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Tyson Foods shares sink as meatpacker warns of ‘challenging market conditions' for beef
New York Post· 2025-05-05 17:15
Core Viewpoint - Tyson Foods reported lower-than-expected quarterly sales, with total net sales of $13.07 billion missing analysts' estimates of $13.14 billion, despite better-than-anticipated profits, leading to a 9% drop in shares [1][9] Company Performance - The beef business, which is Tyson's largest unit, reported an adjusted operating loss of $181 million for the six months ending in March [6] - In the chicken unit, quarterly sales volumes rose by 3%, while average prices declined by 1.1%, resulting in an increase in income to $312 million from $160 million a year earlier [11] - The company maintained its outlook for total adjusted operating income of $1.9 billion to $2.3 billion for fiscal year 2025, despite some investor expectations for an increase [8] Market Conditions - Demand for Tyson's beef has declined as average prices spiked by 8.2% in the second quarter, leading consumers to opt for less expensive meats like chicken [5][4] - Beef prices have risen due to US ranchers reducing cattle herds amid a prolonged drought affecting grazing lands [2][8] - CEO Donnie King stated that the beef market is facing the most challenging conditions ever seen [4] External Factors - President Trump's trade policies and tariff disputes are raising concerns about potential price increases for consumer goods, which could further reduce demand for higher-priced meat products [1] - Tyson warned that tariffs could disrupt sales, although exports account for less than 10% of its business [5] - Legal contingency accruals added pressure on sales, with an increase of $250 million for claims related to price fixing in its pork business [12]
TSN Q2 Earnings Top Estimates, Sales Flat Amid Volume Pressure
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 17:10
Core Insights - Tyson Foods, Inc. (TSN) reported a strong increase in adjusted earnings per share, reaching 92 cents, which exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 85 cents and marked a 48% increase from the previous year's 62 cents [2] - Total sales remained flat at $13,074 million year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13,097.8 million, with average price changes positively impacting the top line by 2.6% while total volumes remained unchanged [2] Financial Performance - Gross profit for the quarter was $600 million, down from $866 million in the same period last year [3] - Adjusted operating income increased by 27% to $515 million from $406 million year over year, with the adjusted operating margin expanding to 3.8% from 3.1% [3] Segment Performance - **Beef**: Sales increased to $5,196 million from $4,954 million, with volumes down 1.4% and average prices up 8.2% [4] - **Pork**: Sales decreased to $1,244 million from $1,486 million, with volumes down 3.8% and average prices up 4.3% [4] - **Chicken**: Sales improved to $4,141 million from $4,065 million, with sales volumes growing 3% and average prices down 1.1% [5] - **Prepared Foods**: Sales were $2,396 million, down from $2,404 million, with volumes dipping 2.6% and average prices rising 2.3% [5] - **International/Other**: Sales were $566 million compared to $580 million, with volumes down 1.5% and average sales prices down 0.9% [6] Financial Position - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $992 million, long-term debt of $8,172 million, and total shareholders' equity of $18,531 million [7] - Liquidity stood at $3.2 billion, expected to remain above the minimum target of $1 billion for fiscal 2025, with projected capital expenditure of $1-$1.2 billion [8] Future Outlook - The USDA projects a 1% increase in domestic protein production for fiscal 2025 compared to fiscal 2024 [10] - For fiscal 2025, Tyson Foods anticipates total revenue growth to be flat to a 1% increase, with adjusted operating income expected in the range of $1.9-$2.3 billion [12] - Segment-wise, adjusted operating income projections include a loss of $0.4-$0.2 billion for Beef, and profits of $0.1-$0.2 billion for Pork, $1-$1.3 billion for Chicken, and $0.9-$1.1 billion for Prepared Foods [13]
Tyson Foods Stock Eyes Worst Day in 2 Years
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-05 14:56
Core Insights - Tyson Foods Inc (NYSE:TSN) experienced a 9.5% decline in stock price, trading at $54.99, despite reporting better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings driven by strong chicken sales, although profits decreased year-over-year [1] - The company is facing its worst daily percentage drop since May 2023, with stock prices at their lowest since January 2023, and trading below all short- and long-term trendlines [2] - Analysts have not yet provided commentary on the results, but the majority hold a "hold" rating, with a consensus 12-month price target of $66.49, which is significantly above current trading levels [3] Financial Performance - Fiscal second-quarter earnings exceeded expectations, primarily due to robust chicken sales, but overall revenue fell short of estimates [1] - Profits for the quarter decreased compared to the same period last year [1] Market Activity - The stock is currently below all moving averages from 20 to 320 days, indicating a bearish trend [2] - Options trading shows a significant increase in activity, with 2,418 calls and 6,454 puts traded, which is 3.6 times the average daily options volume [2] Analyst Ratings - Seven analysts currently cover Tyson Foods, with a majority rating the stock as "hold" and only two providing a "buy" rating [3] - The consensus price target of $66.49 suggests a premium compared to the current stock price [3]
