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国药股份:2024年三季报点评,Q3收入增长稳健,运营能力有所改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the market benchmark index within the next six months [11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 38.03 billion yuan in Q3 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.1%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.48 billion yuan, up 1.3% [1]. - The parent company achieved a revenue of 5.71 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a 9.2% increase year-on-year, with a net profit (excluding investment income) of 241 million yuan, marking an 18.7% growth [2]. - The company's operational efficiency has improved, with accounts receivable turnover days decreasing to 105.4 days, down 1.2 days from Q2 and 3.2 days from Q3 2023 [3]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 6.9%, with a net margin of 3.85%, indicating effective cost control across various expense ratios [4]. - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2024-2026, projecting net profits of 2.2 billion, 2.38 billion, and 2.55 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 2.5%, 8.1%, and 7.2% [5]. Financial Data Summary - For 2024, the company expects revenue to reach 52.18 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 5% [7]. - The projected net profit for 2024 is 2.2 billion yuan, with an expected growth rate of 3% [7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 2.92 yuan for 2024, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 10.8 [7]. - The company maintains a solid financial position with a debt-to-asset ratio of 46.25% and a current market capitalization of approximately 17.5 billion yuan [6].