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百胜中国:收入创同期新高,精细化成本管理引领利润增长
09987YUM CHINA(09987) 华福证券·2024-08-08 07:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Yum China (09987 HK) [1][3] Core Views - Yum China achieved record-high revenue in Q2 2024 with refined cost management driving profit growth [1] - The company's digital transformation continues to progress with digital orders accounting for 90% of restaurant revenue in H1 2024 [1] - Yum China has returned 994milliontoshareholdersthroughbuybacksanddividendsyeartodateexceedingthefullyear2023amount[1]FinancialPerformanceRevenueandProfitQ22024revenuereached994 million to shareholders through buybacks and dividends year-to-date exceeding the full-year 2023 amount [1] Financial Performance Revenue and Profit - Q2 2024 revenue reached 2 68 billion up 0 94% YoY (4% excluding currency impact) [1] - Operating profit grew 3 50% YoY to 266million(7266 million (7% excluding currency impact) [1] - Net profit increased 7 61% YoY to 212 million (11% excluding currency impact) [1] Segment Performance KFC - Q2 2024 revenue reached 2014billionup152 014 billion up 1 5% YoY (5% excluding currency impact) [1] - Operating profit declined 3 3% YoY to 264 million while core operating profit grew 3 8% to 273million[1]Restaurantmarginwas162273 million [1] - Restaurant margin was 16 2% down 1 1 percentage points YoY [1] Pizza Hut - Q2 2024 revenue was 540 million down 2 5% YoY (1% excluding currency impact) [1] - Operating profit increased 13% YoY to 40million(1840 million (18% excluding currency impact) [1] - Restaurant margin improved to 13 2% up 0 8 percentage points YoY [1] Store Expansion - Total store count reached 10 931 for KFC and 3 504 for Pizza Hut as of H1 2024 [1] - Net new store additions were 328 for KFC and 79 for Pizza Hut in Q2 2024 [1] Digital Transformation - Digital order revenue reached 2 2 billion in H1 2024 accounting for 90% of restaurant revenue [1] - Combined membership for KFC and Pizza Hut exceeded 495 million with member sales accounting for 65% of system sales [1] Financial Projections - 2024-2026 revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 9% reaching 13787billionby2026[2]NetprofitisexpectedtogrowataCAGRof1413 787 billion by 2026 [2] - Net profit is expected to grow at a CAGR of 14% reaching 1 066 billion by 2026 [2] - EPS is forecasted to increase from 213in2024to2 13 in 2024 to 2 77 in 2026 [2] Valuation - Current P E ratios are 16x for 2024 15x for 2025 and 12x for 2026 [1] - P B ratios are projected to decline from 1 9x in 2024 to 1 6x in 2026 [2]