger conversions, and they are excited about the growth potential in this area [70][72] Question: How is the geographic expansion for experiences being approached? - The company is focusing on building supply in new markets while also marketing North American experiences in new points of sale [76][80]
TripAdvisor (TRIP) Q4 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-12 14:31
分组1 - TripAdvisor reported quarterly earnings of $0.04 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.15 per share, and down from $0.30 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -73.33% [1] - The company posted revenues of $411 million for the quarter ended December 2025, which was in line with year-ago revenues but missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.56% [2] - Over the last four quarters, TripAdvisor has surpassed consensus EPS estimates three times, but has topped consensus revenue estimates only once [2] 分组2 - TripAdvisor shares have declined approximately 16.5% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.4% [3] - The company's earnings outlook is crucial for investors, as it includes current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters and any recent changes to these expectations [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.09 on revenues of $402.02 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.87 on revenues of $1.97 billion [7] 分组3 - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the Internet - Commerce sector is currently in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges for stocks in this category [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked by investors [5] - Ahead of the earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for TripAdvisor was favorable, resulting in a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) for the stock, indicating expected outperformance in the near future [6]
TripAdvisor(TRIP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-12 14:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record high revenue of $1.9 billion in 2025, reflecting a 3% growth year-over-year, with a 10% growth in experiences and a 22% growth at TheFork, offsetting an 8% decline in hotels and other segments [3][18] - Group adjusted EBITDA was $319 million, or 17% of revenue, with Q4 adjusted EBITDA at $45 million, representing 11% of revenue, which was at the low end of expectations [3][18] - The marketplace businesses represented 61% of group revenue in 2025, up from 59% in 2022, indicating a significant shift in revenue composition [4] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the experiences segment, bookings grew 18% in Q4, with gross booking value (GBV) increasing 16% to approximately $980 million [21][22] - TheFork's revenue in Q4 was $57 million, representing an 18% growth, while full-year revenue reached $221 million, a 22% increase [27] - Hotels and other segment revenue declined 15% in Q4 to $151 million, with a full-year decline of 8% to $750 million [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The experiences market is expected to grow by double digits over the next few years, with the online portion growing at 13% from 2019 to 2025, while the company grew 22% in the same period [8][47] - TheFork's B2B subscription revenue grew at a higher rate, driven by restaurant adoption of premium plans, highlighting strong value [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on becoming an experiences-first company, with plans to explore strategic alternatives for TheFork to unlock shareholder value [5][6] - The strategy includes leveraging AI to enhance customer experience and streamline operations, with a goal to simplify legacy offerings while investing in growth areas [5][13] - The company aims to extend its leadership in experiences globally and improve marketing efficiency to drive demand [9][50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the growth potential of the experiences market, citing strong demand signals and the ability to exceed market growth rates [47][50] - The company anticipates modest consolidated revenue growth in 2026, driven by a shift towards marketplace businesses, while facing structural headwinds in legacy segments [35][41] - Management highlighted the importance of repeat bookings, which are expected to continue being the largest and fastest-growing cohort, contributing significantly to profitability [12][24] Other Important Information - The company has streamlined its corporate structure and made operational choices to focus on travel areas with the greatest long-term opportunity [4] - The company repurchased 6.1 million shares in 2025, reducing share count by approximately 21% since the end of 2024 [34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you characterize the incremental growth investments in the experiences business? - Management sees the experiences market as attractive and growing faster than other travel categories, with plans to invest further to drive global leadership [47][50] Question: Why not double down on customer acquisition versus giving back some on the EBITDA margin? - Management emphasized that profitability is driven by marketing efficiencies and repeat cohorts, and they are flexible in balancing growth and profitability [56][57] Question: Can you tell us more about the AI native MVP launched in Q4? - The AI native MVP aims to deliver personalized recommendations and improve user engagement, with early data showing higher engagement compared to previous efforts [66][68] Question: How are you thinking about monetizing user review data? - Management noted that user-generated content (UGC) remains stable and is being leveraged for both internal platforms and partnerships, with AI traffic showing higher intent and conversion rates [71][72]
TripAdvisor(TRIP) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-12 13:30
Q4 & FY 2025 Investor Presentation February 2026 Tripadvisor Safe Harbor Statement Forward-Looking Statements. Our presentation today, including the slides contained herein, contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are not historical facts or guarantees of future performance and are based on management's assumptions and expectations, which are inherently subject to difficult to predict uncertainties, risks and changes ...
