国泰君安：予易鑫集团(02858)“增持”评级 目标价2.45港元

Core Viewpoint - Guotai Junan has adjusted the revenue forecast for Yixin Group (02858) for 2025-2027 to 11.564 billion, 13.293 billion, and 15.042 billion HKD, reflecting year-on-year growth of 17%, 15%, and 13% respectively, while net profit is adjusted to 1.134 billion, 1.386 billion, and 1.698 billion HKD, indicating year-on-year growth of 40%, 22%, and 23% respectively, leading to a target price of 2.45 HKD for 2026 with a "Buy" rating [1] Group 1 - The company's stock incentive plan binds core personnel to company interests, enhancing team motivation [2] - On March 25, Yixin Group announced a stock incentive plan for 2024, granting stock options and awards to key executives and employees, which is expected to drive long-term stable development and enhance competitiveness in the industry [2] - The stock options have an exercise price of 1.694 HKD per share, allowing employees to benefit from stock appreciation [2] Group 2 - The performance assessment targets for the stock incentive plan are high, reflecting the company's confidence in future performance [3] - To receive full stock incentives, the adjusted net profit must exceed 3 billion HKD over a five-year vesting period, with scaled incentives for lower profit thresholds [3] - The company aims for a compound annual growth rate of approximately 21% from 2025 to 2029, based on a target of 3 billion HKD in adjusted net profit by 2029, indicating strong growth prospects [3] - Catalysts for growth include the rapid expansion of the automotive finance market and declining funding costs [3]