Compared to Estimates, Tyson (TSN) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 14:35
Core Insights - Tyson Foods reported $13.07 billion in revenue for the quarter ended March 2025, showing a year-over-year increase of 0% and an EPS of $0.92 compared to $0.62 a year ago, with a revenue surprise of -0.18% and an EPS surprise of +8.24% [1] Financial Performance - Revenue of $13.07 billion compared to Zacks Consensus Estimate of $13.1 billion [1] - EPS of $0.92 compared to consensus estimate of $0.85 [1] - Year-over-year revenue growth of 0% [1] Key Metrics - Beef volume decreased by 1.4% compared to the average estimate of -1.5% [4] - Chicken volume increased by 3% compared to the average estimate of 1% [4] - Sales for Chicken were $4.14 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $4.05 billion, with a year-over-year change of +1.9% [4] - Sales for Beef were $5.20 billion, surpassing the average estimate of $4.97 billion, with a year-over-year change of +4.9% [4] - International/Other sales were $566 million, below the estimated $582.90 million, representing a -2.4% change year-over-year [4] - Prepared Foods sales were $2.40 billion, slightly below the estimated $2.46 billion, with a -0.3% change year-over-year [4] - Pork sales were $1.24 billion, below the average estimate of $1.47 billion, reflecting a -16.3% year-over-year change [4] Operating Income - Adjusted Operating Loss for Beef was -$149 million compared to the average estimate of -$122.63 million [4] - Adjusted Operating Income for Pork was $55 million, exceeding the average estimate of $40.74 million [4] - Adjusted Operating Income for International/Other was $53 million, surpassing the average estimate of $14.62 million [4] - Adjusted Operating Income for Prepared Foods was $244 million, slightly below the average estimate of $255.29 million [4] Stock Performance - Tyson shares returned +1.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating potential performance in line with the broader market [3]
Tyson Foods (TSN) Surpasses Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 13:40
Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times. Tyson, which belongs to the Zacks Food - Meat Products industry, posted revenues of $13.07 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.18%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $13.07 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates three times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbe ...
鸡肉销售增长助力泰森食品(TSN.US)Q2利润超预期 牛肉业务深陷十年最惨亏损周期
智通财经网· 2025-05-05 13:02
Group 1 - Tyson Foods reported a profit exceeding market expectations due to increased chicken sales offsetting losses in the beef segment [1] - For Q2 of fiscal year 2025, Tyson's revenue was $13.07 billion, flat year-over-year and below market expectations; earnings per share reached $0.92, a 48% increase from the previous year, surpassing analysts' average forecast of $0.80 [1] - Adjusted operating profit grew nearly 27% year-over-year to $515 million, primarily driven by chicken sales growth [1] Group 2 - Tyson's beef segment reported a loss of $149 million (excluding special items), marking the sixth consecutive quarter of losses for this segment due to rising cattle costs that could not be passed on to consumers [2] - The adjusted operating profit for the chicken segment was $312 million, outperforming analyst expectations [2] - The average loss per cattle for beef packers reached $115.97, the highest since at least 2014 [2] Group 3 - The free cash flow generated in the first six months of fiscal year 2025 was lower than the same period last year [3]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-05 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Second quarter adjusted operating income increased by more than $100 million or 27% year-over-year, with a margin expansion of 70 basis points [9][23] - Adjusted earnings per share grew by 48%, reflecting improved operating performance and strategic execution [9][23] - Enterprise sales for the second quarter were $13.1 billion, which included a reduction of $343 million or 2.6% related to a legal contingency accrual primarily in pork [23][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Prepared Foods**: Sales were in line with last year, with adjusted operating income increasing nearly 5% and margin improving by 50 basis points [24][25] - **Chicken**: Achieved the best second quarter adjusted operating income in nine years, with a nearly 95% increase compared to the same quarter last year [16][26] - **Beef**: Sales increased primarily due to a higher average price per pound, but adjusted operating