TRT(600085) 国投证券·2024-09-02 00:03Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tongrentang is maintained at "Buy - A" with a 6-month target price of 43.75 CNY, corresponding to a dynamic PE of 35 times for 2024 [4]. Core Views - The overall performance of the company is stable, with revenue and net profit showing slight growth in the first half of 2024. However, there are pressures on the cost side that are expected to ease [2][9]. - The company is implementing a "Boutique Strategy" and a "Big Product Strategy" to enhance its core competitiveness, focusing on product tier construction and targeted marketing [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 9.763 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 0.02%, and a net profit of 1.021 billion CNY, up 3.49% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue decline of 2.64% and a net profit decline of 3.90% [1][2]. - The pharmaceutical manufacturing segment reported revenue of 6.472 billion CNY, a growth of 5.30%, while the pharmaceutical commercial segment saw revenue of 6.030 billion CNY, an increase of 8.94% [2]. Business Segment Performance - Tongrentang Co., Ltd. (the parent company) performed well with a revenue of 2.605 billion CNY, up 20.56%, and a net profit of 889 million CNY, up 13.20% [3]. - Tongrentang Guoyao Co. experienced a revenue decline of 16.36% to 605 million CNY, primarily due to decreased sales in Hong Kong and Macau [3]. - The commercial company reported a slight revenue increase of 0.75% to 5.626 billion CNY, with a net profit growth of 7.84% [3]. Cost and Margin Analysis - The company faced significant cost pressures, with a gross margin decline in the pharmaceutical manufacturing segment to 41.39%, down 3.53 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to rising prices of raw materials like natural bezoar [2][8]. - The gross margin for the top five product series decreased to 48.08%, down 8.49 percentage points, mainly due to increased costs of key raw materials [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 18.704 billion CNY, 20.988 billion CNY, and 23.565 billion CNY, with corresponding net profits of 1.708 billion CNY, 2.048 billion CNY, and 2.471 billion CNY [9][10]. - The company is expected to maintain a PE ratio of 28.2, 23.6, and 19.5 for the respective years [9].