鸿合科技：Q2收入业绩实现稳健增长

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy-A" with a target price of 27.01 CNY for the next six months, based on a dynamic price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times for 2024 [2][4]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery of the domestic education hardware business as the economic environment improves, alongside the continued rollout of after-school services and smart sports initiatives [2]. - The overseas business is anticipated to grow rapidly due to the ongoing digitalization of education, with a reported 7% increase in overseas revenue for the first half of 2024 [1][2]. - The company has introduced new AI-driven educational tools and solutions, which are expected to enhance its market position [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2024, the company reported revenues of 1.57 billion CNY, a year-over-year decrease of 2.9%, and a net profit of 150 million CNY, an increase of 4.6% [1]. - In Q2 2024, the company achieved revenues of 1.02 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 5.6%, and a net profit of 120 million CNY, up 3.7% year-over-year [1]. - The company's domestic revenue declined by 18% in the first half of 2024 due to weak demand in the education tablet market, while overseas revenue showed resilience [1]. - The gross margin in Q2 2024 decreased by 1.6 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to price competition in the domestic education interactive flat panel market and rising costs of key raw materials [1]. Earnings Forecast - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 1.50 CNY, 1.68 CNY, and 1.90 CNY, respectively [2][3]. - The company’s net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 8.4% in 2024, with gradual improvements in subsequent years [6][10]. Market Position and Valuation - The company is positioned as a leading provider of educational information technology products and solutions in China, with a strong focus on integrating software and hardware for enhanced educational experiences [2]. - The market capitalization is approximately 5.07 billion CNY, with a circulating market value of about 4.03 billion CNY [4].