income declined due to spread compression [27] - **Pork**: Adjusted operating income increased by 67%, reflecting the strongest second quarter result in the past three years [18][28] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - 71% of U.S. consumers sought to increase their protein consumption in 2024, indicating robust demand for meat products [10][11] - U.S. meat sales at retail hit an all-time high in 2024, with meat included in nearly 90% of home-cooked dinners [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on operational excellence, customer and consumer obsession, and capital allocation to drive long-term value [19][32] - A multi-year plan is in place to optimize operations, launch innovations, and expand distribution, particularly in the Prepared Foods segment [13][19] - The company is transitioning to a new logistics and distribution infrastructure, which is expected to generate around $200 million in annual savings upon completion [20][21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating a dynamic macro environment, emphasizing the importance of their multi-protein, multi-channel portfolio [9][44] - The company anticipates sales growth to be flat to up 1% year-over-year, with adjusted operating income expected between $1.9 billion and $2.3 billion [30][32] - Management acknowledged challenges in the beef segment but remains optimistic about the overall business performance [44][106] Other Important Information - The company is committed to eliminating petroleum-based synthetic dyes from its products, with completion expected by May [21][22] - A new Chief Growth Officer, Christina Lambert, has been appointed to lead strategic initiatives [33][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: Why did the company not raise guidance for the full year despite beating consensus expectations? - Management indicated that while results were strong, they are cautious due to uncertainties in the beef market and consumer pressures, reaffirming guidance for the year [41][46] Question: What is the outlook for chicken demand? - Management remains optimistic about chicken demand, citing strong performance and a commitment to maintaining market share, despite some uncertainties in the industry [49][51] Question: Can you elaborate on the changes in cold storage facilities and expected savings? - Management explained that the transition to new cold storage facilities is aimed at reducing costs and improving efficiency, with expected annual savings of $200 million [56][62] Question: What are the expectations for the international business? - Management highlighted improved operational fundamentals and execution of a commercial growth strategy, leading to strong performance in the international segment [95][96] Question: How does the company view the impact of tariffs on trade flows? - Management does not expect global protein consumption to change significantly but anticipates temporary disruptions as trade flows adjust [121]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-05-05 12:06
Financial Performance - The company achieved YoY growth in Sales, Adjusted Operating Income (AOI), and adjusted EPS for the fourth consecutive quarter[8] - In Q2 2025, Sales reached $13074 million, with an Adjusted Operating Income of $515 million, resulting in an AOI Margin of 38%[15] - Adjusted EPS for Q2 2025 was $092, a 48% increase compared to the prior year[15] - Free Cash Flow YTD'25 was $382 million, compared to $556 million YTD'24[29] Segment Highlights - Prepared Foods reported Sales of $2396 million with an AOI of $244 million in Q2 2025[17] - Chicken segment achieved Sales of $4141 million and an AOI of $312 million in Q2 2025[20] - Beef segment reported Sales of $5196 million with an AOI of $(149) million in Q2 2025[22] - Pork segment reported Sales of $1244 million with an AOI of $55 million in Q2 2025[25] Financial Position - The company's net leverage ratio decreased to 23x[8] - Capital Expenditures YTD'25 amounted to $271 million, compared to $354 million YTD'24[32] - The company returned $365 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases[33] FY25 Guidance - The company anticipates Sales Growth to be flat to 1% for FY25[36] - Total AOI is projected to be between $19 billion and $23 billion for FY25[36]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-05-05 11:33
Financial Performance - Sales increased by 1.2%, or $306 million, in the first six months of fiscal 2025, driven by higher sales in the Beef and Chicken segments, despite a 2.6% decline in the second quarter due to $343 million in legal contingency accruals[133] - Operating income for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 was $100 million, down 68% compared to the same period in fiscal 2024, primarily due to lower income in the Beef and Pork segments[133] - Operating income for the first six months of fiscal 2025 was $680 million, up 25% compared to the first six months of fiscal 2024, supported by higher income in the Chicken segment[135] - Net income attributable to Tyson for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 was $7 million, down from $145 million in the same period of fiscal 2024, resulting in a