Adobe-奥多比：24Q3业绩超预期，AI价值持续转化

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintained) [2] Core Views - The report highlights that Adobe's Q3 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with total revenue reaching $5.408 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%. Adjusted profit was$ 2.515 billion, up 11.1% year-on-year, and adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was $2.080 billion, reflecting a growth of 10.8% [2][3] - The report emphasizes the ongoing transformation of AI value, with strong demand for Firefly services and an expanding user base for Adobe Express, which now has over 1,500 businesses and millions of students using it [2] - Adobe's Q4 revenue guidance is set between$ 5.5 billion and $5.55 billion, with digital media revenue expected to grow approximately 8.9% to 9.9% year-on-year, while the ARR net growth for digital media is projected to decline by 3.3% year-on-year [2][3] Financial Summary - For 2024, Adobe's projected revenue is$ 21.452 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 10.5%. The adjusted net profit is expected to be $8.245 billion, reflecting an 11.8% increase year-on-year [3][5] - Key financial metrics include a gross margin of 89.0% and a return on equity (ROE) of 50% for 2024 [3][5] - The report forecasts revenue growth rates of 10.5%, 10.8%, and 11.0% for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with adjusted net profits expected to grow at rates of 11.8%, 11.4%, and 13.8% during the same period [2][3][5]