HUAYOU COBALT(603799) 广发证券·2024-10-21 01:11Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 36.16 CNY per share based on a 15x PE valuation for 2024 [4][2]. Core Insights - The company's performance in Q3 2024 showed a 45% year-on-year increase in net profit, driven by the timely release of nickel production capacity in Indonesia. However, revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 decreased by 11% year-on-year due to falling prices of nickel and lithium products [2][3]. - The company plans to change its fundraising projects to improve capital efficiency, shifting focus to a new project that will add 70,000 tons of high-purity nickel capacity, expected to be operational by December 2025 [2][3]. - The integrated mining and metallurgy investments are progressing well, with several nickel projects in Indonesia reaching production milestones, indicating a strong focus on building the nickel supply chain in the region [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 64.328 billion CNY, reflecting a 3% decrease from the previous year, with an expected recovery in subsequent years [3]. - The company's EPS is forecasted to be 2.41 CNY in 2024, with a gradual increase to 2.73 CNY by 2026, indicating a positive growth trajectory [3]. - The PE ratio is expected to be 12 for 2024, decreasing to 11 by 2026, suggesting a favorable valuation compared to historical performance [3].