diluted earnings per share of $0.02 compared to $0.41[161] - Total sales for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 were $13.074 billion, slightly up from $13.072 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2024, with total sales for the first six months reaching $26.697 billion, compared to $26.391 billion in the prior year[163] Segment Performance - The Beef segment reported sales of $5.196 billion for the second quarter of fiscal 2025, an increase of 4.9% from $4.954 billion in the same quarter of fiscal 2024, while the operating loss for this segment was $258 million[170] - The Pork segment experienced a sales decline of 16.3% to $1.244 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with an operating loss of $195 million, compared to a loss of $1 million in the same period of fiscal 2024[172] - The Chicken segment's sales increased by 1.9% to $4.141 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, with operating income rising to $262 million from $158 million in the same quarter of fiscal 2024[175] - Prepared Foods segment sales decreased slightly to $2.396 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, down from $2.404 billion in the same period of fiscal 2024, with operating income increasing to $244 million[177] Cost and Expenses - Cost of sales increased by $268 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by higher input costs, particularly an increase of approximately $470 million in cattle costs in the Beef segment[146] - Selling, general and administrative expenses decreased by $131 million in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, primarily due to lower marketing and employee costs[149] - The company recognized $343 million pretax related to legal contingency accruals in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, impacting net income significantly[164] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash provided by operating activities for the first six months of fiscal 2025 was $846 million, a decrease of $331 million compared to the first six months of fiscal 2024[184] - Net cash used for investing activities was $414 million for the first six months of fiscal 2025, compared to $621 million in the same period of fiscal 2024[187] - At March 29, 2025, total liquidity was $3.242 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of $992 million and a revolving credit facility of $2.25 billion[189] - The company intends to pay current debt of $896 million with existing cash balance and cash generated from operating activities[192] Debt and Interest - The current ratio was 1.7 to 1 at March 29, 2025, down from 2.0 to 1 at September 28, 2024, primarily due to decreased cash and increased current debt[201] - The company had variable rate debt of $781 million with a weighted average interest rate of 6.2% as of March 29, 2025, and a hypothetical 10% increase in interest rates would raise annualized interest expense by approximately $5 million[216] - The company reported fixed-rate debt of $8,287 million with a weighted average interest rate of 4.8% as of March 29, 2025, and a hypothetical 10% decrease in interest rates would increase the fair value of this debt by approximately $240 million[217] - The company is required to maintain a minimum interest expense coverage ratio as part of its debt covenants[204] - The company is in compliance with all debt covenants as of March 29, 2025, and expects to maintain compliance[204] Market and Economic Conditions - The company plans to continue analyzing the impact of supply chain and tariff changes on pricing and demand for its products in the coming months[137] - The company continuously evaluates macro-economic conditions, including inflationary pressures and rising interest rates, which could impact its operations and financial results[208] - The company has foreign exchange exposure primarily from receivable and payable balances in currencies such as the Brazilian real and the British pound, with a hypothetical 10% change in foreign exchange rates impacting pretax income by $24 million as of March 29, 2025[219] Operational Initiatives - The company initiated a network optimization plan, incurring $43 million in charges in the second quarter and $116 million in the first six months of fiscal 2025, aimed at optimizing global operations[140] - The Beef segment faced limited supply of market-ready cattle and increased costs, while the Chicken segment benefited from reduced feed ingredient costs[136] - The company uses derivative financial instruments to manage commodity price risks, with sensitivity analyses indicating potential changes in fair value due to market price fluctuations[214]
Tyson Foods(TSN) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-05-05 11:31
