Wall Street analysts forecast that Ulta Beauty (ULTA) will report quarterly earnings of $5.75 per share in its upcoming release, pointing to a year-over-year decline of 11.1%. It is anticipated that revenues will amount to $2.79 billion, exhibiting an increase of 2.2% compared to the year-ago quarter.The current level reflects an upward revision of 0.3% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter over the past 30 days. This demonstrates how the analysts covering the stock have collectively reappraised the ...

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) is slated to report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings on May 29, after market close.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal first-quarter revenues is pegged at $2.79 billion, suggesting a 2.2% increase from the prior-year quarter’s reported figure. Although the consensus mark for quarterly earnings has moved up by a couple of cents in the last seven days to $5.75 per share, the projection indicates a decline of 11.1% from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter. ULTA delive ...

The market expects Ulta Beauty (ULTA) to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended April 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook is important in assessing the company's earnings picture, but a powerful factor that might influence its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released o ...

Company Performance - Ulta Beauty's stock closed at $410.09, reflecting a -0.7% change compared to the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.09% [1] - Over the past month, Ulta Beauty's shares have increased by 15.44%, surpassing the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 13.17% and the S&P 500's gain of 13.05% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings report for Ulta Beauty is scheduled for May 29, 2025, with an expected EPS of $5.73, indicating an 11.44% decrease from the same quarter last year [2] - The consensus estimate projects revenue of $2.79 billion, which represents a 2.19% increase from the equivalent quarter last year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $23.03 per share and revenue of $11.57 billion, reflecting changes of -9.12% and +2.42% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates and Stock Performance - Recent changes in analyst estimates for Ulta Beauty are crucial as they often indicate the latest business trends, with positive revisions suggesting a favorable outlook on the company's health and profitability [3][4] - The Zacks Rank system, which assesses estimate changes, currently ranks Ulta Beauty at 3 (Hold) [5] Valuation Metrics - Ulta Beauty has a Forward P/E ratio of 17.93, which is higher than the industry's average Forward P/E of 13.79 [6] - The company also has a PEG ratio of 2.45, compared to the Retail - Miscellaneous industry's average PEG ratio of 2.33 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Miscellaneous industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 43, placing it in the top 18% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Core Insights - Ulta Beauty's stock has increased by 12.9% over the past month, while the industry and S&P 500 have grown by 16.1% and 15.4% respectively, prompting investors to consider whether to hold or take profits [1] Company Strategy and Performance - Ulta Beauty has transformed the beauty industry by combining mass, prestige, and luxury brands in an accessible shopping environment, which has driven significant profitable growth [3] - The company maintains a balanced approach between online and physical stores, with e-commerce sales growing mid-single digits in Q4 of fiscal 2024, reflecting a shift towards digital beauty shopping [4] - The skincare category has seen mid-single-digit comparable sales growth in Q4 of fiscal 2024, driven by strong demand for body care and new brands like Sol de Janeiro, Naturium, and TATCHA [5] Challenges and Concerns - The fourth-quarter results revealed a mid-single-digit decline in comparable sales for the makeup category, primarily due to softness in mass makeup, which is critical for driving traffic and sales [6] - Rising operating expenses are a concern, with SG&A expenses increasing to 23.4% of net sales in Q4 of fiscal 2024, up from 23.1% the previous year, and expected to rise approximately 10% in fiscal 2025 due to strategic investments and higher payroll costs [7][8] Valuation - Ulta Beauty is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings multiple of 17.38X, which is above the industry average of 16.81X, indicating potential overvaluation relative to its fundamentals [9] Investment Outlook - The recent stock rally reflects investor optimism driven by strong skincare performance, a resilient omnichannel strategy, and ongoing innovation, but challenges in the makeup category and rising expenses suggest the stock may be pricing in near-term perfection [12]

We initiate coverage on (NASDAQ: ULTA ) with a Buy rating and $432.81 price target. Ulta Beauty is the largest dedicated beauty retail network in the U.S. providing cosmetics, skincare, salon services, and private-label products in over 1,300 stores and strong digital channels. OurMoretus Research delivers state-of-the-art, buy-side quality equity research for serious investors seeking clarity, conviction, and alpha. Focused on U.S. public markets, Moretus applies a structured, repeatable framework to ident ...

Core Viewpoint - Ulta Beauty's stock performance has shown a recent decline, but it has outperformed the Retail-Wholesale sector and the S&P 500 over the past month, indicating potential resilience in its market position [1]. Financial Performance - Ulta Beauty is expected to report earnings of $5.73 per share on May 29, 2025, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 11.44%. Revenue is projected to be $2.79 billion, representing a 2.19% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are estimated at $23.01 per share, down 9.19% from the previous year, while revenue is expected to reach $11.57 billion, up 2.41% [3]. Analyst Estimates - Recent modifications to analyst estimates for Ulta Beauty indicate changing business trends, with upward revisions suggesting analysts' optimism about the company's profitability [4]. - The Zacks Rank system, which reflects these estimate changes, currently rates Ulta Beauty as 3 (Hold), with a slight decrease of 0.15% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6]. Valuation Metrics - Ulta Beauty's Forward P/E ratio stands at 17.14, which is higher than the industry average of 14.21, indicating a premium valuation [7]. - The company's PEG ratio is 2.34, compared to the industry average of 1.53, suggesting that Ulta Beauty's expected earnings growth is factored into its valuation [7]. Industry Context - The Retail - Miscellaneous industry, which includes Ulta Beauty, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 155, placing it in the bottom 38% of over 250 industries, indicating weaker performance relative to other sectors [8].

Ulta Beauty, Inc. (ULTA) and Bath & Body Works, Inc. (BBWI) are two leading retailers in the beauty space with loyal customer bases and well-established brand recognition. Ulta Beauty stands out as a full-service beauty destination, offering everything from skincare and cosmetics to haircare and salon services. Meanwhile, Bath & Body Works focuses on a narrower but highly profitable niche — dominating the personal care and fragrance space with a strong brand and high-margin product lines.As we move through ...

In the latest trading session, Ulta Beauty (ULTA) closed at $361.46, marking a +1.83% move from the previous day. The stock exceeded the S&P 500, which registered a gain of 1.81% for the day. Elsewhere, the Dow gained 1.56%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq added 2.06%.Shares of the beauty products retailer have appreciated by 12.87% over the course of the past month, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 5.27% and the S&P 500's loss of 6.14%.Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance o ...

I am an independent analyst and investor interested in investing at the intersection of value and growth. My method is a highly qualitative focus on mostly small caps, looking for both long term compounders as well as some special situations. On Twitter @GrowthyValueAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinion ...