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Down 40%, This Incredibly Cheap Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Could Start Soaring After May 1
TWLOTwilio(TWLO) The Motley Fool·2025-04-19 17:05

Core Viewpoint - Twilio's stock has experienced a significant decline of 40% from its 52-week high, attributed to market uncertainty and a mixed quarterly report, but the growing adoption of AI tools presents a potential investment opportunity [2][3]. Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, Twilio reported an 11% year-over-year revenue increase and a 16% rise in non-GAAP earnings to 1.00pershare,althoughearningsfellshortofthe1.00 per share, although earnings fell short of the 1.03 per share expectation [4]. - The company anticipates a revenue growth of 8% to 9% year-over-year for Q1 2025, with earnings projected at 0.90pershare,belowtheconsensusestimateof0.90 per share, below the consensus estimate of 0.98 per share [5]. Market Opportunities - Twilio's demand for AI-focused communication tools is increasing, leading to a larger share of customer spending and improved cross-selling statistics, with a 16% year-over-year increase in active customers purchasing add-on products [6][7]. - The company estimates an addressable revenue opportunity of 119billionby2028fromexistingmarkets,withanadditional119 billion by 2028 from existing markets, with an additional 39 billion from conversational AI over the next three years [9]. Growth Potential - Twilio ended 2024 with nearly 4.5billioninrevenue,withAIexpectedtodrivesubstantialgrowthinbothrevenueandearningsbyattractingnewcustomersandenhancingcrosssellingopportunities[10].ThenonGAAPoperatingmarginwas164.5 billion in revenue, with AI expected to drive substantial growth in both revenue and earnings by attracting new customers and enhancing cross-selling opportunities [10]. - The non-GAAP operating margin was 16% in 2024, projected to rise to 21% to 22% by 2027, indicating solid earnings growth potential [12]. Valuation - Assuming earnings reach 6.22 per share in 2027 and trade at a forward earnings multiple of 24, Twilio's stock could potentially rise to $149, representing a 69% gain over the next three years [14]. - Currently trading at 20 times forward earnings, the stock presents a favorable buying opportunity ahead of its upcoming quarterly results [15].