金盘科技：24Q3毛利率同环比提升，海外产能布局逐步完善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year increase of 27.54% in net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2024, with a gross margin increase of 2.75 percentage points [4] - The revenue for Q3 2024 was 1.882 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.15% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 16.82% [4] - The company has improved its overseas capacity layout and increased the proportion of high-quality orders, contributing to the growth in net profit [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a net profit of 181 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.54% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 41.86% [4] - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was 25.53%, up 2.75 percentage points year-on-year and 3.82 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4] - For the first nine months of 2024, the company reported a total revenue of 4.799 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.53%, and a net profit of 404 million yuan, up 21.17% year-on-year [4] Overseas Business Development - In the first nine months of 2024, the company's foreign sales revenue was 1.366 billion yuan, accounting for 28.64% of total revenue, a slight increase from the first half of 2024 [5] - The company has expanded its production capacity in Mexico and is preparing for capacity expansion in the U.S. and Poland, which will support further market expansion [5] Cash Flow and Financial Health - The company's operating cash flow for the first nine months of 2024 showed significant improvement, with a net cash flow of -87 million yuan, an increase of 63.66% year-on-year [6] - As of September 2024, the company had inventory of 1.972 billion yuan, with accounts receivable at 3.130 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 20.78% [6] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 667 million yuan and 837 million yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.46 yuan and 1.83 yuan [6] - The valuation is set at a PE ratio of 25-30 times for 2024, with a reasonable value range of 36.5 to 43.8 yuan per share [6]