HUAXIN CEMENT(600801) 国泰君安·2024-09-03 14:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [10] Core Views - The company's mid-year report for 2024 meets expectations, demonstrating strong profitability in overseas cement and aggregate operations despite a decline in domestic cement demand and increased competition [1] - The company achieved revenue of 16.237 billion yuan in the first half of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 2.56%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 731 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 38.47% [2] - The report anticipates a narrowing decline in domestic cement sales in Q3, as the company enhances customer retention during the downturn [2] - Overseas cement sales continue to grow significantly, with a 47% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2024, supported by strong performance in African markets and ongoing capacity expansion [2] - Aggregate sales are also expected to maintain high growth, although price pressures have begun to emerge in Q3 [2] Financial Summary - The company reported a net profit of 731 million yuan in the first half of 2024, down 38.47% year-on-year, with earnings per share (EPS) projected to be 0.91 yuan for 2024, down from previous estimates [2][3] - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 33.757 billion yuan in 2023 to 34.578 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a modest increase of 2.4% [3] - The company's net asset return rate is projected to decline to 6.3% in 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 11.58 for the same year [3][14]