Core Insights - Twilio Inc. (TWLO) is set to report its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings on February 12, with anticipated non-GAAP earnings per share between $1.17 and $1.22, while the Zacks Consensus Estimate remains at $1.24, reflecting a 24% increase from the previous year's $1.00 [1][10] - The company expects revenues in the range of $1.31 billion to $1.32 billion, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate also at $1.32 billion, indicating a 10.2% increase from last year's revenues of $1.19 billion [2][10] Performance History - In the last four quarters, Twilio has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate three times and missed once, with an average surprise of 14.4% [2] Influencing Factors - The fourth-quarter results are likely to benefit from ongoing digital transformation efforts as enterprises adapt to hybrid operational environments, along with Twilio's expansion initiatives with independent software vendors and global partners [3] - New product launches, including rich communication services and AI enhancements, particularly the integration of OpenAI's Realtime API, are expected to positively impact the quarter's results [4] - Twilio added over 43,000 new clients in the last reported quarter, bringing the total active customer count to 392,000 as of September 30, 2025, suggesting continued growth in the customer base [5] Product Contributions - Solutions such as Twilio Conversations, SendGrid Ads, and SendGrid's Email Validation API are anticipated to contribute positively to the fourth-quarter performance, alongside the integration of AI in various communication and segment products [6] Macroeconomic Challenges - Ongoing macroeconomic challenges may negatively affect Twilio's top line, as enterprises are delaying large IT spending plans due to a weakening global economy and geopolitical issues [7] Earnings Prediction Model - The Zacks model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for Twilio this season, as the company holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and an Earnings ESP of 0.00% [8]

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Twilio Inc (NYSE:TWLO) shares declined by more than 10% on Tuesday after the company announced a partnership with the artificial intelligence workspace platform Genspark.Genspark Deploys Twilio For AI Calling AgentGenspark announced Tuesday morning that it is using Twilio Programmable Voice to power its “Call for Me” AI agent, which enables users to delegate phone-based tasks globally. The AI agent places real-time calls on behalf of users across 40+ countries with multilingual support.Platform Handles Cust ...

Core Insights - Genspark, an AI workspace for over 1 billion global knowledge workers, has integrated Twilio's Programmable Voice to enhance its Call for Me AI agent [1] Company Summary - Genspark aims to streamline phone call-based tasks by utilizing AI, which helps in breaking down language barriers and reducing wait times for users [1] - Twilio, a customer engagement platform, provides the necessary global voice connectivity that powers Genspark's AI capabilities [1]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the U.S. Internet and U.S. SMID-Cap Software sectors, particularly Amazon Web Services (AWS) and its correlation with cloud-linked infrastructure companies like Datadog (DDOG) and Cloudflare (NET) [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Web Metrics Correlation**: There is a strong correlation between engaged visits to AWS' SSO web interface and AWS' non-AI revenue in the following quarter, indicating real-time trends that can predict revenue performance [1][34]. - **Q4 Revenue Acceleration**: Strong web metrics in H2'25 signal a potential acceleration in Q4 revenue for AWS and related companies. Q3 was noted as the strongest since 2021, with continued momentum into Q4 [2][33]. - **2025 IT Budget Dynamics**: IT budgets were reportedly spent more aggressively in H2'25, which may impact growth in H2'26 due to tougher comparisons with the end of 2025 [5][20]. - **CIO Survey Insights**: The recent CIO survey indicates that IT budgets entering 2026 are the strongest since 2018, with a focus on cloud modernization and platform investments [4][14]. - **AI Demand and Supply**: AI demand is critical for revenue acceleration in 2026, with an under-supply environment expected to persist despite significant capacity additions. AWS is expected to double its capacity by 2027, which is essential for continued revenue growth [6][15]. Financial Metrics and Forecasts - **Amazon (AMZN)**: Outperform rating maintained with a price target of $300. Expected adjusted EPS for 2026 is $8.31, with a P/E ratio of 28.8 [7][8]. - **Datadog (DDOG)**: Outperform rating maintained with a price target of $180. Expected adjusted EPS for 2026 is $2.85, with a P/E ratio of 41.8 [9]. - **Twilio (TWLO)**: Market-Perform rating maintained with a price target of $119. Expected adjusted EPS for 2026 is $5.83, with a P/E ratio of 20.4 [10]. - **Cloudflare (NET)**: Market-Perform rating maintained with a price target of $131. Expected adjusted EPS for 2026 is $1.58, with a P/E ratio of 116.6 [11]. Additional Important Insights - **Q1 Trends for 2026**: Early indicators suggest that Q1'26 may see growth acceleration compared to previous years, with a focus on avoiding the nuances that have historically dragged down performance [3][12]. - **Spending Patterns**: The spending patterns observed in 2025, particularly around the holiday season, may have implications for Q1'26 performance, as IT budgets were largely spent early [20][21]. - **Correlation with Other Companies**: AWS serves as a bellwether for other cloud consumption-linked companies, with strong correlations noted between AWS and Datadog, Cloudflare, and Twilio [49][50][53]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, highlighting the trends, financial forecasts, and implications for the industry and specific companies.

About this content About Angela Harmantas Angela Harmantas is an Editor at Proactive. She has over 15 years of experience covering the equity markets in North America, with a particular focus on junior resource stocks. Angela has reported from numerous countries around the world, including Canada, the US, Australia, Brazil, Ghana, and South Africa for leading trade publications. Previously, she worked in investor relations and led the foreign direct investment program in Canada for the Swedish government ...

