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Prediction: Nvidia Stock Will Skyrocket After May 28
NVDANvidia(NVDA) The Motley Fool·2025-05-03 09:10

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia's stock has faced a decline of over 19% this year due to external factors impacting investor confidence, despite strong financial results in recent quarters [1] Group 1: Market Challenges - Export controls on Nvidia's chips, trade war implications, and concerns over AI infrastructure spending are contributing to the company's underperformance in 2025 [2] - The data center segment, which accounted for 88% of Nvidia's revenue in fiscal 2025, is crucial for its financial health [4] Group 2: Positive Indicators - TSMC expects AI chip revenue to double in 2025, indicating strong demand for Nvidia's products [5] - TSMC plans to allocate 70% of its 38billionto38 billion to 42 billion capital expenditure on advanced process technologies to meet AI chip demand [6] - Lam Research anticipates a 63% revenue increase over the next four years, reflecting robust demand for AI chips [7] Group 3: Growth Drivers - Alphabet has begun offering Nvidia's Blackwell processors, reaffirming a 75billioncapitalexpenditureforecastfor2025,a4375 billion capital expenditure forecast for 2025, a 43% increase from the previous year [8] - Oracle is deploying Blackwell processors to enhance its cloud infrastructure, indicating strong demand for Nvidia's technology [9] - Nvidia is expected to supply 400,000 AI chips for OpenAI and SoftBank's 500 billion Project Stargate, potentially boosting its business significantly [10] Group 4: Financial Outlook - Nvidia generated 11billioninrevenuefromBlackwellprocessorsinthefourthquarteroffiscal2025,withmanagementprojecting11 billion in revenue from Blackwell processors in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with management projecting 43 billion in revenue for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, a 65% increase year-over-year [11][12] - An earnings beat and better-than-expected guidance could serve as a catalyst for Nvidia's stock, which is currently trading at an attractive 25 times forward earnings [13]