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康诺亚-B:2024年中报点评:CM310获批在即,在研管线持续推进

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Views - CM310 for adult AD indication is expected to be approved by the end of the year, with two additional indications having submitted NDAs. The pipeline is continuously advancing, indicating strong future growth potential [5][6]. - The company reported a revenue of 54.68 million yuan for H1 2024, primarily from the first milestone payment for CMG901, with an adjusted net loss of 319 million yuan due to R&D expenses of 331 million yuan, which increased by 32.5% [6]. - The company has a cash reserve of 2.58 billion yuan as of June 30, 2024, indicating a solid financial position to support ongoing R&D efforts [6]. Summary by Sections Pipeline Development - CM310 for adult AD is expected to submit NDA in December 2023 and is included in the priority review process, with approval anticipated by the end of 2024. The commercialization team is nearing 200 members and plans to expand to 200-300 by year-end [6]. - Other indications such as CRSwNP and allergic rhinitis have also submitted NDAs, with expected approvals in 2025 [6]. - CMG901 is undergoing clinical trials for gastric and pancreatic cancers, showing promising early efficacy and safety data [6]. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of 156 million yuan in 2024, 526 million yuan in 2025, and 1.441 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting significant growth [7]. - The gross profit is projected to increase from 97 million yuan in 2024 to 1.217 billion yuan in 2026, while net losses are expected to decrease over the same period [7]. Market Position - The current stock price is 35.25 HKD, with a market capitalization of 9.861 billion HKD [8]. - The stock has traded between 27.45 and 61.65 HKD over the past year, indicating volatility but also potential for growth [8].