Autel(688208) 广发证券·2024-10-22 02:46Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 40.13 CNY per share [3][13]. Core Insights - The company continues to experience high growth in its performance, driven by the expansion of its charging pile business and the recovery of traditional operations. In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 9.6 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.5 billion CNY, up 99.6% year-on-year [1][11]. - The company's U.S. factory commenced operations at the end of 2023, positioning it as one of the few Chinese new energy companies that meet U.S. NEVI and BABA Act requirements. This development is expected to significantly boost the charging pile business and improve overall performance [1][11]. - The report projects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 604 million CNY, 722 million CNY, and 883 million CNY, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.34 CNY, 1.60 CNY, and 1.95 CNY [1][13]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the digital energy business revenue grew by 78% to 5.91 billion CNY, while the digital maintenance business revenue increased by 20% to 21.78 billion CNY. In Q3 2024 alone, digital energy revenue rose by 57% to 2.13 billion CNY, and digital maintenance revenue grew by 24% to 7.40 billion CNY [1][11]. - The company’s revenue for 2022 was 2.27 billion CNY, which is expected to grow to 3.25 billion CNY in 2023, and further to 3.82 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a growth rate of 43.5% [2][10]. - The EBITDA for 2024 is projected to be 744 million CNY, with a significant increase in net profit margins expected over the next few years [2][10]. Business Outlook - The report expresses optimism regarding the growth prospects of the charging pile business in 2024, while maintaining a cautious outlook on the traditional business, which is expected to show steady growth [11][12]. - The company is enhancing its research and development in smart charging detection systems and has launched several management platforms aimed at improving profitability and customer retention in the charging pile sector [11][12].