Financial Performance - Sales for the second quarter of 2025 were $13,074 million, flat compared to the prior year, with legal contingency accruals reducing sales by $343 million, or 2.6%[6] - Adjusted operating income for the second quarter increased by 27% to $515 million, while GAAP operating income decreased by 68% to $100 million[6] - Adjusted net income per share attributable to Tyson was $0.92, up 48% from the prior year, while GAAP EPS was $0.02, down 95%[6] - Total company adjusted operating margin was 3.8% for the second quarter, compared to 3.1% in the prior year[8] - Sales for the three months ended March 29, 2025, were $13,074 million, a slight increase from $13,072 million in the same period last year, resulting in a sales growth of 1.2% for the six months ended[23] - Gross profit for the three months ended March 29, 2025, was $600 million, with a gross profit margin of 4.6%, down from 6.6% in the same period last year[23] - Operating income decreased to $100 million for the three months ended March 29, 2025, compared to $312 million in the same period last year, reflecting an operating margin of 0.8%[23] - Net income attributable to Tyson for the three months ended March 29, 2025, was $7 million, a significant decrease from $145 million in the same period last year, resulting in a net income margin of 0.1%[23] - The total adjusted operating income for the six months ended March 29, 2025, was $1,174 million, up from $817 million for the same period in 2024[36] - Tyson Foods' EBITDA for the six months ended March 29, 2025, was $1,391 million, compared to $1,273 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 9.3%[38] Future Projections - For fiscal 2025, Tyson anticipates total company adjusted operating income between $1.9 billion and $2.3 billion[15] - The company expects sales to be flat to up 1% in fiscal 2025, including the $343 million reduction due to legal contingency accruals[16] - Capital expenditures are projected to be between $1.0 billion and $1.2 billion for fiscal 2025[17] - Free cash flow is expected to be between $1.0 billion and $1.6 billion for fiscal 2025[20] - The adjusted effective tax rate is expected to approximate 25% for fiscal 2025[21] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Liquidity as of March 29, 2025, was $3.2 billion, expected to remain above the minimum target of $1.0 billion[19] - Cash provided by operating activities for the six months ended March 29, 2025, was $846 million, down from $1,177 million in the same period last year[27] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $992 million, a decrease from $2,182 million at the end of the previous period[27] - Operating cash flow for the six months ended March 29, 2025, was $846 million, down from $1,177 million for the same period in 2024, representing a decrease of approximately 28.2%[40] - Free cash flow for the six months ended March 29, 2025, was $382 million, a decline of 31.3% compared to $556 million for the same period in 2024[40] Debt and Assets - Total assets decreased to $36,280 million as of March 29, 2025, from $37,100 million as of September 28, 2024[25] - Current liabilities increased to $5,494 million as of March 29, 2025, compared to $4,787 million as of September 28, 2024[25] - Tyson Foods' total gross debt as of March 29, 2025, was $9,787 million, with a net debt of $8,060 million[38] - The ratio of gross debt to EBITDA was reported at 3.4x for the six months ended March 29, 2025, compared to 3.0x for the previous year[38] Operational Insights - The company incurred $343 million in legal contingency accruals during the second quarter of 2025, significantly impacting net income[34] - The network optimization plan charges amounted to $116 million for the six months ended March 29, 2025, contributing to the overall operating income adjustments[36] - The company reported a significant increase in operating income from chicken products, totaling $312 million for the second quarter ended March 29, 2025[36] - The company faced $54 million in restructuring and related charges during the second quarter of 2024, impacting overall financial performance[34] Taxation - The effective tax rate for the three months ended March 29, 2025, was 51.0%, significantly higher than 26.9% in the same period last year[23] Dividends - Dividends declared per share for Class A and Class B were $0.500 and $0.450 respectively, compared to $0.490 and $0.441 in the same period last year[23] Workforce and Corporate Responsibility - Tyson Foods had approximately 138,000 team members as of September 28, 2024, indicating a stable workforce size[41] - The company is committed to providing high-quality food safely and sustainably, aligning with its purpose of feeding the world like family[41] Communication and Risks - A conference call to discuss financial results is scheduled for May 5, 2025, at 9 a.m. Eastern, with a replay available until June 5, 2025[42] - Forward-looking statements indicate potential impacts from global pandemics, market conditions, and consumer preferences on future performance[43] - The company faces risks related to livestock diseases, input costs, and competition from alternative proteins, which could affect operations[43] - Tyson Foods emphasizes the importance of maintaining good relationships with team members and contract farmers to ensure operational stability[43] - The company is focused on leveraging brand value propositions and adapting to changes in consumer trends and preferences[43] - Financial information and updates can be accessed through the Tyson Investor Relations website, ensuring transparency for investors[42]