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Should You Invest $1,000 in Eli Lilly today?
LLYLilly(LLY) The Motley Fool·2025-06-05 08:15

Core Insights - Eli Lilly has experienced significant revenue growth driven by its weight loss drug portfolio, particularly Mounjaro and Zepbound, which have become blockbusters generating over 11billionand11 billion and 4.9 billion in sales respectively [10] - The company is well-positioned in the weight loss market, competing with Novo Nordisk, and has plans to advance its oral weight loss candidate, orforglipron, which could provide a competitive edge [11] Company Overview - Eli Lilly offers a diverse range of medicines, including cancer and immunology drugs, but its weight loss drugs have recently become a standout category [1][2] - The company's weight loss drugs are classified as dual GIP and GLP-1 receptor agonists, which help control blood sugar levels and appetite [5] Market Dynamics - The demand for weight loss drugs has been robust, leading to a significant market presence for both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, with Lilly quickly gaining market share after launching Mounjaro in 2022 and Zepbound in 2023 [6] - Despite a recent reduction in Goldman Sachs' forecast for global sales of anti-obesity medicines to 95billionby2030,thisstillrepresentsa23995 billion by 2030, this still represents a 239% increase from the current 28 billion market [8][9] Financial Performance - Eli Lilly's total sales growth has been impressive, with a 32% increase in the full year and a 45% increase in the most recent quarter [10] - The company's shares are currently trading at 34 times forward earnings estimates, comparable to leading tech companies, indicating strong growth potential [12][14] Competitive Advantage - Lilly's potential oral weight loss drug, orforglipron, could provide a significant advantage over Novo Nordisk's oral semaglutide, as it does not involve strict food and water guidelines [11] - The company combines the growth potential of a tech stock with the stability and dividend growth typical of pharmaceutical companies, making it an attractive investment option [15][16]