泡泡玛特“吃大肉”，52TOYS着急“喝口汤” | BUG

Core Viewpoint - 52TOYS, a Chinese toy company, is planning to go public in Hong Kong, but its financial performance raises concerns about its competitiveness in the rapidly growing IP toy market [2][4]. Financial Performance - 52TOYS reported a revenue of 630 million RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 68%, but its net profit growth was only 12%, which is significantly lower than its peers [2][7]. - The company's gross margin decreased from 58% to 52% over the same period, indicating a decline in profitability [2][9]. - From 2022 to 2024, 52TOYS experienced a cumulative loss of 195 million RMB, with annual losses increasing each year [7][8]. Revenue Sources - 64.5% of 52TOYS' revenue comes from licensed IP, while its own IP revenue share is declining, raising concerns about sustainability if licenses are lost [2][9]. - The company has spent over 100 million RMB on licensing fees for IPs from 2022 to 2024, indicating a heavy reliance on external IPs [9][11]. Market Position - The Chinese IP toy market is expected to grow from 486 billion RMB in 2020 to 756 billion RMB in 2024, with 52TOYS lagging behind competitors like Pop Mart and TOPTOY, which have shown stronger revenue growth [5][6]. - 52TOYS' revenue growth rate from 2022 to 2024 is 16.7%, significantly lower than competitors like Card Game at 55% and Bluku at over 150% [6][9]. Ownership and Investment - The founder and partners of 52TOYS have cashed out a total of 57.73 million RMB prior to the IPO, raising questions about their confidence in the company's future [3][4]. - Major shareholders include Suzhou Qiming Rongke and CICC Cultural Consumption Fund, with the founder holding approximately 36.81% of the shares [5][6]. Competitive Landscape - 52TOYS aims to differentiate itself by focusing on collectible toys rather than becoming a second Pop Mart, but analysts suggest it still operates within a similar framework [12]. - The company faces challenges in establishing a unique market position, as its reliance on licensed IPs and distributors limits its control over brand representation and pricing [11][12].