Core Insights - Twilio and AEG have launched a strategic multi-year partnership to enhance customer engagement in live events and sports, utilizing Twilio's technology for improved communication and experiences [1][2][3] Company Overview - Twilio is a customer engagement platform that enables real-time personalized experiences for brands, with a presence in 180 countries and millions of developers and businesses using its services [9] - AEG is a leading sports and live entertainment company, entertaining over 90 million guests annually through its venues and events [10] Partnership Details - The partnership marks Twilio's first collaboration with a major venue, NHL team, and ticketing platform, establishing Twilio as a Founding Partner of Crypto.com Arena and an official partner of the LA Kings [2][5] - Twilio's technology will be integrated into AEG's operations, enhancing fan engagement through data-driven insights and personalized communication [3][4] Technology Implementation - Twilio's products, including Twilio Segment, will provide AEG with deeper insights into fan preferences, improving the overall customer experience [3] - Twilio's existing technology already supports AXS with SMS and multi-factor authentication, indicating a foundation for further growth in the partnership [4] Marketing and Visibility - As a Founding Partner, Twilio will gain significant brand visibility at Crypto.com Arena, including LED signage and hospitality experiences, reaching millions of visitors annually [5][8] - The partnership will also extend Twilio's branding throughout L.A. LIVE, enhancing its presence in the sports and entertainment district [8]

Company Performance - Twilio's stock closed at $129.83, down 1.65% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's loss of 0.19% [1] - Over the past month, Twilio's stock has decreased by 1.46%, while the Computer and Technology sector gained 2.62% and the S&P 500 increased by 2.26% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Twilio is expected to report an EPS of $1.24, reflecting a 24% increase from the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $1.32 billion, which is a 10.22% increase from the previous year [2] Full-Year Estimates - The full-year Zacks Consensus Estimates for Twilio indicate earnings of $4.81 per share and revenue of $5.02 billion, representing year-over-year changes of +31.06% for earnings and 0% for revenue [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Twilio are important as they reflect short-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating a favorable business outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - Twilio has a Forward P/E ratio of 24.33, which is slightly lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 24.44 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.22, compared to the average PEG ratio of 1.5 for the Internet - Software industry [6] Industry Context - The Internet - Software industry, part of the Computer and Technology sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 56, placing it in the top 23% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks, with the top 50% rated industries outperforming the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Viewpoint - Twilio Inc. is viewed as a strong software infrastructure stock by hedge funds, despite a recent downgrade by Piper Sandler from Overweight to Neutral, with a slight increase in price target to $148 from $145 [1][2]. Group 1: Downgrade and Valuation - The downgrade by Piper Sandler is primarily due to expectations that Twilio's growth re-acceleration may slow down in 2026, along with limited potential for further increases in free cash flow estimates [2]. - Piper Sandler believes Twilio has met its capital-return expectations and is currently trading at a "relatively fair valuation" [2]. Group 2: Strategic Positioning and Growth Potential - Despite the cautious rating, Piper Sandler maintains a positive outlook on Twilio, considering it the "best house in this neighbourhood" within the communications software sector [3]. - The firm highlights the Voice AI infrastructure as a small but rapidly growing segment that could contribute to future growth [3]. Group 3: Future Catalysts - Piper Sandler suggests that a more positive stance on Twilio could emerge if the stock price decreases, with the upcoming fourth-quarter results and initial 2026 guidance being potential catalysts for reassessment [4]. Group 4: Analyst Perspectives - Analysts from RBC Capital and Citizens JMP have raised their price targets for Twilio, with Citizens JMP's analyst setting a target of $185, which is below the consensus high of $200, driven by strong trends in the AI voice business [5].

Core Insights - Twilio is valued at $21.2 billion and has transitioned from a low-margin messaging utility to a high-value customer engagement and AI infrastructure platform, with a stock increase of 30.4% last year, outperforming the S&P 500 Index [1][2] Financial Performance - Twilio's revenue is projected to grow from $1.7 billion in 2020 to an estimated $5.02 billion by 2025, with Q3 revenue reported at $1.3 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase [2] - Adjusted operating income for Q3 was $235 million, with adjusted earnings rising 22.5% to $1.25 per share, exceeding guidance and raising full-year targets for revenue growth, profitability, and free cash flow [2] Business Segments - Messaging revenue increased in the high teens for the second consecutive quarter, while voice revenue grew in the mid-teens, the fastest pace in over three years, driven by demand for AI-driven use cases [3] - Speech AI customer revenue surged over 60% year-over-year, with income from Twilio's ten largest voice AI startup customers increasing more than tenfold compared to the previous year [3] Product Development - Software add-ons like Twilio Verify grew over 25% year-over-year, indicating rising demand for secure communications [4] - Independent Software Vendors (ISV) and self-service customers each saw revenue increases of over 20% year-over-year, showcasing Twilio's scalability across various customer groups [4] Major Deals and Margins - The company secured its largest deal ever during the quarter, a nine-figure, multi-product renewal with a leading cloud provider, alongside significant wins in various sectors [5] - Adjusted gross margin was reported at 50.1%, down year-over-year due to higher U.S. carrier pass-through fees, but management is implementing price actions and efficiency initiatives to stabilize and improve margins [5] - Free cash flow reached $248 million in the quarter, supporting $657 million in share repurchases, which is about 95% of year-to-date free cash flow [5]