TripAdvisor(TRIP) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-02-12 12:01
Revenue Performance - Total revenue for Q4 2025 was $411 million, flat year-over-year, while full year revenue reached $1.891 billion, reflecting a 3% increase[4] - Experiences segment revenue for Q4 2025 was $204 million, a 10% increase year-over-year, contributing to full year revenue of $924 million, also up 10%[11] - TheFork segment revenue for Q4 2025 was $57 million, an 18% increase year-over-year, with full year revenue of $221 million, reflecting a 22% increase[12] - Revenue for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $411 million, consistent with the same period in 2024, while total revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025, increased to $1,891 million from $1,835 million in 2024, representing a growth of 3%[20] - Total revenue for the fiscal year 2023 was $1,834.6 million, with a year-over-year growth of 3%[42] - Total revenue for the fiscal year reached $2.5 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 1%[49] Profitability Metrics - GAAP net loss for Q4 2025 was $38 million, or ($0.33) diluted EPS, while full year net income was $40 million, or $0.31 diluted EPS, a 712% increase from the previous year[4] - Operating income for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $80 million, down from $92 million in 2024, indicating a decline of approximately 13%[20] - Net loss for the three months ended December 31, 2025, was $(38) million, compared to a net income of $2 million in the same period of 2024, reflecting a significant downturn[20] - Basic earnings per share for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $0.32, compared to $0.04 in 2024, showing an increase of 700%[20] - GAAP net income margin for the year was reported at -19.6%, with a year-over-year growth of -19%[47] - Non-GAAP net income margin improved to 4.8%, reflecting a 1% year-over-year growth[47] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash and cash equivalents as of December 31, 2025, were approximately $1.0 billion, unchanged from the previous year[7] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $1,035 million, slightly down from $1,064 million at the end of 2024[24] - The company reported a net cash used in operating activities of $(103) million for the three months ended December 31, 2025, compared to $(2) million in the same period of 2024[24] - Free cash flow (Non-GAAP) was $163 million, indicating a strong cash position despite operational challenges[42] Cost Management - The company expects to achieve at least $85 million in annualized gross cost savings from restructuring actions initiated in Q4 2025, primarily through workforce reductions[13] - Marketing costs for Q4 2025 were $175 million, or 42.5% of revenue, reflecting a 15% increase year-over-year[6] - Marketing expenses for the fiscal year totaled $791.4 million, representing 31% of total revenue[49] - Personnel costs accounted for 25% of total revenue, amounting to $573.4 million for the fiscal year[49] Segment Performance - Total bookings during Q4 2025 grew approximately 9% year-over-year, with full year bookings increasing by approximately 8%[18] - Experiences segment revenue reached $737.2 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10%[42] - Hotels and Other segment revenue was $901.5 million, showing a decline of 8% year-over-year[42] - TheFork segment revenue increased to $153.7 million, with a year-over-year growth of 18%[42] - TheFork segment reported total revenue of $220.8 million for the fiscal year, with a year-over-year growth of 43%[49] Non-GAAP Measures - The company has reported a non-GAAP net income (loss) measure, which is not reconciled to GAAP due to the uncertainty of certain items, indicating a focus on adjusted financial performance metrics[25] - Tripadvisor defines "Adjusted EBITDA" as net income (loss) plus various adjustments, providing a clearer view of financial performance by excluding non-cash and unpredictable items[28] - The company calculates "Adjusted EBITDA margin" as Adjusted EBITDA divided by revenue, which is a key measure for evaluating financial performance across business segments[29] - Non-GAAP net income (loss) excludes specific expenses such as stock-based compensation and legal reserves, allowing for better comparison of financial results over time[31] - Tripadvisor defines "free cash flow" as cash provided by operations less capital expenditures, which helps investors understand underlying cash flow trends[36] - Non-GAAP diluted EPS is calculated as non-GAAP net income (loss) divided by GAAP diluted shares, providing a per-share perspective on financial performance[33] Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on market expansion and new product development to drive future growth[40] - The company anticipates continued revenue growth, projecting a 6% increase for Q1 2024[40] - The company expects continued growth in the Experiences segment, projecting a 10% growth rate for the upcoming quarters[42] - Tripadvisor aims to be the world's most trusted source for travel and experiences, leveraging technology and partnerships to connect users with various travel categories[58] Operational Metrics - Monthly active users and other operating metrics are being closely monitored to evaluate business performance and trends[51] - Gross Booking Value (GBV) is used as an operational measure to indicate total engagement and economic activity on the Viator platform, but it is not considered an indicator of revenue[54] - An "experience booking" is defined as a single tour or activity purchased through Viator, reported at the time of booking, which serves as a useful indicator of marketplace scale[55] - The company emphasizes the importance of monitoring multiple operating metrics together for strategic decision-making, rather than relying on a single metric[53] Financial Reporting and Transparency - The company presents reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures to GAAP measures to enhance transparency for investors[38] - Adjusted EBITDA and non-GAAP net income (loss) have limitations and should not be considered in isolation from GAAP results[31] - Forward-looking statements regarding future financial performance and strategic initiatives are subject to risks and uncertainties that may impact actual results[57]
猫途鹰财报前股价异动,机构下调目标价引关注
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2026-02-11 22:58
Group 1 - The stock price of TripAdvisor (TRIP.US) experienced significant movement ahead of its Q4 FY2025 earnings report, with market focus on earnings expectations, institutional ratings, industry environment, and technical factors [1] - In the week leading up to the earnings report (February 4 to 11), TripAdvisor's stock price fell approximately 17.53%, with a volatility of 20.36% and a notable increase in trading volume [2] - Institutions generally expect the company's Q4 FY2025 revenue to be $413 million, reflecting a slight year-over-year increase of 0.42%, but anticipate a loss per share of -$0.134, indicating a shift from profit to loss [3] Group 2 - Wedbush maintained a "Hold" rating on TripAdvisor as of February 6, 2026, but lowered the target price from $20 to $15, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's short-term performance [4] - The travel industry is facing structural challenges, with growth relying on improvements in "value for money." Additionally, competition in the OTA sector is intensifying, and regulatory scrutiny, such as the investigation into Ctrip Group for alleged monopoly practices, may impact the entire sector [5]