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汇川技术:3Q新能源汽车业务维持高增,工控业务依旧承压
300124Inovance(300124) 群益证券·2024-10-29 07:01

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Trading Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of 64 CNY [2] Core Views - The company's new energy vehicle business continues to grow rapidly, while the industrial control business remains under pressure [2] - In 3Q24, the company achieved revenue of 92.1 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 20.1%, driven by strong growth in the new energy vehicle sector [2] - The new energy vehicle business contributed approximately 44 billion CNY in revenue, a YoY increase of 91%, benefiting from rapid sales growth of customer models [2] - The industrial automation business saw a 7% YoY decline in revenue, with specific segments like general inverters, general servos, and PLC&HMI experiencing drops of 2%, 15%, and 25% respectively [2] - The company's gross margin declined to 29.7% in 3Q24, down 5.3 percentage points YoY, primarily due to the increased proportion of low-margin new energy vehicle business [2] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 254.0 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 26.2%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 33.5 billion CNY, a YoY increase of 1.0% [2] - In 3Q24, the company's net profit attributable to shareholders was 12.4 billion CNY, a slight YoY decrease of 0.5%, while non-GAAP net profit was 10.7 billion CNY, down 9.5% YoY [2] - The company's 3Q24 operating margin was 17.1%, down 1.9 percentage points YoY, mainly due to a decrease in R&D expense ratio [2] Business Segments - The new energy vehicle & rail transit segment accounted for 38.5% of the company's product mix, while the elevator electrical segment contributed 14.4% [2] - The general automation segment, which makes up 46.5% of the product mix, saw a decline in revenue, particularly in the PLC&HMI segment, which dropped by 25% YoY [2] Strategic Initiatives - The company is accelerating its internationalization strategy, establishing new subsidiaries and offices in Vietnam and building a new factory in Thailand [2] - In the digitalization space, the company showcased its industrial digital platform InoCube and the iFA Evolution software platform at the Industrial Expo, enhancing its competitiveness in software and hardware integration [2] - The recent acquisition of a French industrial software company is expected to complement the company's digital twin technology [2] Future Outlook - The report forecasts that the company will achieve net profits of 47, 58, and 69 billion CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with EPS of 1.8, 2.2, and 2.6 CNY [2] - The company's PE ratios for 2024-2026 are projected at 32x, 27x, and 22x, based on the current A-share price [2]