联赢激光：短期业绩承压，看好3C业务发展

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months compared to the benchmark index [6]. Core Views - The company experienced a significant decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2024, with revenue dropping by 14.36% year-on-year to 1.456 billion yuan and net profit decreasing by 74.26% to 51 million yuan [2]. - The decline in performance is attributed to reduced contract acceptance and lower gross margins in the lithium battery sector [2]. - Despite short-term challenges, the company is optimistic about the growth potential in its 3C (computer, communication, consumer electronics) business and is actively pursuing overseas orders, which have increased by 695.68% year-on-year [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.512 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.709 billion yuan by 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8% [1]. - Net profit is expected to rise from 286 million yuan in 2023 to 614 million yuan in 2026, reflecting a CAGR of about 29% [1]. - The company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 14.0 in 2023 to 6.5 in 2026, indicating an attractive valuation [1]. Business Segment Performance - In the first half of 2024, the company's revenue from laser welding automation equipment, lasers, and other products showed varied performance, with laser welding automation equipment declining by 22.41% year-on-year [2]. - The lithium battery sector accounted for 80.92% of total revenue, with its gross margin decreasing by 7.95 percentage points compared to the previous year, negatively impacting overall profitability [2]. - The company is focusing on upgrading existing equipment for battery manufacturers, which has led to a 102.57% increase in retrofit orders in the first half of 2024 [3]. Strategic Outlook - The company is increasing its investment in non-lithium businesses, with 35.05% of new orders in the first half of 2024 coming from non-lithium sectors, particularly in consumer electronics [3]. - The anticipated growth in the 3C product segment and the company's proactive approach to securing international clients are expected to enhance future profitability [3].